Program: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology (27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology)

Sun 23 April

Conference Registration

Monday 24 April

Conference Registration continues Through Friday 28 April

Session 1B

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii

8:00 AM

1B.2

Potential vorticity rings and eye subsidence

Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. K. Taft, C. M. Rozoff, B. D. McNoldy, J. P. Kossin, and S. R. Fulton

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (70.1 kB)

8:15 AM

1B.3

Interactions between simulated tropical cyclones and an environment with a variable coriolis parameter

Elizabeth A. Ritchie, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and W. M. Frank

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (451.6 kB)

8:30 AM

1B.4

Phase space-based evaluation of numerical forecasts of cyclone structure evolution

Jenni L. Evans, Penn State Univ, University Park, PA; and J. M. Arnott and F. Chiaromonte

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (105.7 kB)

8:45 AM

1B.5

Energetics of idealized hurricane-like vortices

Young C. Kwon, Penn State Univ, University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (80.5 kB)

9:00 AM

1B.6

Formation of the Hurricane Eye

Jonathan L. Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (203.6 kB)

9:15 AM

1B.7

A Study of Current Data Sets for Outer Wind Radii

Adam Moyer, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

1B.8

Objective identification of annular hurricanes using GOES and reanalysis data

Thomas A. Cram, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and J. A. Knaff, M. DeMaria, and J. P. Kossin

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (66.8 kB)

Session 1C

Tropical Cyclones and Climate I - Theory and Modeling

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: James Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

8:00 AM

1C.1

The 80 cyclones myth

William M. Frank, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and G. S. Young

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (64.6 kB)

8:15 AM

1C.2

Interannual to Multidecadal variability of vertical shear in the tropics: Relationship with tropical cyclone activity

Anantha R. Aiyyer, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft

Recorded presentation

1C.3

Tropical cyclones and the environment in which they grow in the NCEP Climate Forecast System

8:45 AM

1C.4

Tropical cyclone climatology in a global warming climate as simulated in a 20km–mesh global atmospheric model

Kazuyoshi Oouchi, Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and J. Yoshimura, H. Yoshimura, R. Mizuta, S. Kusunoki, and A. Noda

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (407.7 kB)

9:00 AM

1C.5

Objective detection of tropical cyclones in climate models

Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and M. Fiorino, C. W. Landsea, and K. McInnes

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (31.6 kB)

9:15 AM

1C.6

Available potential energy sources in hurricanes and climate

Olivier Pauluis, New York Univ., New York, NY

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

1C.7

Hurricane-ocean interactions during warm climates

Robert Korty, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

1C.8

Could hurricanes form from random convection in a warmer world?

David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and E. D. Rappin and K. A. Emanuel

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (518.2 kB)

Session 1A

Special Session: Results from the NASA TCSP Experiment

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: S. D. Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML

8:00 AM

1A.1

Overview of the Field Phase of the NASA Tropical Cloud Systems and Processes (TCSP) Experiment

Robbie E. Hood, NOAA Unmanned Aircraft Systems Program, Silver Spring, MD; and E. Zipser, G. M. Heymsfield, R. Kakar, J. Halverson, R. Rogers, and M. Black

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (435.6 kB)

8:15 AM

1A.2

The Intensity Forecasting Experiment (IFEX): A NOAA multi-year field program for improving tropical cyclone intensity forecasting

Robert Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. Black, R. E. Hood, J. B. Halverson, E. J. Zipser, and G. M. Heymsfield

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (343.4 kB)

8:30 AM

1A.3

Tropical cyclogenesis observations from the NASA Tropical Cloud Systems and Processes Experiment

Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and S. A. Braun

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

1A.4

Simulation of tropical cyclones from the NASA Tropical Cloud Systems and Processes Experiment

Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

1A.5

Precipitation Analysis of Passive Microwave Data from the Advanced Microwave Precipitation Radiometer during the Tropical Cloud Systems and Processes Experiment

Frank J. LaFontaine, Raytheon, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil and R. E. Hood

Presentation PDF (313.4 kB)

9:15 AM

1A.6

Investigations of a convective burst in intensifying tropical storm Gert during TCSP

J. B. Halverson, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. A. Hennon, G. M. Heymsfield, M. Black, and R. Rogers

9:30 AM

1A.7

Intense Convective Burst Observed From Hurricane Emily (2005) During TCSP

Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. R. Belcher, L. Li, L. Tian, and J. B. Halverson

9:45 AM

1A.8

Assimilation of satellite and in situ observations during TCSP for understanding tropical cyclone intensification

Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Li

Recorded presentation

Session 1D

Intraseasonal Variability I

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Gary Barnes, University of Hawaii

8:00 AM

1D.1

The initiation of the Madden–Julian Oscillation

Pallav K. Ray, MPO/RSMAS, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (658.7 kB)

8:15 AM

1D.2

Simulations of linear responses to Madden-Julian oscillation heatings

Zhe Feng, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and P. T. Haertel

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

1D.3

Potential Vorticity Aspects of the MJO

Matthew T. Masarik, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (397.6 kB)

8:45 AM

1D.4

A New Multiscale Model for the Madden–Julian Oscillation

Andrew Majda, New York Univ., New York, NY; and J. Biello

9:00 AM

1D.5

The role of meridional momentum flux in the IPEDS multiscale models of the Madden-Julian oscillation

Joseph A. Biello, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and A. J. Majda

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

1D.6

Evaluating theories of convectively-coupled equatorial waves using observations of 2-day waves

Patrick T. Haertel, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and Z. Feng

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

1D.7

The MJO problem in GCMs: What are the missing physics?

Jia-Lin Lin, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

1D.8

Impact of explicit atmosphere–ocean coupling on tropical intraseasonal ocillations

Wojciech W. Grabowski, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (76.5 kB)

Coffee Break

Session 2A

The 2005 Atlantic season

Location: Cypress (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/National Hurricane Center

10:30 AM

2A.1

Highlights of the unusually active 2005 Atlantic hurricane season-- A YEAR OF BREAKING RECORDS

Max Mayfield, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL; and L. A. Avila

10:45 AM

2A.2

Precursor climate aspects of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season

Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL; and G. D. Bell and R. J. Pasch

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (606.3 kB)

11:00 AM

2A.3

On the record 2005 hurricane season

Greg J. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

2A.4

A comparison of the tropical disturbances that spawned Hurricanes Dennis, Emily, Katrina

Arlene Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO

11:30 AM

2A.5

Evaluation of WRF-ARW high-resolution tropical storm forecasts in 2005 season

Wei Wang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Davis, J. Klemp, G. Holland, and M. DeMaria

Presentation PDF (160.4 kB)

11:45 AM

2A.6

Katrina, Rita and Wilma: Met Office model forecasts

Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and G. Greed

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.2 MB)

Session 2B

Tropical Cyclone Structure II

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: William M. Frank, Penn State University

10:30 AM

2B.1

Tropical cyclone inner core energetics and its relation to storm structural changes

Katherine S. Maclay, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (467.6 kB)

10:45 AM

2B.2

THREE-DIMENSIONAL STRUCTURES OF TROPICAL CYCLONES OBSERVED BY MULTIPLE RADARS

Qingyun Zhao, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, California; and Y. Jin

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

2B.3

Modeled secondary eyewall and spiral band dynamics

Wesley D. Terwey, University of South Alabama, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.6 MB)

11:15 AM

2B.4

Evaluation of WindSat ocean vector wind retrievals in tropical cyclones

Ian Stuart Adams, NRL, Washington, DC; and Z. Jelenak, C. C. Hennon, and W. L. Jones

11:30 AM

2B.5

Performance evaluation of rain-corrected scatterometer winds in tropical cyclones

Deborah K. Smith, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and K. Hilburn and F. J. Wentz

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (373.9 kB)

11:45 AM

2B.6

Analyzing Tropical Cyclone Rain Shields According to Storm Size

Corene J. Matyas, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (625.9 kB)

Session 2C

Tropical Cyclones and Climate II - Extracting Signals from the Data

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL

10:30 AM

2C.1

On the importance of reviewing historical tropical cyclone intensities

Bruce A. Harper, Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Brisbane, Australia; and J. Callaghan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (113.0 kB)

10:45 AM

2C.2

Deconvolution of natural internal variability and trends in the SST signal for the analysis of the increase of hurricane intensity

Paula A. Agudelo, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster, J. A. Curry, and G. J. Holland

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

2C.3

On the variability of tropical cyclones and category shifts

L. J. Pietrafesa, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and T. Karl, D. A. Dickey, L. Xie, T. Yan, S. Bao, and M. Peng

11:15 AM

2C.4

Annual Analyses of Basin and Hemispheric Tropical Cyclones Indices

David H. Levinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. H. Lawrimore, B. Gleason, and T. W. R. Wallis

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

11:30 AM

2C.5

The Lengthiest Tropical Cyclone (TC) Record in the World: Analysis of Typhoon Occurrences Since 700 AD and its Relation with Atlantic Hurricane Occurrences, Global Temperature and Solar Activity

Jorge Sanchez-Sesma, Instituto Mexicano de Tecnologia del Agua, Jiutepec, Morelos, Mexico

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (83.0 kB)

11:45 AM

2C.6

The Impact of Climate Change on Northwest Atlantic Extratropical Hurricanes and Winter Storms

William Perrie, Bedford Insitute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and J. Jiang and Z. Long

Presentation PDF (235.7 kB)

Session 2D

Intraseasonal Variability II

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Chidong Zhang, University of Miami/RSMAS

10:30 AM

2D.1

New modeling evidence of the MJO influence on ENSO

Javier Zavala-Garay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

2D.2

Seasonal dependence of the MJO-ENSO relationship

Harry Hendon, BMRC, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and M. C. Wheeler and C. Zhang

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

2D.3

Intraseasonal Kelvin waves and their relation with El Nino development

Toshiaki Shinoda, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO

11:15 AM

2D.4

Adjustment of the remote tropical climate system to El Niño conditions

Benjamin R. Lintner, Rutgers University, Rutgers, NJ; and J. C. H. Chiang

11:30 AM

2D.5

The role of equatorial Rossby waves in westerly wind bursts

Paul E. Roundy, NOAA/CIRES Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (305.6 kB)

11:45 AM

2D.6

Interaction of the South Asian and West African monsoons on intraseasonal to multidecadal timescales

Dan C. Collins, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos and P. J. Webster

Recorded presentation

Lunch Break

Session 3C

Air-Sea Interaction I

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

1:30 PM

3C.1

The Effect of the Ocean Eddy on Tropical Cyclone Intensity

Chiaying Lee, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and C. C. Wu

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (259.3 kB)

1:45 PM

3C.2

Super cyclone boosters in the northwest Pacific Ocean

I.-I. Lin, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and I. F. Pun

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (884.6 kB)

2:00 PM

3C.3

Loop Current Interactions to Hurricanes Isidore and Lili

Lynn K. Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (318.8 kB)

2:15 PM

3C.4

Influence of the Loop Current ocean heat content on hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma

Benjamin Jaimes, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, E. Uhlhorn, T. M. Cook, J. Brewster, G. R. Halliwell Jr., and P. G. Black

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (612.0 kB)

2:30 PM

3C.6

Improving Ocean State Initialization in Coupled Tropical Cyclone Forecast Models

George R. Halliwell Jr., Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, E. W. Uhlhorn, S. D. Jacob, and O. M. Smedstad

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (415.8 kB)

Session 3A

Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones I

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Sarah Jones, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe

1:30 PM

3A.1

Global temperature redistribution by recurving tropical cyclones: A wildcard in midlatitude winter forecasting

Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (669.9 kB)

1:45 PM

3A.2

The extratropical transitions of eastern Pacific Hurricane Lester (1992) and Atlantic Hurricane Andrew (1992): A comparison

Michael Dickinson, Accurate Environmental Forecasting Inc., Narragansett, RI; and L. F. Bosart and K. L. Corbosiero

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

3A.3

Forecasting Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclone Intensification via Projection Pursuit

Oguz Demirci, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (482.3 kB)

2:15 PM

3A.4

Supertyphoon Dale (1996): A remarkable storm from birth through extratropical transition to explosive reintensification that impacted the tropics, midlatitudes and the Arctic

Eric P. Kelsey, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH; and L. F. Bosart

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (877.1 kB)

2:30 PM

3A.5

The impact of extratropical transition on the downstream flow: idealised modelling study

Michael Riemer, Universität Karlsruhe, Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (701.8 kB)

2:45 PM

3A.6

Hurricanes Ivan, Jeanne, Karl (2004) and mid-latitude trough interactions

Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. S. Peng, C. A. Reynolds, and R. H. Langland

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (508.2 kB)

Session 3B

Tropical Cyclone Intensity I

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Paul D. Reasor, NOAA Hurricane Research Division

1:30 PM

3B.1

The Intensity of Wind Gust Underneath Areas of Deep Eyewall Convection in Hurricanes Katrina and Dennis at Landfall

Richard G. Henning, 46th Weather Squadron, Eglin AFB, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.2 MB)

1:45 PM

3B.2

Phenomenological analysis of forces in hurricane dynamics

Robert A. Dickerson, Independent Engineering Consultant, Zephyr Cove, Nevada

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.0 MB)

2:00 PM

3B.3

Effects of Baroclinicity and Different Initial Asymmetries on Vortex Axisymmetrization

Jiayi Peng, Environmental Modeling Center /NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD 20746, Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. Peng and T. Li

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

3B.4

A transfer function model to predict hurricane intensity

Nazario D. Ramirez, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and J. M. Castro

2:30 PM

3B.5

A fresh look at tropical cyclone pressure-wind relationships using recent reconnaissance based "best-track" data (1998-2005)

Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and J. L. Franklin and C. Landsea

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (78.2 kB)

2:45 PM

3B.6

A device to control sea surface temperature and effects on hurricane intensity

Philip W. Kithil, Atmocean, Inc., Santa Fe, NM

Recorded presentation

Session 3D

Intraseasonal Variability III

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Adam H. Sobel, Columbia Univ.

