Session 11A Tropical Cyclone Prediction V - Track

Thursday, 27 April 2006: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
Regency Grand BR 4-6 (Hyatt Regency Monterey)
Host: 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair:
Robert E. Tuleya, EMC, CCPO/ODU, Norfolk, VA

Papers:
8:00 AM
11A.1
Prediction of tropical cyclone track forecast error for Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma
James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (639.0 kB)

8:15 AM
11A.2
Sensitivity of tropical cyclone track forecasts to convective momentum transport in the NOGAPS Emanuel cumulus parameterization
Timothy F. Hogan, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Pauley
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (257.4 kB)

8:30 AM
11A.3
The Impact of Dropsonde Data from DOTSTAR on Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting
Kun-Hsuan Chou, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, P. H. Lin, S. Aberson, M. Peng, and T. Nakazawa
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (658.9 kB)

8:45 AM
11A.4
Improvement of tropical cyclone track forecasting using a model-constrained 3D-Var data assimilation scheme
Xudong Liang, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and B. Wang, J. Chan, Y. Duan, D. Wang, Z. Zeng, and L. Ma

9:00 AM
11A.5
Impact of AMSU and AMSR-E Measurements on Hurricane Prediction
Tong Zhu, Colorado State Univ./CIRA at NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and F. Weng, Q. Liu, and N. Surgi
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (234.4 kB)

9:15 AM
11A.6
Evaluation of causes of large 96-h and 120-h track errors in the western North Pacific
Kathryn Anne Payne, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and R. M. Kehoe, M. A. Boothe, and R. L. Elsberry
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (52.4 kB)

9:30 AM
11A.7
An Experiment on the Impact of Initial Fields and Boundary Conditions on the Typhoon Track Simulation in the Northwest Pacific Ocean
Der-Song Chen, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and L. F. Hsiao, K. N. Huang, and T. C. Yeh

Presentation PDF (297.0 kB)

9:45 AM
11A.8
Tropical cyclone modeling in a probabilistic framework
William E. Lewis, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (192.0 kB)

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