26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Sun 2 May

Conference Registration

Mon 3 May

Conference Registration continues Through Friday May 7

1A

CBLAST I

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Peter Black, NOAA/AOML

Papers:

8:30 AM

1A.1

An overview of CBLAST flights into Hurricanes Fabian and Isabel (2003)

Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (989.9 kB)

8:45 AM

1A.2

Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Modeling Experiments In Hurricanes Fabian and Isabel (2003)

Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. E. Tenerelli, W. Zhao, and M. A. Donelan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (233.7 kB)

9:00 AM

1A.3

3-D atmospheric boundary layer wind fields from hurricanes Fabian and Isabel

Daniel Esteban Fernandez, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and S. Frasier, J. Carswell, P. Chang, P. G. Black, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (359.0 kB)

9:15 AM

1A.4

A web application for near real time distribution of tropical cyclone heat potential estimates

Joaquin A. Trinanes, Univ. of Miami/CIMAS, Miami, FL; and G. J. Goni

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (164.0 kB)

9:30 AM

1A.5

Testing global estimates of the tropical cyclone heat potential fields to improve hurricane intensification prediction

Gustavo J. Goni, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria, J. A. Trinanes, and P. G. Black

Poster PDF (163.1 kB)

9:45 AM

1A.6

Turbulent flux measurements within a hurricane boundary layer from an instrumented aircraft

Jeffrey R. French, NOAA/ARL, Idaho Falls, ID; and P. G. Black

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (702.0 kB)

10:00 AM

1A.7

Measurements of humidity fluxes in Hurricanes Fabian and Isabel with a modified

William M. Drennan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. A. McCormick and P. Black

1B

CONVECTION, waves, and precipitation I

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Walter A. Petersen, University of Alabama

Papers:

8:30 AM

1B.1

The generation of intense convection over West Africa during the summer monsoon season.

Dan C. Collins, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster

8:45 AM

1B.2

Mesoscale convective systems over sub-Saharan Africa and the tropical east Atlantic

Courtney Schumacher, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and R. A. Houze Jr.

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (138.3 kB)

9:00 AM

1B.3

Two synoptic case studies of tropical squall lines in the Soudanian climate zone of West Africa

Jon M. Schrage, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (324.5 kB)

9:15 AM

1B.4

The Significance of African Easterly Waves on Convection

Ademe Mekonnen, North Carolina A & T State University, New York, NC

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ademe/AEW.html

Poster PDF (916.8 kB)

9:30 AM

1B.5

Case study of an intense African easterly wave

Gareth J. Berry, Monash University, Melbourne., Victoria, Australia

Poster PDF (330.1 kB)

9:45 AM

1B.6

Three dimensional structure of easterly wave disturbances over Africa and the tropical North Atlantic

George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and C. D. Thorncroft

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

10:00 AM

1B.7

Origin and propagation of a disturbance associated with an Africa Easterly wave as precursors of Hurricane Alberto (2000)

Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and K. E. Robertson and C. M. Hill

Poster PDF (342.2 kB)

1C

Tropical Cyclogenesis I

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Mark Lander, University of Guam

Papers:

8:30 AM

1C.1

Tropical Cyclone formation mechanisms in the BMRC Tropical Cyclone Limited Area Prediction System (TC-LAPS)

Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and M. T. Montgomery and N. E. Davidson

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (142.1 kB)

8:45 AM

1C.2

Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Formation in the Western North Pacific Using Operational Global Models

Caroline A. Bower, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr and R. L. Elsberry

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (66.2 kB)

9:00 AM

1C.3

Predictability of tropical cyclogenesis in JMA ensemble prediction system

Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and M. Kyouda and M. Yamaguchi

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (451.1 kB)

9:13 AM

1C.4

1C.4 has been moved to Poster Session P1, New Poster Number P1.92

9:14 AM

1C.5

1C.5 has been moved to Poster Session P1, New Poster Number P1.93

9:15 AM

1C.6

A mesoscale modeling study of the formation of an African disturbance preceding tropical cyclogenesis

Christopher M. Hill, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and Y. L. Lin

Poster PDF (112.4 kB)

9:30 AM

1C.7

Tropical transition: Tropical cyclone formation from extratropical disturbances

Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. F. Bosart

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (173.7 kB)

Coffee Break

2A

CBLAST II

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Nick Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

Papers:

10:45 AM

2A.1

Surface fluxes at high wind speeds deduced from dense dropwindsonde deployments in Hurricanes Fabian and Isabel

William D. Ramstrom, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

2A.2

Air-sea momentum flux at high winds

Tetsu Hara, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and S. E. Belcher, I. Ginis, and I. J. Moon

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (116.3 kB)

11:15 AM

2A.3

Surface gravity wave measurements in Hurricanes Fabian (2003) and Humberto (2001)

Edward J. Walsh, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and C. W. Wright, D. C. Vandemark, S. E. Feuer, P. Black, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

2A.4

Effect of ocean waves on air-sea momentum fluxes and hurricane intensity

Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. J. Moon, B. Thomas, and T. Hara

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (198.9 kB)

11:45 AM

2A.5

In-situ Measurements of the Air-Sea Interface During Hurricane Fabian

Eric J. Terrill, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla,, CA; and W. K. Melville

Recorded presentation

2B

Convection, waves, and precipitation II

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: George Kiladis, NOAA/AL

Papers:

10:45 AM

2B.1

Mean State and Wave Disturbances During Phases I, II, and III of GATE Based on ERA-40

Andreas H. Fink, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and D. G. Vincent, P. M. Reiner, and P. Speth

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (127.0 kB)

11:00 AM

2B.2

African dry-air outbreaks

Jeremy T. Pennington, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

2B.3

Origins of African dry-air outbreaks

Phoebe Anne Woodworth, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

2B.4

The interaction of Afrcian dust and dry-air outbreaks

Xiaoyu Liu, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, miami, FL

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

2B.5

Analysis of the African Easterly Jet using aircraft observations from the JET2000 experiment

Douglas J. Parker, School of the Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom; and C. D. Thorncroft, R. R. Burton, and A. Diongue

Recorded presentation

12:00 PM

2B.6

Observations of African easterly waves and MCSs during the JET2000 campaign in August 2000

Chris Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. J. Parker, G. J. Berry, and R. R. Burton

2C

Tropical Cyclogenesis II

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Miles B. Lawrence, TPC

Papers:

10:45 AM

2C.1

The effects of vertical wind shear on the formation of Hurricane Gabrielle (2001)

Kate Musgrave, UCAR/SOARS and Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. A. Davis and M. T. Montgomery

Poster PDF (187.6 kB)

11:00 AM

2C.2

Relationships between tropical waves and cyclogenesis

William M. Frank, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and P. E. Roundy

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (242.1 kB)

11:15 AM

2C.3

Paradigms of tropical cyclogenesis in the Western Pacific

John E. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro, K. Lombardo, and C. Schreck

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (100.9 kB)

11:30 AM

2C.4

Characteristic Fields associated with Tropical Cyclone Formations

Kevin K. W. Cheung, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (130.0 kB)

11:44 AM

2C.5

Paper 2C.5 has been moved to Poster Session P1, New Poster Number P1.90

11:45 AM

2C.6

A New Product for Estimating the Probability of Tropical Cyclone Formation

Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO; and C. W. Anderson, J. A. Knaff, and B. H. Connell

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (48.3 kB)

12:00 PM

2C.5a

Analysis of Operational Model Forecast Trends in Extratropical Transition Storm Structure

Jenni L. Evans, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. M. Arnott

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (120.2 kB)

Lunch Break

3A

CBLAST III

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

Papers:

1:30 PM

3A.1

Breaking waves in hurricanes Isabel & Fabian

J.M. Kleiss, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and W. K. Melville, J. R. Lasswell, P. Matusov, and E. Terrill

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

3A.2

Impacts of breaking waves and Langmuir circulations on the ocean mixed layer in high winds

Peter P. Sullivan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. C. McWilliams and W. K. Melville

Poster PDF (64.3 kB)

2:00 PM

3A.3

Sea spray droplet measurements in hurricanes Fabian and Isabel

C. W. Fairall, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. E. Hare and A. A. Grachev

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (85.5 kB)

2:15 PM

3A.4

Impact of Sea Spray Parameterization on Hurricane Development in COAMPS

Shouping Wang, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin and C. S. Liou

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

3A.5

Effects of sea spray in large-eddy simulation of the hurricane boundary layer

Mark Kelly, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. C. Wyngaard and W. Frank

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (38.1 kB)

3B

Monsoon I

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Chris Thorncroft, SUNY

Papers:

1:30 PM

3B.1

Tropical-extratropical interactions causing precipitation in Northwest and West Africa: Part I: Synoptic evolution and climatological relevance

Michael Christoph, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and A. H. Fink and P. Knippertz

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (145.2 kB)

1:45 PM

3B.2

Tropical-extratropical interactions causing precipitation in Northwest and West Africa: Part II: Dynamics

Peter Knippertz, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and A. H. Fink and J. E. Martin

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (235.6 kB)

3B.3

The simulation of the seasonal cycle of the West African monsoon in a AGCM

2:15 PM

3B.4

The intra-seasonal variability of convection in the West African monsoon

Flore Mounier, Laboratoire de M�t�orologie Dynamique, Palaiseau, France; and S. Janicot

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (439.2 kB)

2:30 PM

3B.5

The influence of the land surface on the dynamics of the West African Monsoon.

R J Ellis, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and D. J. Parker and C. M. Taylor

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

3B.6

Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall on interannual to interdecadal time scales

Alessandra Giannini, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction/Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and R. Saravanan and P. Chang

Recorded presentation

3:00 PM

3B.7

An Idealized Approach of the West African Monsoon

Philippe Peyrill�, CNRM, M�t�o-France, and CNRS, Toulouse, France; and C. Piriou, J. P. Lafore, and J. L. Redelsperger

http://

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (197.3 kB)

3:15 PM

3B.3a

Experiments on Intraseasonal Prediction Using the NCEP Global Forecast System Coupled to the MOM3 Ocean Model

Stephen J. Lord, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang, S. Saha, and H. L. Pan

Recorded presentation

3C

Tropical Cyclogenesis III

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Tropical Prediction Center, Miami, Florida

Papers:

1:30 PM

3C.1

Prediction of African easterly waves by The FSU Superensemble

Robert S. Ross, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (132.7 kB)

1:45 PM

3C.2

Gathering in-situ data using aircraft reconnaissance to investigate incipient tropical cyclogenesis

Richard G. Henning, 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron, Keesler AFB, MS

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (303.5 kB)

2:00 PM

3C.3

The Madden-Julian Oscillation and tropical cyclogenesis in the Gulf of Mexico

Anantha R. Aiyyer, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. E. Molinari

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (174.0 kB)

2:15 PM

3C.4

Surface evidence of tropical cyclogenesis

Mark A. Bourassa, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. Cunningham and P. D. Reasor

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

3C.5

GCM simulation of the dynamics of a precursor to Hurricane Alberto over West Africa

Michelle Ann Felton, University of Leeds, UK, Leeds, United Kingdom; and D. J. Parker and C. M. Taylor

3C.6

Characteristics on the mesoscale convective systems organized in the process of typhoon formation over the western north Pacific

3:00 PM

3C.7

A statistical model for forecasting tropical cyclogenesis over the Atlantic Basin

Christopher C. Hennon, UCAR Visiting Scientist Program, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (77.2 kB)

3D

Tropical cyclone observations and structure I

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Roger T. Edson, Anteon Corp., Univ. of Guam

Papers:

1:30 PM

3D.1

Toward a correction for precipitation scattering effects in satellite-based passive microwave tropical cyclone intensity estimation

Robert S. Wacker, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden and G. W. Petty

