Another area where shear is important is as an indication of wind-farm effects on atmospheric flow. Current thinking is that as turbine arrays in wind farms extract momentum, they enhance turbulence and reduce shear as the flow passes over the wind farm. Here we use wind profile data from two Doppler lidars, one located upstream of several operating wind farms, and the other downstream, to evaluated changes in the mean wind profile and shear. Wind data were taken as part of the Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP-2), an 18-month field-deployment and NWP-modeling study in the Columbia River Basin of Oregon-Washington, undertaken to improve quantitative predictions of wind properties, such as speed, direction, and turbulence, for wind-energy applications. Detailed, precise measurements of the wind profile were available at 15-min intervals from Doppler lidars at two locations separated by 40 km, as part of a comprehensive deployment of remote-sensing and in-situ instrumentation. Turbine rotor-level wind flow in this region is predominantly terrain constrained and from the west, especially during non-winter months.
Monthly and seasonally averaged wind-speed profiles showed a reduction in wind speed and shear for westerly-component flow at the downwind site vs. the upwind profile as expected. However, the wind farms were located southwest (SW) of the downwind lidar, but not in an unimpeded corridor to the northwest (NW), so we further analyzed the profile data by considering SW and NW flows separately. The result was that the mean downwind profiles calculated from the SW sample exhibited stronger flow and shear than the upwind profiles, opposite to expectation. The expected profile behavior was shown only in the unhindered NW-sample profiles. The lesson is that trying to infer effects such as wind-farm impacts from two (one upstream, one downstream) measurement sites in complex terrain is complicated, and the profile differences must be interpreted with much caution. In this case, differences in profiles due to topography were stronger than differences due to wind farms, so that the wind farm effects were masked by the topographic effects. We also validate the ability of the operational HRRR model to predict shear. Low-shear values during the day were reasonably well predicted, but the larger nighttime values were significantly underpredicted.