Our on-going work effort will be divided into two parts. First, assess the ability of each data product to capture WML detections, relative to rawinsonde observations, at a common vertical resolution. For each product, we will evaluate the height, thickness, and accuracy of WML detections and determine the existence of potential data biases (temperature, mixing ratio, etc.) for both Saharan and non-Saharan locations. The second part of our investigation will apply 5-day HySPLIT back trajectories for all WML detections from 2003 and 2018 using data from the best overall model or satellite product. Using these trajectory data, we will be able to determine whether each WML detection was of Saharan origin (i.e., can be classified as a SAL) or was generated from other sources (i.e., residual layers, subsidence inversion, or mid-latitude air streams) and layer-relative physical and meteorological properties. Unlike rawinsonde-only approaches, this investigation aims to provide a SAL climatology database utilizing a multi-year, continuous dataset that has consistent data frequency and data quality at each rawinsonde launch location. Further work will apply our detection methodology to model forecast and reanalysis products to permit analysis and prediction of SAL extent and layer properties across the entirety of north Africa.
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