Session 14 Advancements in NWP Systems, Including Ensemble Prediction, Data Assimilation, and Validation

Thursday, 10 January 2019: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
North 224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
Alex Mahalov, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ and Matt Fronzak, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA

Numerical weather prediction models are perhaps the most fundamental tool in weather forecasting. This session will address how recent progress in deterministic and ensemble numerical weather prediction, data assimilation, postprocessing of NWP output, and validation of NWP models leads to better prediction of weather that affects aviation, range, and aerospace operations.

Papers:
10:30 AM
14.1
Improving Probabilistic Forecasts of Aviation Weather Hazards
Ken Stone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, M. Strahan, R. Bass, M. Steiner, C. P. Kalb, C. J. Kessinger, J. Pearson, and J. A. Grim
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
14.2
Numerical Forecasts of Deep Convection in a Tropical Mountainous Environment in Support of the Colombian Civil Aviation Authority (Aerocivil)
Tracy Hertneky, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. A. Kucera, L. Carson, K. Newman, J. Hacker, D. F. Steinhoff, W. Cheng, W. Wu, and M. J. Kavulich Jr.
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
14.3
Incorporation of CAM Ensemble-Based Assimilation into the Deterministic HRRR for HRRRv4 and Work to Transition from the HRRR to an FV3-Based Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS)
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Alexander, D. C. Dowell, J. Duda, T. T. Ladwig, E. P. James, M. Hu, T. G. Smirnova, J. S. Kenyon, J. B. Olson, I. Jankov, H. Lin, G. Ge, R. Ahmadov, J. M. Brown, and S. G. Benjamin
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
14.4
A Preliminary Look at the Impacts of Assimilating UAS Data into High-Resolution WRF Simulations of the San Luis Valley
Anders A. Jensen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, P. A. Jimenez, P. B. Chilson, S. Smith, J. D. Jacob, A. Houston, D. A. Lawrence, and G. de Boer
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
14.5
Radar Assimilation in the Kwajalein Atoll
Brian P Reen, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, Adelphi, MD; and H. Cai, J. W. Raby, M. O. Scott, and S. C. Ericson
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
14.6
Ultrahigh-Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction with a Large Domain and Size Dependency of Simulated Convective Cores on Model resolutions
Tsutao Oizumi, JAMSTEC, kanagawa, Japan; and K. Saito, L. Duc, and J. Ito

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
See more of: 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
<< Previous Session | Next Session >>