29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

15D.1

Genesis potential estimation of high-impact weather by TIGGE ensemble data

Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and M. Matsueda

The prototype of high-impact weather genesis potential estimation system is proposed, based on the THORPEX Interactive Global Grand Ensemble (TIGGE) data sets. The main events we are interested in are not only tropical cyclone track forecasts, but also other phenomena, such as heat wave, flooding, drought etc. The basis concept will be presented and will be shown for an example for the Northern Vietnam flooding in November 2008.

extended abstract  Extended Abstract (1.5M)

wrf recordingRecorded presentation

Session 15D, Probabilistic Forecasting
Friday, 14 May 2010, 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tucson Salon A-C

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