Session 13 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Program Chairs: Pinto James , NCAR ; Mike Robinson , The MITRE Corporation

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Monday, 13 January 2020

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 13 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 1
History of ARAM—Evolution of Capabilities for Detecting and Predicting Aviation Weather Hazards: Saving Lives
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: James Pinto, NCAR
CoChair: Mike Robinson, The MITRE Corporation
8:30 AM
1.1
Addressing the Microburst Threat to Aviation: A Research-to-Operations Success Story (Invited Presentation)
John McCarthy, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Serafin, B. Mahoney, and C. Kessinger
Recorded Presentation

1.2
Aviation Turbulence Theory, Detection, and Forecasting: Past, Present, and Future (Invited Presentation)

9:00 AM
1.2A
Increased Light, Moderate, and Severe Clear-Air Turbulence in Response to Climate Change (Invited Presentation)
Paul D. Williams, Univ. of Reading, Reading, UK
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.3
Over a Quarter-Century of Aircraft Icing Diagnoses and Forecasts (Invited Presentation)
Gregory Thompson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein
Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 13 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Monday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 2
Research Programs, Services, and Initiatives to Support the Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorological Communities
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Matt Fronzak, The MITRE Corporation
CoChair: Randall Bass, FAA
10:30 AM
2.1
The Status of the International Civil Aviation Organization Meteorological Information Exchange Model (IWXXM) Global and U.S. Implementation
M. Pat Murphy, FAA, Washington, DC
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Ceiling and Visibility Research
Jennifer A. Colavito, FAA, Washington, DC
Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.4 MB)

11:00 AM
2.3
Federal Aviation Administration Aircraft Icing Weather Research
Stephanie DiVito, FAA, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ; and D. L. Sims, J. T. Riley, T. Bond, S. D. Landolt, and J. A. Haggerty
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Weather Information Services for Enterprise Research—A Framework to Allow Better Integration, Analysis, and Testing of Weather Information within the National Airspace System
John Preston, FAA, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ

11:30 AM
2.5
JPSS Aviation Initiative
J. Weinrich, JPSS/STC, Glenn Dale, MD
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
Science Upgrades to the World Area Forecast System
Teil Howard, UKMO, Exeter, United Kingdom; and P. Buchanan, E. Steele, G. Anderson, C. S. Bartholomew, K. L. Brown, M. Canning, J. C. H. Cheung, A. Lanyon, D. Turp, B. P. Pettegrew, and M. Strahan
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 3
Weather Needs for Small UASs and the Potential for Improving Their Own Guidance
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Paul E. Bieringer, Aeris; Colleen Reiche, Booz Allen Hamilton
2:00 PM
3.1
Preliminary Gap Analysis and Research Roadmap for Unmanned Aircraft Weather Decision Support
David Clark, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and J. E. Evans, T. Bonin, and J. Kuchar

Handout (4.8 MB) Handout (1.5 MB)

2:15 PM
3.2
Weather Focus Area within the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Integration Research Plan for Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UASs)
Kevin Johnston, FAA, Washington, DC
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3.3
Simulation of Small Fixed-Wing and Multirotor UASs Using Realistic Small-Scale Wind Fields
Larry Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3.4
Ice Accretion Prediction for Small Unmanned Aircraft Conditions
Alyssa Avery, Oklahoma State Univ., Stillwater, OK; and J. Jacob
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3.5
What If Every Aeronautical Vehicle Operating in Our Airspace Were to Report Weather Conditions?
Michael Robinson, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Fronzak, M. Steiner, and T. Becher
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (708.9 kB)