1:30 PM

3D.1

Buoy and Satellite Observations of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Variability in the Tropical Northeast Pacific

Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR; and S. K. Esbensen

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

3D.2

Temporal clustering of tropical cyclone occurrence on intraseasonal time scales

Patrick Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (135.5 kB)

2:00 PM

3D.3

A composite study of sub-monthly circulation features over East Asian monsoon area during late summer

Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan; and H. H. Hsu

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

3D.4

Summer intraseasonal variability forecasting: Analysis of a serial numerical experiment and evaluation of slow manifold modeling

Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and H. M. Kim

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

3D.5

Simulation of the northward propagation of the 30-60 day oscillation by ECHAM T42 and T106

Chih-Hua Tsou, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. C. Chen and C. T. Chen

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

3D.6

Scale Selection for Tropical Bi-weekly and Intraseasonal Oscillations

Tim Li, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and C. Zhou

Recorded presentation

Coffee Break

Session 4C

Tropical Cyclones and Climate III - Trends

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS

3:30 PM

4C.1

Global warming and hurricanes

William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (462.4 kB)

3:45 PM

4C.2

Environmental Influences on Tropical Cyclone Variability and Trends

Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (89.0 kB)

3:59 PM

4C.3

Paper 4C.3 moved to poster session 5. New Paper number P5.25

4:00 PM

4C.4

Trends in large-scale circulations and thermodynamic structures in the tropics derived from atmospheric reanalyses and climate change experiments

Junichi Tsutsui, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko, Japan; and H. L. Tanaka

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (934.3 kB)

4:15 PM

4C.5

Increasing Atlantic hurricane activity in prospect from global warming

Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and A. S. Lea

4:30 PM

4C.6

Leading Tropical Mode Associated with Increased Atlantic Hurricane Activity since 1995

Gerry Bell, NOAA/NWS/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Chelliah

4:45 PM

4C.7

Twentieth-century warming of the tropical Atlantic Main Development Region: a model-based assessment

Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ

Recorded presentation

Session 4A

Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones II

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Patrick Harr, NPS

3:30 PM

4A.1

Characteristics of North Atlantic subtropical storms

Mark P. Guishard, Penn State University, University Park, PA

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (218.4 kB)

3:45 PM

4A.2

Numerical modeling of Atlantic hurricanes moving into the middle latitudes

Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and R. Greatbatch and H. Ritchie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (933.1 kB)

4:00 PM

4A.3

Dynamical structures and precipitation distributions of transitioning tropical cyclones in Eastern Canada, 1979-2004

Shawn M. Milrad, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. Atallah and J. R. Gyakum

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

4A.4

The importance of resolved microphysics to reintensification during the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones

Brian J. Gaudet, Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and E. A. Ritchie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.7 MB)

4:30 PM

4A.5

Sensitivity of ensemble forecasts of extratropical transition to initial perturbations targeted on the tropical cyclone

Doris Anwender, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe, Germany; and M. Leutbecher, S. Jones, and P. Harr

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (693.2 kB)

4:45 PM

4A.6

Dynamics of the wind field expansion with extratropically transitioning tropical cyclones

Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (309.7 kB)

5:00 PM

4A.7

Initial condition sensitivities for Western Pacific extratropical transition events

Ryan D. Torn, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

5:15 PM

4A.8

Evolution and global impacts of a diabatically-generated warm pool: Hurricane Katrina (2005)

Ron McTaggart-Cowan, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, J. R. Gyakum, and E. Atallah

Recorded presentation

Session 4B

Tropical Cyclone Intensity II

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Christopher A. Davis, NCAR

3:30 PM

4B.1

Tropical Cyclone Response to Time Depandant, Axially Symmetric Heating

Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL

Presentation PDF (517.4 kB)

3:45 PM

4B.2

The role of the ocean in convective burst initiation: implications for tropical cyclone intensification

Paula Ann Hennon, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and J. B. Halverson

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

4B.3

Inner Core Structure and Intensity Change in Hurricane Isabel (2003)

Peter J. Kozich, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

4:15 PM

4B.4

The Impact of Multi-Satellite Data on the Initialization and Simulation of Hurricane Lili's (2002) Rapid Weakening Phase

Xiaoyan Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Q. Xiao and P. J. Fitzpatrick

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

4B.5

Upgrades to the UW-CIMSS AMSU-based tropical cyclone intensity algorithm

Derrick Herndon, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

4B.6

The evolution of low-wavenumber vorticity during rapid intensification: A dual-Doppler analysis

Matthew D. Eastin, Central College, Pella, IA; and P. D. Reasor, D. S. Nolan, F. D. Marks Jr., and J. F. Gamache

Presentation PDF (296.1 kB)

5:00 PM

4B.7

An Evaluation of the Microphysics Fields of Hurricane Dennis (2005) at Different Stages of Its Lifecycle

Robert Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. Black, P. Willis, R. Black, A. Heymsfield, A. Bansemer, and G. Heymsfield

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

5:15 PM

4B.8

The rapid intensification of Hurricane Guillermo (1997) as viewed with GPS dropwindsondes

Matthew Sitkowski, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and K. Dolling and G. Barnes

Presentation PDF (403.6 kB)

Session 4D

Africa Weather and Climate

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL

3:30 PM

4D.1

Easterly wave diagnostics

Gareth J. Berry, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and T. Hewson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

3:45 PM

4D.2

The role of Kelvin wave activity on convection and rainfall over tropical Africa

Ademe Mekonnen, North Carolina A & T State University, New York, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (246.9 kB)

4:00 PM

4D.3

Subseasonal rainfall variability in the tropical eastern Atlantic-West African region

Guojun Gu, NASA/GSFC and ESSIC, Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Adler

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

4D.4

African aerosol and precipitation in the Atlantic ITCZ

Xiaoyu Liu, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

4D.5

Recent rainfall trends across tropical West Africa: Observations and potential causes

Michael Christoph, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and A. H. Fink

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

4D.6

Robust response of Sahel precipitation to late 20th century forcings: natural or anthropogenic?

Michela Biasutti, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and A. Giannini

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

4D.7

Tropical climate variations and their impacts on circulation and precipitation in the Northwest Indian Ocean - Northeast Africa - Southwest Asia region

Damon C. Vorhees, NPS, Monterey, CA; and T. Murphree and K. D. Pfeiffer

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

4D.8

Diagnosis of African Easterly Wave Structure and Development using Quasi-Geostrophic Potential Vorticity

Daniel R. Chavas, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and M. C. Morgan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (446.2 kB)

Ice Breaker Reception (Peninsula Restaurant Terrace)

Tue 25 April

Session 5B

Tropical Cyclone Database

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Greg J. Holland, NCAR

8:00 AM

5B.1

The Atlantic basin hurricane database re-analysis for the decades of the 1910s, 1920s, and 1930s

Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and S. E. Feuer, D. A. Glenn, W. Bredemeyer, M. Chenoweth, R. Ellis, J. F. Gamache, C. J. Mock, R. Perez, J. D. Sims, and L. Woolcock

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

5B.2

The Reasons for a Reanalysis of the Typhoons Intensity in the western North Pacific

Karl Hoarau, Cergy-Pontoise University, Cergy-Pontoise, France; and L. Chalonge and J. P. Hoarau

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (286.8 kB)

8:30 AM

5B.3

The urgent need for a re-analysis of western North Pacific tropical cyclones

Mark A. Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam; and C. Guard

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (30.1 kB)

8:45 AM

5B.4

The tropical storms mailing list

William Thorson, WeatherFlow, Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

5B.5

Reanalysis of West Pacific tropical cyclone intensity 1966-1987

John A. Knaff, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and C. R. Sampson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (257.9 kB)

9:15 AM

5B.6

The re-analysis of Hurricane Connie August 12, 1955 and Ione September 19,1955

Hugh D. Cobb III, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (213.9 kB)

9:30 AM

5B.7

Re-Analysis of the Great New England Hurricane of 1938

Donna Strahan, UNC Charlotte, Charlotte, NC

Recorded presentation

5B.8

A Reassessment of the 1916, 1918, 1927, 1928, and 1935 Hurricanes of the North Atlantic Basin

Session 5C

Air-Sea Interaction II

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Lynn K. (Nick) Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

8:00 AM

5C.1

Thermodynamic structure of a hurricane's lower cloud and subcloud layers

Gary M. Barnes, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI

Presentation PDF (282.5 kB)

8:15 AM

5C.2

The Effects of Sea Spray on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Using an Idealized Model

Jeffrey S. Gall, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and Y. C. Kwon and W. Frank

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (137.9 kB)

8:30 AM

5C.3

Numerical study on impacts of the wet land boundary layer fluxes on the sustention of typhoon Nina and its rainfall

Ying Li, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Science, Beijing, China; and L. Chen

Presentation PDF (48.3 kB)

5C.4

Observations of front-to-back thermodynamic asymmetries in hurricanes

9:00 AM

5C.5

The Effect of Roll Vortices on Turbulent Fluxes in the Hurricane Boundary Layer

Jun Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Key Bisayne, FL; and W. M. Drennan, S. Lehner, K. B. Katsaros, and P. G. Black

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

5C.6

Mechanical energy and vorticity balances within the OML under tropical cyclones

Eric W. Uhlhorn, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS/MPO, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (201.1 kB)

9:30 AM

5C.7

Effects of Surface Waves and Upper Ocean on Hurricane Structure and Intensity in a Fully Coupled Model

Wei Zhao, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (668.6 kB)

9:45 AM

5C.8

Numerical simulation of the interaction from an ocean/land/atmosphere coupled model. Part I: results from the ocean/atmosphere coupled model

Yihong Duan, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and X. Liang and R. Yu

Session 5D

Monsoons I

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: John Molinari, Univ. at Albany/SUNY

8:00 AM

5D.1

Seasonality in the predictability of Indonesian monsoonal climate

Alessandra Giannini, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction/Columbia University, Palisades, NY

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

5D.2

Seasonal transitions of zonally symmetric circulations

William R. Boos, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (267.7 kB)

5D.3

Onset and variability of the South American Monsoon

8:45 AM

5D.4

The first transition of the Asian summer monsoon, intraseasonal oscillation, and Taiwan Meiyu

Chih-wen Hung, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and H. H. Hsu

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

9:00 AM

5D.5

The relationship between ENSO and East Asian Monsoon revealed by Taiwan climate variations

Mong-Ming Lu, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan

Presentation PDF (845.3 kB)

9:15 AM

5D.6

Interaction between South China Sea monsoon and Indian monsoon

Rosbintarti Kartika Lestari, Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University, Japan, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan; and T. Iwasaki

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

5D.7

Relationship between Amazon and High Andes rainfall

Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook

Presentation PDF (343.1 kB)

9:45 AM

5D.8

Using information content of coupled climate model simulations to generate multimodel projections of monsoon variability

Viatcheslav V. Tatarskii, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and D. C. Collins and P. Webster

Session 5A

RIsk Management

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Sytske K. Kimball, Univ. of South Alabama

8:00 AM

5A.1

How NWS Impact Statements Were Used to Communicate Imminent Danger from Severe Hurricanes

Barry S. Goldsmith, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (271.0 kB)

8:15 AM

5A.2

Information forecasting for hurricane preparation

Eva Regnier, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. Harr

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (47.9 kB)

8:30 AM

5A.3

Hurricane Katrina's wind field: Synthesizing wind observations to construct an analysis of record

Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Tallahassee, FL

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

5A.4

Event Response Activities for the Near-Real Time Assessment of Financial Losses in Landfalling Hurricanes

Richard Dixon, Risk Management Solutions, Inc., Newark, CA; and A. Boissonnade, T. Krebs, and A. O'Shay

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (31.8 kB)

9:00 AM

5A.5

Providing short-fused warnings for the onset of extreme hurricane winds—a final opportunity to minimize casualties

Scott M. Spratt, NOAA/NWSFO, Melbourne, FL; and B. C. Hagemeyer and D. L. Jacobs

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.9 MB)

9:15 AM

5A.6

Stochastic modeling of tropical cyclone track data

Jonas Rumpf, University of Ulm, Ulm, Germany; and E. Rauch, V. Schmidt, and H. Weindl

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.3 MB)

9:30 AM

5A.7

Gust factors in hurricane and non-hurricane conditions

Craig Miller, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (39.7 kB)

9:45 AM

5A.8

Correlation of topographic speed-up factors and building damage ratios for Hurricane Fabian in Bermuda

Kimberly J. Mueller, Risk Management Solutions, Inc., Newark, CA; and C. Miller, K. Beatty, and A. Boissonnade

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (260.7 kB)

Coffee Break

Session 6A

Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones III

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Jenni L. Evans, The Pennsylvania State University

6A.1

Evaluation of ECMWF ensemble forecasts of cyclone structure evolution through ET Using the Cyclone Phase Space

10:45 AM

6A.2

Detecting tropical cyclone structural change with the TRMM Precipitation Radar (PR), Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU) and Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (MPA)

Stephen R. Guimond, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and F. J. Turk, C. B. Blankenship, and J. D. Hawkins

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (559.9 kB)

11:00 AM

6A.3

A Study on the Extratropical Transition of Typhoon Xangsane (2000)

C-S. Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. C. Lu

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.0 MB)

11:15 AM

6A.4

Asymmetric structure and maintenance in Hurricane Juan

Weiqing Zhang, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and W. Perrie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (665.4 kB)

11:30 AM

6A.5

Adjoint-derived forecast sensitivity study of hurricane track and extratropical transition

Michael C. Morgan, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

6A.6

The overland reintensification of Tropical Storm Danny (1997)

Nick P. Bassill, University of SUNY, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. C. Morgan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (603.2 kB)

Session 6C

Air-sea Interaction III

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ.

