Session 9B Numerical Prediction of Convective Systems

Thursday, 28 June 2007: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Summit B (The Yarrow Resort Hotel and Conference Center)
Host: 22nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/18th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair:
Qingyun Zhao, NRL, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA

Papers:
9B.1
How predictable are severe convective storms? An initial study using EnKF data assimilation

10:45 AM
9B.2
An Assessment of Convective Forecast Failures with the WRF-ARW Model
Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Wang, K. Manning, C. Davis, W. C. Skamarock, and J. Klemp

11:15 AM
9B.3
Prediction of Convective Initiation and Storm Evolution on 12 June 2002 during IHOP_2002
Haixia Liu, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.3 MB)

11:30 AM
9B.4
Investigating Sources of Inaccuracy in the Analysis and Forecast of a Real Tornadic Thunderstorm Case with the EnKF Method through OSS Experiments
Mingjing Tong, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue

11:45 AM
9B.5
Evolution and maintenance of simulated extreme-rain-producing mesoscale convective systems
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.2 MB)

12:00 PM
9B.6
Prediction of the timing of convective initiation along a dryline in a high-resolution model
William J. Martin, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (444.7 kB)

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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