Tuesday, 14 January 2020: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
253C (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Cochairs:
Kelly Mahoney, NOAA, ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO;
Kenneth Kunkel, North Carolina State University, Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, Raleigh, NC and
Bill D. Kappel, Applied Weather Associates, Monument, CO
The connection between extreme rainfall and hydrologic extremes seems obvious, but recent research has shown the relationship to be complex and location-specific. New observing technologies and real-time hydrologic models are improving our ability to monitor and predict droughts and floods. Meanwhile, broad-brush assumptions about climate-driven trends in frequency and intensity of hydrologic extremes fail to capture the interplay between location characteristics, meteorology, soil conditions, and vegetation. This session invites papers on all aspects of extreme rainfall, including their relationships to floods and to the termination of droughts, encompassing observations, modeling, short-term and seasonal prediction, climate change, and risk assessment. Papers exploring the causes and consequences of individual extreme rainfall events that cause floods or terminate droughts, as well as the causes and consequences of changing drought, extreme rainfall, and flood risk are particularly encouraged.
10:30 AM
6A.1
Climate Context of the 2018–19 Mississippi River and Tributaries Floods
James Noel, NWS, Wilmington, OH; and T. Rench, M. Wheeler, B. M. Astifan, J. Graschel, C. B. Loveland, S. D. Buan, K. Low, and E. T. Jones
10:45 AM
6A.2
The Historical 2018–19 Mississippi River Flood Event: A NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center (LMRFC) Perspective
Suzanne Van Cooten, Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center, Slidell, LA; and J. S. Graschel, D. Welch, J. Smith, A. Hayes-Patterson, G. Tillis-Nash, D. Schlotzhauer, C. D. Pearce, A. Roberts, M. J. Czikowsky, E. Nipper, J. F. Lesko, and K. Roth
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- Indicates an Award Winner