10:30 AM

6C.1

Development of a coupled hurricane-wave-ocean model toward improving air-sea flux parameterization in high wind conditions

Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. J. Moon, B. Thomas, T. Hara, H. L. Tolman, and M. A. Bender

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

6C.2

Evaluation of Upper Ocean Mixing Parameterizations for use in Coupled Models

S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. M. Le Vine, L. K. Shay, G. R. Halliwell, C. Lozano, and A. Mehra

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.8 MB)

11:00 AM

6C.3

Oceanic Heat Content Variability in Eastern Pacific Ocean

Jodi K. Brewster, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (211.1 kB)

11:15 AM

6C.4

Using AXBTs to improve the performance of coupled hurricane-ocean models

Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis, E. W. Uhlhorn, and A. Falkovich

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (554.2 kB)

11:30 AM

6C.5

The Asymmetry of Coastal Water Level Response to Landfalling Hurricanes Simulated by A Three-Dimensional Storm Surge Model

Machuan Peng, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and L. Pietrafesa

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (261.5 kB)

11:45 AM

6C.6

Local and non-local response of the Straits of Florida to tropical cyclones during 1999-2005

Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern Univ., Dania Beach, FL; and R. E. Dodge, T. Gustafson, M. E. Luther, and R. H. Weisberg

Recorded presentation

Session 6D

Monsoons II

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology

10:30 AM

6D.1

A new conceptual model for the meridional circulation of the West African monsoon

Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and P. Woodworth

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

6D.2

The onset of the West African monsoon: A numerical study

Samson M. Hagos, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York; and K. H. Cook

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (203.9 kB)

11:00 AM

6D.3

The development of intense convective systems in West Africa in wet and dry years, 1998-2005

Karen I. Mohr, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. Thorncroft

11:15 AM

6D.4

Rainfall types and associated vertical stability-shear weather regimes during the 2002 West African monsoon season

Andreas H. Fink, University of Cologne, Köln, Germany; and V. Ermert and D. G. Vincent

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

6D.5

Nocturnal Stratiform Cloudiness and the Structure of the Atmosphere during the West African Summer Monsoon

Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and S. Augustyn and A. H. Fink

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

6D.6

An unusual dry-season precipitation event over West Africa: The role of an extratropical upper-level disturbance for the heat low and a surge in the monsoonal southwesterlies

Peter Knippertz, University of Mainz, Mainz, Germany; and A. H. Fink

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.2 MB)

Session 6B

Tropical Cyclone Structure III - Eyewall Dynamics

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT

10:30 AM

6B.1

Tropical cyclone multiple eyewall configurations

Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Helveston, T. F. Lee, F. J. Turk, K. Richardson, C. Sampson, J. Kent, and R. Wade

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (255.1 kB)

10:45 AM

6B.2

Vortex interactions and the barotropic aspects of concentric eyewall formation

H.-C. Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and W. H. Schubert

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.6 MB)

11:00 AM

6B.3

Inner core convective asymmetries and vortex Rossby waves in Atlantic basin tropical cyclones

Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and M. L. Black, A. R. Aiyyer, and J. Molinari

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

6B.4

The dynamics of the eyewall evolution in a landfalling typhoon

Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and H. J. Cheng

Presentation PDF (1.2 MB)

11:30 AM

6B.5

A new pathway to polygonal eyewalls and asymmetric eyewall contraction

Pedro J. Mulero, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (137.1 kB)

11:45 AM

6B.6

Concentric eyewall simulated in a fully compressible, nonhydrostatic, multiply nested, movable mesh tropical cyclone model (TCM4)

Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI

Recorded presentation

12:00 PM

6B.7

The formation of concentric eyewall in hurricane Floyd (1999)

M. K. Yau, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and Y. Chen and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

6B.8

Tropical cyclone eyewall cycle impact on intensity and wind field structure

Lunch Break

Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 1

Precipitation/Storm Surge/Flooding

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P1.1

Effect of convective entrainment/detrainment on simulation of tropical precipitation diurnal cycle: A regional model sensitivity study

Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and L. Zhou and K. Hamilton

P1.2

The numerical simulation for the heavy rainfall over a mountainous area in Japan caused by typhoon Meari (2004)

P1.3

Precipitation response to environmental forcing in tropical cyclones

Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama in Huntsville, huntsville, AL

P1.4

Validation of Satellite-based Rainfall Estimates for Severe Storms (Hurricanes & Tornados)

Nasim Nourozi, NOAA-CREST/CUNY, New York, NY; and S. Mahani and R. Khanbilvardi

P1.5

Evaluation of Satellite-Based Estimates of Precipitation In the Yucatan Region During Hurricane Wilma

F. J. Turk, NRL, Monterey, CA; and G. J. Huffman, R. J. Joyce, C. Kidd, and R. Kuligowski

Handout (2.4 MB)

P1.6

Stochastic Modeling of Typhoon-induced Flood in Taiwan

Poster Session 2

The North American Monsoon

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P2.1

Intercomparison of Diurnal Variability of Rainfall Retrieved from PERSIANN-CCS and NAME NERN Gage Measurements in North American Monsoon (NAM) area

Jiangtao Cheng, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and Y. Hong, X. Gao, K. L. Hsu, and S. Sorooshian

P2.2

Diurnal cycle of sea surface winds and temperatures during the 2004 North American Monsoon Experiment

Brian D. McNoldy, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and P. E. Ciesielski and R. H. Johnson

Handout (2.2 MB)

P2.3

The contribution of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclones to the warn season rainfall climatology of the southwestern United States

Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Dickinson and L. F. Bosart

P2.4

The impact of tropical cyclone remnants on the rainfall of the North American southwest region

Elizabeth A. Ritchie, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and D. Szenasi

Handout (262.4 kB)

P2.5

On the Relationship Between Horizontal Organization of Precipitating Systems, Easterly Waves and Gulf Surges

Gustavo Pereira, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. A. Rutledge

P2.6

Interannual variability of near-coastal eastern Pacific tropical cyclones

David S. Gutzler, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and E. A. Ritchie, A. V. Douglas, and M. D. Lewis

Handout (111.9 kB)

Poster Session 3

Tropical Cyclone Genesis

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P3.1

Climatological Analysis and Prognosis of Tropical Cyclone Genesis over the Western North Pacific on the Background of Global Warming

P3.2

What is the trigger for tropical cyclogenesis?

David S. Nolan, Rosenstiel School, Miami, FL

P3.3

A numerical study of near-equatorial genesis of Typhoon Vamei

Christopher R. S. Chambers, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and T. Li

P3.4

Tropical cyclone energy dispersion in a three-timension model: upper tropospheric influence

Xuyang Ge, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li

P3.5

Kinetic energy efficiencies of idealized developing tropical cyclones

Daniel P. Stern, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and D. S. Nolan

Handout (509.2 kB)

P3.6

roles of cloud physics in development of tropical cyclone

Masahiro Sawada, Tohoku university, sendai, miyagi, Japan; and T. Iwasaki and S. Weiming

P3.7

The development of QuikSCAT-derived surface vorticity during tropical cyclogenesis

Elizabeth M. Minter, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida; and P. D. Reasor and M. A. Bourassa

P3.9

Cyclogenesis and Tropical Transition in decaying frontal zones

Michelle L. Stewart, COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa

P3.10

Coherent disturbances in the tropics: Climatology, vertical structure and relationship with tropical cyclones

Anantha R. Aiyyer, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Molinari

P3.11

Hurricane genesis study using WRF

Nelsie A. Ramos, Howard University, Washington, DC

Poster Session 4

Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P4.1

Consensus Estimates of Tropical Cyclone Intensity using Integrated Multispectral (IR and MW) Satellite Observations

Christopher Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. C. Herndon, J. Kossin, J. Hawkins, and M. DeMaria

Handout (112.7 kB)

P4.2

The intensification of cyclones from asymmetric heating revisited: energetics and weakly nonlinear effects

Yumin Moon, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan

Handout (74.9 kB)

P4.3

The Influence of Multi-Level Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclones

Brian H. Tang, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel

P4.4

Intensity change of simulated tropical cyclones

P4.5

A Recalculation of MPI Using Upper—Ocean Depth—Averaged temperatures: climatology and Case Studies

Michael C. Watson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

P4.6

The Operational Challenges of Forecasting TC Intensity Change in the Presence of Dry Air and Strong Vertical Shear

Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb

Handout (246.5 kB)

P4.7

The impact of environmental dry air and shear on the intensity of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005) before landfall

Steven E. Feuer, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. P. Dunion, J. Kaplan, and S. B. Goldenberg

P4.8

The role of environmental inertial stability in tropical cyclone intensification: Symmetric environment

Eric D. Rappin, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and M. C. Morgan and G. J. Tripoli

P4.9

Nonlinear interaction of axisymmetric circulation and nonaxisymmetric disturbances in hurricanes

Zhao Yu Sr., Tianjin Meteorological Institutation, Tianjin, China; and L. Xiaoying

P4.10

Doppler radar investigations of the inner core of Typhoon Songda (2004): Polygonal/ elliptical eyewalls, eye contraction, and small-scale spiral bands

Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and W. Mashiko

Handout (250.1 kB)

P4.11

Gravity wave-like structures observed in onshore typhoon boundary layer of Typhoon Kirogi (2000)

Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Irie

Handout (591.4 kB)

P4.12

Tropical Cyclone Wind Characteristics for the Bangladesh Coast Using Monte Carlo Simulation

Tanveerul Islam, Florida A&M University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Peterson

Handout (343.0 kB)

P4.13

Analysis and Detection of Tornadoes Associated with Hurricane Emily

Kurt M. Van Speybroeck, NWS, Brownsville, TX; and M. Martin, Jr., A. Partick, and J. Haro

Handout (706.0 kB)

P4.14

Investigating the boundary layer wind structure in numerically simulated landfalling hurricanes

John Walker, University of South Alabama, Moble, AL; and S. K. Kimball

P4.15

Shear-Induced Vertical Circulations in Tropical Cyclones

Da-Lin Zhang, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and C. Q. Kieu

P4.16

A cloud-resolving simulation of Typhoon Rusa (2002) : Polygonal eyewall and mesovortices structure

Wataru Mashiko, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan

Handout (870.6 kB)

P4.17

Dynamic Characteristics of Typhoon Vortex Spiral Wave and Its Translation: A Diagnostic Analysis

Xiangde Xu, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, P. R. China, China; and S. Zhang, L. Chen, and F. Wei

P4.18

What Sets a Hurricane's Radius of Maximum Wind?

Agnieszka A. Smith-Mrowiec, NASA GISS / Columbia University, New York, NY; and S. T. Garner and O. Pauluis

P4.19

Validation of QuikSCAT wind retrievals in hurricanes

Christopher C. Hennon, Univ. of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and D. G. Long and F. J. Wentz

P4.20

An alternate method for extracting wind structure guidance from numerical models

P4.21

A study on the intensity change of typhoon Nakri (0208) - observation and GDAPS data analysis

Baek-Jo Kim, MRI, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and K. Kang, C. H. Cho, and H. S. Chung

Handout (2.4 MB)

P4.22

Effects of Landfall location and teh approach angle of a cyclone encountering a mesoscale mountain range

Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. C. Savage III and C. M. Hill

Handout (622.8 kB)

P4.23

A closer look at tropical cyclones in vertical shear flow: Diabatic heating and vortex resliency

Paul D. Reasor, NOAA Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL; and M. D. Eastin and D. S. Nolan

Poster Session 5

Tropical Cyclone Modeling and Prediction

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P5.1

Application of Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit products to NOGAPS hurricane initialization

Bing Fu, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li, M. S. Peng, T. Zhu, F. Weng Sr., and T. F. Hogan

P5.2

Impact of satellite observations and forecast model improvements on tropical cyclone track forecasts

James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA; and T. F. Hogan

Handout (44.4 kB)

P5.3

An internal tropical cyclone tracker for numerical models

Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin

P5.4

The sensitivity of hurricane simulations to the distribution of vertical levels

F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball

Handout (48.7 kB)

P5.5

Improving Hurricane Visualization

Henry R. Winterbottom, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou and G. Erlebacher

P5.6

Evaluation of a tropical cyclone tracker for operational use with the COAMPS© regional model

Jeff Lerner, Vaisala, Seattle, WA; and A. Hergert and C. Dickerman

Handout (309.4 kB)

P5.7

Satellite Imagery Display and Analysis System (SIDAS): Tropical Cyclone Applications at the Air Force Weather Agency

P5.8

A recent history of the GFDN Tropical Cyclone Forecast Model

Carey L. Dickerman, FNMOC, Monterey, CA; and C. Dickerman

Handout (66.5 kB)

P5.9

Test of a mesoscale model over the south west Indian ocean for cyclones analysis and prediction

Samuel Westrelin, Météo-France, Sainte Clotilde, La Réunion, France; and F. Ghislain, L. Berre, and J. M. Willemet

Handout (299.4 kB)

P5.10

Assessment of the Doppler Radar for Airport Weather (DRAW) system in Japan as a research tool for studying typhoon

Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan

Handout (122.9 kB)

P5.11

Two cases illustrating limitations in forecasting tropical cyclones

Philippe Caroff, Météo-France, La Réunion, France; and A. C. Fontan

Handout (312.3 kB)

P5.12

Improvements in integrated satellite reconnaissance tropical cyclone fix accuracy

Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Tiyan, Guam; and T. P. Hendricks, J. A. Gibbs, and M. A. Lander

P5.13

Hurricane Relocation in Global Ensemble Forecast System

Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Lord, N. Surgi, Y. Zhu, R. Wobus, Z. Toth, and T. Marchok

Handout (52.8 kB)

P5.14

The Sensitivity of WRF Simulations of Hurricane Ivan to Choice of Cumulus Parameterization

Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

Handout (292.4 kB)

P5.15

The Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT): Progress and future plans

P5.16

Prediction of trends of tropical storms in the North Atlantic basin

Nazario D. Ramirez, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and J. M. Castro, J. Gonzalez, and M. Angeles

Handout (136.4 kB)

P5.17

Assimilating Rain-Affected Microwave Radiances Withing Tropical Cyclones Using the COAMPS Adjoint Model

Clark M. Amerault, NRL, Monterey, CA

P5.18

Effects of cloud microphysical processes on hurricane intensification: WRF simulations of Hurricane Dennis (2005)

P5.19

A Comparison of Tropical Cyclone Hydrometeor Profiles from TRMM, Airborne Radar, and High-resolution simulations

Robert Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. Black, F. Marks, K. Valde, and S. S. Chen

Handout (399.4 kB)

P5.20

Spatial and temporal variability of North Atlantic hurricane tracks

Tingzhuang Yan, Dept. of Marine. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NC State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, L. J. Pietrafesa, and T. R. Karl

P5.21

Application of stochastic and deterministic modeling to hurricane wind risk assessment

Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and S. Ravela, E. Vivant, and C. Risi

Handout (91.0 kB)

P5.22

Graphical mapping of tropical cyclone forecast wind probabilities worldwide

Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and P. Yuen

Handout (157.2 kB)

P5.23

Seasonal prediction of typhoon activity in the Northwest Pacific basin

Adam S. Lea, Department of Space & Climate Physics, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders

P5.24

Temporal Variance of Typhoon Disasters in Recent Six Centuries in Shanghai and Preventing ,Mitigating Strategies

Ming Xu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and Q. Yang, Y. Duan, and M. Ying

P5.25

Impacts of Climate Change on Tropical Storms (Hurricanes)

Rouzbeh Nazari, NOAA-CREST, College (CCNY) at the City University of New York (CUNY), New York, NY; and S. Mahani and R. Khanbilvardi

Poster Session 6

Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P6.1

The extratropical transition of Tropical Storm Ophelia (2005): Summary of forecasts and meteorological observations

Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center, Dartmouth, NS, Canada

Handout (1.5 MB)

P6.2

Medium-range to seasonal precursor conditions to higher latitude landfalls of extratropically transitioning hurricanes

Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Hart

Handout (332.5 kB)

P6.3

Using ERA40 in Cyclone Phase Space to refine the classification of historical tropical storms

Danielle Manning, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart

Handout (263.0 kB)

P6.4

ERA40 and SSMI precipitation composites for cyclone phase space evolutions of extratropically transitioning tropical cyclones

Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. N. Maue

P6.5

Warm seclusion cyclone climatology

Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

P6.6

ET frontal/surface wind evolution observed by QuikSCAT

Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

P6.7

Predictability associated with the downstream impacts of the extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones

Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. Anwender and S. Jones

Handout (481.1 kB)

P6.8

Structural changes of low level wind field of tropical cyclones in idealised extratropical transition scenarios

Michael Riemer, Universität Karlsruhe, Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and P. Hofheinz and S. C. Jones

P6.9

Forecasting and Adaptive Observing Issues in Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones

David E. Kofron, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. D. Aberson and S. J. Majumdar

P6.10

Synoptic Composites of the Extratropical Transition Lifecycle of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: Factors Determining Post-Transition Evolution

Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. L. Evans and C. Evans

Poster Session 7

The 2005 Atlantic Season

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P7.1

Summary of Texas Tech University's hurricanes at landfall project 2005

Ian M. Giammanco, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder and B. P. Edwards

Handout (645.9 kB)

P7.2

Evaluation of the AODT v6.4.2 in an operational setting during the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season

Michael A. Turk, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD

P7.3

A comparison of targeting techniques for 2005 Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and C. C. Wu, S. J. Majumdar, and S. D. Aberson

Handout (407.3 kB)

P7.4

Hurricane Ivan Damage Survey

Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Dallas, TX

Handout (1.4 MB)

P7.5

Hurricane Katrina Damage Survey

Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Dallas, TX

Handout (1.6 MB)

P7.6

The University of South Alabama Mesonet and data collected during the 2005 Hurricane Season

Jason Holmes, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball and K. Blackwell

P7.8

Simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) with the 0.125 degree finite-volume General Circulation Model on the NASA Columbia Supercomputer

Bo-Wen Shen, SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Atlas, O. Reale, S. J. Lin, J. D. Chern, J. Chang, and C. E. Henze

P7.9

Ensemble analyses and predictions of Hurricane Katrina

Ryan D. Torn, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim

P7.10

Eyewall evolution of Hurricane Katrina near landfall using NEXRAD reflectivity and radial velocity data

Kimberly D. Campo, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and T. M. Rickenbach

Handout (394.0 kB)

P7.11

Mesoscale Model Investigation of Ocean-Atmospheric Interactions and Intensity Change Associated with Hurricane Katrina Land Fall over Louisiana-Mississippi

R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and H. Chekuru, A. Surakanti, and G. S. Holmes

P7.12

Synthesis of common structure features at landfall in Hurricanes Katrina and Wilma using real-time airborne and ground-based observations

Peter G. Black, Unmanned Systems Division, Cherokee Nation Technologies, LLC; supporting NOAA UAS Program Office, Salinas, CA; and E. W. Uhlhorn, J. F. Gamache, P. P. Dodge, M. D. Powell, F. D. Marks Jr., and R. Atlas

P7.13

The impact of the Loop Current on the GFDL/URI coupled hurricane-ocean model intensity forecasts of hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma in the Gulf of Mexico

Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and B. Thomas and A. Falkovich

Poster Session 8

Tropical Waves and Intraseasonal Variability

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P8.1

Atmospheric intraseasonal variability and the seasonal cycle over tropical Indo-Pacific region

Hugo Bellenger, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel

P8.2

Tropical intraseasonal variability in 22 IPCC, DEMETER and NCEP global models

Jia-Lin Lin, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

P8.3

Precipitation structures and atmospheric waves over the tropical ocean

Abigail Swann, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and A. H. Sobel, S. E. Yuter, and G. N. Kiladis

P8.4

Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves in Observations and Models

P8.5

Mechanisms of large-scale wave organization in a two-dimensional cloud resolving model

Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES-NOAA/ESRL PSD Climate Diagnostics, Boulder, CO; and B. Mapes and G. N. Kiladis

P8.6

Vertical wind distribution in the tropical upper troposphere observed by Equatorial Atmospheric Radar

P8.7

Structure of tropical variability from a vertical mode perspective

Matthew Peters, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. S. Bretherton

P8.8

Mid-summer gap winds and low-level circulation over the Eastern Tropical Pacific

Rosario Romero-Centeno, Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM), México City (D.F.), México, Mexico City, DF, Mexico; and J. Zavala-Hidalgo and G. B. Raga

Handout (994.4 kB)

Poster Session 9

Monsoons

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P9.1

An extreme Saharan dust outbreak in spring 2004 and its impact on the onset of the West African monsoon

Peter Knippertz, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and A. H. Fink

Handout (2.9 MB)

P9.2

The role of equatorial waves in the onset of the 1998 South China Sea summer monsoon

Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and G. N. Kiladis and P. E. Ciesielski

P9.3

Annual Cycle of Southeast Asia—Maritime Continent Rainfall and the Asymmetric Seasonal Transition

Zhuo Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and C. P. Chang

P9.4

SST cooling in the western North Pacific and its association with regional climate variations during summer

Hiroki Tokinaga, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and Q. Moteki, K. Yasunaga, H. Kubota, and R. Shirooka

P9.5

Axisymmetric and asymmetric monsoons in idealized experiments

Simona Bordoni, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and T. Schneider and B. Stevens

Poster Session 10

Tropical Convection, Clouds, and Rainfall

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P10.1

Bias correction of rainfall simulation in east asia using a statistical-dynamic method

Jung-Lien Chu, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. T. Chen

Handout (266.3 kB)

P10.2

Consistency check of TRMM rainfall estimates using a radiative transfer model

Shoichi Shige, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan; and H. Sasaki and K. Okamoto

P10.3

Heavy Rain Events on the South Facing Slopes of Puerto Rico

P10.4

Melting-layer cloud observed over the tropical western Pacific

Kazuaki Yasunaga, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan; and K. Yoneyama, H. Kubota, H. Okamoto, A. Shimizu, H. Kumagai, M. Katsumata, N. Sugimoto, and I. Matsui

Handout (2.9 MB)

P10.5

The suppression of deep convection in the southwest Caribbean

Jorge Cisneros, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond and D. Martinez

Handout (228.2 kB)

P10.6

Time and space variability of convective and stratiform rain in South Florida

P10.7

The tropical warm pool international cloud experiment (TWP-ICE)

James H. Mather, PNNL, Richland, WA

P10.8

Impacts of model resolution on the statistical behavior of simulated convection

Olivier Pauluis, New York Univ., New York, NY; and S. T. Garner

P10.9

Numerical simulation of tropical convective systems during TOGA COARE IOP using ARPS mesoscale model

P10.10

Synoptic variability of the tropical convection over Central Africa

Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMD), Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel

P10.11

Diurnal variation of radar echoes and their possible role of preconditioning the atmospheric humidity

Tomoki Ushiyama, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and R. Shirooka, H. Kubota, T. Chuda, K. Yoneyama, M. Katsumata, H. Yamada, M. Fujita, N. Satoh, K. K. Reddy, and H. Uyeda

Handout (2.8 MB)

P10.12

A global, 2-hourly atmospheric precipitable water dataset from ground-based GPS measurements for diurnal cycle studies

Junhong Wang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Zhang and A. Dai

P10.13

The diurnal cycle and propagation of deep convective clouds in Africa

Arlene Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and V. Levizzani and R. E. Carbone

Handout (311.2 kB)

Poster Session 11

Ocean-Atmosphere

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P11.1

The combined daily cycle of the upper ocean and lower troposphere over the East Pacific Cold Tongue

P11.2

Sea surface temperature signatures of oceanic internal waves in low winds

J. Tom Farrar, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA; and C. J. Zappa, R. Weller, and A. T. Jessup

Handout (2.4 MB)

P11.3

Indo-Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Perturbations Associated with Intraseasonal Oscillations of the Tropical Convection

Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. Vialard

P11.4

Interannual Variability of Surface heat fluxes and upper ocean under stratus cloud decks in Souteast Pacific

Toshiaki Shinoda, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO

Handout (40.4 kB)

P11.5

Idealized hotspot experiments with a general circulation model

Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR; and A. H. Sobel

P11.6

Dynamics of the Indian Ocean response to atmospheric intraseasonal oscillations

Sara Vieira, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and E. Di Lorenzo and P. J. Webster

Poster Session 12

Marine Boundary Layer

Location: Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P12.1

Air-sea fluxes in Hurricane Frances (2004) from dropsonde data and a coupled model

Mélicie Desflots, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen and W. Zhao

P12.2

Toward an Emperical Relationship for the Dynamical Reponse of the 26 C Isotherm to TC Speed and Intensity

Elizabeth M. Minter, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida; and H. R. Winterbottom

P12.3

Toward an empirical relationship between TC intensity, TC motion, and the depth of the 26C isotherm

P12.4

Wind patterns in FNL and MM5 simulations during the EPIC2001 project

Julio C. Marin, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico, DF, Mexico; and D. Raymond and G. B. Raga

Handout (429.0 kB)

P12.5

Frictional decoupling and the inertial oscillation in stable marine atmospheric boundary layers

Costas Helmis, Univ. of Athens, Athens, Greece; and Q. Wang, G. Sgouros, and S. Wang

Handout (233.0 kB)

P12.6

The dynamics of the shallow circulation and its associated moisture transport

David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang

P12.7

Two-way coupled mesoscale air-sea interaction in hurricane Frances (2004) and Katrina (2005)

Hao Jin, SAIC, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, R. M. Hodur, and Y. Jin

Panel Discussion 1

Long-term Variations in Tropical Cyclone Activity - Possible Causes and Effects

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Moderator: Russell L. Elsberry, NPS

7:00 PM

PD1.1

Introductory Remarks

7:10 PM

PD1.2

Summary of recent Atlantic tropical cyclone activity

Max Mayfield, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

7:25 PM

PD1.3

Tropical Cyclone trends in a Warming Environment

Peter Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA

Recorded presentation

7:40 PM

PD1.4

Possible causes of interdecadal variations in tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific

Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

Recorded presentation

7:55 PM

PD1.5

Natural vs. forced variability of Atlantic tropical cyclones

Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Recorded presentation

8:10 PM

PD1.6

Global Warming and Extreme Tropical Cyclones: Are the tropical cyclone databases adequate for detection of climate trends?

Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

8:25 PM

PD1.7

Rebuttal (5 minutes per presenter)

8:50 PM

PD1.8

Open discussion

Wed 26 April

Session 7C

Special Session: CBLAST LOW

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: James B. Edson, University of Connecticut

8:00 AM

7C.1

Evaluation and continued improvements to the TOGA COARE 3.0 bulk flux algorithm using CBLAST data

James B. Edson, University of Connecticut, Groton, CT; and C. W. Fairall

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (361.9 kB)

8:15 AM

7C.2

Contributions of Swell to Air-Sea Interactions under Weak Wind Conditions

Jielun Sun, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. P. Burns, J. B. Edson, D. Khelif, L. Mahrt, D. Vickers, and T. Hristov

8:30 AM

7C.3

Evaluation of air-sea bulk formula

Dean Vickers, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and L. Mahrt

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (406.3 kB)

8:45 AM

7C.4

Wind, waves and Langmuir circulation during CBLAST-Low

Albert J. Plueddemann, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA

Presentation PDF (819.6 kB)

7C.5

Very stable marine boundary layers

9:15 AM

7C.6

Momentum flux structures and statistics in low-wind marine surface layers: Observations and large-eddy simulations

Peter P. Sullivan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Edson, T. Hristov, and J. C. McWilliams

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.4 MB)

9:30 AM

7C.7

Effects of mesoscale SST fronts on the marine boundary layer

Eric D. Skyllingstad, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and L. Mahrt and D. Vickers

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

7C.8

Coherent structures in ocean skin temperature variability

Christopher J. Zappa, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and A. T. Jessup, J. T. Farrar, and R. A. Weller

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (570.9 kB)

Session 7A

Tropical Cyclone Prediction I - Model Development

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Chris Fogarty, EC

8:00 AM

7A.1

Operational tropical cyclone forecast model improvements at FNMOC

Jeffrey A. Lerner, FNMOC, Monterey, CA

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

7A.2

The Hurricane WRF (HWRF): Addressing our Nation's next generation hurricane forecast problems

Naomi Surgi, Environmental Modeling Center/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Gopalkrishnan, Q. Liu, R. E. Tuleya, and W. O'Connor

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

7A.3

NCEP's Two-way-Interactive-Moving-Nest NMM-WRF modeling system for Hurricane Forecasting

S.G. Gopalakrishnan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, R. Tuleya, and Z. Janjic

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (353.3 kB)

8:45 AM

7A.4

A summary of recent GFDL model upgrades and plans for 2006

Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. Marchok, I. Ginis, B. Thomas, and I. J. Moon

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

7A.5

Evaluations of the AFWA Weather Research Forecast Model Tropical Cyclone Predictions

William R. Ryerson, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry, S. Rugg, and J. Weigel

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (152.6 kB)

9:15 AM

7A.6

A comparison of adaptive observing guidance for Atlantic tropical cyclones

Sharanya J. Majumdar, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. D. Aberson, C. Bishop, R. Buizza, M. S. Peng, and C. A. Reynolds

9:30 AM

7A.7

Interpretation of tropical cyclone targeting guidance

C. A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng, S. J. Majumdar, S. D. Aberson, C. H. Bishop, and R. Buizza

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (229.7 kB)

9:45 AM

7A.8

Hurricane WRF model transition to operations at NCEP/EMC: Sensitivity of results to surface fluxes and convection

Robert Tuleya, EMC, Norfolk, VA; and N. Surgi, S. Gopalkrishnan, and D. Johnson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (130.3 kB)

Session 7B

Tropical Cyclone Landfall

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD

8:00 AM

7B.1

The perspective below: ground-level reconnaissance in landfalling hurricanes

Forrest Masters, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and P. G. Black and M. D. Powell

8:15 AM

7B.2

Topographic effetcs on Typhoon Nari (2001): Verification and sensitivity experiments

Ming-Jen Yang, National Central University, Chung-Li, Taiwan; and H. L. Huang

Presentation PDF (56.2 kB)

8:30 AM

7B.3

Tropical Cyclone Landfall under the influence of Uniform Flow

William C. T. Shum, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and J. C. L. Chan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (315.7 kB)

8:45 AM

7B.4

Stable Isotopes in Hurricanes Katrina (2005) and Ivan (2004)

James Robert Lawrence, Univ. of Houston, Houston, TX; and S. D. Gedzelman and K. Y. Kong

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (147.8 kB)

9:00 AM

7B.5

Spatial structure and evolution of 10m winds and rainfall in modeled hurricanes at landfall

Sytske K. Kimball, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

7B.6

Analyses and Modeling of Typhoon Imbudo in 2003

Gang Fu, DELL, Camp Springs, MD; and Q. Li and Y. Duan

9:30 AM

7B.7

Collapsing precipitation cores in open-eyewall hurricanes at landfall: Are these cores actually downbursts associated with extreme surface wind gusts?

Jason Holmes, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and K. G. Blackwell, R. A. Wade, and C. Holt

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.6 MB)

9:45 AM

7B.8

An Examination of the Synoptic and Mesoscale Environments Involved in Tornado Outbreaks from Hurricane's Frances (2004) and Jeanne (2004) over Northeast Coastal Georgia and Southern South Carolina

Paul Yura, NOAA/NWSFO, New Braunfels, TX; and F. Alsheimer and J. Calderone

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (739.0 kB)

Session 7D

Tropical Convection I

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Organizer: Courtney Schumaker, Texas A&M

8:00 AM

7D.1

On the role of cross-equatorial pressure gradients in the development of tropical convection over the Eastern Pacific Ocean: A Modeling Study

Violeta Toma, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster

8:15 AM

7D.2

The origin of systematic errors in the GCM simulation of ITCZ precipitation

Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. J. Suarez, J. T. Bacmeister, B. Chen, and L. L. Takacs

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.4 MB)

8:30 AM

7D.3

The boundary layer contribution to intertropical convergence zones in the quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model framework

Adam H. Sobel, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and J. D. Neelin

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

7D.4

Geographic variability in the export of moist static energy in the Tropical Pacific

Larissa E. Back, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

7D.5

Meridional moisture transport by tropical synoptic scale disturbances over the Pacific and Atlantic basins

Chia-chi Wang, Department of Earth System Science, Univ. of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (417.1 kB)

9:15 AM

7D.6

Convectively coupled waves in DARE simulations on an equatorial β-plane

Zhiming Kuang, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

7D.7

A simple, vertically resolved model of tropical disturbances with a humidity closure

Zeljka Fuchs, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond

Presentation PDF (87.0 kB)

9:45 AM

7D.8

Variability of deep convective cloud characteristics across the tropical Pacific

Michael P. Jensen, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY

Recorded presentation

Coffee Break

Session 8A

Tropical Cyclone Prediction II - Initialisation

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Tim Li, International Pacific Research Center

10:30 AM

8A.1

Reanalysis of western Pacific typhoons in 2004 using 4DVAR Data Assimilation Technique

Xin Zhang, IPRC/SOEST, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li, F. Weng, and C. C. Wu

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

8A.2

Hurricane Initialization in HWRF Model

Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, S. Lord, W. S. Wu, D. Parrish, S. Gopalakrishnan, J. Waldrop, and J. Gamache

Presentation PDF (66.8 kB)

11:00 AM

8A.3

A new 4D variational assimilation of multiple spaceborne datasets for regional water and energy budgets. An application to the Bret Hurricane

Aurelie Bouchard, CETP, Velizy, France; and L. Yvon and V. Nicolas

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (661.2 kB)

11:15 AM

8A.4

Impack of TOMS ozone observations on hurricane track prediction

Yonghui Wu, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO; and X. Zou

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

8A.5

Initializing a Hurricane Vortex with an Ensemble Kalman Filter

Yongsheng Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Snyder

Recorded presentation

Session 8B

tropical cyclone motion

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD

10:30 AM

8B.1

The effect of interaction between meso-scale system and typhoon on Its motion and structure change

Lianshou Chen, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and Z. Luo

Presentation PDF (46.7 kB)

10:45 AM

8B.2

Targeted Observations of Tropical Cyclone Movement Based on the Adjoint-Derived Sensitivity Steering Vector

Jan-Huey Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, P. H. Lin, and K. H. Chou

Presentation PDF (2.6 MB)

11:00 AM

8B.3

A study on the Orographic Effects on the Movement of Typhoon Haitang (2005) in East of Taiwan

T.-C. Yeh, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and L. F. Hsiao, D. S. Chen, and K. N. Huang

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (82.5 kB)

11:15 AM

8B.4

Sensitivity of tropical cyclone forecasts as revealed by singular vectors

Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (206.9 kB)

11:30 AM

8B.5

Effects of cumulus parameterizations on tropical cyclone potential vorticity structure and steering flow

Brett Thomas Hoover, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (247.6 kB)

11:45 AM

8B.6

A simulation study on pre-landfall erratic track of typhoon Haitang (2005) with GRAPES_TCM

Hui Yu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and W. Huang, Y. Duan, J. C. L. Chan, and R. Yu

Recorded presentation

Session 8C

Special Session: CBLAST LOW II and CBLAST HURRICANE I

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Cochairs: James B. Edson, University of Connecticut; Eric A. D'Asaro, Univ. of Washington

10:30 AM

8C.1

Rapid transition of boundary layer structure observed on coastal sites

Qing Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and C. Helmis, G. Katsouvas, and S. W. Wang

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (351.2 kB)

10:45 AM

8C.2

Numerical Simulation and Modeling of Air-Sea Coupling at Small Scales

Lian Shen, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and D. K. P. Yue

11:00 AM

8C.3

A Case Study of Impact of Sea Surface Temperature Variability on Boundary Layer Wind Structure

Shouping Wang, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Q. Wang and J. Cummings

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (171.8 kB)

11:15 AM

8C.4

The hurricane mixing front

Eric A. D'Asaro, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. Harcourt, E. Terrill, P. P. Niiler, and T. B. Sanford

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

8C.5

High-resolution vertical profiling of ocean velocity and water properties under Hurricane Frances in September 2004

Thomas B. Sanford, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and E. A. D'Asaro, J. B. Girton, J. F. Price, and D. C. Webb

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

8C.6

Relaxation of SST in the cool wake of a hurricane

James F. Price, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA; and J. Morzel

Recorded presentation

Session 8D

Tropical Convection II

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Jean Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMD)

10:30 AM

8D.1

High resolution numerical modelling of deep moist convection in statistical equilibrium: buoyancy and velocity scales

Antonio Parodi, CIMA, University of Genoa, Savona, Italy; and K. Emanuel

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (137.4 kB)

10:45 AM

8D.2

The Convective cold top and quasi-equilibrium

Christopher E. Holloway, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

8D.3

Mesoscale aspects in the formation of a pre-cyclogenic African easterly wave near the Ethiopian Highlands

Christopher M. Hill, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and Y. L. Lin

Presentation PDF (1011.6 kB)

11:15 AM

8D.4

Convective systems in the Bay of Bengal during the Indian Summer Monsoon

Wen-wen Tung, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and H. M. Hsu and M. W. Moncrieff

11:30 AM

8D.5

The Interaction of Clouds and Dry Air in the Eastern Tropical Pacific

Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. Mapes, J. L. Lin, C. Fairall, and G. Wick

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

8D.6

The MCS life cycle: prototype or building block of larger-scale waves?

Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. N. Tulich

Recorded presentation

Lunch Break

Session 9D

Tropical Convection III

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

1:30 PM

9D.1

A Rational Approach to Cumulus Parameterization

David J. Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (153.5 kB)

1:45 PM

9D.2

A numerical study of convection in easterly waves using the "Relax to Balance" approximation

Sharon L. Sessions, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. Raymond

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (115.5 kB)

2:00 PM

9D.3

Sensitivities of explicity simulated tropical cloud ensembles to their large-scale setting

Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES-NOAA/ESRL PSD Climate Diagnostics, Boulder, CO; and B. Mapes

2:15 PM

9D.4

Testing convective parameterizations against tropical measurements of CO, HNO3, O3, and H2O

Ian A. Folkins, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada; and B. M. Sinnhuber

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

9D.5

Multicloud parametrizations for convectively coupled tropical waves

Boualem Khouider, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and A. Majda

Recorded presentation

Session 9A

Tropical Cyclone Prediction III - Applications

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

1:30 PM

9A.1

New methods for evaluating rainfall forecasts from operational models for landfalling tropical cyclones

Timothy Marchok, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. Rogers and R. Tuleya

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (406.4 kB)

1:45 PM

9A.2

opical Cyclone Satellite Tutorial Online Through The COMET Program

Thomas F. Lee, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. D. Miller, F. J. Turk, J. D. Hawkins, P. Dills, and S. Wang

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

2:00 PM

9A.3

Employing Hurricane Wind Probabilities to Enhance Local Forecasts and Improve Guidance for Decision-Makers

David Sharp, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and M. Volkmer, P. Santos, G. Rader, and M. Sardi

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (520.2 kB)

2:15 PM

9A.4

An asymmetric hurricane wind model for storm surge and wave forecasting

Shaowu Bao, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and L. J. Pietrafesa

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (416.0 kB)

2:30 PM

9A.5

Providing Tropical Cyclone Weather Support to Space Launch Operations

Katherine A. Winters, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and J. W. Weems, F. C. Flinn, G. B. Kubat, S. B. Cocks, and J. T. Madura

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (395.9 kB)

2:45 PM

9A.6

How well forecast were the 2004 and 2005 Atlantic and US hurricane seasons?