3:15 PM
3.6
Evaluation of Real-Time Finescale UAS Forecast Guidance on Winds and Turbulence Obtained Using WRF LES over a Sub-Alpine Desert Valley
James Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Jensen, P. Jimenez, J. Lundquist, S. Bailey, J. Jacob, A. Houston, S. Waugh, P. Chilson, G. deBoer, and K. Glasheen
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3.7
Quantifying the Impact of UAS-Sensed Data on High-Resolution, Limited-Area WRF Forecasts Using NCAR’s Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART)
Anders A. Jensen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, S. Bailey, S. Smith, P. B. Chilson, G. S. Romine, R. A. Sobash, G. de Boer, K. Glasheen, S. Waugh, A. L. Houston, and P. Jimenez
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
3.8
Utilizing UASs to Assist in Weather Hazard Detection for Urban Air Mobility and Unmanned Traffic Management
Jamey Jacob, Oklahoma State Univ., Stillwater, OK; and R. Allamraju, T. Mitchell, and V. Natalie
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Mon)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 4
Scaling Down the Weather to Support Urban Air Mobility
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Kevin Johnston, FAA
CoChair: Anders Jensen, NCAR
8:30 AM
4.1
Weather Challenges for Emerging Modes of Aerial Transportation
Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Boehnert, W. Deierling, A. Dumont, J. A. Grim, K. Ikeda, D. Jacobsen, T. Keller, C. Kessinger, G. Meymaris, D. Munoz Esparza, J. M. Pearson, J. O. Pinto, A. Rugg, H. Shin, and K. Stone
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
4.2
Evolving the Helicopter Emergency Medical Services (HEMS) Tool
Stephanie Avey, NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and A. Cross and D. Vietor
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
4.3
Flying Safe in Dallas–Fort Worth—Meeting the Weather-Alerting Needs of Drone and Air Taxi Operators
Apoorva Bajaj, Univ. of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA; and B. Philips, E. Lyons, D. Westbrook, and E. Huffman
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
4.4
Building Resolving Urban Microscale Weather for UAS/UAM Applications
Paul Bieringer, Aeris, Louisville, CO; and A. Annunzio, G. Bieberbach Jr., and H. J. J. Jonker
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
4.5
Building-Resolving LES within the GPU-Accelerated FastEddy Model: Toward Street-Scale Weather Forecasting
Domingo Munoz-Esparza, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Sauer, H. Shin, R. D. Sharman, B. Kosovic, and M. Steiner

9:45 AM
4.6
Observations of the Microscale Urban Wind Field Impacting UAVs Using Scanning Doppler Lidar
Jana Preissler, Leosphere, Saclay, France; and L. Thobois, R. Parmentier, and D. Sathiyanarayanan
Recorded Presentation

Handout (6.4 MB)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Tuesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 5
Advancements in the Analysis and Prediction of Turbulence for Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Operations
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Wiebke Deierling, NCAR
CoChair: Han-Chang Ko, Yonsei University
5.1
Government-Industry Collaborative Investigations of In-Cloud versus Out-of-Cloud Turbulence

10:30 AM
5.1A
Update on the Graphical Turbulence Guidance Nowcast (GTGN)
Tammy J. Flowe, FAA, Washington, DC; and M. D. Eckstein, W. Watts, M. S. Wandishin, G. Meymaris, J. Pearson, J. A. Craig, and J. Bracken
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
5.2
Deriving Operationally Useful Turbulence Measurements from ADS-B Reports
Larry Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
5.3
Utility of Gravity Wave Regions Identified in GOES Water Vapor Imagery for Verifying Turbulence Forecasts
Tanya R. Peevey, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CSU/CIRA, Boulder, CO; and D. M. Mueller, K. R. Fenton Jr., M. S. Wandishin, and P. Hamer
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
5.4
Climatology of the Estimated Eddy Dissipation Rate (EDR) Using the 1-Hz Wind Observations from In Situ Flight Data
Jung-Hoon Kim, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. M. Kim, S. H. Kim, and H. Y. Chun
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
5.5
UTLS Turbulence Forecasting with NWP Models at 1-km Grid Spacing: The "Unexpected" True Consequences of PBL Diffusion
Domingo Munoz-Esparza, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and S. B. Trier