Poster PDF (43.8 kB)

1:45 PM

3D.2

The NRL tropical cyclone R&D web page upgrades

Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and T. F. Lee, F. J. Turk, K. L. Richardson, C. R. Sampson, and J. E. Kent

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (23.5 kB)

2:00 PM

3D.3

Satellite-based center-fixing of tropical cyclones: new automated approaches

Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (184.7 kB)

2:15 PM

3D.4

Public release of a tropical cyclone microwave scatterometer and radiometer data archive

Deborah K. Smith, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and M. Brewer and F. J. Wentz

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (344.7 kB)

2:30 PM

3D.5

Dvorak tropical cyclone wind speed biases determined from reconnaissance-based "Best Track" data (1997�2003)

Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and J. L. Franklin

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (100.4 kB)

3D.6

Characterization of hurricane structure using unsupervised classification of passive microwave observations and comparison with cloud resolving simulations

Coffee Break

4A

Tropical Cyclones and Vertical Shear

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/TPC/NHC

Papers:

3:45 PM

4A.1

Tropical cyclones in complex vertical shears

Elizabeth A. Ritchie, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM

Poster PDF (110.8 kB)

4:00 PM

4A.2

The structure and evolution of a hurricane in vertical wind shear: Hurricane Elena (1985)

Kristen L. Corbosiero, SUNY, Albany, NY

Poster PDF (285.9 kB)

4:15 PM

4A.3

Asymmetric eyewall vertical motion in a high-resolution simulation of Hurricane Bonnie (1998)

Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. T. Montgomery and Z. Pu

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (477.4 kB)

4:30 PM

4A.4

The mean structure of vertical velocities and radar reflectivities in the hurricane eyewall as they relate to environmental wind shear

Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and F. D. Marks Jr., R. F. Rogers, L. K. Shay, B. A. Albrecht, and H. E. Willoughby

http://

Poster PDF (472.6 kB)

4:45 PM

4A.5

The comparative effects of frictional convergence and vertical wind shear on the asymmetries of a hurricane

Hongyan Zhu, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. K. Smith

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (45.4 kB)

5:00 PM

4A.6

Idealised modelling of tropical cyclones in vertical shear: the role of saturated ascent in the inner core

Richard Patra, University of Munich, Munich, Germany

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (154.2 kB)

5:15 PM

4A.7

How Much Vertical Shear Can A Well-Developed Tropical Cyclone Resist?

Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. T. Montgomery and B. Wang

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (196.8 kB)

4B

Monsoon II

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Song Yang, George Mason University

Papers:

3:45 PM

4B.1

Radiation budget data sets for monsoon studies

G. Louis Smith, LaRC, Hampton, VA

Poster PDF (18.3 kB)

4:00 PM

4B.2

Recent PACS-SONET observations of relevance to North American Monsoon Experiment

Michael Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Murillo and J. F. Mejia

http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/pacs

Poster PDF (711.2 kB)

4:15 PM

4B.3

Extratropical-tropical interaction during onset of the Australian monsoon

Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and K. J. Tory and M. J. Reeder

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (444.5 kB)

4:30 PM

4B.4

Numerical investigation of the 2002 monsoon onset

Maria K. Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. May and J. Cummings

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (28.6 kB)

4:45 PM

4B.5

Relationship between the Tibetan Plateau heating and East Asian summer monsoon rainfall

Huang-Hsiung Hsu, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and X. Liu

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

4B.6

Lag of the atmosphere-land system in the seasonal cycle of monsoons

Brian E. Mapes, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. Liu

Recorded presentation

4C

tropical cyclogenesis IV

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Greg Holland, Aerosonde North America Inc

Papers:

4C.1

The potential vorticity structure of African easterly waves

4:00 PM

4C.2

The Effects of asymmetric Momentum on the Genesis of Tropical Cyclone

Yamei Xu, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; and R. Wu

Poster PDF (47.3 kB)

4:15 PM

4C.3

Long-term Behavior of the Rotunno-Emanuel Tropical Cyclone Model

Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Chen

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (93.3 kB)

4:30 PM

4C.4

Observational Analysis and Numerical Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Energy Dispersion and Associated Cyclogenesis in the Western North Pacific

Tim Li, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Fu, X. Ge, B. Wang, Y. Zhu, and Y. Wang

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

4C.5

Influence of equatorial Rossby waves on tropical cyclogenesis in the Western Pacific

Kelly Lombardo, SUNY, Albany, NY

Poster PDF (50.8 kB)

5:00 PM

4C.6

A closer look at vortical hot towers in a tropical cyclogenesis environment

Andrea B. Saunders, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (88.7 kB)

4D

tropical cyclone observations and structure II

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Edward Rappaport, NOAA/NHC

Papers:

3:45 PM

4D.1

Upgrades to the UW-CIMSS AMSU-based tropical cyclone intensity estimation algorithm

Derrick C. Herndon, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden, K. Brueske, R. Wacker, and B. Kabat

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (44.1 kB)

4:00 PM

4D.2

Tropical Cyclone Wind Retrievals from the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU): Application to Surface Wind Analysis

Kotaro Bessho, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and M. DeMaria, J. A. Knaff, and J. L. Demuth

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

4D.3

The Double Eyewall and Cycloid-like Track in the Typhoon Dujuan (2003)

4:30 PM

4D.4

Separation of hurricane and environmental winds via single-Doppler radar volumetric data analysis: Results from Hurricanes Bret (1999)

Paul R. Harasti, UCAR Visiting Scientist Program, NRL, Monterey, CA

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (779.5 kB)

4:45 PM

4D.5

Multiple eyewall structure of Hurricane Juliette 2001

Brian D. McNoldy, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. D. Eastin, C. M. Rozoff, and W. H. Schubert

http://einstein.atmos.colostate.edu/~mcnoldy/tropics/juliette/269/

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (763.6 kB)

5:00 PM

4D.6

Mesovortices in Hurricane Isabel (2003): A comparison of satellite, radar, and photographic observations

Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. P. Dunion, J. P. Kossin, W. H. Schubert, C. S. Velden, P. G. Black, R. Zehr, and S. D. Aberson

Poster PDF (423.0 kB)

Ice Breaker Reception

Tue 4 May

5A

Tropical cyclone Rainfall I

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Stacy R. Stewart, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC

Papers:

8:00 AM

5A.1

Temporal and spatial variations of precipitation of landfall typhoons in the Taiwan area

Ben Jong-Dao Jou, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (58.3 kB)

8:15 AM

5A.2

A Climatological Model for Forecasting Typhoon Rainfall in Taiwan

Cheng-shang Lee, National Taiwan University and National S&T Center for Disaster Reduction, Taipei, Taiwan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (40.6 kB)

8:30 AM

5A.3

Precipitation processes associated with the landfalling Typhoon Nari (2001)

Ming-Jen Yang, National Central University, Chung-Li, Taiwan; and H. L. Huang

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (123.9 kB)

5A.4

An Introduction to the Short-Range Forecast System for Typhoon Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts in Taiwan Area

9:00 AM

5A.5

The radar rainfall estimate for torrential rain during Typhoon Nair (2001)

Pay-Liam Lin, National Central University, Chung-Li, Taiwan; and T. C. Wang, W. Y. Chang, and H. H. Lin

http://

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (218.0 kB)

9:15 AM

5A.6

The precipitation mechanisms of typhoon Nari(2001) revealed by radar observation

Tai-Chi Chen Wang, National Central Univ., Chung-Li, Taiwan; and P. L. Lin, W. Y. Chang, K. S. Chung, S. H. Lin, and J. H. Teng

http://

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (203.8 kB)

9:30 AM

5A.7

Gauging tropical rainfall potential with a blended satellite technique

F. Joseph Turk, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Hawkins

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (79.6 kB)

5B

CONVECTION, waves, and precipitation III

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Christopher S. Bretherton, University of Washington

Papers:

8:00 AM

5B.1

Variability of convective structure and lightning activity in tropical easterly waves

Walter A. Petersen, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Boccippio

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (251.5 kB)

8:15 AM

5B.2

Convective variability across the east Pacific: A comparison of precipitation structure in the TEPPS and EPIC domains

Robert Cifelli, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. Nesbitt, S. A. Rutledge, W. A. Petersen, and S. Yuter

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (137.0 kB)

8:30 AM

5B.3

The tropical vertical structure of clouds and precipitation as observed by radar

Paquita Zuidema, CIRES/NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. Lin and C. Fairall

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

5B.4

A study on variations of deep-rain properties with the sea surface temperature over the tropics utilizing TRMM PR2a25 and TMI data

Yukari N. Takayabu, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (72.4 kB)

9:00 AM

5B.5

Influences of dynamics on convection at the tropical Pacific ARM sites

James H. Mather, PNNL, Richland, WA

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (45.2 kB)

9:15 AM

5B.6

Characteristics of oceanic tropical convection at Kwajalein

Jasmine Cetrone, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr.

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (60.1 kB)

5C

Tropical Cyclone Prediction and Predictability I: Track

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: James M. Gross, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC

Papers:

8:00 AM

5C.1

Estimation of Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Uncertainty

James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (19.7 kB)

8:15 AM

5C.2

Testing of a Revised Model Track Prediction Evaluation Expert System

Mark A. Boothe, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry and D. P. Roberts

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (38.6 kB)

8:30 AM

5C.3

Tropical cyclone forecasting using climatology and NWP output

Bradford S. Barrett, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

5C.4

Statistical-Dynamical guidance for tropical storm track forecasting

Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and N. A. Samra

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (31.0 kB)

8:59 AM

5C.5

Paper 5C.5 has been moved to Poster Session P1, New Poster Number P1.91

9:00 AM

5C.6

Tropical cyclone ensemble forecast product development and verification at the Met Office

Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and S. Robinson, C. Woolcock, and K. Mylne

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (55.6 kB)

9:15 AM

5C.7

Evaluation of a Kilo-Member Ensemble for Track Forecasting

Jonathan Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ensembles/index.htm

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (420.7 kB)

5D

tropical cyclone observations and structure III

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Matthew D. Eastin, Colorado State University

Papers:

8:00 AM

5D.1

Thermodynamic structure of tropical cyclones from aircraft reconnaissance

Kay L. Shelton, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

Poster PDF (38.3 kB)

5D.2

Observational case studies with the Aerosonde robotic aircraft

8:30 AM

5D.3

Line Vortex Modelling of the Vortex Characteristics of Hurricane Juan During Approach to Nova Scotia Landfall, Using Wind Data Gathered Inflight

Anthony Peter Brown, National Research Council, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and M. Wolde

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

5D.4

Automatic Doppler analysis of three-dimensional wind fields in hurricane eyewalls

John F. Gamache, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. S. Griffin, Jr., P. P. Dodge, and N. F. Griffin

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (194.0 kB)

9:00 AM

5D.5

Aircraft data from rapidly-moving Hurricane Juan south of Nova Scotia

Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Centre, Dartmouth, NS, Canada

http://www.novaweather.net/Hurricane_Juan.html

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (157.3 kB)

9:15 AM

5D.6

A record wind measurement in Hurricane Isabel: Direct evidence of an eyewall mesocyclone?

Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. L. Black, M. T. Montgomery, and M. Bell

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)

9:30 AM

5D.7

Development of a wind radii CLIPER model

Colin J. McAdie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (75.6 kB)

Coffee Break

6A

tropical cyclone rainfall II

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina

Papers:

10:15 AM

6A.1

Classification of tropical oceanic precipitation using high altitude aircraft microwave and electric field measurements

Robbie E. Hood, NOAA Unmanned Aircraft Systems Program, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Cecil, F. J. LaFontaine, R. Blakeslee, D. Mach, G. M. Heymsfield, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (176.4 kB)

10:30 AM

6A.2

Intercomparison of polarimetric radar, profiler and disdrometer observations of tropical precipitation during CAMEX-4/KAMP

Justin T. Walters, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. Kim, K. R. Knupp, C. R. Williams, E. N. Anagnostou, and A. Tokay

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (26.1 kB)

6A.3

Precipitation performance of the WRF mesoscale Eulerian mass model during Tropical Storm Henri

11:00 AM

6A.4

Evaulation of rainfall forecasts from the operational GFDL hurricane model

Robert Tuleya, SAIC/NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Norfolk, VA; and M. DeMaria and R. J. Kuligowski

Poster PDF (25.5 kB)

11:15 AM

6A.5

A comparison of GFDL, GFS and Eta model rainfall forecasts for U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones for 1998�2003

Timothy Marchok, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. Tuleya and R. Rogers

Recorded presentation

6A.6

Understanding rainfall asymmetries in tropical cyclones

6B

Convection, waves, and precipitation IV

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: B. E. Mapes, CIRES

Papers:

10:15 AM

6B.1

Tropical convection and surface wind convergence using spacebased data

W. Timothy Liu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Xie

http://

10:30 AM

6B.2

Small-scale variability of rainfall in the tropical and sub-tropical regions

A. K. Varma, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and G. Liu

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (108.8 kB)

10:45 AM

6B.3

Convective and Stratiform Rain Variations from TRMM Observations

Song Yang, George Mason University, greenbelt, MD; and K. -. S. Kuo and D. Sidla

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

6B.4

Spectral retrieval of latent heating profiles from TRMM PR data: Comparison of look-up tables

Shoichi Shige, Japan Exploration Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, W. K. Tao, D. E. Johnson, and C. L. Shie

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (280.0 kB)

11:15 AM

6B.5

Latent heating retrieval from TRMM observations using a simplified thermodynamic model

Mircea Grecu, University of Maryland, Baltimore County and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. S. Olson

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (55.6 kB)

11:30 AM

6B.6

Evaluation of satellite-based latent heating profile estimation methods

William S. Olson, JCET/University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and M. Grecu, S. Yang, and W. K. Tao

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (303.8 kB)

6C

Tropical Cyclone Prediction and Predictability II: Track and Intensity

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: James S. Goerss, NRL

Papers:

10:15 AM

6C.1

Dropsonde observations for typhoon surveillance near the Taiwan region (DOTSTAR): An overview

Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and P. H. Lin, T. C. Yeh, and S. D. Aberson

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (200.4 kB)

10:29 AM

6C.2

Paper 6C.2 has been moved to Poster Session P1, New Paper Number P1.99

10:30 AM

6C.3

Targeting strategies to improve hurricane track forecasts

S. J. Majumdar, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. D. Aberson, B. J. Etherton, L. D. Holland, Z. Toth, and C. H. Bishop

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/~majumdar/tc/

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (103.2 kB)

10:45 AM

6C.4

Impact of high resolution water vapor measurements from airborne lidar on hurricane characterization and forecasting

Edward V. Browell, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and S. Ismail, R. A. Ferrare, R. Kamineni, T. N. Krishnamurti, and S. Pattnaik

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

6C.5

Reducing large tropical cyclone forecast errors using high-resolution satellite and radar data

Milton S. Speer, Bureau of Meteorology, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and L. M. Leslie, J. F. LeMarshall, and L. Qi

http://

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

6C.6

Probabilistic prediction of tropical-cyclone position and intensity

Harry C. Weber, University of Munich, Munich, Germany

6D

tropical cyclone observations and structure IV

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: J. F. Gamache, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:

10:15 AM

6D.1

Retrieval of hydrometeor profiles in tropical cyclones and convection by a combined radar-radiometer algorithm

Haiyan Jiang, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and E. J. Zipser

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (131.5 kB)

10:30 AM

6D.2

Observed vortex and thermodynamic structure of Hurricane Isabel at maximum intensity

Michael M. Bell, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins and NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. T. Montgomery, M. L. Black, and S. D. Aberson

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (154.8 kB)

10:45 AM

6D.3

Boundary Layer Wind Profiles in Hurricane Fabian

Mark P. Guishard, Penn State University, University Park, PA

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (298.2 kB)

11:00 AM

6D.4

Hurricane's evolution and latent heating profile structure

Corinne Burlaud, CETP, Velizy, France; and N. Viltard

http://

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (180.7 kB)

11:15 AM

6D.5

Atmospheric water vapor and tropical cyclone intensity changes

Derek Ortt, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and S. S. Chen

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (233.0 kB)

11:30 AM

6D.6

A Numerical Investigation of Slabular Convection and Moist Absolute Instability in Hurricane Isabel

Jeremy D. Ross, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and R. James, C. Hosler, J. M. Fritsch, and G. Bryan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (1.4 MB)

Lunch Break

7A

30 years of the Dvorak technique: Part I

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Christopher Velden, Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies

Papers:

1:30 PM

7A.1

The early days of the Dvorak Technique at the National Hurricane Center

Max Mayfield, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL

Poster PDF (478.4 kB)

1:45 PM

7A.2

Tropical cyclone intensity estimates using satellite data: the early years.

Frank H. Wells, NOAA/NWSFO, Barrigada, Guam

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (168.1 kB)

2:00 PM

7A.3

The longivity of the Dvorak TC intensity technique in the Pacific and Indian Ocean regions

Charles Guard, NOAA/NWSFO, Tiyan, Guam

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (102.7 kB)

2:15 PM

7A.4

The Dvorak technique through time

John L. Beven II, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (94.3 kB)

2:30 PM

7A.5

Monsoon depressions, monsoon gyres, midget tropical cyclones, TUTT cells, and high intensity after recurvature: Lessons learned from the use of Dvorak�s techniques in the world�s most prolific tropical-cyclone basin.

Mark A. Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (53.6 kB)

2:45 PM

7A.5a

Discussion

7B

intraseasonal variability I

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Harry H. Hendon, BMRC

Papers:

1:30 PM

7B.1

Influence of Indian Ocean dipole on atmospheric subseasonal variability

Toshiaki Shinoda, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and W. Han

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

7B.2

On the simulation of the intraseasonal variance of the south American summer Monsoon

Vasubandhu Misra, COLA, Calverton, MD

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

7B.3

Diagnosis and forecasting of the intraseasonal variability over the Indian Ocean and the West Tropical Pacific

Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

7B.4

The Study of Linear Relationship of Ganges-Brahmaputra River Discharge and Tropical SST

Jun Jian, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

7B.5

Tropical intraseasonal oscillations simulated in the U. Hawaii CGCM

Xiouhua Fu, IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

7B.6

Origin of monsoon intraseasonal oscillation

B. Wang, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and P. J. Webster and H. Teng

Recorded presentation

3:00 PM

7B.7

Theory for the formation of the summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillation in the western Indian Ocean

Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and B. Wang

Coffee Break

8A

30 years of the dvorak technique: Part II

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Christopher Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin

Papers:

3:45 PM

8A.1

Globalisation, calibration and opportunities for future enhancement of the Dvorak technique

Bruce A. Harper, Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Brisbane, Australia

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (92.0 kB)

4:00 PM

8A.2

Uses of microwave imagery as a supplement to the Dvorak technique, an integrated technique

Roger T. Edson, Anteon Corporation, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (178.5 kB)

4:15 PM

8A.3

The Objective Dvorak Technique�historical perspective

Raymond Zehr, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (30.0 kB)

4:30 PM

8A.4

The Advanced Objective Dvorak Technique (AODT)�Continuing the Journey

Timothy Olander, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (29.7 kB)

8B

Intraseasonal variability II

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: David J. Raymond, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico

Papers:

3:45 PM

8B.1

Climatological spatial and temporal features of the Madden-Julian oscillation

Wen-wen Tung, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (129.8 kB)

4:00 PM

8B.2

A comparison of the convective and heating structures in Kelvin waves and the Madden-Julian Oscillation

Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and G. N. Kiladis and P. T. Haertel

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

8B.3

A New Multi-Scale Model for the Tropical Intra-seasonal Oscillation

Andrew Majda, New York University, New York, NY; and J. Biello

4:30 PM

8B.4

Ocean-atmosphere interaction and intraseasonal oscillations in the modified NCAR CAM2.0.1 coupled to slab oceans of varying depths

Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and A. H. Sobel

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (499.1 kB)

8B.5

Suppressed phases in tropical intraseasonal variability: Modeling of preconditioning

5:00 PM

8B.6

Pursuing realistic intra-seasonal wave modes using a novel approach to convective parameterization

Richard B. Neale, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and B. E. Mapes

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (29.4 kB)

WED 5 MAY

9

Advances in hurricane forecasting and research during the past 50 years

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:

8:00 AM

9.1

A personal view of the progress in tropical meteorology over the last 50 years

William M. Gray, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Poster PDF (80.4 kB)

8:15 AM

9.2

50 Years of Progress in Tropical Cyclone Modeling

Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

9.3

The P-3 Era of Airborne Hurricane Research

Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Maimi, FL

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (118.6 kB)

8:45 AM

9.4

The G-IV Surveillance Era, Targeting, and Ensemble Forecasts (1997�Present)

Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Poster PDF (282.8 kB)

9:00 AM

9.900

Discussion

Coffee Break

10A

Tropical Cyclones and Climate

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC

Papers:

10:15 AM

10A.1

Verification of the OCSI Atlantic Hurricane Predictions Since 1985

Jill F. Hasling, Weather Research Center, Houston, TX; and J. C. Freeman

http://www.wxresearch.com/outlook/verification/ocsiver.htm

Poster PDF (60.0 kB)

10:30 AM

10A.2

Tropical cyclone activity and the global climate system

Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and D. S. Nolan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (154.0 kB)

10:45 AM

10A.3

Impact of CO₂-induced warming on simulated hurricane intensity and precipitation: sensitivity to the choice of climate model and convective parameterization

Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. E. Tuleya

http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/~tk/manuscripts/hurr_cmip.pdf

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (21.0 kB)

11:00 AM

10A.4

Climate Variability of Tropical Cyclone Activities in Western North Pacific Ocean

Ming Xu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and M. Ying and Q. Yang

Poster PDF (28.7 kB)

11:15 AM

10A.5

Global Warming and Tropical Cyclone Intensity from an Observational Perspective

Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and K. S. Liu

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (216.0 kB)

11:30 AM

10A.6

Florida hurricane decline linked to surface warming

James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. H. Jagger

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (193.5 kB)

11:45 AM

10A.7

Cluster analysis of western North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks

Suzana J. Camargo, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and A. W. Robertson, S. J. Gaffney, and P. Smyth

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (49.6 kB)

11B

interannual variablity II (Note new session start time from the original published program)

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State University

Papers:

10:15 AM

11B.1

Establishment of the low-level wind anomalies over the western North Pacific during ENSO development

Chia Chou, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (517.8 kB)

10:30 AM

11B.2

A consolidated CLIPER model for improved August-September ENSO prediction skill

Benjamin Lloyd-Hughes, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders and P. Rockett

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

11B.3

August�September ENSO prediction skill 1959�2001: a comparison between four state-of-the-art seasonal models

Adam S. Lea, Department of Space & Climate Physics, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders and B. Lloyd-Hughes

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (21.9 kB)

11:00 AM

11B.4

Interannual variability of tropical cyclone frequencies implied from an ensemble climate simulation with the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model

Junichi Tsutsui, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko, Japan; and H. Hatsushika and H. Kitabata

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (178.9 kB)

11:15 AM

11B.5

Interannual Variability of Storm Tracks over West Africa and their relationship with Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity

Susanna Hopsch, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (90.5 kB)

10C

Tropical Cyclone Prediction and Predictability III: Operational Models

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC

Papers:

10:15 AM

10C.1

Recent Progress in Hurricane Track and Intensity Forecasting with NCEP's Models. Part I.