Adam S. Lea, Department of Space & Climate Physics, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.8 MB)

Session 9B

Tropical Cyclogenesis I

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Brian J. Gaudet, Univ. of New Mexico

1:30 PM

9B.1

The interaction of tropical cyclones with the Saharan Air Layer: model case studies from 2004

Sarah Jones, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and N. Lichtenberger and B. Vogel

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

9B.2

Thermodynamic structure of tropical cyclones during genesis

Kay L. Shelton, SUNY, Albany, NY

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (306.8 kB)

2:00 PM

9B.3

The Genesis of Hurricane Humberto (2001)

Klaus Dolling, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. Barnes

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (251.2 kB)

2:15 PM

9B.4

Understanding the genesis of Hurricane Vince through the surface pressure tendency equation

Kwan-yin Kong, Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.5 MB)

2:30 PM

9B.5

The effect of mid-level moistening on tropical cyclogenesis

Melville Nicholls, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. Montgomery

Presentation PDF (623.6 kB)

2:45 PM

9B.6

Statistical analysis of organized cloud clusters on western North Pacific and their warm core structure

Kotaro Bessho, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Nakazawa, S. Nishimura, K. Kato, and S. Hoshino

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (682.4 kB)

Session 9C

Special Session: CBLAST HURRICANE II

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Peter G. Black, Unmanned Systems Division, Cherokee Nation Technologies, LLC; supporting NOAA UAS Program Office

1:30 PM

9C.1

The Critical Role of Air-Sea Enthalpy and Momentum fluxes in Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure

Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Recorded presentation

1:50 PM

9C.2

Synthesis of major results from the Coupled Boundary Layer Air-Sea Transfer Experiment (CBLAST) in hurricanes (2003–2004)

Peter G. Black, Unmanned Systems Division, Cherokee Nation Technologies, LLC; supporting NOAA UAS Program Office, Salinas, CA; and E. A. D'Asaro, J. R. French, and W. M. Drennan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

2:05 PM

9C.3

CBLAST Wind-Wave Parameterization for Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Models in Hurricane Research and Prediction

Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and W. Zhao, M. Donelan, J. F. Price, E. J. Walsh, and H. Tolman

Recorded presentation

2:20 PM

9C.4

Direct Airborne Measurements of Momentum Flux in Hurricanes

Jeffrey R. French, NOAA/OAR/ARL, Oak Ridge, TN; and W. M. Drennan, J. A. Zhang, and P. G. Black

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (205.5 kB)

2:35 PM

9C.5

Latent heat fluxes in the hurricane boundary layer

William M. Drennan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. A. Zhang, J. R. French, and P. G. Black

Recorded presentation

2:50 PM

9C.6

Estimates of surface enthalpy and momentum fluxes at high winds speeds using the budget residual method: Results from CBLAST

Jeanne Davancens, MIT, Issy les Moulineaux, France; and K. A. Emanuel

Recorded presentation

Coffee Break

Session 10D

Tropical Convection IV

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Stefan N. Tulich, NOAA/CIRES/CDC

3:30 PM

10D.1

Spectral retrieval of latent heating profiles from TRMM PR data.: Algorithm improvement and heating estimates over tropical ocean regions

Shoichi Shige, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, W. K. Tao, and C. L. Shie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (788.0 kB)

3:45 PM

10D.2

Relating radar-derived cloud populations and the vertical structure of heating in equatorial waves

Andrew D. Denno, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (139.5 kB)

4:00 PM

10D.3

Vertical distributions of clouds and radiative heating rates in the tropical western Pacific

James H. Mather, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. A. McFarlane

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

10D.4

A statistical study on the relationship between rain top heights and lightning activity over the global tropics utilizing TRMM PR2A25 and LIS data

Yukari N. Takayabu, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; and C. Yokoyama and T. Ushio

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

10D.5

Estimation of precipitation and latent heating distributions in tropical convection from a combined analysis of passive microwave and spaceborne radar observations

William S. Olson, JCET/Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Grecu, C. L. Shie, and S. A. Braun

Presentation PDF (2.0 MB)

4:45 PM

10D.6

Simulated convective systems using a cloud resolving model: Impact of large-scale temperature and moisture forcing using observations and GEOS-3 reanalysis

Chung-Lin Shie, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt and Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. Tao, A. Y. Hou, and X. Lin

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (348.9 kB)

10D.7

Application of a new multiscale data assimilation: Estimation of local aerosol fluxes on a two-dimensional atmospheric boundary

Session 10A

Tropical Cyclone Prediction IV - Landfall

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island

3:30 PM

10A.1

United States landfalling hurricane probability webpage

Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (143.3 kB)

3:45 PM

10A.2

Pre-Season Prediction of Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Frequency

Lian Xie, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and T. Yan, L. J. Pietrafesa, and T. R. Karl

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

10A.3

Recent results on landfalling hurricanes with the GFDL hurricane-land-ocean coupled system at NCEP

Weixing Shen, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. E. Tuleya, N. Surgi, S. J. Lord, K. E. Mitchell, T. P. Marchok, and M. A. Bender

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (63.9 kB)

4:15 PM

10A.4

Mesoscale predictability of tropical storm Allison (2001) during its initiation and landfall

Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and J. Sippel

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

10A.5

The Impact of the Dropwindsonde Data from DOTSTAR on the Prediction of Typhoon Conson (2004)

Wei-Peng Huang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, P. H. Lin, and K. H. Chou

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (693.6 kB)

4:45 PM

10A.6

Effect of Determining Initial Conditions by Four-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation on Storm Surge Forecasting

S.-Q. Peng, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (606.3 kB)

5:00 PM

10A.7

Forecast errors associated with Hurricane Rita (2005)

Eyad Atallah, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and J. R. Gyakum and R. McTaggart-Cowan

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

10A.8

A Bayesian regression approach for predicting seasonal tropical cyclone activity

P. S. Chu, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and X. Zhao

Recorded presentation

Session 10B

Tropical Cyclogenesis II

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Arlene Laing, NCAR

3:30 PM

10B.1

Tropical transition: possible mechanisms and observational needs

Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. F. Bosart

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

10B.2

The role of the occlusion process in the extratropical-to-tropical transition of Atlantic Hurricane Karen

Andrew L. Hulme, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (765.4 kB)

4:00 PM

10B.3

The tropical transition of hurricane Alex (2004): An observational perspective

Lance F. Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. McTaggart-Cowan, C. A. Davis, and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

10B.4

Simulation of the formation of Hurricane Isabel (2003)

Liguang Wu, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Braun and J. Qu

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

10B.5

Vorcity-Based Detection of Tropical Cyclogenesis

Michelle M. Hite, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa, P. Cunningham, J. J. O'Brien, and P. D. Reasor

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

4:45 PM

10B.6

Generation and propagation of MCCs and a mesovortex associated with an African easterly wave as a precursor of Hurricane Alberto (2000)

Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and K. E. Robertson and C. M. Hill

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (19.5 kB)

5:00 PM

10B.7

Evolution of Mesoscale Convective Systems during Tropical Cyclone Formations in the Western North Pacific

Jenny S. N. Hui, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. K. W. Cheung, C. S. Lee, and R. L. Elsberry

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (92.0 kB)

5:15 PM

10B.8

Atlantic tropical cyclogenesis—satellite analysis

Raymond M. Zehr, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (275.4 kB)

Session 10C

Special Session: CBLAST Hurricane III

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

3:30 PM

10C.1

Combining airborne wave observations with WAVEWATCH III model output

Edward J. Walsh, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and C. W. Wright, I. Ginis, Y. Fan, and H. L. Tolman

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

10C.2

Surface wave processes in high winds and hurricanes

W. Kendall Melville, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. M. Kleiss and L. Romero

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

10C.3

A model of the effect of breaking waves on the air-sea momentum flux

Tobias Kukulka, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and T. Hara and S. E. Belcher

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

10C.4

In situ measurements of 3D turbulence in Hurricanes Frances and Ivan using a pressure-sphere anemometer

Richard M. Eckman, NOAA/ARL, Idaho Falls, ID; and R. J. Dobosy, T. W. Strong, and P. G. Hall

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (314.2 kB)

4:30 PM

10C.5

Tower and Doppler Radar Observations from the Boundary Layer of Hurricanes Isabel (2003) and Frances (2004)

Sylvie Lorsolo, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

4:45 PM

10C.6

Preliminary Comparison of DOW and In Situ Wind Measurements in Hurricane Rita

Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and C. Alexander, P. Robinson, and F. Masters

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

5:00 PM

10C.7

Progress in the study of coherent structures in the hurricane boundary layer

Ralph C. Foster, APL, Univeristy of Washington, Seattle, WA

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

10C.8

Atmospheric Boundary Layer Observations of Tropical Cyclones with the Imaging Wind and Rain Airborne Profiler

Daniel Esteban Fernandez, NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Jelenak, P. S. Chang, R. F. Contreras, T. Chu, P. Asuzu, and J. Carswell

Recorded presentation

5:30 PM

10C.9

High Resolution Airborne Radar Measurements of Hurricane Isabel

Robert F. Contreras, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and D. Esteban Fernandez, P. S. Chang, and P. G. Black

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (433.0 kB)

Thur 27 April

Session 11B

Tropical Cyclone Structure IV

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Paul E. Roundy, NOAA/CIRES Earth System Research Laboratory, Physical Science Division

8:00 AM

11B.1

Buoyancy and the warm-core structure of hurricanes

Roger K. Smith, Ludwig Maximilian's Univ., Munich, Germany

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

11B.2

A Lagrangian View of a Simulated Hurricane

Michael T. Montgomery, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and T. A. Cram, J. Persing, and S. A. Braun

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

11B.3

The Effect of External Forcing on the Structure Change of Tropical Cyclones

Yoshio Kurihara, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Yokohama, Japan; and M. Yoshioka

Presentation PDF (110.0 kB)

8:45 AM

11B.4

Wavelike Structure of the Rainbands of a Concentric Eyewall Typhoon Revealed from Doppler Radar Observations

Ben J.-D. Jou, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and R. F. Liu

Presentation PDF (106.3 kB)

9:00 AM

11B.5

Three-dimensional hurricane structure change prior to landfall as revealed by automated airborne Doppler analyses

John F. Gamache, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. G. Black and F. D. Marks Jr.

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

11B.6

Effects of land-sea roughness contrast on tropical cyclone winds

Martin L. M. Wong, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and J. C. L. Chan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (281.8 kB)

9:30 AM

11B.7

Waves in a cloudy vortex

David A. Schecter, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery

Presentation PDF (353.9 kB)

Session 11A

Tropical Cyclone Prediction V - Track

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Robert E. Tuleya, EMC

8:00 AM

11A.1

Prediction of tropical cyclone track forecast error for Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma

James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (639.0 kB)

8:15 AM

11A.2

Sensitivity of tropical cyclone track forecasts to convective momentum transport in the NOGAPS Emanuel cumulus parameterization

Timothy F. Hogan, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Pauley

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (257.4 kB)

8:30 AM

11A.3

The Impact of Dropsonde Data from DOTSTAR on Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting

Kun-Hsuan Chou, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, P. H. Lin, S. Aberson, M. Peng, and T. Nakazawa

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (658.9 kB)

8:45 AM

11A.4

Improvement of tropical cyclone track forecasting using a model-constrained 3D-Var data assimilation scheme

Xudong Liang, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and B. Wang, J. Chan, Y. Duan, D. Wang, Z. Zeng, and L. Ma

9:00 AM

11A.5

Impact of AMSU and AMSR-E Measurements on Hurricane Prediction

Tong Zhu, Colorado State Univ./CIRA at NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and F. Weng, Q. Liu, and N. Surgi

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (234.4 kB)

9:15 AM

11A.6

Evaluation of causes of large 96-h and 120-h track errors in the western North Pacific

Kathryn Anne Payne, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and R. M. Kehoe, M. A. Boothe, and R. L. Elsberry

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (52.4 kB)

9:30 AM

11A.7

An Experiment on the Impact of Initial Fields and Boundary Conditions on the Typhoon Track Simulation in the Northwest Pacific Ocean

Der-Song Chen, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and L. F. Hsiao, K. N. Huang, and T. C. Yeh

Presentation PDF (297.0 kB)

9:45 AM

11A.8

Tropical cyclone modeling in a probabilistic framework

William E. Lewis, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (192.0 kB)

Session 11C

Tropical Cyclone - Large Scale Interaction

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University

8:00 AM

11C.1

Incorporation of equatorial wave modes into tropical synoptic meteorology: Is It worth the trouble?

John E. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro and C. Schreck

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

8:15 AM

11C.2

Summertime Synoptic-scale Variability over the Tropical Western Pacific: Role of Extratropical Forcing

Chi-Yung Francis Tam, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and T. Li

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

11C.3

Comparison of techniques for isolating equatorial Rossby waves in synoptic studies

Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (249.5 kB)

8:45 AM

11C.4

The influence of tropical cyclone outflow on the Northern Hemisphere subtropical and tropical general circulation

Ross A. Lazear, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (294.9 kB)

9:00 AM

11C.5

Role of Large-scale Circulation on Tropical Cyclone Landfall in Japan

Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and K. Rajendran

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (406.7 kB)

9:15 AM

11C.6

Possible feedback of tropical cyclone on climate variability

H.-H. Hsu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and A. K. Lo, C. H. Hung, and C. C. Wu

Presentation PDF (157.9 kB)

9:30 AM

11C.7

A Study of the Relationship between Mid-Tropospheric Large-scale Circulation Pattern and US Landfall Hurricane Activities

Shangyao Nong, Applied Insurance Research, Inc., Boston, MA

9:45 AM

11C.8

Hunting for Saharan air with the NOAA G-IV jet

Jason P. Dunion, University of Miami/RSMAS/CIMAS - NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. D. Hawkins and C. S. Velden

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.1 MB)

Session 11D

Special Session: Diurnal Variability of Precipitation - Global Observations I

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Song Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

8:00 AM

11D.1

Welcoming Remarks

8:05 AM

11D.2

Diurnal variation of tropical rain revealed by TRMM

Kenji Nakamura, Dokkyo University, Soka, Saitama, Japan

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

11D.3

Diurnal Variability of Precipitation: Multiple Modes & Ambiguities

Eric A. Smith, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Yang

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

11D.4

Ensemble Spatial-Temporal Characteristics of Rainfall Diurnal Cycle from TRMM

Song Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, Greenbelt, MD; and E. A. Smith

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

11D.5

Eight Years of TRMM Data: Exploring Regional Mechanisms Behind the Diurnal Cycle

Stephen W. Nesbitt, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. Cifelli, S. A. Rutledge, C. Liu, and E. J. Zipser

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

11D.6

Diurnal Cycle of Tropical Deep Convection and Anvil Clouds: Global Distribution Using 6 years of TRMM radar and IR data

Chuntao Liu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (993.6 kB)

9:30 AM

11D.7

Physical processes controlling warm-season precipitation diurnal cycle in the central U.S

Junhong Wang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Dai, D. Parsons, and X. Z. Liang

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

11D.8

Satellite Estimates of the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation

Andrew J. Negri, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. F. Adler and M. Manyin

Coffee Break

Session 12D

Special Session: Diurnal Variability of Precipitation - Global and Regional Modeling I

