Wednesday, 13 June 2018: 9:00 AM
Meeting Room 19-20 (Renaissance Oklahoma City Convention Center Hotel)
Strong winds may be biased in atmospheric models. Here the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) coupled wave–atmosphere model is used (i) to evaluate strong winds against observations, and (ii) to test how alternative wind stress parametrizations could lead to a more accurate model. For the period of storms Kaat and Lilli (23–27 January 2014), we compared simulated winds with in situ – moored buoys and platforms – and satellite observations available from the North Atlantic. Five wind stress parametrizations were evaluated. The first result is that moderate simulated winds (5–20 m s −1 ) match with all observations. However, for strong winds (above 20 m s −1 ), mean differences appear, as much as −7 m s −1 at 30 m s −1 . Significant differences also exist between observations, with buoys and Advanced Scatterometer ASCAT-KNMI generally showing lower wind speeds than the platforms and other remote-sensing data used in this study (AMSR2, ASCAT-RSS, WindSat, SMOS and JASON-2). Buoy and ASCAT-KNMI winds are likely to underestimate the real wind speed. It is difficult to conclude which dataset should be used as a reference. The second result is that common wave-age dependent parametrizations produce unrealistic drags and are not appropriate for coupling, whereas a newly empirically adjusted Charnock parametrization leads to higher winds compared to the default ECMWF parametrization. This proposed new parametrization may lead to more accurate results in an operational context.
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