Paper 5.6 is now Paper1.2A

11:45 AM
5.6A
Analysis of Convectively Induced Turbulence (CIT) within the Shallow Convections in Seoul, South Korea
Jung-Hoon Kim, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and N. W. Lee, S. W. Baek, and G. W. Lee
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Lunch Break (Tuesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 6
John T. Madura Session on Developing Weather Technologies to Support Range Operations through R2O and O2R Pathways
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Jason Knievel, NCAR
CoChair: Stephen Mackey, DOT
1:30 PM
6.1
History and Future Challenges in Aerospace Meteorology (Invited Presentation)
Ryan K. Decker, MSFC, Huntsville, AL
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
6.2
An Integrated Approach to Analyzing Ascent Abort Ground Track Sea Conditions for Crewed Space Vehicles
Robert E. Barbre Jr., Jacobs Space Exploration Group, Huntsville, AL; and K. M. Altino and K. L. Burns
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (1.3 MB)

2:00 PM
6.3
Nowcast of Atmospheric Ionizing Radiation for Aviation Safety (NAIRAS) Model: Physics Updates and Operational Improvements
Christopher J. Mertens, NASA, Hampton, VA; and G. Gronoff
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
6.4
Development of Trend Analysis Techniques for Aviation and Range Operations Weather Hazards from Continuous Remote Sensing Observations
Kimberly A. Reed, Radiometrics Corporation, Boulder, CO; and B. Conway, B. M. Lund, T. Wilfong, R. Ware, and J. Baumgardner
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Tuesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 7
Studies Involving Aviation Impacts Translation Modeling
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Mark Worris, MIT Lincoln Laboratory
CoChair: Steve Abelman, American Airlines
3:00 PM
7.1
A Historical Perspective on the Integration of Weather Information into Air Traffic Management Decision Support Tools (Invited Presentation)
James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA
Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.4 MB)

3:30 PM
7.2
Airline Operational Performance as It Relates to TAFs
Benjamin D. Dillahunt, Southwest Airlines Co., Dallas, TX; and J. C. Cohen
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
7.3
Impact-Based Decision Support Services for the National Airspace System: A Case Study of Two High-Impact Thunderstorm Events on Traffic Flow Management
David Bieger, NWS, Warrenton, VA; and J. Carr Jr., M. T. Eckert, B. A. Smith, K. Struckmann, and B. Waranauskas
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Tues)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Poster Session 1
Poster Session 1: Properties, Detection, Prediction, and Mitigation of Aviation Weather Hazards
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
735
Climatological Properties of Reported Cloud-to-Ground Lightning for Alaska from Several Lightning Detection Systems
Jerome P. Charba, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Ghirardelli, P. E. Shafer, F. G. Samplatsky, and A. J. Kochenash

Handout (771.0 kB)

737
Incorporation of a 3D Mosaicked Hydrometeor Classification Algorithm into the Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor System
Shawn Handler, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. Eddy and H. D. Reeves

738
Using GLM in the Aviation Weather Center
Brian P. Pettegrew, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Kansas City, MO; and S. Minnick and A. Terborg

739
Blending Extrapolation and R3R Forecast
Ming Fang, IMSG, Silver Spring, MD; IMSG, Rockville, MD; and R. Chen, J. Cheng, Y. Weng, S. Liu, W. Guo, L. Jiang, Y. Jin, and M. Yao

740
Analysis and Automated Detection of Ice Crystal Icing Conditions Using Geostationary Satellite Datasets and In Situ Ice Water Content Measurements
K. M. Bedka, NASA, Hampton, VA; and C. R. Yost, L. Nguyen, J. W. Strapp, T. Ratvasky, K. Khlopenkov, B. Scarino, R. Bhatt, D. A. Spangenberg, and R. Palikonda

741
The Impact of Extreme Weather on the National Airspace System
Tyler Scott Harrington, FAA, Washington, DC

742
Comparison of Aircraft Observations to Assess Cloud Phase Conditions during the BAIRS II Campaign
Michael F. Donovan, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and D. J. Smalley, E. R. Williams, J. M. Kurdzo, and B. J. Bennett

743
Developing a Climatologically Derived Probabilistic Global Turbulence Forecast
Alex P. Korner, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Kansas City, MO; and B. P. Pettegrew and M. Strahan

744
Observations of Supercooled Drizzle Production in a Wintertime, Orographic Cloud
Adam Majewski, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and J. French

