Session 11A Tropical Cyclogenesis III: Numerical Models

Wednesday, 30 April 2008: 1:15 PM-3:00 PM
Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)
Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair:
Lixion A. Avila, NWS/NHC, Miami, FL

Papers:
1:15 PM
11A.1
The Impacts of Moist Convection on the Predictability of Tropical Cyclones
Jason Sippel, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and F. Zhang
Recorded presentation

1:30 PM
11A.2
11A.2 Initial condition sensitivity for tropical cyclogenesis and intensification using a moist adjoint
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault and C. A. Reynolds
Recorded presentation

1:45 PM
11A.3
Tropical cyclogenesis: A modeling comparison between developing and non-developing cloud clusters
Andrew B. Penny, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie

Presentation PDF (992.1 kB)

2:00 PM
11A.4
Evaluation of NCEP Global Ensemble in Predicting Tropical Cyclogenesis Over the East Atlantic: Case studies during August-September 2006
Andrew Snyder, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu, Y. Zhu, and W. J. Steenburgh
Recorded presentation

11A.5
Modeling studies of tropical cyclogenesis of TC Debby and Helene during AMMA

2:30 PM
11A.6
Validation of MM5 and WRF Forecasts of the Development of Hurricane Helene
Michael Folmer, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and R. W. Pasken and B. E. Anderson
Recorded presentation

2:45 PM
11A.7
Performance of the GFS in predicting tropical cyclone genesis during 2007
Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and E. S. Blake, J. G. Jiing, M. M. Mainelli, and D. P. Roberts
Recorded presentation

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