Session 8C Analysis and Forecasting of Fire Weather

Wednesday, 15 January 2020: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
151A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
S. W. Bieda III, NWSFO, NOAA/NWS Amarillo, TX, Amarillo, TX and Ryan A. Lagerquist, CIMMS, Meteorology, Norman, OK

This session will be hosted by the 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (30WAF).  It will discuss analysis and forecasting techniques for fire weather, including recent extremes (e.g., extreme fire seasons in western North America and the Canadian sub-Arctic), pyrocumulonimbus, decision support for fire suppression, new fire-weather parameters used in forecasting, etc.

10:30 AM
From a Pyrocumulus to a Severe Thunderstorm: An Environmental Analysis of an Anomalous Southern Plains Wildfire
Kaitlin Ann Rutt, NWSFO, Amarillo, TX; and S. W. Bieda III, A. Ward, B. J. Simpson, T. T. Lindley, N. J. Nauslar, B. Curran, S. J. Fano, and P. J. Ware

11:00 AM
Using North American Regional Reanalysis Composites to Identify and Forecast Fire-Effective Synoptic Features in the Southern Great Plains
Matthew Ryan Beitscher, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and T. T. Lindley, C. M. Gravelle, and C. Graves

11:15 AM
Lightning-Ignited Fires in the Northwest United States and SPC Dry Thunderstorm Precipitation Thresholds
Abby E Sebol, NOAA Hollings Intern - NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK; and E. M. Leitman and M. S. Elliott

11:30 AM
High-Resolution Future Projection of U.S. Wildfire Potential Trends
Emily K Brown, Centre College, Danville, KY; and J. Wang and Y. Feng

11:45 AM
Next-Generation OK-FIRE Modeling System
Michael D. Klatt, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

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