26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Session 5C: Tropical Cyclone Prediction and Predictability I: Track

Tuesday, 4 May 2004: 8:00 AM-9:30 AM
Napoleon II Room (Deauville Beach Resort)
Chair:  James M. Gross, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC
Papers:
  8:15 AM
Testing of a Revised Model Track Prediction Evaluation Expert System
Mark A. Boothe, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry and D. P. Roberts

  8:30 AM
Tropical cyclone forecasting using climatology and NWP output
Bradford S. Barrett, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie

  8:45 AM
Statistical-Dynamical guidance for tropical storm track forecasting
Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and N. A. Samra

  8:59 AM
Paper 5C.5 has been moved to Poster Session P1, New Poster Number P1.91

  9:00 AM
Tropical cyclone ensemble forecast product development and verification at the Met Office
Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and S. Robinson, C. Woolcock, and K. Mylne

  9:15 AM
Evaluation of a Kilo-Member Ensemble for Track Forecasting
Jonathan Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ensembles/index.htm