745
Application of Atmospheric Turbulence Estimated Using the Thorpe Analysis Method and Operational Radiosonde Data in the United States to Aviation Turbulence

746
Statistics and Evaluations of Low-Level Turbulence near Boseong, South Korea
Jiwoo Lee, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. H. Kim

747
Case Analysis of the Generation Mechanism for a Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT) Encounter near Tokyo on 30 October 2018
Ha-Neul Kim, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. H. Kim

748
Quantifying Spatial Separation Error in Tropospheric Wind Measurements
Nathan Curtis, NASA, Huntsville, AL; and R. E. Barbre Jr. and F. B. Leahy

Handout (985.3 kB)

749
The Atmospheric Flow at the Alcantara Space Center—In Situ Observations, Modeling, and Wind Tunnel Essays
Gilberto Fisch, Institute of Aeronautics and Space, São José dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. P. F. Francisco, A. C. Avelar, E. G. Valentim, K. Klippel, N. C. Reis Jr., and B. Hulle

750
A Climatology of Lake Breezes at O'Hare International Airport
Ryan North, SUNY Oswego, Oswego, NY
Manuscript (145.1 kB)

Handout (603.2 kB)

751
Pilot Report System Modernization
Robert Avjian, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Fronzak and D. Strand

Understanding the Interactions between Atmospheric Boundary Layers and Urban Landscapes through Large-Eddy Simulations: Impacts on Low-Level Winds and Turbulence

752
DTN's High Ice Water Forecasts
Donald W. McCann, Overland Park, KS; and W. Hyduke

Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 8
Session on Advancements in the Analysis and Prediction of Aircraft Icing and Methods/Tools for Icing Mitigation
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Stephanie DiVito, FAA
CoChair: Darcy Jacobson, NCAR
8:30 AM
8.1
NEXRAD Dual-Polarimetric Hazard Products for Aviation
David J. Smalley, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and M. F. Donovan, E. R. Williams, B. J. Bennett, J. M. Kurdzo, and R. F. Ferris
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
8.2
Drop Size Distribution Retrieval from Polarimetric Radar Data to Enhance the Spectral Bin Classification in Detecting Icing Conditions
Nathan T. Lis, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and H. D. Reeves, A. A. Rosenow, and G. Zhang
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (474.7 kB)

9:00 AM
8.3
Dual-Polarization Radar Icing Algorithm (RadIA): Verification/Validation with Research Flights and Application at Military Test Ranges
David J. Serke, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Kessinger, S. A. Tessendorf, A. Korolev, I. Heckman, J. French, J. Knievel, J. A. Haggerty, and D. Albo
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
8.4
Comparison of Airborne In Situ Icing Observations to Icing Algorithm Output and Aviation Forecasts in the Southern Ocean
Cory A. Wolff, NCAR, Broomfield, CO; and J. A. Haggerty, D. R. Adriaansen, R. J. Potts, C. Lethlean, G. McFarquhar, and W. Wu
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
8.5
Initial Steps Toward a Next-Generation Current Icing Product Algorithm
Daniel R. Adriaansen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Haggerty, A. Rugg, and D. Serke
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
8.6
Assessing the Cloud Structures of a 1980 Icing Accident Using In Situ Data from a Research Aircraft and a High-Resolution Model
Frank McDonough, DRI, Reno, NV; and J. F. Mejia
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Joint Session 36
Advances in Data Assimilation, Verification, and Probabilistic Forecasting of Aviation Weather Hazards
Location: 257AB (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology )
Chair: Stephanie Avey, AWC
CoChair: Stanley B. Trier, NCAR
8:30 AM
J36.1
1955–2019: How NWP Has Evolved to Improve Safety and Efficiency for Aviation (Invited Presentation)
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
J36.2
Development of and Implementation Strategies for the Unified Forecast System at NCEP to Assist with Forecasting Aviation Weather Hazards
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and G. S. Manikin, J. R. Carley, and M. E. Pyle
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
J36.3
Use of Storm-Scale Ensemble Data Assimilation for Initializing the Deterministic HRRR and Use of HRRRE Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasts to Provide Probabilistic Aviation Hazard Guidance
Steve Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and D. C. Dowell, G. Ge, T. T. Ladwig, C. Alexander, M. Hu, E. James, J. S. Kenyon, I. Jankov, T. Smirnova, J. B. Olson, and S. G. Benjamin
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
J36.4
A Commercial Airline's Use of The Weather Company/IBM's Current Condition Assimilation System for Flight Operations in the Caribbean
Joseph P. Koval, The Weather Company, Atlanta, GA; and B. Krajewski, D. Winn, and I. Rahman
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
J36.5
The Analysis of Short-Term Operational Wind Forecasts and Implications for Aircraft Operations in Terminal Areas
Timothy Bonin, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and W. J. Dupree, R. F. Ferris, D. D. Moradi, and D. Clark
Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Wednesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 42
Statistical Methods for Optimized Aviation Hazard Detection and Prediction
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )
Chair: Ken Stone, NCAR
CoChair: Alex P. Korner, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
10:30 AM
J42.1
Statistical Methods for Diagnosing Aviation Hazards and Their Likelihood from Numerical Weather Prediction Models: Past, Present, and Future (Invited Presentation)
Judy E. Ghirardelli, NOAA/National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
J42.2
Gridded LAMP Ceiling Height and Visibility Guidance for Alaska
Adam D. Schnapp, CIRA, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn, J. E. Ghirardelli, and A. Bogusz
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
J42.3
Development of LAMP Convection and Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Forecast Guidance for Alaska and Beyond
Jerome Charba, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. G. Samplatsky, P. E. Shafer, J. E. Ghirardelli, and A. J. Kochenash
Recorded Presentation

