Lag covariance analysis of these fields shows a two-way interaction between the AEJ and synoptic scale transients. Episodes of enhanced transient activity over the continent are associated with a displacement of the AEJ from the south east (jet entrance region) to the north west (the jet exit region). E-vector analysis shows that this displacement is consistent with forcing by transients that have AEW form.
At intraseasonal timescales, the OLR shows that enhanced transient activity is associated with enhanced convection over the region. Furthermore, transient activity is often preceded by enhanced convection to the east, in a “convective trigger” region over Darfur, in accordance with recent theories for the generation of AEWs.
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