Session 13B Prediction and Analysis of Flooding and Concurrent Hazards

Thursday, 10 November 2016: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
Pavilion Ballroom West (Hilton Portland )
Host: 28th Conference on Severe Local Storms
David Sills, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, ON

8:30 AM
Predictability assessment of Heavy Precipitation Events observed during the HyMeX IOP16a based on Convection-Permitting Ensemble Systems
Olivier Nuissier, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and C. Marsigli, B. Vincendon, A. Hally, F. bouttier, A. montani, and T. paccagnella

8:45 AM
Short-term Probabilistic Forecasts of Flash Flood Producing Extreme Rainfall Events Using a Prototype Warn-on-Forecast System
Nusrat Yussouf, CIMMS/OU/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, K. H. Knopfmeier, Y. Wang, and J. Zhang
9:00 AM
Observations of Extreme Short-term Precipitation Associated with Supercells and Mesovortices
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher
9:15 AM
Extreme Short-term Precipitation in Supercells and Mesovortices: Insights from Numerical Simulations
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. R. Nielsen
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