Handout (2.4 MB)

11:30 AM
J42.4
Satellite Cloud Vertical Cross-Section Products and User-Engaged Improvement for Aviation Weather Applications
Y. J. Noh, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and S. D. Miller, J. M. Haynes, C. J. Seaman, J. H. Kim, and A. Heidinger
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
J42.5
Volcanic Ash Forecast Verification Using HYSPLIT and Satellite Ash Observations Identified by VOLCAT
Allison M. Ring, ARL, College Park, MD; Cooperative Institute for Satellite Earth System Studies, College Park, MD; and A. Crawford, B. J. B. Stunder, J. Sieglaff, and M. J. Pavolonis
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Lunch Break (Wednesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Panel Discussion: Mitigating Aviation Weather Hazards and Managing Operational Impacts in 2050
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Moderator: Mike Robinson, The MITRE Corporation
Panelists: Craig Wanke, The MITRE Corporation; Matthias Steiner, NCAR; Peter Neilley, The Weather Company, an IBM Business; Karl Garman, HQ FAA; Mike Kay, SPIRE
1:30 PM
PD1.1
Mitigating Aviation Weather Hazards and Managing Operational Impacts in 2050: A Panel Discussion
Michael Robinson, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Wednesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 9
Advancements in the Analysis, Nowcasting, and Prediction of Convectively Induced Turbulence
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Tammy J. Flowe, FAA
CoChair: Soo-Hyun Kim, Yonsei Univ.
3:00 PM
9.1
Using Numerical Models to Understand Linkages between Deep Convection and Aviation Turbulence (Invited Presentation)
Stan Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO

3:30 PM
9.2
Current Improvements to the Graphical Turbulence Guidance Nowcast (GTGN) Algorithm
Julia Pearson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Deierling and R. D. Sharman
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
9.3
Updates on the Graphical Turbulence Guidance (GTG) Product, Including Convectively Induced Turbulence Detection
Wiebke Deierling, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, D. Munoz-Esparza, J. Pearson, and G. Meymaris

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Wed)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Poster Session 2
Poster Session 2: Properties, Detection, Prediction, and Mitigation of Aviation Weather Hazards
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: William P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron
Poster 1331 is now Paper 12.5A.

