Session 13A Conveying Uncertainties in Tropical Cyclone Forecasts

Thursday, 1 May 2008: 8:00 AM-9:45 AM
Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)
Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair:
Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/TPC/NHC, Noaa/tpc/nhc, Miami, FL

Papers:
8:00 AM
13A.1
National Hurricane Center forecast verification
James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NHC, MIami, FL
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (450.8 kB)

8:15 AM
13A.2
An analysis of along- and cross-track forecast errors and error biases for TCs in the Atlantic Basin
Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and P. Bowyer
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (598.9 kB)

8:30 AM
13A.3
Tropical cyclone wind speed probabilities and their relationships with coastal watches and warnings issued by the National Hurricane Center
Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb, M. DeMaria, and J. Knaff
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (51.7 kB)

8:45 AM
13A.4
Including expressions of uncertainty within local forecast products during tropical cyclone wind situations
Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and D. W. Sharp, M. R. Volkmer, and G. Rader
Recorded presentation

9:00 AM
13A.5
An examination of the logic within WFO software applications used to generate tropical cyclone impact graphics
David W. Sharp, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and M. R. Volkmer, P. Santos, and T. J. LeFebvre
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (309.6 kB)

9:15 AM
13A.6
An interactive website designed to enhance public understanding of storm surge threats
Robert Bright, NOAA/NWS, North Charleston, SC; and F. Alsheimer, B. L. Lindner, G. Miller, D. Timmons, and J. Johnson
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (214.6 kB)

9:30 AM
13A.7
Perceptions of hurricane risk and the response to Hurricane Rita forecasts along the Texas coast
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Zhang and J. Sippel
Recorded presentation

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