Session 10C |
| | Tropical Cyclone Prediction and Predictability III: Operational Models |
| | Chair: Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL
|
| 10:15 AM | 10C.1 | Recent Progress in Hurricane Track and Intensity Forecasting with NCEP's Models. Part I.
Stephen Lord, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, Q. Liu, H. L. Pan, R. Tuleya, M. Bender, T. Marchok, I. Ginis, A. Falkovich, and W. Shen |
| 10:30 AM | 10C.2 | Recent Progress in Hurricane Track and Intensity Forecasting with NCEP's Models. Part II.
Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Q. Liu, H. L. Pan, R. Tuleya, M. Bender, T. Marchok, and W. Shen |
| 10:45 AM | 10C.3 | A Summary of Ugrades to the Operational GFDL Hurricane Model for 2003  
Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. Marchok, I. Ginis, B. Thomas, R. E. Tuleya, and H. L. Pan |
| 11:00 AM | 10C.4 | An examination of hurricane Debby (2000) with the 2000 and 2003 versions of the GFDL hurricane prediction system
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb and M. A. Bender |
| 11:15 AM | 10C.5 | Recent Improvements to Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast
Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin |
| 11:30 AM | 10C.6 | An analysis of operational numerical weather forecasting errors for the landfall of Hurricane Juan (2003)
John R. Gyakum, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and R. J. McTaggart-Cowan |