Session 14A |
| Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change I: Observational and Theoretical Studies |
| Chair: Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
|
| 10:15 AM | 14A.1 | A critique of Emanuel's hurricane model and potential intensity theory Roger K. Smith, Department of Physics, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and M. T. Montgomery and S. Vogl |
| 10:30 AM | 14A.2 | Estimating the atmospheric and SST memory of tropical cyclones Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Maue and M. C. Watson |
| 10:45 AM | 14A.3 | Is tropical cyclone intensity change related to the strength of its convective precipitation features? Using 9 years of TRMM data to find an answer Haiyan Jiang, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser |
| 11:00 AM | 14A.4 | A Statistical Analysis of JTWC NWPAC Intensity Trends Stephen J. Barlow, 17th Operational Weather Squadron/Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI |
| | 14A.5 | An Observational Study of Environmental Dynamical Control of Tropical Cyclone Intensity in the Atlantic Zhihua Zeng, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and L. Chen and Y. Wang |
| 11:15 AM | 14A.6 | A retrospective study of the Interaction of the Saharan Air Layer with Atlantic basin tropical cyclones Evan B. Forde, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. P. Dunion |
| 11:30 AM | 14A.7 | Verification of deterministic tropical cyclone intensity forecasts: Moving beyond mean absolute error Jonathan R. Moskaitis, MIT, Cambridge, MA |