Session: Solar Forecasting: Part II (99th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

Monday, 7 January 2019: 2:00 PM-4:00 PM

North 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Host: 10th Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy

Cochairs:

Jeffrey M. Freedman, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, ASRC, Albany, NY and Robert D'Arienzo, IBM, New York, NY

Second part of solar forecasting session.

Papers:

2:00 PM

4.1

Enhancing WRF-Solar to Provide Probabilistic Cloud Optimized Day-Ahead Forecasts

Pedro A. Jimenez, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Sengupta, Y. Xie, J. H. Kim, J. Dudhia, and B. Kosovic

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

4.2

Advancing Solar Irradiance Nowcasts on Long Island: Blending WRF-Solar with Observations

Jared A. Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Dettling, S. E. Haupt, and T. Brummet

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

4.3

Solar Radiation in Different Cloud Regimes Using WRF-Solar Simulations

Xin Zhou, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY; and Y. Liu, W. Lin, S. Endo, and S. Yoo

Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM

4.4

Sensitivity of Solar Generation Forecast Skill to WRF Parameterization Choices under Central Valley and Coastal Fog Conditions

Daniel Kirk-Davidoff, UL, Albany, NY; and A. Tuohy, K. Craig, and N. Kumar

Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM

4.5

Improving Forecasts of Shallow Cumulus for Solar Energy Applications Using Single-Column Modeling and the LASSO Cases

Wayne M. Angevine, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Olson, J. Kenyon, W. I. Gustafson Jr., S. Endo, K. Suselj, D. D. Turner, G. Feingold, and I. Glenn

Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM

4.6

Better Solar and Wind Forecasts from 2019−20 HRRR/RAP from Improved Clouds

Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Olson, C. R. Alexander, J. Kenyon, T. T. Ladwig, E. P. James, M. Hu, G. Grell, J. M. Brown, and D. D. Turner

Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM

4.7

Probabilistic Solar Power Forecasts Using a Large Ensemble

Stephen D. Jascourt, Radiant Solutions, Gaithersburg, MD; and C. Cassidy, E. E. Wertz, and T. Hartman

Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.7 MB)

3:45 PM

4.8

Open Source Evaluation Framework for Solar Forecasting

William F. Holmgren, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. W. Hansen, A. Tuohy, J. Sharp, A. T. Lorenzo, and A. Golnas

Recorded Presentation