Stephen Lord, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, Q. Liu, H. L. Pan, R. Tuleya, M. Bender, T. Marchok, I. Ginis, A. Falkovich, and W. Shen

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

10C.2

Recent Progress in Hurricane Track and Intensity Forecasting with NCEP's Models. Part II.

Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Q. Liu, H. L. Pan, R. Tuleya, M. Bender, T. Marchok, and W. Shen

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

10C.3

A Summary of Ugrades to the Operational GFDL Hurricane Model for 2003

Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. Marchok, I. Ginis, B. Thomas, R. E. Tuleya, and H. L. Pan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (265.1 kB)

11:00 AM

10C.4

An examination of hurricane Debby (2000) with the 2000 and 2003 versions of the GFDL hurricane prediction system

Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb and M. A. Bender

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (47.1 kB)

11:15 AM

10C.5

Recent Improvements to Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast

Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (149.7 kB)

11:30 AM

10C.6

An analysis of operational numerical weather forecasting errors for the landfall of Hurricane Juan (2003)

John R. Gyakum, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and R. J. McTaggart-Cowan

10D

tropical cyclone observations and structure V

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Paul R. Harasti, UCAR Visiting Scientist Program at NRL

Papers:

10D.1

Turbulence structure in Tropical Cyclones

10D.2

Tropical cyclone precursors: Structure and variability of African easterly waves

10:45 AM

10D.3

The formation of concentric vorticity structures in typhoons

H.-C. Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. P. Chang and R. T. Williams

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (190.2 kB)

11:00 AM

10D.4

The Dynamic Characteristics of Typhoon Vortex Spiral Wave and its Transportation: Diagnostic Analyses

Xiangde Xu, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, P. R. China, China; and S. Zhang, L. Chen, and F. Wei

Poster PDF (128.9 kB)

11:15 AM

10D.5

The climatology of hurricane wind profiles

Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and M. E. Rahn

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (229.9 kB)

11:30 AM

10D.6

Tropical cyclone near-core radial structure from aircraft observations: Implications for vortex resiliency

Kevin J. Mallen, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (197.8 kB)

Lunch Break

Poster Session 1

Posters

Location: Richelieu Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Papers:

P1.1

What are the Dominant Mode and Cause of the Interannual Variability of the Asian-Australian monsoon?

Bin Wang, IPRC University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and X. Fu and T. Li

P1.2

Verification of tropical cyclone genesis forecasts from the TPC's Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch (TAFB)

Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and R. Molleda and R. J. Pasch

Poster PDF (43.0 kB)

P1.3

Various applications on tropical convective systems using a cloud resolving model (CRM)

Chung-Lin Shie, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt and Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and W. K. Tao and J. Simpson

http://

Poster PDF (85.1 kB)

P1.4

Validation and improvement of moist physical processes in a GCM

Jui-Lin F. Li, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. Takacs, A. Hou, and W. S. Olson

http://

Poster PDF (293.6 kB)

P1.5

Utilizing a Local Data Assimilation and Prognostic System to Aid with the Timing, Placement, and Impact of Short-Range Tropical Weather Hazards

Justin J. Mosely, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Spratt

Poster PDF (142.5 kB)

P1.6

Tropical cyclones in the Australian region: modeling future climate

Lance M. Leslie, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and B. W. Buckley, M. Leplastrier, and M. S. Speer

P1.7

Tropical cyclone multiple eyewall characteristics

Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Helveston

Poster PDF (31.0 kB)

P1.8

Tropical cyclone analysis techniques from QuikSCAT NRCS, wind and ambiguity data and microwave imagery

Roger T. Edson, Anteon Corporation, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam

Poster PDF (719.2 kB)

P1.9

Toward an objective satellite-based algorithm to provide real-time estimates of TC intensity using integrated multispectral (IR and MW) observations

Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin, T. L. Olander, D. Herndon, A. J. Wimmers, R. Wacker, K. F. Brueske, B. W. Kabat, J. D. Hawkins, R. T. Edson, and M. DeMaria

Poster PDF (221.0 kB)

P1.10

Tornadic outbreaks associated with landfalling hurricanes in the Atlantic basin

Stephanie M. Nordin, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie and H. E. Brooks

P1.11

Three or four vortexes afectation to the Mexican Republic

Enrique Buend�a, Centro de Ciencias de la Atm�sfera, UNAM, M�xico, D. F., Mexico; and F. J. Villica�a and E. Azpra

P1.12

The sensitivity of modeled hurricanes to the distribution of vertical sigma levels

F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball

Poster PDF (442.1 kB)

P1.13

The role of intraseasonal wave activity in the onset and active-break phases of the Indian monsoon

George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Flatau and P. J. Flatau

Poster PDF (3.8 MB)

P1.14

The maintenance of a MCC across Northern Africa: A case study and analysis relating to moisture variables and fluxes

Katie E. Robertson, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and Y. -. L. Lin

Poster PDF (247.9 kB)

P1.15

The influence of wind-induced atmosphere-ocean exchange on summertime east Pacific intraseasonal oscillations in the modified NCAR CAM2.0.1

Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR

Poster PDF (525.2 kB)

P1.16

The effects of COADS and other historical accounts of tropical cyclones on the Atlantic Basin Hurricane Re-analysis Project for the years 1935 to 1939

David A. Glenn, Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS; and C. W. Landsea and J. C. Rodgers III

P1.17

The diurnal cycle of the West African monsoon in observations and numerical model analyses

Doug J. Parker, University of Leeds, UK, Leeds, United Kingdom

P1.18

The development of a new validation technique for tropical cyclone rainfall

Robert Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and F. D. Marks Jr., T. P. Marchok, and R. Tuleya

Poster PDF (252.0 kB)

P1.19

The Advanced Objective Dvorak Technique (AODT): Latest Upgrades and Future Directions

Timothy Olander, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden and J. P. Kossin

Poster PDF (95.3 kB)

P1.20

Subtropical jet disturbances as initiators of convection during BAMEX

Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and T. J. Galarneau Jr.

Poster PDF (1.6 MB)

P1.21

Studies on secondary eyewall formation

Wesley D. Terwey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Poster PDF (335.9 kB)

P1.22

Strong Updraft Feature Associated with Hurricane Earl During Landfall

Barry C. Roberts, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and K. R. Knupp

Poster PDF (754.0 kB)

P1.23

Statistical forecasting of Pacific and Indian Ocean tropical cyclone intensity using 19-, 37-, and 85- GHz brightness temperatures

Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and T. A. Jones, J. A. Knaff, and M. DeMaria

Poster PDF (76.9 kB)

P1.24

Simulations of Hurricane Isabel (2003) in the WRF, GFDL, and ZETAC models

David S. Nolan, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and M. A. Bender, T. P. Marchok, S. T. Garner, and C. L. Kerr

Poster PDF (90.3 kB)

P1.25

Severe Thunderstorms over northeastern Queensland on 19 January 2001

Seoleun Shin, Meteorological Institute, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. K. Smith and J. Callaghan

Poster PDF (282.2 kB)

P1.26

Sensitivity of the Structure of Hurricane to Spatial Resolution and the Impacts on the Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPFs)

Henian Zhang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar

Poster PDF (145.2 kB)

P1.27

Seasonal to decadal variability of vertical shear over the tropical Atlantic

Anantha R. Aiyyer, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft

Poster PDF (189.9 kB)

P1.28

Seasonal Rainfall Variability within the West African Monsoon System

Robert F. Adler, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Gu

Poster PDF (30.0 kB)

P1.29

Sea Surface Temperature, Cloud-Radiative Forcing, and Tropical Convection

Changhai Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. W. Moncrieff

P1.30

Saharan Air Layer interaction with Hurricane Claudette (2003)

Gabriel S. Rothman, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. -. B. Chang and T. E. Gill

Poster PDF (428.2 kB)

P1.31

Roof Damage Issues in Hurricanes

Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Carrolloton, TX

Poster PDF (1013.6 kB)

P1.32

Roll vortices in the hurricane boundary layer

P1.33

Role of tropical cyclones in large-scale momentum, heat, and moisture budgets

Andrew S. Levine, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and K. P. Hamilton

Poster PDF (353.4 kB)

P1.34

Research on cyclones : M�t�o-France La R�union activities

S. Westrelin, M�t�o-France, La R�union, France; and D. Barbary, M. Bessafi, F. Chane-Ming, R. Lee-Ah-Siem, and J. M. Willemet

Poster PDF (115.3 kB)

P1.35

Relationships between windspeed and precipitation in the Pacific ITCZ

Larissa E. Back, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Poster PDF (83.4 kB)

P1.36

Re-examining tropical plumes and subtropical jet streaks

Peter Knippertz, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. R. Mecikalski

Poster PDF (100.0 kB)

P1.37

Re-Analysis of the September 18, 1936 and Great Atlantic Hurricane of September 14, 1944 in Virginia

Hugh D. Cobb III, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL

Poster PDF (80.5 kB)

P1.38

Radiative energy budget of African Monsoons: NASA CERES observations versus NOAA NCEP Reanalysis 2 data

Takmeng Wong, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and T. D. Bess

Poster PDF (261.2 kB)

P1.39

Numerical model validation of summer trade-wind conditions on Maui

Dana L. Carlis, NOAA and Howard University, Washington, DC; and Y. L. Chen and V. R. Morris

P1.40

Nonlinear shallow water model with weak temperature gradient approximation

Bo Zhou, Columbia University, New York, NY

P1.41

Nile Delta Storm :Tropical Cyclone Occurence Recurving Transition

Therese Schneck, Consulting Engineer, Puteaux La Defense, Paris, France

P1.42

Modification of an airborne gust probe for hurricane boundary layer research

Jeffrey R. French, NOAA/ARL, Idaho Falls, ID; and R. Johnson, S. Beard, and T. Crawford

Poster PDF (119.9 kB)

P1.43

Mid-Level Instrusion and Warm Core Structure in Hurricane Bonnie (1998) During Landfall

Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Halverson

P1.44

Low Frequency Oscillations in Assimilated Global Datasets Using TRMM Rainfall Observations

Li Tao, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and S. Yang, Z. Zhang, A. Hou, and W. S. Olson

Poster PDF (97.7 kB)

P1.45

Large-scale meteorology and deep convection during TRMM KWAJEX

Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and S. E. Yuter, C. S. Bretherton, and G. N. Kiladis

P1.46

Kinematical characteristics of the tropical storm Juliette

Carlos L�pez Carrillo, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM

Poster PDF (81.9 kB)

P1.47

ITCZ breakdown in three dimensional flows

Chia-chi Wang, University of California, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

P1.48

Tropical cyclone intensity estimation by TRMM/TMI microwave radiometer data

Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and S. Hoshino

Poster PDF (169.6 kB)

P1.49

Influence of vertical wind shear on the initial vortex formation of tropical cyclone

Masuo Nakano, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan; and K. Nakajima

Poster PDF (96.1 kB)

P1.50

Inferring convective momentum fluxes within satellite data

John R. Mecikalski, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL

Poster PDF (190.2 kB)

P1.51

Improving Hurricane Intensity Forecasts by Combining Microwave Imagery with the SHIPS Model

Thomas A. Jones, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL

Poster PDF (163.6 kB)

P1.52

Important role of air-sea coupling on the realistic simulation of intraseasonal oscillation

Xiouhua Fu, IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

P1.53

Hurricane Observations of Particle Size and Phases and their Implications for Mesoscale Modeling of Microphysical Processes

Greg M. McFarquhar, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. A. Black

Poster PDF (160.0 kB)

P1.54

Forecasting the impact of a statically stable layer in the lower atmosphere on surface wind conditions during Hurricane Isabel

