In order to incorporate the feedback between the PV anomalies, the vortex and convection, a model that includes moist physics is required. Shapiro (2000) used a three-layer numerical including a convergence-based convective parameterization scheme to understand the role of cumulus convection and the atmospheric boundary layer in the interactions between asymmetric PV anomalies and a hurricane vortex. This study showed that convection plays an important role in determining how a hurricane responds to the anomalies in its environment. It was shown that the interactions between the asymmetries and the symmetric hurricane vortex at early times depend on realistic features of the model hurricane. The response is constrained to the extent that moving the PV anomaly radially inward or outward has no qualitative effect on the results. The longer-term evolution of the vortex is more problematic, and may depend on the convective parameterization use . The three-layer model is limited in the realism of its representation of convection.
In the present study the NCAR/Pennsylvania State full-physics nonhydrostatic multi-level numerical model (MM5) is used to evaluate and extend the results from the simpler three-layer model in a more realistic setting. The impact of asymmetric convective heating and PV generation on a symmetric hurricane vortex is investigated. The impact of diabatically-generated asymmetries (individual azimuthal-wavenumber disturbances, or blobs) on hurricane intensification, and the dependence of the hurricane's response on the duration, location, amplitude, radial and vertical structure of the convective anomalies will be evaluated. The conditions under which multiple convective pulses are effective in intensifying the vortex will be established. Preliminary results indicate that the early evolution of the hurricane vortex in the presence of the asymmetric heating may be similar to that with imposed PV asymmetries in the three-layer model. The physical mechanism responsible for the results will be established using budgets of azimuthally-averaged tangential momentum and asymmetric vorticity. The longer-term evolution of the vortex will also be investigated. Results from the analysis will be presented as available.
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