Panel Discussion 1 Long-term Variations in Tropical Cyclone Activity - Possible Causes and Effects

Tuesday, 25 April 2006: 7:00 PM-9:30 PM
Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)
Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator:
Russell L. Elsberry, NPS, Department of Meteorology, Monterey, CA

Papers:
7:00 PM
PD1.1
Introductory Remarks

7:10 PM
PD1.2
Summary of recent Atlantic tropical cyclone activity
Max Mayfield, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL
Recorded presentation

7:25 PM
PD1.3
Tropical Cyclone trends in a Warming Environment
Peter Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA
Recorded presentation

7:40 PM
PD1.4
Possible causes of interdecadal variations in tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific
Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
Recorded presentation

7:55 PM
PD1.5
Natural vs. forced variability of Atlantic tropical cyclones
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
Recorded presentation

8:10 PM
PD1.6
Global Warming and Extreme Tropical Cyclones: Are the tropical cyclone databases adequate for detection of climate trends?
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL
Recorded presentation

8:25 PM
PD1.7
Rebuttal (5 minutes per presenter)

8:50 PM
PD1.8
Open discussion

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