Session 13C El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Dynamics, Diversity, Prediction, and Impacts—Part II

Thursday, 10 January 2019: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
North 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair:
John Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ., Department of Atmospheric Sciences, College Station, TX

Papers:
10:30 AM
13C.1
Marine Heat Waves under Global Warming (Invited Presentation)
Thomas Froelicher, Univ. of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; and E. M. Fischer, N. Gruber, S. Striegel, and C. Laufkötter
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
13C.2
Understanding and Predicting ENSO's Influence on the California Current System
Michael A. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Jacox, J. D. Scott, and G. Hervieux

11:00 AM
13C.3
Optimal Precursors of U.S. West Coast Marine Warming
Antonietta Capotondi, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

11:15 AM
13C.4
ENSO Normals: A New Normals Product Conditioned by ENSO Phase and Intensity and Accounting for Secular Trends
Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State Univ., Asheville, NC; and A. Arguez, A. K. Inamdar, M. Palecki, and A. H. Young
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
13C.5
CMIP5 Model-Analog Seasonal Forecast Skill: A Metric for Model Evaluation of ENSO
Hui Ding, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder, and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Newman, M. A. Alexander, and A. Wittenberg

11:45 AM
13C.6
Improving ENSO and Its Related SST Forecasts by Accounting for Annual Cycle Effects
Sang-Ik Shin, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder and NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and M. Newman, P. D. Sardeshmukh, C. Penland, and M. Alexander
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM
Skillful Climate Forecast of the Tropical Indo-Pacific SST Variations Using Model-Analogues -- Hui Ding
Recorded Presentation

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