10A.2 Long-Term Trends in Precipitable Water over Northern Hemisphere Land

Wednesday, 15 January 2020: 3:15 PM
150 (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Imke Durre, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC

Recently published analyses of tropospheric water vapor based on

various observing platforms document a general increase in water vapor

that, at least over the oceans, is consistent with the rate of 7% per

degree Celsius of tropospheric warming that is expected from the

Clausius-Clapeyron Equation. Many of these analyses utilize

observations that, while global in coverage, are limited to ten or 20

years of record or rely on atmospheric reanalyses that are affected by

inhomogeneities resulting from changes in the types of observations

being assimilated. To complement these findings, we used the longest

available record of tropospheric temperature and humidity

measurements, viz. that from radiosondes, to diagnose trends in

surface-to-500-hPa precipitable water (PW) and their relationship to

temperature changes within the same atmospheric layer. Monthly means

of PW and surface-to-500-hPa layer-mean temperature were calculated

from Version 2 of the Integrated Global Radiosonde Archive, passed

through the latest version of the Pairwise Homogenization Algorithm to

remove detectable artificial discontinuities such as those associated

with changes in instrumentation or observing practices, and then

aggregated into 5x5-degree gridboxes for the computation of area

averages. Key findings of our analysis are that 1) for the time series

of PW averaged over all available Northern Hemisphere land areas, the

trend for the period 1973-2017 is 0.09 mm per decade; 2) the variations

and trend of this time series between 2002 and 2016 is largely

consistent with variations in PW anomalies derived from the

Atmospheric Infrared Sounder; and 3) consistent with

earlier studies of the PW-temperature relationship over land, the

radiosonde-based monthly PW anomalies vary with temperature anomalies

at a rate that is lower than that expected from the Clausius-Clapeyron

Equation. Implications of these findings in the context of other

published analyses will be discussed.

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