Session 15 Evaluation of Model and Human Forecasts

Thursday, 8 November 2012: 1:30 PM-3:00 PM
Symphony I and II (Loews Vanderbilt Hotel)
Host: 26th Conference on Severe Local Storms
Chair:
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University, Department of Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO

Papers:
  1:30 PM
15.1
Diagnosing sensitivities to microphysics parameterizations in convection-allowing models using object-based time-domain diagnostics
Adam Clark, NOAA/NSSL; and J. S. Kain, T. L. Jensen, R. Bullock, M. Xue, and F. Kong
Recorded Presentation

  1:45 PM
15.2
Synoptic Control of Heavy-Rain-Producing Convective Training Episodes
John M. Peters, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and P. J. Roebber
Recorded Presentation

  2:00 PM
15.3
An Investigation into the Short-Range Predictability of Convection Initiation: Model Verification and Case Study Analyses
Brock Burghardt, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. Evans and P. Roebber
Recorded Presentation

  2:15 PM
15.4
Evaluating Dryline Position Errors in Convection-Allowing WRF Model Forecasts
Brice Evan Coffer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. C. Maudlin, P. G. Veals, and A. J. Clark
Recorded Presentation

  2:30 PM
15.5
The Australian National Thunderstorm Forecast Guidance System: Current Design, Verification and Future Plans
Harald Richter, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (1.3 MB)

  2:45 PM
15.6
Evaluation of the Storm Prediction Center's Day 3 through Day 1 Convective Outlooks
Nathan M. Hitchens, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks
Recorded Presentation

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