Session 8B Development of High-Resolution Forecast Models

Tuesday, 8 November 2016: 4:30 PM-6:00 PM
Pavilion Ballroom West (Hilton Portland )
Host: 28th Conference on Severe Local Storms
Chair:
Louis J. Wicker, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK

Papers:
4:30 PM
8B.1
High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Development for Deterministic and Ensemble Prediction
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and D. C. Dowell, T. Alcott, I. Jankov, T. T. Ladwig, M. Hu, T. Smirnova, J. B. Olson, J. Kenyon, J. Beck, J. A. Hamilton, E. P. James, S. Benjamin, and S. S. Weygandt
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
8B.2
Development of a High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Ensemble (HRRRE) for Severe Weather Forecasting
David C. Dowell, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Alexander, J. Beck, S. G. Benjamin, M. Hu, T. Ladwig, K. H. Knopfmeier, P. S. Skinner, and D. M. Wheatley
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
8B.3
Developing a Quantitative Measure of Convective Forcing to Evaluate High Resolution Rapid Refresh Ensemble (HRRRE) Variance
Amber J. Liggett, Millersville Univ., Beaver, PA; and T. T. Ladwig, D. C. Dowell, and C. R. Alexander

5:15 PM
8B.4
Evaluation of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Ensemble (HRRRE) Skill and Variance for Events with Strong Convective Forcing versus Weak Convective Forcing
Therese T. Ladwig, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Liggett, D. C. Dowell, C. R. Alexander, and J. Beck
Recorded Presentation

5:30 PM
8B.5
Real-time Storm-scale Data Assimilation and Forecasting Experiments for NOAA's Warn-on-Forecast Project
Dustan M. Wheatley, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. H. Knopfmeier, T. A. Jones, P. S. Skinner, D. C. Dowell, T. Ladwig, C. Alexander, and G. J. Creager
Recorded Presentation

5:45 PM
8B.6
An Evaluation of MCS Prediction with the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System for Ensembles
Kent H. Knopfmeier, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. M. Wheatley, P. S. Skinner, D. C. Dowell, T. Ladwig, C. R. Alexander, and G. J. Creager
Recorded Presentation

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