Session 13B Numerical Weather Prediction: Model Verification

Thursday, 14 October 2010: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
Grand Mesa Ballroom D (Hyatt Regency Tech Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Severe Local Storms
Chair:
Louis J. Wicker, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

Papers:
8:30 AM
13B.1
An Overview of the Objective Evaluation Performed During the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) 2010 Spring Experimen
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and M. Harrold, B. G. Brown, S. J. Weiss, P. T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. J. Clark, K. W. Thomas, J. S. Kain, R. S. Schneider, D. R. Novak, F. E. Barthold, J. J. Levit, and M. C. Coniglio
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (793.2 kB)

8:45 AM
13B.2
A Report and Feature-based Verification Study of the CAPS 2008 Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasts for Severe Convective Weather
Amy R. Harless, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, R. S. Schneider, M. Xue, and F. Kong

Presentation PDF (910.8 kB)

9:00 AM
13B.3
Evaluation of the performance and distribution of hourly maximum fields from storm-scale ensemble forecasts
Israel L. Jirak, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, C. J. Melick, P. T. Marsh, J. S. Kain, A. J. Clark, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K. W. Thomas
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (519.3 kB)

9:15 AM
13B.4
When can high-resolution NWP model forecasts be trusted? Using error characteristics of the initial conditions to evaluate the likelihood of accurate forecasts
Craig S. Schwartz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Weisman and W. Wang
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
13B.5
An environmental climatology of the CAPS Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast system during the 2010 HWT Spring Experiment
Christopher J. Melick, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak, S. J. Weiss, A. J. Clark, P. T. Marsh, J. S. Kain, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K. W. Thomas
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

9:45 AM
13B.6
Using traditional and spatial verification methods to evaluate real-time model forecasts of convection
Derek R. Stratman, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. C. Coniglio and M. Xue
Recorded Presentation

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