Session: Automated Guidance for Atmospheric Rivers, Flash Floods, and Other Hydrometeorological Extremes (100th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

Thursday, 16 January 2020: 3:30 PM-5:00 PM

258A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 34th Conference on Hydrology )

Chair:

Brandt D. Maxwell, NOAA/NWS, WFO San Diego, San Diego, CA

This will be a joint session between the 26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (26NWP) and 34th Conference on Hydrology (34HYDRO). We welcome abstracts on topics including (but not limited to) coupled atmosphere-hydrological models and automated guidance for atmospheric rivers, flash floods, and other hydrometeorological extremes.

Papers:

3:30 PM

J71.1

The U.S. West Coast Network of Atmospheric River Observatories: Tools for Improving Situational Awareness in Operational Forecasting

Allen B. White, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and D. J. Gottas, L. S. Darby, T. E. Ayers, and J. L. Leach

Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM

J71.2

Heavy Precipitation and Flash Flood Forecasts Using Random Forests and Convection-Allowing Models

Aaron J. Hill, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM

J71.3

If a Flood Falls in a (Random) Forest, Does It Get Counted? Advances and Challenges in Predicting Excessive Precipitation Using Machine Learning

Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and A. J. Hill, G. R. Herman, M. Erickson, B. Albright, M. Klein, and J. A. Nelson Jr.

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

J71.4

Using a Random Forest Model to Assess Flash Flood Probability across Southern Utah

Michael P. Seaman, NOAA, Salt Lake City, UT; and D. Van Cleave and N. J. Carr

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

J71.5

Sensitivity Analysis of Rainfall and Streamflow Thresholds for Forecasting Flash Floods

Humberto Vergara, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and J. J. Gourley and A. Vergara

4:45 PM

J71.6