Patrick F. Maloit, NOAA/NWSFO, Wakefield, VA; and J. A. Billet

Poster PDF (2.6 MB)

P1.55

Eyewall boundary layer structure in Hurricanes Fabian and Isabel

Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, J. F. Gamache, W. D. Ramstrom, K. Emanuel, D. Esteban Fernandez, J. Carswell, and P. Chang

Poster PDF (621.3 kB)

P1.56

An evaluation of the Global Forecasting System (GFS) and Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) forecasting skill of tropical cyclogenesis

Aaron S. Pratt, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans

Poster PDF (137.6 kB)

P1.57

Evidence of cooperative interactions between intraseasonal oscillations and equatorial waves

Paul Roundy, CIRES and NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO

Poster PDF (200.0 kB)

P1.58

Evaluation of the performance of an inland wind decay model during Hurricane Isabel (2003)

John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. P. Dunion and P. P. Dodge

P1.59

Evaluation of new and current products and techniques at the Satellite Analysis Branch of NOAA/NESDIS

Gregory M. Gallina, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Spring, MD

P1.60

Evaluation of a new high-resolution version of the GFDL/URI coupled hurricane model

Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and B. Thomas and M. A. Bender

P1.61

Estimates of turbulent fluxes from high rate aircraft data during EPIC

S. Abarca, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and G. B. Raga and D. Baumgardner

Poster PDF (124.6 kB)

P1.62

ENSO and NAO signals on the Isthmus of Tehuantepec winds

Rosario Romero-Centeno, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and J. Zavala-Hidalgo and G. B. Raga

Poster PDF (355.9 kB)

P1.63

Effects of sea spray on the simulation of hurricanes using LES-based parameterizations

William M. Frank, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. C. Wyngaard, Y. C. Kwon, and M. Kelly

Poster PDF (26.8 kB)

P1.64

Effect of meridional variations of moist static energy on mixed Rossby-gravity waves

G. Louis Smith, National Institute of Aerospace, Hampton, VA; and J. Srinivasan

Poster PDF (136.1 kB)

P1.65

Doppler-observed and model-simulated low-level wind surges in Hurricane Danny's (1997) eye wall

Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball and A. Montoya

Poster PDF (100.2 kB)

P1.66

Development and Initial Deployment of an Omnidirectional Pressure-Sphere Anemometer for Observing Winds and Turbulence in Tropical Cyclones

Richard M. Eckman, NOAA/ARL, Idaho Falls, ID; and R. J. Dobosy, T. Strong, and D. L. Auble

Poster PDF (132.1 kB)

P1.67

Damping and pumping of a vortex Rossby wave in a monotonic cyclone: critical layer stirring versus inertia-buoyancy wave emission

David A. Schecter, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery

Poster PDF (84.4 kB)

P1.68

Critical wind speeds to upset two styles of ambulances and a large city bus

Thomas W. Schmidlin, Kent State University, Kent, OH; and B. Hammer, P. S. King, L. S. Miller, G. Thumann, and H. Wetherington

Poster PDF (20.1 kB)

P1.69

Consistency check of drop size distribution in rain retrievals with a combination of TRMM Microwave Imager and Precipitation Radar observations

Shoichi Shige, Japan Exploration Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and S. Shimizu, N. Takahashi, T. Iguchi, T. Kozu, and K. Okamoto

Poster PDF (137.3 kB)

P1.70

Comparison of GPS-sonde observations and surface data: An update

Samuel H. Houston, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and P. P. Dodge Jr.

Poster PDF (328.5 kB)

P1.71

Comparison of convective environments in deep tropical and extratropical atmospheres with 1989�2002 radiosonde data

Lan Yi, National University of Singapore, Singapore; and H. Lim

Poster PDF (79.4 kB)

P1.72

Climatology of heavy rainfall associated with tropical cyclones affecting the central Appalachians

James Hudgins, NOAA/NWSFO, Blacksburg, VA; and S. Keighton, K. Kostura, and J. Jackson

Poster PDF (294.3 kB)

P1.73

Climatological Characteristics of the Summertime Tropical Cyclone Tracks over the Northwestern Pacific

Joo-Hong Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea

P1.74

Building Damage Issues in Hurricanes

Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Carrolloton, TX

Poster PDF (404.7 kB)

P1.75

Beyond hurricanes: Marine analysis and forecasting at the Tropical Prediction Center

Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL

Poster PDF (27.8 kB)

P1.76

An investigation of the extratropical transition of Hurricane �Erin (2001) using the global model of the German Weather service

Matthias R�bcke, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and S. C. Jones and D. Majewski

Poster PDF (338.3 kB)

P1.77

Precipitation distribution associated with landfalling tropical cyclones

Eyad H. Atallah, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart

Poster PDF (346.4 kB)

P1.77

Amazon Basin precipitation intensity in the Community Atmospheric Model

Charlotte A. DeMott, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall

P1.79

Comparison of boundary layer profiles in Hurricanes Fabian and Isabel observed by GPS dropwindsonde and aircraft during CBLAST "stepped-descents"

Eric W. Uhlhorn, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and P. G. Black

Poster PDF (65.5 kB)

P1.80

A systemic analysis of multiscale convective variability in the tropics

Wen-wen Tung, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. W. Moncrieff and J. Gao

Poster PDF (115.7 kB)

P1.81

A numerical study of the effects of shallow convection on tropical-cyclone intensification

Nguyen Van Sang, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. K. Smith

Poster PDF (55.9 kB)

P1.82

A numerical case study of wet vs. dry regimes in the West African Sahel

Charles J. Alonge, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and K. I. Mohr and W. -. K. Tao

Poster PDF (115.8 kB)

P1.83

A Method of Applying Quikscat Data for Tropical Cyclone Initialization

Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin

Poster PDF (99.6 kB)

P1.84

A Decision Tree to Assess Forecast Track Confidence for Landfalling Gulf of Mexico Tropical Cyclones

Lance T. Wood, NOAA/NWSFO, Houston/Galveston, TX; and W. Read and G. Hafele

Poster PDF (25.9 kB)

P1.85

A climatology of convective activity in the western end of the Isthmus of Tehuantepec

Keila Sosa, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and F. Oropeza, G. B. Raga, and G. Gomez

Poster PDF (205.5 kB)

P1.86

A Climatological Study on the Landfalling Tropical Cyclones of Bangladesh

Tanveerul Islam, Florida A&M University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Peterson

Poster PDF (177.6 kB)

P1.87

2001�2003 Real-time use of cyclone phase diagrams to improve structural diagnosis and forecasting

Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. L. Evans

Poster PDF (390.6 kB)

P1.88

A simulation of hurricane Isidore (2002) using MM5

Diana Pozo, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and I. Borrajero and G. B. Raga

Poster PDF (163.4 kB)

P1.89

High Resolution Observations of Boundary Layer Structures in Isabel at Landfall

Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO

P1.90

A proposed potential vorticity mechanism for sub-tropical cyclogenesis and tropical transition (Formerly Paper Number 2C.5)

Jenni L. Evans, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and M. P. Guishard

Poster PDF (169.2 kB)

P1.91

Deep layer of upper air and multivariate time series models to predict hurricane tracks (Paper Formerly Number 5C.5)

Joan Manuel Castro, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez

Poster PDF (91.5 kB)

P1.92

Performance of Navy's Global Model in Predicting Tropical Cyclone Formations in the Western North Pacific (Formerly Paper Number 1C.4)

Kevin K. W. Cheung, NPS, Monterey, CA; and S. C. S. Liu and R. L. Elsberry

Poster PDF (195.7 kB)

P1.93

Numerical Simulations of the Formation of Typhoon Robyn (1993) using MM5 (Formerly Paper Number 1C.5)

Kevin K. W. Cheung, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry

Poster PDF (278.2 kB)

P1.94

Seasonal prediction of Accumulated Cyclone Energy in the North Atlantic (Formerly Paper Number 11C.3)

Adam S. Lea, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders

Poster PDF (148.6 kB)

P1.95

Usage of drifting buoys data to monitor Tropical Cyclones in the SouthWest Indian Ocean

Philippe Caroff, M�t�o-France, La R�uion, France; and A. C. Fontan

Poster PDF (363.7 kB)

P1.96

Derive large-scale forcing data for CRM and SCM by integrating Doppler radar, sounding, TOA and surface measurements (Formerly paper number 12B.3)

Jialin Lin, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and B. Mapes

Poster PDF (99.5 kB)

P1.97

Binary interaction between Typhoons Fengshen (2002) and Fungwong (2002) based on the potential vorticity diagnosis (Formerly Paper Number 17B.2)

Chung-Chuan Yang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu

Poster PDF (444.7 kB)

P1.98

The eyewall evolution and intensity change in a landfalling typhoon (Formerly Paper Number 12A.1)

Hsiu-Ju Cheng, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and Y. Wang

Poster PDF (329.2 kB)

P1.99

The preliminary analysis of the dropsonde data from DOTSTAR and their impact on the typhoon track forecasts (Formerly Paper Number 6C.2)

Wei-Peng Huang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, P. H. Lin, S. D. Aberson, and K. C. Hsu

Poster PDF (865.5 kB)

11A

Tropical cyclone impacts and vulnerability

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Max Mayfield, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC

Papers:

3:45 PM

11A.1

Wind speeds in a parking garage during a hurricane and use of a parking garage as an evacuation refuge of last resort

Thomas W. Schmidlin, Kent State University, Kent, OH; and B. Hammer, P. S. King, L. S. Miller, G. Thumann, and H. Wetherington

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (24.9 kB)

4:00 PM

11A.2

Tropical Storm floods and vulnerability in Florida and the Caribbean

Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

11A.3

The business benefit of seasonal US landfalling hurricane forecasts from 1 August

Niklaus Hilti, Helvetia Patria Group, St. Gallen, Switzerland; and M. A. Saunders and B. Lloyd-Hughes

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

11A.4

A New Method for Determining Tropical Cyclone Wind Forecast Probabilities

James M. Gross, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria, J. A. Knaff, and C. R. Sampson

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (75.1 kB)

11A.5

Hurricane Isabel Wind Field Reconstruction and Insured Loss Estimation

5:00 PM

11A.6

Enhancing the efficacy of hurricane advisories

Bernhard Lee Lindner, College of Charleston, Charleston, SC; and C. Cockcroft and S. Brueske

Poster PDF (49.6 kB)

11A.7

A Numerical Study of Hurricane Erin (2001)

10B

Interannual variability I (Note new session start time from the original published program)

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Bin Wang, University of Hawaii

Papers:

3:45 PM

10B.1

Observed stochastic variability associated with ENSO

Harry H. Hendon, BMRC, Melbounre, Vic., Australia; and C. Batstone

4:00 PM

10B.2

Linear and Non-Linear Influence of the MJO on ENSO

Javier Zavala-Garay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang, A. M. Moore, and K. Sahami

4:15 PM

10B.3

The role of tropospheric temperature in the simulated remote tropical surface temperature and precipitation response to the 97-98 El Ni�o

John C.H. Chiang, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and B. R. Lintner

4:30 PM

10B.4

Interannual Variability of Tropical Mean Precipitation In Relation To Sea Surface Temperature

Hui Su, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin

4:45 PM

10B.5

The "upped-ante mechanism" for tropical drought in global warming and El Ni�o

J. David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and C. Chou and H. Su

11C

Tropical Cyclone Prediction and Predictability IV: Seasonal Activity

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Tropical Prediction Center, Miami, Florida

Papers:

3:45 PM

11C.1

Updated 6�11 month prediction of Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane activity

Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. M. Gray

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (254.2 kB)

4:00 PM

11C.2

A new tool for the NOAA Atlantic basin seasonal forecast

Eric S. Blake, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL; and G. Bell and R. J. Pasch

Recorded presentation

4:14 PM

11C.3

Paper 11C.3 has been moved to Poster Session P1, New Poster number P1.94

4:15 PM

11C.4

Multidecadal-scale fluctuations in October tropical cyclone activity for the Atlantic basin

Stanley B. Goldenberg, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. B. Forde

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

11C.5

Large-scale signals associated with tropical cyclone activity in the western north Pacific

Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and S. J. Camargo

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (61.6 kB)

11C.6

A correlation between regional antecedent weather conditions and hurricane activity

5:00 PM

11C.7

Seasonal prediction of U.S. landfalling hurricane wind energy from 1 August

Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and A. S. Lea

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (639.1 kB)

11D

tropical cyclone observations and structure VI

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, International Hurricane Research Center, Florida International University

Papers:

3:45 PM

11D.1

Small-scale inner core structures and wind streaks in a simulated hurricane

M.K. Yau, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and Y. Liu, D. L. Zhang, and Y. Chen

4:00 PM

11D.2

Rapid Filamentation Zones In Intense Tropical Cyclones

Christopher M. Rozoff, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert, B. D. McNoldy, and J. P. Kossin

Poster PDF (365.4 kB)

4:15 PM

11D.3

Observed evolution of upper-level vortex structure in vertically-sheared Hurricane Guillermo (1997)

Paul D. Reasor, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. D. Eastin, J. F. Gamache, and F. D. Marks Jr.