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Eric A. Smith, NASA/GSFC

10:25 AM

12D.1

Spatial-temporal organization of convection and the diurnal variability of precipitation: A U.S. Continent study

Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

10:50 AM

12D.2

The Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation over the Globe: Observations vs. Model Simulations

Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

12D.3

Tropical rainfall diurnal variation in a 20km-mesh atmospheric GCM

Osamu Arakawa, Advanced Earth Science & Technology Organization, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and A. Kitoh

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

12D.4

Prediction of the diurnal change of precipitation using a multi model superensemble and TRMM data sets

T. N. Krishnamurti, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. Gnanaseelan and A. Chakraborty

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (695.1 kB)

11:45 AM

12D.5

Modeling rainfall diurnal variation of Northern American monsoon core using different spatial resolution

Jialun Li, University of California, Irvine, California; and X. Gao, K. L. Hsu, and S. Sorooshian

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.5 MB)

Session 12A

Special Session:- RAINEX I

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Robert A. Houze Jr., University of Washington

10:30 AM

12A.1

Overview of RAINEX Flight Program

Robert A. Houze Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

12A.2

Overview of RAINEX Modeling of 2005 Hurricanes

Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

11:00 AM

12A.3

RAINEX Overview – Airborne Doppler Radar Data

Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO

11:15 AM

12A.4

Real-Time High-Resolution MM5 and WRF Forecasts during RAINEX

John P. Cangialosi, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen, W. Zhao, W. Wang, and J. Michalakas

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (608.3 kB)

11:30 AM

12A.5

Rainbands and secondary eye wall formation as observed in RAINEX

Derek Ortt, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and S. S. Chen

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (148.5 kB)

11:45 AM

12A.6

Tropical cyclone dynamics deduced from ensemble state estimation

Gregory J. Hakim, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. D. Torn

Recorded presentation

Session 12B

Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge and Fresh-Water Flooding

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Da-Lin Zhang, Univ. of Maryland

10:30 AM

12B.1

Difference of Rainfall Distribution for Tropical Cyclones Over Land and Ocean and Rainfall Potential Derived from Satellite Observations and Its Implication on Hurricane Landfall Flooding Prediction

Haiyan Jiang, Univ of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and J. B. Halverson and J. Simpson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

10:45 AM

12B.2

Effect of ocean surface waves on storm surge and coastal flooding

Huiqing Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, L. J. Pietrafesa, and M. Peng

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (448.8 kB)

11:00 AM

12B.3

Factors that contributed to the Hurricane Gaston flooding event in Richmond, Virginia

Zachary G. Brown, Kentucky Mesonet, Bowling Green, KY; and Y. L. Lin and M. L. Kaplan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (564.5 kB)

11:15 AM

12B.4

A look at Tropical Storm Gaston flooding in Virginia

John Billet, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield, VA VA; and K. Lynch

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (986.1 kB)

11:30 AM

12B.5

The Effect of Shear and Topography on Rainfall Forecasting with R-CLIPER

Manuel Lonfat, Risk Management Solutions Ltd., London, United Kingdom; and R. Rogers, F. D. Marks Jr., T. Marchok, and A. Boissonnade

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (181.4 kB)

11:45 AM

12B.6

Unexpectedly heavy rainfall due to mesoscale features Induced by a landfalling and non-transitioning tropical storm

Alan F. Srock, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and J. E. Molinari

Recorded presentation

Session 12C

Special Session: Predictability of the North American monsoon and NAME

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/PSD

10:30 AM

12C.1

Influence of the North American Monsoon Experiment 2004 enhanced soundings on NCEP operational analyses

Kingtse Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Higgins and J. Woollen

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

12C.2

Analysis of the 13 July gulf surge event during the 2004 North American Monsoon Experiment

Peter J. Rogers, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.0 MB)

11:00 AM

12C.3

On the structure and efficacy of gulf surges

Simona Bordoni, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and B. Stevens

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

12C.4

Analysis of Heat and Moisture Budgets from the NAME Enhanced Sounding Network

Paul E. Ciesielski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (544.5 kB)

11:30 AM

12C.5

NAME CPT Project - Issues for warm season prediction

Jae-Kyung E. Schemm, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. H. Y. Soo-Hyun.Yoo@noaa.gov, L. W. Lindsey.N.Williams@noaa.gov, and D. S. Gutzler

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

12C.6

Seasonal and interannual variability of moisture fluxes over the Intra-Americas Sea and associations with rainfall

Alberto M. Mestas-Nuñez, CIMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. B. Enfield and C. Zhang

Recorded presentation

12:00 PM

12C.7

Variations in the daily cycle of winds along the east coast of the Gulf of Mexico

Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and L. M. Rodriguez-Manzanet and R. H. Johnson

Recorded presentation

Lunch Break

Session 13D

Special Session: Diurnal Variability of Precipitation - Global Observations II

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Kenji Nakamura, Dokkyo University

1:25 PM

13D.1

The diurnal cycle of warm season rainfall frequency over continents

R. E. Carbone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Ahijevych, A. Laing, T. Lang, T. D. Keenan, J. D. Tuttle, and C. C. Wang

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1009.9 kB)

1:50 PM

13D.2

Diurnal variability of vertical structure from a TRMM passive microwave "virtual radar" retrieval

Dennis J. Boccippio, NASA / Marshall Space Flight Center XD-11, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Petersen and D. Cecil

2:15 PM

13D.3

Diurnal cycle of clouds and how they affect polar orbiting satellite data

Donald Wylie, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (239.0 kB)

2:30 PM

13D.4

Diurnal variations in tropical diabatic heating profiles

Courtney Schumacher, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and M. H. Zhang and P. E. Ciesielski

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

13D.5

The impact of rainfall assimilation on the NASA GEOS Reanalysis: Diurnal variability of the hydrologic cycle and radiative fluxes

Xin Lin, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and A. Hou and S. Zhang

Session 13A

Special Session: RAINEX II

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

13A.1

Hurricane Katrina on 25 August 2005 : airborne radar observations and numerical modeling

1:45 PM

13A.2

Evidence and impacts of dry air intrusion in Hurricane Ophelia: Observations from RAINEX

Bradley F. Smull, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze

2:00 PM

13A.3

Rainband structures observed in RAINEX

Deanna A. Hence, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr.

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

13A.4

Aircraft observations of concentric eyewall formation and evolution in Hurricane Rita on 22 September 2005

Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and K. L. Corbosiero, J. Molinari, and R. Rogers

2:30 PM

13A.5

Secondary eyewall structure in Hurricane Rita: Results from RAINEX

Jasmine Cetrone, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr. and M. M. Bell

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

13A.6

Observed vorticity evolution in Hurricane Rita (2005)

Michael Bell, NCAR/EOL & Colorado State University, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Lee and J. Cetrone

Recorded presentation

Session 13C

Ocean-Atmosphere

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Qing Wang, Naval Postgraduate School

1:30 PM

13C.1

Surface Turbulent Stress Derived from GPS Dropsondes

Mark A. Bourassa, COAPS/Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

13C.2

The VASCO-CIRENE experiment

Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. Vialard

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.0 MB)

2:00 PM

13C.3

International Ocean Database Management System for the China Seas and Adjacent Ocean (IODBMS)

Yan Sun, Tianjin Association for Science and Technology, Tianjin 300202, China

2:15 PM

13C.4

Role of Indian and Pacific Ocean air-sea coupling in tropical atmospheric variability

Renguang Wu, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Calverton, MD; and B. P. Kirtman

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

13C.5

How does the air-sea interaction affect potential climate predictability?

Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and W. Y. Wu

13C.6

High resolution climate modelling of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system in the tropics

Session 13B

Tropical Cyclogenesis III

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI

1:30 PM

13B.1

Tropical cyclogenesis as revealed by the NOGAPS analysis

Bing Fu, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. S. Peng, T. Li, and T. F. Hogan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (683.5 kB)

1:45 PM

13B.2

Rossby wave radiation from non-translating and from moving vortices

Kyle D. Krouse, Columbia University, New York, NY; and A. H. Sobel and L. M. Polvani

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

13B.3

Objectively Determined Model-Derived Parameters associated with Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Formation

Christy Cowan, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. Harr and G. Elliott

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (266.3 kB)

2:15 PM

13B.4

Numerical simulations of the genesis of Hurricane Gabrielle (2001)

Kate Musgrave, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. A. Davis and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

13B.5

Quantifying morphologic features of remotely-sensed data for its use in a tropical cyclogenesis predictor

Miguel Pineros, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (628.7 kB)

2:45 PM

13B.6

Genesis and decay of a tropical storm in strong vertical shear

Jaclyn D. Frank, AWS Truepower, Albany, NY

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (176.3 kB)

Coffee Break

Session 14A

Tropical Cyclone Prediction VI - Intensity

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Julian T. Heming, Met Office

3:30 PM

14A.1

Tropical cyclone genesis in TC-LAPS: The importance of sufficient net deep convection and system scale cyclonic absolute vorticty

Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and N. E. Davidson and M. T. Montgomery

Presentation PDF (806.4 kB)

3:45 PM

14A.2

Validation of TC-LAPS structure forecasts of some significant 2004–2005 US hurricanes

Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and L. J. Rikus, R. A. Dare, C. I. W. Tingwell, and H. C. Weber

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (424.1 kB)

4:00 PM

14A.3

Statistical tropical cyclone intensity forecast improvements using GOES and aircraft reconnaissance data

Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (92.5 kB)

4:15 PM

14A.4

On the Calculation of Vertical Shear: An Operational Perspective

Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and C. Sisko and R. D. Knabb

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (101.9 kB)

4:30 PM

14A.5

Recent updates to SHIPS-MI

Thomas A. Jones, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Cecil

Presentation PDF (270.3 kB)

4:45 PM

14A.6

On the pressure-wind relationship in tropical cyclones

Harry C. Weber, Univ. of Munich, Munich, Germany

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (269.8 kB)

5:00 PM

14A.7

Estimating the likelihood of rapid intensification in the Atlantic and E. Pacific basins using SHIPS model data

John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (468.7 kB)

5:15 PM

14A.8

Equilibrium translation model – a key to prediction of tropical hurricane intensity

Irakli G. Shekriladze, Georgian Technical Univ., Tbilisi, Georgia

Presentation PDF (291.8 kB)

Session 14B

Tropical Cyclogenesis IV

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Lance F. Bosart, Univ. at Albany/SUNY

3:30 PM

14B.1

A very high resolution numerical simulation and analysis of vortical hot towers and their aggregate effects in the genesis of Hurricane Diana (1984)

J. Marc Hidalgo, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

14B.2

Convectively Generated Hot, Vortical Towers During the Genesis of Typhoon Nari (2001)

Da-Lin Zhang, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. Tian and A. Wang

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

14B.3

Contributions of the African Easterly Waves and the Northern Vortices to Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Formation

Jodi Beattie, Department of Physics, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and R. L. Elsberry and P. A. Harr

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (141.5 kB)

4:15 PM

14B.4

A case study of a continental mesoscale convective vortex that developed attributes of an incipient tropical disturbance

Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

14B.5

An evaluation and comparison of predictions of tropical cyclogenesis by three global forecast models

Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and P. A. Harr, L. A. Avila, J. G. Jiing, and G. Elliott

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (206.1 kB)

4:45 PM

14B.6

Characteristics of the early stages of tropical cyclones as viewed with microwave data

Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Tiyan, Guam; and M. Lander

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

14B.7

Axisymmetric tropical cyclogenesis via a single convective ring

Thomas Frisius, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

Presentation PDF (807.1 kB)

14B.8

An Overview of the Stages of Genesis of Tropical Storm Gert

Session 14C

Climate Dynamics and Hydrologic Cycle

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Harry H. Hendon, BMRC

3:30 PM

14C.1

Who Does the Vertical Transport of Heat in the Tropical Pacific: ENSO or Hurricanes?

De-Zheng Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

3:45 PM

14C.2

Eddy-Influences on Hadley Circulations: Theory and Simulations with an Idealized GCM

Tapio Schneider, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and C. C. Walker

4:00 PM

14C.3

Teleconnections from Tropics to Northern Extratropics Through a Southerly Conveyor

Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and C. P. Chang, B. Wang, and F. F. Jin

4:15 PM

14C.4

Nature of Asian monsoon precipitation

Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos, C. Schumacher, and R. A. Houze Jr.

