26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Session 10C: Tropical Cyclone Prediction and Predictability III: Operational Models

Wednesday, 5 May 2004: 10:15 AM-11:45 AM
Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)
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Chair:  Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC
Papers:
  10:15 AM
10C.1
Recent Progress in Hurricane Track and Intensity Forecasting with NCEP's Models. Part I.
Stephen Lord, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, Q. Liu, H. L. Pan, R. Tuleya, M. Bender, T. Marchok, I. Ginis, A. Falkovich, and W. Shen

  Recorded presentation
  10:30 AM
10C.2
Recent Progress in Hurricane Track and Intensity Forecasting with NCEP's Models. Part II.
Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Q. Liu, H. L. Pan, R. Tuleya, M. Bender, T. Marchok, and W. Shen

  Recorded presentation
  10:45 AM
10C.3
A Summary of Ugrades to the Operational GFDL Hurricane Model for 2003
Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. Marchok, I. Ginis, B. Thomas, R. E. Tuleya, and H. L. Pan

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (265.1 kB)
  11:00 AM
10C.4
An examination of hurricane Debby (2000) with the 2000 and 2003 versions of the GFDL hurricane prediction system
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb and M. A. Bender

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (47.1 kB)
  11:15 AM
10C.5
Recent Improvements to Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast
Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (149.7 kB)
  11:30 AM
10C.6
An analysis of operational numerical weather forecasting errors for the landfall of Hurricane Juan (2003)
John R. Gyakum, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and R. J. McTaggart-Cowan

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