4:30 PM

11D.4

Observed evolution of eyewall convection and low-wavenumber flow in Hurricane Guillermo (1997)

Matthew D. Eastin, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. D. Reasor, J. F. Gamache, F. D. Marks Jr., and M. L. Black

Poster PDF (135.4 kB)

4:45 PM

11D.5

Mesovortices in Hurricane Isabel (2003)

James P. Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. H. Schubert, C. S. Velden, M. L. Black, P. Black, R. M. Zehr, S. D. Aberson, and J. P. Dunion

Poster PDF (202.4 kB)

5:00 PM

11D.6

A possible mechanism of the formation of the concentric eyewalls: Gradient adjustment process

Jia-Yi Peng, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and B. J. D. Jou

Poster PDF (175.4 kB)

Banquet

THUR 6 MAY

12A

Tropical cyclone intensity change I: Inner core processes

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Elizabeth A. Ritchie, University of New Mexico (UNM)

Papers:

8:00 AM

12A.1

Paper 12A.1 has been moved to Poster Session P1, New Paper Number P1.98

8:01 AM

12A.2

The eyewall replacement and intensity changes in Hurricane Bonnie (1998)

Tong Zhu, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and D. L. Zhang

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (143.3 kB)

8:15 AM

12A.3

On the hurricane intensity issue

T.N. Krishnamurti, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. Pattnaik, L. Stefanova, T. S. V. Vijaya Kumar, B. P. Mackey, and A. J. O'Shay

http://

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

12A.4

Optimal Hurricanes: Motivation and Theory

Michael T. Montgomery, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Persing

8:45 AM

12A.5

Optimal hurricanes: Three-dimensional modeling

John Persing, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. Nicholls and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (222.0 kB)

9:00 AM

12A.6

On The Effect of Internally Generated Asymmetric Structure on Tropical Cyclone Intensity

Bo Yang, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang and B. Wang

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (246.6 kB)

9:15 AM

12A.7

Dynamic instabilities of hurricane-like vortices in dry experiments

Young C. Kwon, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (202.6 kB)

12B

Convection, waves, and precipitation V

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR

Papers:

8:00 AM

12B.1

On the structures and energetics of large-scale convectively coupled gravity waves: a normal mode perspective

Stefan N. Tulich, California State University, Bakersfield, CA; and D. A. Randall

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (49.9 kB)

12B.2

Factors responsible for the vertical development of tropical oceanic cumulus convection

8:29 AM

12B.3

Paper 12B.3 has been moved to Poster Session P1, New Paper Number P1.96

8:30 AM

12B.4

Convective self-aggregation in large cloud-resolving model simulations of radiative convective equilibrium

Christopher S. Bretherton, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. F. Khairoutdinov

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

12B.5

A high-resolution simulation of a transition from shallow to deep cumulus convection

Zhiming Kuang, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. S. Bretherton

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

12B.6

Moisture-convection feedback in the tropics

Wojciech W. Grabowski, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Poster PDF (344.4 kB)

9:15 AM

12B.3A

A Satellite-Derived Census of Convective Bursts in Tropical Cyclones and Their Relationship to Storm Lifecycle

Paula Ann Hennon, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and J. B. Halverson

Recorded presentation

12C

Tropical cyclone simulation I

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: S. D. Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML

Papers:

8:00 AM

12C.1

Preliminary Investigation of Hurricane Lili Using the MM5 Model

C. H. Huang, Minerals Management Service, New Orleans, LA

8:15 AM

12C.2

Parametric Wind Modelling at the Canadian Hurricane Centre

Allan W. MacAfee, MSC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (91.2 kB)

8:30 AM

12C.3

Numerical Simulation of Hurricane Erin (2001): Model verification and storm evolution

Liguang Wu, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and S. A. Braun, J. Halverson, and G. M. Heymsfield

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (18.7 kB)

8:45 AM

12C.4

In what sense is the hurricane eye a 'containment vessel'?

Thomas A. Cram, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery, J. Persing, and S. A. Braun

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (268.1 kB)

9:00 AM

12C.5

Comparisons between high-resolution tropical cyclone simulations using MM5 and WRF

James F. Bresch, NCAR, Boulder, CO

9:15 AM

12C.6

Accuracy of the linearized standard balance (BE) and asymmetric balance (AB) systems in a shallow water numerical model

Ingo S�lch, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and J. D. M�ller and L. J. Shapiro

9:30 AM

12C.7

Modeling Tropical Cyclone Gridded Wind Field Forecasts

Ken R. Waters, NOAA/NWS, Honolulu, HI; and J. Cline

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hq/regsci/presentations/Miami-2004/

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (105.9 kB)

12D

Tropical cyclones at landfall I

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Richard G. Henning, 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron

Papers:

8:00 AM

12D.1

Assessment of the Value of Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts

Eva Regnier, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (61.3 kB)

8:15 AM

12D.2

An Isotope Climatology of Hurricanes at Landfall

Stanley David Gedzelman, The City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. R. Lawrence

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

12D.3

Interaction of binary cyclones in northeastern Pacific Ocean

Enrique Buend�a, Centro de Ciencias de la Atm�sfera, UNAM, M�xico City, Mexico; and O. Delgado, A. Meulenert, and C. V�zquez

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

12D.4

A Tropical Cyclone Landfall Research Program (CLATEX) In China

Lianshou Chen, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and M. Zhou and X. Xu

Poster PDF (41.1 kB)

9:00 AM

12D.5

A summary of windspeed measurements as collected by Texas Tech during the landfall of Hurricane Isabel

Becca M. Paulsen, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder

http://

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (44.0 kB)

9:15 AM

12D.6

A modeling study of the sensitivity of landfalling hurricanes to surface evaporation and surface roughness.

Sytske K. Kimball, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (394.2 kB)

Coffee Break

13A

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change II: Environmental Factors

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: John Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY

Papers:

10:15 AM

13A.1

Large scale flow patterns and the rapid intensification of western north Pacific tropical cyclones

Justin D. Ventham, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

Poster PDF (156.2 kB)

10:30 AM

13A.2

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change in A Uniform Flow

Joey H. Y. Kwok, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and J. C. L. Chan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (243.9 kB)

10:45 AM

13A.3

The Saharan Air Layer�Insights from the 2002 and 2003 Atlantic hurricane seasons

Jason P. Dunion, NOAA/AOML/HRD and Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and C. S. Velden, J. D. Hawkins, and J. R. Parrish

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (235.8 kB)

11:00 AM

13A.4

The tropical cyclone�jet interaction

Eric D. Rappin, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and M. C. Morgan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (219.3 kB)

11:15 AM

13A.5

Negative entropy flow and its effect on the organization of tropical cyclones

Chongjian Liu, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and Y. Liu

Poster PDF (49.4 kB)

11:30 AM

13A.6

An ensemble approach to tropical cyclone intensity forecasting

Jonathan R. Moskaitis, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and J. A. Hansen and K. A. Emanuel

Recorded presentation

13B

Convection, waves, and precipitation VI

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Wojciech W. Grabowski, NCAR

Papers:

10:15 AM

13B.1

Multi-balanced modes of deep tropical and extratropical convection self organization

Lan Yi, National University of Singapore, Singapore; and H. Lim

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (268.7 kB)

10:30 AM

13B.2

Simulation of tropical precipitation using the Weak Temperature Gradient approximation to the Goddard Cumulus Ensemble Model

Cristina L. Perez, Columbia University, New York, NY; and A. H. Sobel, G. Gu, D. Johnson, C. L. Shie, and W. K. Tao

Poster PDF (34.0 kB)

10:45 AM

13B.3

Effects of sea breeze and local winds on rainfall in south Florida

Ryan T. Ellis, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

http://

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (409.6 kB)

11:00 AM

13B.4

Discrete propagation and initiation of tropical oceanic convection

Robert G. Fovell, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and R. A. Houze Jr.

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (391.9 kB)

11:15 AM

13B.5

Impact of aerosol concentration on a tropical mesoscale convective system: Model study

Xiaowen Li, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and W. K. Tao, A. Khain, J. Simpson, and D. Johnson

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (62.0 kB)

11:30 AM

13B.6

Study of the Tropical Atmosphere: Introduction of a New Tool

Pallav K. Ray, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

13C

Tropical cyclone simulation II: Parameterization and numerics

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

Papers:

10:15 AM

13C.1

Sensitivity of Hurricane Intensity Forecasts to Convective Momentum Transport Parameterization

Jongil Han, RSIS at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and H. L. Pan

10:30 AM

13C.2

Offline GCSS intercomparison study of cloud�radiation interaction and surface fluxes

W.-K. Tao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. E. Johnson, S. Krueger, L. Donner, J. Petch, J. Gregory, F. Guichard, J. L. Redelsperger, C. Seman, X. Wu, K. -. M. Xu, and M. A. Zulauf

Poster PDF (7.2 kB)

10:45 AM

13C.4

MM5 simulations of sub-tropical storm Allison over southern Mississippi Valley

Kwan-yin Kong, Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD; and S. D. Gedzelman

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (429.1 kB)

11:00 AM

13C.5

Implementation and Evaluation of Emanuel Cumulus Parameterization Scheme in COAMPS^TM for Tropical Cyclone Predictions

Yi Jin, SAIC, Monterey, CA; and C. S. Liou and W. T. Thompson

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (86.5 kB)

11:15 AM

13C.6

Evaluating microphysical parameterization schemes for use in hurricane environments

Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. Black, S. S. Chen, and R. Black

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (272.6 kB)

11:30 AM

13C.7

A Modeling and Observational Study of the Impacts of Microphysical Processes on the Evolution of Hurricane Erin 2001

Greg M. McFarquhar, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and H. Zhang, G. M. Heymsfield, J. Dudhia, J. B. Halverson, R. E. Hood, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (147.3 kB)

13D

Tropical cyclones at landfall II

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC

Papers:

10:15 AM

13D.1

Uncertainty in Hurricane Winds: What do new measurements and simulations tell us about Hurricane Andrew?

Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. D. Kepert, A. Boissonnade, and P. J. Vickery

Poster PDF (65.1 kB)

10:30 AM

13D.2

Tropical Cyclone Structure and Track Changes Prior to Landfall

Martin L. M. Wong, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and J. C. L. Chan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (227.2 kB)

10:45 AM

13D.3

Transition in Onshore Hurricane Boundary Layer Winds during the Landfall of Hurricane Lili (2002)

J. Rob Howard, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and A. L. Doggett, R. E. Peterson, P. G. Black, J. L. Schroeder, D. A. Smith, and J. P. Dunyak

Poster PDF (414.1 kB)

11:00 AM

13D.4

A Numerical Study of the Topographic effects on structure and rainfall in Hurricane Georges (1998)

John Cangialosi, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (220.3 kB)

11:15 AM

13D.5

The characteristic of the surface wind speed over Taiwan area during the invasion of tropical cyclones

Tien-Chiang Yeh, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and S. L. Shieh and S. -. C. Wu

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (301.2 kB)

11:30 AM

13D.6

Test of the new GFDL hurricane-land coupled system for landfalling tropical cyclones

Weixing Shen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Tuleya, K. Mitchell, N. Surgi, and S. Lord

http://

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (34.0 kB)

Lunch Break

14A

Tropical cyclone intensity change III: Statistical-Dynamical Models

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC

Papers:

1:30 PM

14A.1

An introduction to the statistical typhoon intensity prediction scheme (STIPS)

John A. Knaff, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Ft. Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria and C. R. Sampson

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (62.7 kB)

1:45 PM

14A.2

Near real time global optimum interpolated microwave SSTs: applications to hurricane intensity forecasting

Chelle Gentemann, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and M. DeMaria and F. J. Wentz

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

14A.3

High resolution SST in the SHIPS model: improving operational guidance of tropical cyclone intensity forecasts

Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and C. Sisko and M. DeMaria

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (62.0 kB)

2:15 PM

14A.4

Estimating the probability of rapid intensification of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins

John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria

Poster PDF (134.9 kB)

2:30 PM

14A.5

Rapid intensification predictors associated with major tropical cyclones

Kevin T. Law, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

2:45 PM

14A.6

Hurricane intensity forecasting with neural networks

Michael G. McGauley, University of Miami, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (165.2 kB)

3:00 PM

14A.7

Upper air information and neural networks to estimate hurricane intensity

Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and A. Veneros

http://

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (72.1 kB)

14B

Large-scale circulation I

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University

Papers:

14B.1

The Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on Northern Hemisphere High Latitude Temperatures

1:45 PM

14B.2

The relationship between the MJO, oceanic Kelvin waves, and the El Ni�o/Southern Oscillation

Paul E. Roundy, CIRES/Univ or Colorado and NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (263.9 kB)

2:00 PM

14B.3

Zonal momentum budget of tropical large-scale circulations: The source and strength of mechanical damping

Jialin Lin, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and B. Mapes

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (52.0 kB)

2:15 PM

14B.4

Development and propagation of a pollution gradient in the marine boundary layer during INDOEX (1999)

Matthew Simpson, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Raman

http://www.nc-climate.ncsu.edu/simpson/

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (112.5 kB)

2:30 PM

14B.5

Intercontinental Atmospheric Processes in the Tropics: African Influence on South America

Samson Hagos, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. Cook

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (223.0 kB)

2:45 PM

14B.6

Quasi-biennial variability in the tropical South Atlantic simulated by an atmospheric GCM coupled to an ocean mixed layer

Sylwia Trzaska, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and A. W. Robertson and J. D. Farrara

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (141.8 kB)

14C

Tropical cyclone simulation III: Initialization and Assimilation

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Sharanya J. Majumdar, RSMAS/University of Miami

Papers:

1:30 PM

14C.1

Use of radar data for TC initializaiton and predictions

Jin-Luen Lee, NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and A. E. MacDonald, Y. -. H. Kuo, W. C. Lee, and W. Wang

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (188.2 kB)

1:45 PM

14C.2

Hurricane Initialization in High Resolution models

Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Lord, N. Surgi, H. L. Pan, T. P. Marchok, R. Tuleya, and M. A. Bender

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (23.4 kB)

2:00 PM

14C.3

Typhoon Simulations with Assimilated GPS Occultation Refractivity

Ching-Yuang Huang, National Central University (Taiwan), Chung-Li, Taiwan; and Y. -. H. Kuo, S. H. Chen, and F. Vandenberghe

2:15 PM

14C.4

Data Assimilation by Field Alignment for Coherent Structures

Sai Ravela, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel and D. McLaughlin

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (86.4 kB)

14C.5

Data assimilation using a simple barotropic track model

2:45 PM

14C.6

Hurricane Model Initialization with AMSU Measurements

Tong Zhu, Colorado State Univ./CIRA at NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and F. Weng

Poster PDF (904.1 kB)

14D

Tropical cyclones at landfall III

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Peter P. Dodge Jr., HRD/AOML/NOAA

Papers:

1:30 PM

14D.1

Onshore and offshore wind flow regimes at the landfall of Hurricane Isabel (2003)5

Peter P. Dodge, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. F. Gamache, E. W. Uhlhorn, D. Esteban Fernandez, J. Carswell, and P. Chang

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (186.8 kB)

1:45 PM

14D.2

Kinematics of rainbands in Hurricane Isabel during landfall

Michael I. Biggerstaff, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. M. Briede

2:00 PM

14D.3

Kinematic structure of Hurricane Isabel (2003) near landfall from the Morehead City WSR-88D

Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Bell

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (215.6 kB)

2:15 PM

14D.4

Doppler profiler and radar observations of boundary layer variability during the landfall of TS Gabrielle

Kevin R. Knupp, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. Walters and M. Biggerstaff

http://vortex.atmos.uah.edu/knupp

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (372.9 kB)

2:30 PM

14D.5

Mesoscale and precipitation processes observed by Doppler profiler and radar during the landfall of Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Kevin R. Knupp, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. T. Walters and M. I. Biggerstaff

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)

2:45 PM

14D.6

Low-level Kinematic, Thermodynamic, and Reflectivity Fields of Hurricane Bonnie (1998) near Landfall

Rebecca Schneider, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and G. Barnes and P. Dodge

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (495.9 kB)

Coffee Break

15A

Tropical cyclone intensity change IV: Numerical Modeling Studies

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS

Papers:

3:45 PM

15A.1

A numerical study of rapid intensity change in hurricane Lili (2002)

M�licie Desflots, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and S. S. Chen and J. E. Tenerelli

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (334.6 kB)

4:00 PM

15A.2

Influence of atmospheric asymmetries on the intensification of GFDL forecast model hurricanes

Lloyd J. Shapiro, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and J. D. M�ller

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

15A.3

Mechanics and efficiency of symmetric and asymmetric intensification processes

David S. Nolan, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (63.3 kB)

4:30 PM

15A.4

Influences of asymmetric heating on tropical cyclone evolution in a full-physics numerical model

J. Dominique M�ller, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and L. J. Shapiro

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

15A.5

Dynamical constraints on the maximum intensity of hurricanes

Roger K. Smith, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and H. Zhu, W. Ulrich, and C. M. Nguyen

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (51.3 kB)

15B

Large-scale circulation II

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University

Papers:

3:45 PM

15B.1

An idealized Walker model coupled to an ocean mixed layer

Matthew E. Peters, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

Poster PDF (193.4 kB)

4:00 PM

15B.2

Dynamics and Instabilities of the ITCZ

Violeta E. Toma, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster

4:15 PM

15B.3

The Eastern Pacific ITCZ during the Boreal Spring

Guojun Gu, NASA/GSFC and ESSIC, Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and R. F. Adler and A. H. Sobel

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (45.2 kB)

4:30 PM

15B.4

ITCZ breakdown: an observational study over the tropical East Pacific

Chia-chi Wang, University of California, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (115.3 kB)

4:45 PM

15B.5

A moist model of the Hadley circulation with wind dependent surface fluxes

Samuel P. Burns, Columbia University, New York, NY; and A. H. Sobel and L. M. Polvani

Poster PDF (81.0 kB)

5:00 PM

15B.6

Hadley cell or no Hadley cell, that is the question

Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and M. G. McGauley and N. A. Bond

Recorded presentation

15C

Tropical Cyclone Simulation IV: Initialization and Assimilation

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Organizer: Robert Tuleya, SAIC/NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC

Papers:

3:45 PM

15C.1

The relative role of wind vs. pressure in the initialization of tropical cyclones�Observing-Systems Simulation Experiments

Kun-Hsuan Chou, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and Y. Wang

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (194.3 kB)

4:00 PM

15C.2

MM5 Simulations of Precipitation and Mesocyclone Dynamics Associated wih TC Gabrielle (2001) using High Resolution Data of East Central Florida

G. V. Rao, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and K. Santhanam, J. W. Scheck, S. M. Spratt, B. C. Hagemeyer, R. Edwards, J. Schaefer, J. L. Case, and E. Kemp

Poster PDF (204.0 kB)

4:15 PM

15C.3

Influence of initial vortex structure on the simulation of hurricane lifecycles

Joseph E. Tenerelli, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS/MPO, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

15C.4

Experiments of a Typhoon Bogussing Scheme in the MM5 3D-Var Cycling System

Qingnong Xiao, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. H. Kuo, Y. Zhang, D. M. Barker, and D. J. Won

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (126.0 kB)

4:45 PM

15C.5

A Study on the Impact of Initial Fields on the Typhoon Track and Rainfall Simulation in the Vicinity of Taiwan

Der-Song Chen, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and L. F. Hsiao, K. -. N. Huang, and T. C. Yeh

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (113.8 kB)

5:00 PM

15C.6

Simulative improvement of Hurricane Andrew using the technique of irreversible thermodynamic operators

Ying Liu, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and C. Liu

Poster PDF (65.1 kB)

15D

Tropical cyclones at landfall IV

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Peter J. Bowyer, MSC - Canadian Hurricane Centre

Papers:

3:45 PM

15D.1

Meteorological assessment for Super Typhoon Pongsona at landfall on Guam�December 8, 2002.

Mark Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam; and C. P. Guard and A. N. L. Chiu

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (81.8 kB)

4:00 PM

15D.2

Implementing a single-Doppler radar technique for tropical cyclones and integrating radar-derived wind fields into H*Wind surface analyses

Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. Dodge, W. C. Lee, and G. M. Barnes

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (472.6 kB)

4:15 PM

15D.3

The Impact of Vapor Transportation on the Sustaining of Tropical Cyclones over land

Ying Li, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Science, Beijing, China; and L. Chen

http://

Poster PDF (14.9 kB)

4:30 PM

15D.4

Hurricane boundary layer rolls observed during the landfall of Hurricane Isabel

Sylvie Lorsolo, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder

Poster PDF (337.5 kB)

4:45 PM

15D.5

Extreme hurricane winds in the United States

Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner

Poster PDF (61.8 kB)

5:00 PM

15D.6

Equivalent 10-meter wind speeds in Hurricane Fabian

Kyle Beatty, Risk Management Solutions, Inc., Newark, CA; and C. Miller and A. Boissonnade

Poster PDF (87.2 kB)

FRI 7 MAY

16A

sea-air interaction: Hurricanes Isidore and Lili

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/TPC

Papers:

8:00 AM

16A.1

Upper ocean response and feedback to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili in tandem

Wei Zhao, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen and J. Tenerelli

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (326.7 kB)

8:15 AM

16A.2

Surface fluxes and upper ocean budgets during 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili

S. Daniel Jacob, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. K. Shay, G. R. Halliwell, C. J. Koblinsky, and M. D. Powell

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (196.7 kB)

8:30 AM

16A.3

Analysis of upper-ocean thermodynamic observations forced by Hurricane Lili

Eric W. Uhlhorn, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay

Poster PDF (67.8 kB)

8:45 AM

16A.4

Observed Modulation of Upper Ocean Heat Content Variability by Upper Ocean Current Shears During Hurricanes Isidore and Lili

Lynn K. Shay, University of Miami - Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, Miami, FL; and T. Cook, R. Evans, E. W. Uhlhorn, S. Guhin, J. Cione, S. White, and M. L. Black

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

16A.5

Observed Atmospheric Boundary Layer Structure During the Passages of Hurricanes Isidore and Lili.

