Session 5A Tropical Cyclone Modeling IV: Ensemble Systems

Tuesday, 29 April 2008: 8:00 AM-9:45 AM
Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)
Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair:
Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Numerical Weather Prediction, Exeter

Papers:
5A.1
Performance of TC track ensemble prediction system in NMC/Beijing

8:15 AM
5A.2
Impact of stochastic cumulus on the NOGAPS ET ensemble forecasting system. Part I: Description and general performance
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. G. McLay, J. S. Goerss, and J. Teixeira
Recorded presentation

8:30 AM
5A.3
Impact of stochastic cumulus on the NOGAPS ET ensemble forecasting system. Part II: Tropical cyclone track forecast performance
James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (413.9 kB)

8:45 AM
5A.4
Ensemble Simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) from TCLAPS: Intensity and Track Sensitivity and Vortex Structure Evolution
Chi Mai Nguyen, Monash University, Melbourne, VICTORIA, Australia; and M. J. Reeder and N. E. Davidson
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (254.2 kB)

9:00 AM
5A.5
Ensemble-based synoptic sensitivity during the tropical cyclone life cycle
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
Recorded presentation

9:15 AM
5A.6
High-resolution ensemble data assimilation applied to Hurricane Katrina (2005)
Ryan Torn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Hakim
Recorded presentation

9:30 AM
5A.7
Promising EnKF analyses and Forecasts of Hurricane Humberto (2007)
Yonghui Weng, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang, Z. Meng, J. Sippel, and C. H. Bishop

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