Session 17A Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change III: Statistical-Dynamical Forecast Methods

Friday, 2 May 2008: 8:00 AM-9:45 AM
Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)
Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
John E. Molinari, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, ES 225, Albany, NY

8:00 AM
Merging statistical and dynamical forecasts for hurricane prediction
Malaquias Pena, SAIC and EMC/NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD

8:45 AM
A simple parameterization of sea surface cooling beneath a hurricane inner core
Andrea B. Schumacher, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and M. DeMaria, I. Ginis, and B. Thomas
9:00 AM
The use of a SHIPS ensemble for probabilistic tropical cyclone intensity forecasts
Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and M. DeMaria

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