Poster Session 5 Tropical Cyclone Modeling and Prediction

Tuesday, 25 April 2006: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM
Monterey Grand Ballroom (Hyatt Regency Monterey)
Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Papers:
P5.1
Application of Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit products to NOGAPS hurricane initialization
Bing Fu, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li, M. S. Peng, T. Zhu, F. Weng Sr., and T. F. Hogan

P5.3
An internal tropical cyclone tracker for numerical models
Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin

P5.4
The sensitivity of hurricane simulations to the distribution of vertical levels
F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball

Handout (48.7 kB)

P5.5
Improving Hurricane Visualization
Henry R. Winterbottom, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou and G. Erlebacher

P5.6
Evaluation of a tropical cyclone tracker for operational use with the COAMPS© regional model
Jeff Lerner, Vaisala, Seattle, WA; and A. Hergert and C. Dickerman

Handout (309.4 kB)

P5.8
A recent history of the GFDN Tropical Cyclone Forecast Model
Carey L. Dickerman, FNMOC, Monterey, CA; and C. Dickerman

Handout (66.5 kB)

P5.9
Test of a mesoscale model over the south west Indian ocean for cyclones analysis and prediction
Samuel Westrelin, Météo-France, Sainte Clotilde, La Réunion, France; and F. Ghislain, L. Berre, and J. M. Willemet

Handout (299.4 kB)

P5.11
Two cases illustrating limitations in forecasting tropical cyclones
Philippe Caroff, Météo-France, La Réunion, France; and A. C. Fontan

Handout (312.3 kB)

P5.12
Improvements in integrated satellite reconnaissance tropical cyclone fix accuracy
Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Tiyan, Guam; and T. P. Hendricks, J. A. Gibbs, and M. A. Lander

P5.13
Hurricane Relocation in Global Ensemble Forecast System
Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Lord, N. Surgi, Y. Zhu, R. Wobus, Z. Toth, and T. Marchok

Handout (52.8 kB)

P5.14
The Sensitivity of WRF Simulations of Hurricane Ivan to Choice of Cumulus Parameterization
Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

Handout (292.4 kB)

P5.16
Prediction of trends of tropical storms in the North Atlantic basin
Nazario D. Ramirez, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and J. M. Castro, J. Gonzalez, and M. Angeles

Handout (136.4 kB)

P5.19
A Comparison of Tropical Cyclone Hydrometeor Profiles from TRMM, Airborne Radar, and High-resolution simulations
Robert Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. Black, F. Marks, K. Valde, and S. S. Chen

Handout (399.4 kB)

P5.20
Spatial and temporal variability of North Atlantic hurricane tracks
Tingzhuang Yan, Dept. of Marine. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NC State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, L. J. Pietrafesa, and T. R. Karl

P5.21
Application of stochastic and deterministic modeling to hurricane wind risk assessment
Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and S. Ravela, E. Vivant, and C. Risi

Handout (91.0 kB)

P5.22
Graphical mapping of tropical cyclone forecast wind probabilities worldwide
Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and P. Yuen

Handout (157.2 kB)

P5.23
Seasonal prediction of typhoon activity in the Northwest Pacific basin
Adam S. Lea, Department of Space & Climate Physics, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders

P5.24
Temporal Variance of Typhoon Disasters in Recent Six Centuries in Shanghai and Preventing ,Mitigating Strategies
Ming Xu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and Q. Yang, Y. Duan, and M. Ying

P5.25
Impacts of Climate Change on Tropical Storms (Hurricanes)
Rouzbeh Nazari, NOAA-CREST, College (CCNY) at the City University of New York (CUNY), New York, NY; and S. Mahani and R. Khanbilvardi

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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