Session 2 Predictability of Extreme Events

Monday, 13 January 2020: 10:30 AM-11:45 AM
104C (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Multiscale Predictability: Data-model Integration and Uncertainty Quantification for Weather, Climate and Earth System Monitoring and Prediction
Chair:
David Parsons, Boulder, CO

Papers:
10:30 AM
2.1
Potential for Parameter Estimation of Tropical Cyclone Air–Sea Enthalpy and Momentum Exchange Coefficients through Ensemble Data Assimilation
Robert G. Nystrom, NCAR, Bolder, CO; and F. Zhang
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
Conditional Predictability of Idealized Thunderstorms in CAPE–Shear Space
John R. Lawson, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2.3
Comparing Extreme Weather Events Generated by 36- and 12-km WRF Simulations
Tanya L. Spero, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and J. H. Bowden, A. M. Jalowska, M. S. Mallard, and G. M. Gray
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Uncertainty in Near-Term Global Surface Warming Linked to Tropical Pacific Climate Variability
Agus Santoso, Univ. of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia; CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, Australia; and M. H. Bordbar, M. England, A. Sen Gupta, A. Taschetto, T. Martin, W. Park, and M. Latif
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
On the Prospects for Improved Tropical Cyclone Forecasts
Feifan Zhou, IAP, Beijing, China; and Z. Toth
Recorded Presentation

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