Joint Session 39 Statistical Methods for Optimized Aviation Hazard Detection and Prediction

Wednesday, 15 January 2020: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )
Chair:
Ken Stone, NCAR, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO
CoChair:
Alex P. Korner, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO

Studies using statisitcal techniques to derive additional information related to the analysis and prediction of aviation weather hazards

Papers:
10:30 AM
J42.1
Statistical Methods for Diagnosing Aviation Hazards and Their Likelihood From Numerical Weather Prediction Models: Past, Present, and Future (Invited Presentation)
Judy E. Ghirardelli, NOAA/National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD

11:00 AM
J42.2
Gridded LAMP Ceiling Height and Visibility Guidance for Alaska
Adam D. Schnapp, CIRA, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn, J. E. Ghirardelli, and A. Bogusz

11:15 AM
J42.3
Development of LAMP Convection and Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Forecast Guidance for Alaska and Beyond
Jerome Charba, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. G. Samplatsky, P. E. Shafer, J. E. Ghirardelli, and A. J. Kochenash

11:30 AM
J42.4
Satellite Cloud Vertical Cross-section Products and User-Engaged Improvement for Aviation Weather Applications
YJ. Noh, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and S. D. Miller, J. M. Haynes, C. J. Seaman, J. H. Kim, and A. Heidinger

11:45 AM
J42.5
Volcanic Ash Forecast Verification using HYSPLIT and Satellite Ash Observations Identified by VOLCAT
Allison M. Ring, ARL, College Park, MD; Cooperative Institute for Satellite Earth System Studies, College Park, MD; and A. Crawford, B. J. B. Stunder, J. Sieglaff, and M. J. Pavolonis

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