1332
Investigation of the Forecast Icing Product Supercooled Large Droplet Potential Algorithm during Select Cases from the In-Cloud Icing and Large Drop Experiment
Daniel R. Adriaansen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Haggerty, A. Rugg, S. Tessendorf, A. Korolev, and M. Wolde

1333
Dugway Proving Ground's Mission Support Meteorological Observation Systems
Tyler Wieland, Department of Defense, Dugway, UT; and C. Cook, E. Nelson, D. P. Storwold Jr., and D. Ruth

Handout (2.6 MB)

1334
Impact-Based Decision Support Service Collaboration between NWS and FAA: 100th PGA Tournament Aviation Planning and Enhanced Services
Sally Johnson, NWSFO, Saint Charles, MO; and J. A. Zeltwanger and E. Jennings

1335
Aviation Weather Research Facility (AWRF)
Stephen Mackey, DOT, Cambridge, MA; and C. Scarpone and R. Samiljan

1336
Generating In-Flight Hazard Information Using AWIPS Hazard Services
Nathan Hardin, CIRA/Colorado State Univ. and NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and D. Nietfeld, D. M. Kingfield, B. Entwhistle, A. Cross, E. Petrescu, and N. Eckstein

1337
NASA MSFC Earth Global Reference Atmospheric Model Overview and Updates
Patrick W. White, NASA MSFC, Huntsville, AL

1338
Status of Implementation of International Civil Aviation Organization Space Weather Information Provisions
M. Pat Murphy, FAA, Washington, DC

1339
A Quality Assessment of the Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) for Aviation
Matthew T. Morris, Systems Research Group and NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and J. R. Carley, E. Colón, A. M. Gibbs, M. Pondeca, and S. Levine

Handout (1.8 MB)

1340
Local Aviation Performance Statistics: Scale Normalization for IFR-Frequency Effects in Central Pennsylvania Using the Total Performance Index
Matthew Steinbugl, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and G. Lachat and M. Lorenston

1341
World Area Forecast System Hazard Grid Upgrades
Brian P. Pettegrew, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Kansas City, MO; and M. Strahan, P. Buchanan, K. Shorey, and H. Y. Chuang

1342
Improving In-Flight Aviation Warnings Using a New International Collaboration Tool
Katie Deroche, NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and N. Komatsu

1343
Use of FAA NextGen Weather to Meet Terminal ATC Weather Needs
Maria Spitzak, Raytheon Company, Marlborough, MA; and E. Mann
Manuscript (2.7 MB)

Handout (2.7 MB)

1344
Integrating GOES-16 Resources into Air Traffic Decision-Making
Roland Nunez, NWS/Center Weather Service Unit, Houston, TX; and E. Zappe and L. Wood

Handout (1.1 MB)

1345
Weather Information Modernization and Transitioning (WIMAT)
Kevin Johnston, FAA, Washington, DC; and J. May

1346
Near-Real-Time Monitoring of Cold Air Aloft for Aviation Safety in the United States and Canada
C. Bloch, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI; and T. J. Wagner and W. Feltz
Manuscript (1.4 MB)

Handout (3.5 MB)

1347
The Development of Operational Weather Support on Aviation
Shun Liu, IMSG and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Weng, R. Chen, J. Cheng, W. Guo, M. Fang, Y. Jin, and L. Jiang

1348
Verification of Air Force Weather Cloud Analyses and Forecasts Using the NASA Earth Polychromatic Imaging Camera (EPIC)
Edward P. Hildebrand, UCAR, Offutt AFB, NE; and J. R. McCormick

Poster 1349 is now Paper 10.2A.

1350
AERONET Observations as a Source of Cloud Analysis and Forecast Verification for the 557WW
James McCormick, Software Engineering Services, Offutt AFB, NE; and E. Hildebrand

1351
Nowcasting of Wind Field by Using Mesoscale Ensemble Forecast and Flight Data
Ryota Kikuchi, DoerResearch, Inc., Chiba, Japan; and Y. Matsuno, N. Motoyama, A. Kudo, and A. Senoguchi

6:30 PM-9:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Centennial Celebration (Centennial)
Location: Ballroom East (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Thursday, 16 January 2020

