Session 14 Forecasting Techniques and Warning Decision Making: Short-Range Forecasting II

Thursday, 14 October 2010: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Grand Mesa Ballroom F (Hyatt Regency Tech Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Severe Local Storms
Michael C. Coniglio, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

10:30 AM
11:00 AM
Assessing the utility of several analysis schemes for diagnosing precursor signals for convective initiation and non-supercell tornadogenesis along boundaries
Edward J. Szoke, CIRA/Colorado State Univ. and NOAA/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. Albers, Y. Xie, L. S. Wharton, R. Glancy, E. Thaler, D. Barjenbruch, B. Meier, and Z. Toth
11:15 AM
Using convection-allowing models to produce forecast guidance for severe thunderstorm hazards via a “surrogate severe” approach
Ryan Sobash, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, A. R. Dean, D. R. Bright, and S. J. Weiss
11:30 AM
Investigating a fundamental component of a Warn-on-Forecast system in a collaborative real-time experiment
Patrick T. Marsh, NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS/SoM, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, I. L. Jirak, R. Sobash, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, and M. Xue
11:45 AM
Forecasting Supercell Storms: Application of Operational Tools and Cutting-Edge Numerical Model Guidance in VORTEX2
Keith A. Brewster, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. G. LaDue, M. C. Coniglio, M. P. Foster, T. P. Marshall, and G. S. Garfield
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