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

14C.5

Cloud microphysics, dynamics, and free tropospheric water vapor

Steven C. Sherwood, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and C. Meyer, E. R. Kursinski, and W. G. Read

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

14C.6

Diurnal variation of upper tropospheric humidity over the tropics and its relations to convective activities

Eui-Seok Chung, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and B. J. Sohn and J. Schmetz

Presentation PDF (674.3 kB)

5:00 PM

14C.7

Evaluation of Tropical Upper Troposphere hydrological Processes derived from ECMWF analyses and Forecast with EOS MLS Measurements

Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, J. H. Jiang, and A. M. Tompkins

5:15 PM

14C.8

Variations of tropical deep convective systems with sea surface temperature and precipitation efficiency

Bing Lin, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and A. Fan, L. H. Chambers, and P. Minnis

Session 14D

Special Session: Diurnal Variability of Precipitation - Regional Observations

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin - Madison

3:30 PM

14D.1

Introductory Remarks

3:35 PM

14D.2

Gravity wave mechanisms in propagating diurnal convection

Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

14D.3

Diurnal propagating precipitating systems to the north of New Guinea Island: In-situ observation of internal structure and ambient atmosphere

Masaki Katsumata, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and K. Yoneyama and H. Kubota

Presentation PDF (246.4 kB)

4:15 PM

14D.4

Observational strategy for diurnal to intraseasonal rainfall variability study over Sumatera Island using the JEPP/GEOSS radar-profiler network

Shuichi Mori, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan; and H. Jun-Ichi, T. Sasaki, P. Wu, and M. D. Yamanaka

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (24.4 kB)

4:30 PM

14D.5

The diurnal cycle of convection over the northern South China Sea

Steven L. Aves, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (476.6 kB)

4:45 PM

14D.6

Diurnal variation of precipitation observed over Palau in the western Pacific

Hisayuki Kubota, Research Institute for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and R. Shirooka, T. Ushiyama, T. Chuda, K. K. Reddy, M. Katsumata, K. Yoneyama, K. Yasunaga, Q. Moteki, N. Sato, M. Fujita, and N. Suginohara

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (167.1 kB)

5:00 PM

14D.7

Diurnal cycle characteristics of precipitation in the east Pacific

Robert Cifelli, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO; and S. W. Nesbitt, S. A. Rutledge, W. A. Petersen, and S. E. Yuter

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

14D.8

Diurnal variation of clouds and precipitation over tropical South America: interactions between propagating and in-situ cloud systems

Thomas M. Rickenbach, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA

Recorded presentation

Shuttle Buses from the Hyatt to the Monterey Bay Aquarium

Strolling Reception: The Monterey Bay Aquarium

Fri 28 April

Session 15D

Special Session: Diurnal Variability of Precipitation - Global and Regional modeling II

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Eric A. Smith, NASA/GSFC

8:25 AM

15D.1

Diurnal cycles of precipitation in observations and GCM simulations

Kenneth P. Bowman, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

Recorded presentation

8:50 AM

15D.2

Diurnal variations of precipitation over land: A challenge to models

D. A. Randall, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

15D.3

Diurnal Modulation of Tropical Cyclone Intensity

Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI

Recorded presentation

15D.4

The diurnal cycle observed by Meteosat-8 and simulated by a climate model

9:45 AM

15D.5

Diurnal Variation of Global Precipitation and Water-Vapor Budget

Tsing-Chang (Mike) Chen, Iowa State University, Ames, IA

Recorded presentation

Session 15A

Tropical Cyclone Prediction VII - Intensity

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Harry C. Weber, University of Munich

8:30 AM

15A.1

Accuracy of tropical cyclone intensity forecasts in the North Pacific and Atlantic

Mark A. Boothe, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and T. Lambert, J. Blackerby, and R. L. Elsberry

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (53.6 kB)

8:45 AM

15A.2

A Statistical Atlantic Hurricane Model to Forecast 6-hour and 24-hour Intensity Changes

Kevin T. Law, Marshall University, Huntington, WV

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

15A.3

A statistical intensity model consensus for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Charles R. Sampson, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. A. Knaff and M. DeMaria

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (80.0 kB)

9:15 AM

15A.4

Use of radar data for TC initialization and predictions

Jin-Luen Lee, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and A. E. MacDonald, W. C. Lee, and W. Wang

Presentation PDF (137.8 kB)

9:30 AM

15A.5

STEADY-STATE HURRICANE INTENSITY IN THE WRF MODEL: COMPARISON TO MPI THEORY AND SENSITIVITY TO PBL AND SURFACE FLUX PARAMETERIZATION

Kevin A. Hill, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (480.5 kB)

9:45 AM

15A.6

Enhanced Tropical Cyclone Monitoring with MODIS and OLS

Steven D. Miller, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Hawkins, K. Richardson, T. F. Lee, and F. J. Turk

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.1 MB)

Session 15C

Tropical Cyclones and Climate IV - Interannual/Decadal Variability

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: David J. Raymond, New Mexico Tech

8:30 AM

15C.1

Mechanisms for El Nino and La Nina induced anomalies in tropical cyclone formation, intensity, and motion in the northwest Pacific

Tom Murphree, NPS, Monterey, CA; and B. W. Ford

8:45 AM

15C.2

ENSO and Genesis Potential Index in Reanalysis and AGCMs

Suzana J. Camargo, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and K. A. Emanuel and A. H. Sobel

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.0 MB)

9:00 AM

15C.2

Variability in global scale circulations and their impacts on Atlantic tropical cyclone activity

Mathew Rosencrans, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. Harr

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (276.2 kB)

9:15 AM

15C.3

ENSO and atmospheric energetics along the tropical storm track

Pang-chi Hsu, National Taiwan Normal Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. H. Tsou and H. H. Hsu

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (91.7 kB)

9:30 AM

15C.4

Interannual variability of tropical cyclone activity over the eastern North Pacific

Peng Wu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and P. S. Chu

Presentation PDF (1.9 MB)

9:45 AM

15C.5

Interdecadal Variability of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity

Kin Sik Liu, City Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and J. C. L. Chan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (673.5 kB)

Session 15B

Tropical Cyclone Intensity III

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA

8:30 AM

15B.1

Internal dynamic control of hurricane intensity change: The dual nature of potential vorticity mixing

James Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Madison, WI; and W. H. Schubert, C. M. Rozoff, and P. J. Mulero

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (174.3 kB)

8:45 AM

15B.2

The role of environmental inertial stability in tropical cyclone intensification: Asymmetric environment

Eric D. Rappin, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and G. J. Tripoli and M. C. Morgan

9:00 AM

15B.3

Robust and interpretable statistical models for predicting the intensification of tropical cyclones

Kyriakos C. Chatzidimitriou, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and C. W. Anderson and M. DeMaria

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (332.1 kB)

9:15 AM

15B.4

Interaction of hurricane and cloud scales: contribution to hurricane intensity

L. Stefanova, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and T. Krishnamurti and S. Pattnaik

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (34.2 kB)

9:30 AM

15B.5

Numerical experiments on the predictability of tropical-cyclone intensification

Sang Van Nguyen, Department of Physics, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. K. Smith

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

15B.6

Rapid Intensity Change in Hurricane Lili (2002)

Mélicie Desflots, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

Presentation PDF (550.3 kB)

10:00 AM

15B.7

Response of convection to hurricane-like horizontal and vertical shears

Christopher M. Rozoff, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. D. Terwey, M. T. Montgomery, and W. H. Schubert

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (424.5 kB)

Coffee Break

Session 16A

Tropical Cyclone Prediction VIII - Model Sensitivity

Location: Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Melinda S. Peng, NRL

10:30 AM

16A.1

Sensitivity of numerical simulations of Hurricane Emily (2005) to cumulus and microphysical parameterizations in the WRF model

Xuanli Li, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (795.5 kB)

10:45 AM

16A.2

Near real time global optimum interpolated microwave SSTs: applications to hurricane intensity forecasting

Chelle Gentemann, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and F. Wentz and M. DeMaria

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (422.0 kB)

11:00 AM

16A.3

Tropical Storm Talas - Formation and Impacts at Kwajalein Atoll

Tom Wright, 3D Research Corporation, APO, AP

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (355.1 kB)

16A.4

Tropical Cyclone Simulation Using a Solution-Adaptive Grid Model

11:30 AM

16A.5

The Use of Dynamic Grid Adaptation Technique in Tropical Storm Prediction

Zafer Boybeyi, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and M. Kafatos, N. Ahmad, R. Gautam, G. Cervone, and D. Sun

11:45 AM

16A.6

Sensitivity of high-resolution tropical cyclone intensity forecasts to surface flux parameterization

Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA

12:00 PM

16A.7

A tropical cyclone rainfall climatology-persistence model for the Taiwan area

Kevin K. W. Cheung, National Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction, Taipei, Taiwan; and L. R. Huang and C. S. Lee

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (155.7 kB)

12:15 PM

16A.8

Sensitivities of Intensification and Eyewall Evolution of the Simulated Hurricane Isabel (2003) to Different Microphysics Schemes in the Weather Forecast and Research (WRF) Model

Jainn J. Shi, NASA/GSFC, Morgan State University/GESTAR, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. Tao

Session 16B

Tropical Cyclone Intensity IV

Location: Regency Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Michael Montgomery, Colorado State Univ.

10:30 AM

16B.1

Preliminary Field Review of Automated Intensity Estimates

Caroline A. Bower, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI; and K. Viault, J. Roach, and J. Jaykoski

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (189.4 kB)

10:45 AM

16B.2

Impacts of Nucleating Aerosols on the Evolution of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone

Henian Zhang, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and G. M. McFarquhar, S. M. Saleeby, and W. R. Cotton

Presentation PDF (111.6 kB)

11:00 AM

16B.3

Impact of Dissipative Heating on Tropical Cyclone Predictions

Yi Jin, SAIC, monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng

Recorded presentation

16B.4

Estimating Surface Wind Fields in Tropical Cyclones Using Infrared Satellite Imagery

11:30 AM

16B.5

Environmental dynamical control of tropical cyclone intensity—An observational study

Zhihua Zeng, International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang, G. J. Holland, C. C. Wu, and Y. Duan

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

16B.6

Generalizing the axisymmetric approach to hurricane intensity

John Persing, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

12:00 PM

16B.7

Extreme horizontal winds measured by dropwindsondes in hurricanes

Sim Aberson, NOAA Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL, FL; and D. Stern

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (47.1 kB)

12:15 PM

16B.8

Extreme vertical winds measured by dropwindsondes in hurricanes

Daniel P. Stern, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and S. D. Aberson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (207.7 kB)

Session 16C

Tropical Cyclones and Climate V - Atlantic Basin

Location: Big Sur (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: John A. Knaff, CIRA/Colorado State Univ.

10:30 AM

16C.1

Comparing two active Atlantic hurricane eras: Are the differences real or simply due to improved observations?

Stanley B. Goldenberg, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. J. Neumann and C. W. Landsea

16C.2

Recurvature and landfall of Atlantic hurricanes and their relationship to the NAO: An update

11:00 AM

16C.3

Atlantic Basin, US and Caribbean Landfall Activity Rates over the 2006-2010 Period

Auguste Boissonnade, Risk Management Solutions, Newark, CA; and M. Lonfat and R. Muir-Wood

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (96.6 kB)

11:15 AM

16C.4

New evidence for a long-term relationship between North Atlantic tropical cyclones and African dust outbreaks

Amato Evan, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden

Presentation PDF (2.2 MB)

11:45 AM

16C.6

Genesis of Atlantic tropical storms from African Easterly Waves—a comparison of two contrasting years

Susanna Hopsch, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (822.2 kB)

11:30 AM

16C.6

Characteristics of tropical cyclone rainfall in the United States

Byron E. Gleason, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Presentation PDF (901.0 kB)

12:00 PM

16C.7

A comparison of hurricanes Katrina (2005) and Camille (1969)

Jay S. Hobgood, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

Recorded presentation

12:15 PM

16C.8

A synthetic trapped-fetch wave climatology for the North Atlantic and Eastern Pacific

Allan W. MacAfee, MSC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.5 MB)

Session 16D

Special Session: Diurnal Variability of Precipitation - Global and Regional Studies

Location: Regency Grand BR 1-3 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)

Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Song Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

10:30 AM

16D.1

The diurnal cycles of water and energy over North America as simulated by three reanalyses

A.C. Ruane, ECPC, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, CA; and J. O. Roads and M. Kanamitsu

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

16D.2

Observational and numerical studies of coherent warm-season rainfall over the Bay of Bengal

Changhai Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. W. Moncrieff and J. D. Tuttle

11:00 AM

16D.3

Modeling the diurnal change of cloud cover using multiple global models and ISCCP/TRMM data sets

Arindam Chakraborty, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (59.1 kB)

11:15 AM

16D.4

Diurnal variations of the water cycle in the Goddard Multi-scale Modeling Framework

Jiun-dar Chern, GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. Tao and X. Lin

Presentation PDF (2.6 MB)

11:30 AM

16D.5

Observations during EPIC2001—Diurnal cycle in the East Pacific

Carlos López Carrillo, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (251.1 kB)

11:45 AM

16D.6

Radar-observed characteristics of the diurnal cycle of precipitation during NAME 2004

Timothy J. Lang, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. W. Nesbitt, R. C. Cifelli, S. A. Rutledge, D. A. Ahijevych, and R. E. Carbone

Recorded presentation

12:00 PM

16D.7

Diurnal and semidiurnal surface wind variations over the tropical Pacific Ocean

Rei Ueyama, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Deser and J. M. Wallace

Recorded presentation

12:15 PM

16D.900

Concluding Remarks

Announcement of Max Eaton Prize and Conference Conclusion

27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Sunday, 23 April 2006

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Sunday, 23 April 2006

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 23 April 2006

Monday, 24 April 2006

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Monday, 24 April 2006

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Monday, 24 April 2006

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Monday, 24 April 2006

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 24 April 2006

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 24 April 2006

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 24 April 2006

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Monday, 24 April 2006

1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Monday, 24 April 2006

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 24 April 2006

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 24 April 2006

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 24 April 2006

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 April 2006

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 April 2006

Tuesday, 25 April 2006

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 April 2006

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 April 2006

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 April 2006

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10:30 AM-11:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 April 2006

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12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 April 2006

1:30 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 April 2006

1:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 April 2006

7:00 PM-9:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 April 2006

Wednesday, 26 April 2006

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

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1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

1:30 PM-3:05 PM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

3:30 PM-5:45 PM: Wednesday, 26 April 2006

Thursday, 27 April 2006

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

10:25 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

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10:30 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

1:25 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

7:00 PM-7:00 PM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Thursday, 27 April 2006

Friday, 28 April 2006

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Friday, 28 April 2006

8:25 AM-9:45 AM: Friday, 28 April 2006

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Friday, 28 April 2006

8:30 AM-10:15 AM: Friday, 28 April 2006

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10:30 AM-12:30 PM: Friday, 28 April 2006

12:30 PM-12:30 PM: Friday, 28 April 2006

Sunday, 23 April 2006

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Sunday, 23 April 2006

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 23 April 2006

Monday, 24 April 2006

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Monday, 24 April 2006

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12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Monday, 24 April 2006