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 16 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 10
Influence of U.S. National Security Programs on Improved Analysis and Prediction of Aviation and Range Weather
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Ryan Decker, MSFC
CoChair: James McCormick, Software Engineering Services
8:30 AM
10.1
A Century of Symbiosis between Applied Meteorology and National Security (Invited Presentation)
Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. E. Haupt and J. Cogan
Recorded Presentation

10.2
Recent Operational Support Improvements at 45th Weather Squadron

9:00 AM
10.2A
Global Cloud-Free Line-of-Sight (CFLOS) Characterizations Using Numerical Weather Prediction Data
Jaclyn Schmidt, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright Patterson Air Force Base, OH; and J. Burley, B. Fourman, and S. Fiorino
Recorded Presentation

Handout (3.8 MB)

9:15 AM
10.3
Dugway Proving Ground's Meteorological Mission Support and Collaborative Field Studies
Cori Cook, Department of Defense, Dugway, UT; and E. Nelson, D. Ruth, D. Storwold, and T. Wieland
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 16 January 2020


Exhibit Hall Breakfast
Location: Hall A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 11
Aviation Decision-Making Using Forcast Uncertainty
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Matthias Steiner, NCAR
CoChair: Timothy Bonin, MIT Lincoln Laboratory
10:30 AM
11.1
Integrating Weather Forecasts with Uncertainty into Complex Operational Decisions at American Airlines
Steve Abelman, American Airlines, Ft. Worth, TX
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
11.2
Advanced Forecasts, Constraint Translations, and Decision Models for Improved Air Traffic Management Given Weather Uncertainty
Michael Robinson, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and T. Niznik, J. K. Williams, and C. P. Taylor
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
11.3
Global Probabilistic Forecasts of Convective Weather Aviation Hazards
Ken Stone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, C. P. Kalb, C. Kessinger, W. Deierling, M. Steiner, J. Grim, T. Blitz, R. Bass, J. M. Baker, and M. Strahan
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
11.4
Design and Evaluation of a Multimodel Weather Impact Translation System with Forecast Confidence
Mark Worris, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and M. S. Veillette, M. Matthews, J. Venuti, F. Fabrizi, and J. Kuchar

11:30 AM
11.5
Evaluation of Probabilistic Forecasts for Denver International Airport Snow Operations
Dana M. Mueller, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRA, Boulder, CO; and K. R. Fenton Jr., M. S. Wandishin, and M. Kraus
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
11.6
A Generic Methodology to Characterize and Display Terminal Wind Forecast Uncertainty
Matt Fronzak, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and V. E. Klimenko, D. J. Larsen, R. M. Avjian, J. J. Huhn, M. Robinson, and D. A. Strand
Recorded Presentation

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 12
Advancements in the Detection, Prediction, and Decision Support for Mitigating the Effects of Convection and Lightning on Airborne Operations
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Brian P. Pettegrew, CIRA/Colorado State Univ.
CoChair: Judy E. Ghirardelli, NOAA/National Weather Service
1:30 PM
12.1
The Remote Oceanic Meteorology Information Operational (ROMIO) Demonstration
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Frazier, A. Izadi, A. Trani, T. A. Lindholm, J. Olivo, W. Watts, R. Stone, B. Norris, S. Abelman, E. Senen, and K. Bharathan
Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.9 MB)

1:45 PM
12.2
Development of Satellite-Based Cloud-Top Height and Convection Nowcasting Products in Support of SIGMET Coordination in the APAC Region
Christy Y. Y. Leung, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and H. C. Tam, W. S. Chan, and H. K. Fok
Manuscript (1.4 MB)

2:00 PM
12.3
Convective SIGMETs: A Climatological Retrospective and Thoughts for Future Enhancements
Heather D. Reeves, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. L. Solomon, A. Eddy, J. W. Scheck, and A. A. Rosenow
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
12.4
An Algorithm to Automatically Generate Convective SIGMETs over the Contiguous United States
Alexander Eddy, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and H. Reeves, R. L. Solomon, and P. Skinner
Recorded Presentation