Scott Guhin, University of Miami - Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, Miami, FL; and L. Shay, E. Uhlhorn, T. Cook, S. White, and M. L. Black

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

16A.6

Modulations of Surface Wave Energy over Near-Inertial Time Scales

Sean R. White, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (153.4 kB)

9:30 AM

16A.7

Atmospheric boundary layer and upper-ocean observations in Hurricane Lili (2002) south of Cuba

Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, L. K. Shay, T. Cook, and S. A. Guhin

Recorded presentation

16B

Convection, waves, and precipitation VII

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: David S. Nolan, University of Miami

Papers:

8:00 AM

16B.1

On the dynamics of two day equatorial disturbances

Patrick T. Haertel, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and G. N. Kiladis

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (109.6 kB)

8:15 AM

16B.2

Vortex alignment on the f and beta plane

Robert W. Jones, University of Miami/CIMAS, Miami, FL; and H. E. Willoughby

Poster PDF (86.3 kB)

8:30 AM

16B.3

Evolution of Eyewall-like, Unstable Vorticity Rings

Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Vigh and H. Wang

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/vorticity/

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (246.6 kB)

8:45 AM

16B.4

Microburst dynamics

Greg Holland, Aerosonde North America Inc, Boulder, CO; and P. T. May

9:00 AM

16B.5

Forcing of deep convection over tropical oceans

David J. Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM

Poster PDF (48.2 kB)

9:15 AM

16B.6

Convectively Generated Inertial-Gravity Waves and Multi-Scale Organization of Convection

Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Liu

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (168.8 kB)

16C

tropical cyclone best track and climatology I

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Chris W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:

8:00 AM

16C.1

Have there been any typhoons stronger than Super Typhoon Tip?

Karl Hoarau, Cergy-Pontoise University, Cergy-Pontoise, France; and G. Padgett and J. P. Hoarau

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (82.8 kB)

8:15 AM

16C.2

Spatial and temporal distribution of tropical cyclones over the Atlantic and eastern North Pacific

Jay S. Hobgood, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

16C.3

A season-long study of the tropical cyclone lifecycles in the Atlantic basin (2001)

Ron McTaggart-Cowan, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (37.1 kB)

8:45 AM

16C.4

Use of numerical weather prediction technology for simulations of historic tropical cyclones

Michael Dickinson, Accurate Environmental Forecasting Inc., Narragansett, RI; and G. D. Rowe, R. Richardson, I. Ginis, and L. Rothstein

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (266.1 kB)

16C.5

Climatology of United States tropical cyclone rainfall

9:15 AM

16C.6

Composite and Case Studies of Precipitation Distribution in U.S. Landfalling Tropical Cyclones

Alan F. Srock, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and J. E. Molinari

Poster PDF (136.0 kB)

16C.7

Landfalling Tropical Cyclones, Resulting Floods, and Hydrological Budgets

16D

Tropical cyclone extratropical transition I

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: John L Beven, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC

Papers:

8:00 AM

16D.1

Model based diagnosis of the genesis phase of Atlantic Hurricane Karen

Michael J. Fries Jr., University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin

http://

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (184.3 kB)

8:15 AM

16D.2

Interaction of tropical cyclone outflow and an extratropical baroclinic zone: idealized simulations with MM5

Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

16D.3

Extratropical Transition and THORPEX

Sarah C. Jones, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and C. S. Velden, S. Aberson, J. Abraham, and P. A. Harr

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (50.5 kB)

8:45 AM

16D.4

Desktop hurricane-waves resonance modeling at the Canadian Hurricane Centre: output in less than 60 seconds

Peter J. Bowyer, MSC/Canadian Hurricane Centre, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and A. W. MacAfee

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (103.1 kB)

9:00 AM

16D.5

Application of spatio-temporal pattern recognition techniques to predicting extratropical transition in tropical cyclones

Oguz Demirci, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and E. A. Ritchie and J. S. Tyo

Poster PDF (164.0 kB)

9:15 AM

16D.6

A cluster analysis derived synoptic evolution of extratropical transition in the North Atlantic

Justin M. Arnott, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (275.7 kB)

9:30 AM

16D.7

The role of waves, sea spray and the upper ocean in midlatitude Storm Development

Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and W. Zhang, X. Ren, Z. Long, E. L. Andreas, J. R. Gyakum, and R. McTaggart-Cowan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (84.7 kB)

Coffee Break

17A

Tropical cyclone air-sea interaction

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Robbie Berg, NOAA/Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center

Papers:

10:15 AM

17A.1

Vertical Profiles of Thermodynamic Variables in Hurricanes Bonnie (1998) and Mitch (1998): Implications for Energy Transport in the Inflow Layer

Gary Barnes, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and R. Schneider and S. Houston

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (15.3 kB)

10:30 AM

17A.2

The Intensification of Supertyphoon Maemi (2003) with a Warm Ocean Eddy

I-I Lin, National Center for Ocean Research, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, K. A. Emanuel, W. T. Liu, and I. H. Lee

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (405.2 kB)

10:45 AM

17A.3

The impact of SST cold wake induced by Typhoon Rusa (2002) on the intensity evolution of Typhoon Sinlaku (2002)

Treng-Shi Huang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and I. I. Lin

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (558.9 kB)

17A.4

Mesoscale Model Investigation of Air-sea Interactions and Associated Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Gulf of Mexico

17A.5

Forecast performance of a coastal wave model during Hurricane Isabel

11:30 AM

17A.6

A new ocean data assimilation and initialization procedure for the coupled GFDL/URI hurricane prediction system.

Aleksandr Falkovich, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and I. Ginis and S. Lord

Poster PDF (136.8 kB)

17B

Tropical Cyclone Motion

Location: Napoleon I Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong

Papers:

10:15 AM

17B.1

The Effects of the Full Coriolis Force on the Structure and Motion of a Tropical Cyclone Part I: Effects Due To Vertical Motion

Xudong Liang, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and J. C. L. Chan and Y. Duan

http://

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (187.8 kB)

10:29 AM

17B.2

Paper 17B.2 has been moved to Poster Session P1, New Paper Number P1.97

10:30 AM

17B.3

Application of singular vector analyses to tropical cyclone motions

Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (128.5 kB)

10:45 AM

17B.4

A dynamic model for barotropic vortex motion over topography on a � Plane

Hung-Cheng Chen, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Chu and C. C. Chang

Poster PDF (186.9 kB)

17C

Tropical cyclone best track and climatology II

Location: Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Colin J. McAdie, NOAA/NWS

Papers:

10:15 AM

17C.1

The Atlantic basin hurricane database re-analysis for the decades of the 1910s, 1920s and 1930s

Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Gamache, S. E. Feuer, J. Berkeley, W. Bredemeyer, and L. Woolcock

10:30 AM

17C.2

The reanalysis of Atlantic basin tropical cyclones from the 1920's: A reexamination of three catastrophic hurricanes that impacted Florida

Steven E. Feuer, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. W. Landsea, L. Woolcock, and J. Berkeley

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/data_sub/re_anal.html

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (191.3 kB)

10:45 AM

17C.3

An Analysis of Hurricane Landfall Patterns in the South Atlantic Bight, 1851-2000

Al Sandrik, NOAA/NWS, Jacksonville, FL; and P. Welsh, J. Hess, and P. Camp

11:00 AM

17C.4

Reconstructing South Carolina tropical cyclones back to the mid eighteenth century

Cary J. Mock, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and D. O. Mayes, J. Mojzisek, M. McWaters, and M. Chenoweth

Poster PDF (196.7 kB)

11:15 AM

17C.5

Hurricanes from Spanish documentary sources: an update

Ricardo Garc�a-Herrera, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain; and L. Gimeno, P. Ribera, and E. Hernandez

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (44.0 kB)

11:30 AM

17C.6

Japanese long-term reanalysis project (JRA-25): Impacts of wind retrieval tropical cyclone derived from best track data

Hiroaki Hatsushika, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko, Chiba, Japan; and J. Tsutsui

Poster PDF (253.0 kB)

11:45 AM

17C.7

Atlantic Intense Hurricanes, 1995�2003�Characteristics Based on Best Track, Aircraft, and IR Images

Raymond Zehr, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (63.2 kB)

17D

tropical cyclone extratropical transition II

Location: Napoleon III Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Jenni L Evans, Penn State University

Papers:

10:15 AM

17D.1

The impact of extra tropical transition on hurricane risk in the Northeast US

Robert Muir-Wood, Risk Management Solutions Ltd., London, United Kingdom; and R. Dixon and A. Boissonnade

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (107.6 kB)

10:30 AM

17D.2

The extratropical transitions of eastern Pacific Hurricane Lester (1992) and Atlantic Hurricane Andrew (1992): A comparison.

Michael Dickinson, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, K. L. Corbosiero, S. Hopsch, K. Lombardo, M. J. Novak, B. Smith, and A. C. Wasula

Poster PDF (3.6 MB)

10:45 AM

17D.3

Synoptic composites of the extratropical transition lifecycle of North Atlantic TCs as defined within cyclone phase space

Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. L. Evans

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (315.5 kB)

11:00 AM

17D.4

Predictability Associated with Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones as defined by Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems

Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. Anwender and S. C. Jones

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (118.8 kB)

11:15 AM

17D.5

Numerical experiments on the interaction of a hurricane-like vortex with a baroclinic wave

Helga Weindl, University of Munich, Munich, Germany

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (294.6 kB)

999

Concluding remarks

Location: Le Jardin Room (Deauville Beach Resort)

Sponsor: 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC

Session 999: Browse by Day

Sunday, 2 May 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Sunday, 2 May 2004

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 2 May 2004

Monday, 3 May 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Monday, 3 May 2004

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 3 May 2004

8:30 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 3 May 2004

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Monday, 3 May 2004

10:15 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 3 May 2004

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

10:45 AM-12:15 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

10:45 AM-12:14 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

1:30 PM-3:15 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

3:15 PM-3:15 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

3:45 PM-5:15 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 3 May 2004

Tuesday, 4 May 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

8:00 AM-9:30 AM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

9:45 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

10:15 AM-11:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

10:15 AM-11:30 AM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

10:15 AM-11:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

11:45 AM-11:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

1:30 PM-3:15 PM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

3:15 PM-3:15 PM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

3:45 PM-4:55 PM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

3:45 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 4 May 2004

Wednesday, 5 May 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

8:00 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

9:45 AM-9:45 AM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

10:15 AM-11:30 AM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

10:15 AM-11:45 AM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

1:30 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

3:45 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

3:45 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

7:00 PM-7:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 May 2004

Thursday, 6 May 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

8:00 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

8:00 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

9:45 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

10:15 AM-11:45 AM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

11:45 AM-11:45 AM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

1:30 PM-3:15 PM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

3:15 PM-3:15 PM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

3:45 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

3:45 PM-5:15 PM: Thursday, 6 May 2004

Friday, 7 May 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Friday, 7 May 2004

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Friday, 7 May 2004

8:00 AM-9:30 AM: Friday, 7 May 2004

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Friday, 7 May 2004

9:45 AM-9:45 AM: Friday, 7 May 2004

10:15 AM-11:45 AM: Friday, 7 May 2004

10:15 AM-11:00 AM: Friday, 7 May 2004

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Friday, 7 May 2004

10:15 AM-11:30 AM: Friday, 7 May 2004

12:00 PM-12:15 PM: Friday, 7 May 2004

Sunday, 2 May 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Sunday, 2 May 2004

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 2 May 2004

Monday, 3 May 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Monday, 3 May 2004

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 3 May 2004