Tuesday, 14 January 2020: 1:30 PM
257AB (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
NOAA's operational High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model is run at convection-permitting (3 km) horizontal resolution and utilizes the Mellor–Yamada–Nakanishi–Niino level 2.5 (MYNN2) PBL scheme. This is a state-of-the-art treatment that has been substantially upgraded and expanded in recent years. HRRR forecasts of boundary layer wind, temperature, and specific humidity are being evaluated using 60 high-resolution radiosondes across the contiguous US (CONUS) that can provide roughly 5 m vertical resolution near the surface. Challenges in employing this underutilized resource have been mitigated or overcome and the spatially- and temporally-averaged composites are revealing shortcomings in the forecasts that can be addressed with further improvements to the scheme. Along with evaluation, some improvements will be proposed and tested.
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