12.5
Application of a Convective Gravity Wave Drag Parameterization to Aviation Turbulence Forecasting

2:30 PM
12.5A
Examining the Performance of Aviation Weather Center Traffic Flow Management Convective Forecast Products
Robert M. Hepper, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and A. Cross
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
12.6
Exploring Methods of Communicating Convective Impact Risks for Extended-Range National Airspace System Planning
Robert M. Hepper, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and A. Cross, S. Avey, and A. P. Korner
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Joint Session 69
Advances in the Use of Artificial Intelligence Techniques in Support of Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Location: 156BC (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Events )
Cochairs: Haig Iskendarian, MIT; James M. Kurdzo, MIT Lincoln Laboratory
1:30 PM
J69.1
Using a Neural Network to Predict Future Radar Frames
Claire Sheila Bartholomew, Met Office, Exeter, UK; Univ. of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and D. Hogg, J. H. Marsham, and T. Howard
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
J69.2
The WSR-88D Chaff Detection Algorithm Utilizing a Support Vector Machine Based on Human Truthing
James M. Kurdzo, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and B. J. Bennett, D. J. Smalley, M. F. Donovan, and E. R. Williams
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
J69.3
Global Synthetic Weather Radar in AWS GovCloud for the U.S. Air Force
Mark S. Veillette, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and H. Iskenderian, P. M. Lamey, C. J. Mattioli, A. Banerjee, M. Worris, A. B. Proschitsky, R. F. Ferris, A. Manwelyan, S. Rajagopalan, H. Usmani, T. E. Coe, J. E. Luce, and B. A. Esgar
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
J69.4
Detection of Aircraft Lightning Potential Areas by Using a Deep Neural Network with Interpretability
Eiichi Yoshikawa, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Mitaka, Japan; and T. Ushio

2:30 PM
J69.5
Improvements to Convective Weather Avoidance Modeling Using Supervised Learning
Christopher J. Mattioli, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and M. Matthews, H. Iskendarian, and M. S. Veillette
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
J69.6
Short-Term Wind Forecasts for Aviation
William J. Dupree, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and M. S. Veillette, A. Banerjee, J. P. Morgan, T. Bonin, H. Iskenderian, and M. McPartland
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 13
Overview and Early Results from the In-Cloud Icing and Large-Drop Experiment (ICICLE)
Location: 206A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 20th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair: Daniel R. Adriaansen, NCAR
CoChair: Nathan T. Lis, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL
3:30 PM
13.1
In-Cloud Icing and Large-Drop Experiment (ICICLE). Part I: Overview
Stephanie DiVito, FAA, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ; and B. C. Bernstein, D. L. Sims, J. T. Riley, S. D. Landolt, J. A. Haggerty, M. Wolde, and A. Korolev
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
13.3
In-Cloud Icing and Large-Drop Experiment (ICICLE). Part III: Supplemental Datasets
Scott D. Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Lentz, S. DiVito, D. L. Sims, J. A. Haggerty, B. C. Bernstein, A. Korolev, and M. Wolde
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
13.2
In-Cloud Icing and Large-Drop Experiment (ICICLE). Part II: Airborne Measurements
Mengistu Wolde, National Research Council Canada, Ottawa, Canada; and A. Korolev, L. Nichman, I. Heckman, C. Nguyen, N. Bliankinshtein, M. Bastian, A. Brown, B. C. Bernstein, S. DiVito, D. L. Sims, S. D. Landolt, and J. A. Haggerty
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
13.4
An In-Cloud Icing and Large-Drop Experiment (ICICLE) Case Study
Darcy Marie Jacobson, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO; and S. D. Landolt, S. DiVito, B. C. Bernstein, D. L. Sims, J. A. Haggerty, A. Korolev, and M. Wolde
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
13.5
Improving Terminal Area Supercooled Large Drop Detection with 1-min Ceilometer Profiles Obtained during the In-Cloud Icing and Large Drop Experiment (ICICLE)
Joshua Lave, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO; and S. D. Landolt, S. DiVito, L. Nichman, and C. Nguyen
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
13.6
Ultra-High-Resolution Aircraft Icing Forecasting during the ICICLE Field Project
Gregory Thompson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Korolev, L. Nichman, M. Wolde, S. Landolt, and S. DiVito
Recorded Presentation

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