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Sunday, 9 May 2010

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 9 May 2010


Conference Registration
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort

Monday, 10 May 2010

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 May 2010


Conference Registration Continues through Friday MAY 14
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Monday, 10 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 1A
Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Data Issues & Datasets
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University
8:30 AM
1A.1
An analysis of Atlantic hurricane seasons in the Pre-HURDAT era (1751-1850)
Steven A. LaVoie, Ball State University, Muncie, IN; and J. S. M. Coleman
9:15 AM
1A.4
9:30 AM
1A.5
Recording files available
Session 1B
Monsoons: North American Monsoon
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA
8:45 AM
1B.2
Simulations of a North American Monsoon Gulf Surge Event
Andrew J. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. H. Johnson
9:00 AM
1B.3
9:15 AM
1B.4
Possible causes for an earlier demise of the North American Monsoon
Paola Arias, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and R. Fu and D. Ren
9:30 AM
1B.5
Multi-year observations of the complex relationship between sea breezes and rainfall along the western Sierra Madre during the North American Monsoon
Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and V. M. Vincente, D. J. Gochis, and P. E. Johnston
Recording files available
Session 1C
Tropical Cyclones at Landfall
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: John Cangialosi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center
8:30 AM
1C.1
Wavelet analyses of turbulence in the hurricane boundary layer during landfalls
Ping Zhu, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and J. Zhang and F. Masters
9:00 AM
1C.3
The landfall of Tropical Storm Ida: Frontal structures and boundary layer variability
Kevin R. Knupp, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL ; and D. Phillips and T. Coleman
9:15 AM
1C.4
Tropical cyclone tornadoes: Synoptic scale influences and forecasting applications
Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and L. A. Schultz
9:30 AM
1C.5
Recording files available
Session 1D
Extratropical Transition: Physical processes
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Elizabeth A. Ritchie, University of Arizona
8:30 AM
1D.1
Impacts of extratropical transition of Northern Hemisphere available potential energy
Eyad H. Atallah, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and J. R. Gyakum and R. McTaggart-Cowan
9:00 AM
1D.3
An observational study of the downstream Rossby wave response to recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones
Daniel Keyser, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambault, J. M. Cordeira, and L. Bosart
9:30 AM
1D.5

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 10 May 2010


Coffee Break
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 10 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 2A
Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Long-Term Variability
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: James P. Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
10:15 AM
2A.1
Interannual Variability of Tropical Cyclone Scale over the western North Pacific and Related Environmental Control Mechanism
Ming Ying, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai, China

10:30 AM
2A.2
Interannual sea-surface temperature oscillations and tropical cyclone activity over the North Pacific basin
Hye-Mi Kim, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry

10:45 AM
2A.3
Sensitivity of the Strongest Hurricanes to Ocean Warmth
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
11:00 AM
2A.4
Predictability of hurricane activity and impacts
Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and I. Gonzales III and R. J. Hergert Jr.
11:15 AM
2A.5
Interdecadal variability of the intense typhoons in autumn
Chih-Hua Tsou, Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. C. Chen and J. H. Chen

11:30 AM
2A.6
Impacts of Global Warming Events on Tropical Cyclones
Meng-Pai Hung, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin

11:45 AM
2A.7
Recording files available
Session 2B
Monsoons II
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong
10:15 AM
2B.1
The nature of summer-time precipitation over north-western Australia
Gareth J. Berry, Monash University, Melbourne., Victoria, Australia; and M. Reeder and C. Jakob
10:30 AM
2B.2
Role of air-sea interaction for seasonal prediction of Australian monsoon rainfall
Harry H. Hendon, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbounre, Vic, Australia; and E. P. Lim
10:45 AM
2B.3
Atmospheric Mixed Layers over the South China Sea during the Summer Monsoon
Paul E. Ciesielski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. Johnson
11:00 AM
2B.4
Land-Atmosphere Interaction in IPCC AR4 Climate Models
Taotao Qian, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. L. Lin and D. H. Bromwich

11:15 AM
2B.5
Observational evaluation of a convective Quasi-Equilibrium view of Monsoons
Ji Nie, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and W. R. Boos and Z. Kuang
11:30 AM
2B.6
Feedback mechanisms in monsoon transitions
Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA
11:45 AM
2B.7
Decadal change of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset
Yoshiyuki Kajikawa, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan; and B. Wang
Recording files available
Session 2C
Hurricane Aerosol and Microphysics Program (HAMP)
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: William R. Cotton, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University
10:15 AM
2C.1
The Hurricane Aerosol and Microphysics Program (HAMP): A HAMP Contribution
Joe Golden, Golden Research & Consulting, Boulder, CO; and W. L. Woodley
10:30 AM
2C.2
11:15 AM
2C.5
Can aerosols explain hurricane prediction errors?
Michal Clavner, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. Rosenfeld

11:30 AM
2C.6
Mechanisms of lightning formation in deep maritime clouds and hurricanes (The HAMP contribution)
Nir Benmoshe, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and A. Khain, A. Pokrovsky, and V. Phillips
11:45 AM
2C.7
Recording files available
Session 2D
Extratropical Transition: Forecast challenges
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center
10:15 AM
2D.1
Defining the Lifecycle of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones using Remotely-Sensed Imagery
David E. Kofron, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. F. Pineros, E. A. Ritchie, and J. S. Tyo
10:30 AM
2D.2
Data denial experiments for extratropical transition
Doris Anwender, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe, Germany; and C. Cardinali and S. C. Jones
10:45 AM
2D.3
Goal oriented adaptivity for tropical cyclones
Leonhard Scheck, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and M. Baumann, S. C. Jones, V. Heuveline, and M. N. Juckes
11:00 AM
2D.4
11:15 AM
2D.5
Distillation of key storm evolution characteristics from ensemble forecasts through path clustering
Jenni L. Evans, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Chiaromonte and P. K. Don
11:45 AM
2D.7
Support vector machine techniques to predict tropical cyclone re-intensification following extratropical transition
Steven R. Felker, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. S. Tyo, E. A. Ritchie, and I. Vaughn

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 10 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 3A
Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Seasonal Forecasting
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kevin Walsh, University of Melbourne
1:15 PM
3A.1
Verification of 12 years of NOAA Atlantic seasonal hurricane forecasts
Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. J. Pasch and G. D. Bell
1:30 PM
3A.2
Intraseasonal predictions of tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic Ocean
James I. Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry
1:45 PM
3A.3
2:00 PM
3A.4
Caribbean/Central American hurricane landfall probabilities
Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
2:15 PM
3A.5
Environmental signals in property damage losses from hurricanes
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner
2:30 PM
3A.6
On the development of seasonal tropical cyclone prediction schemes for the Fiji region
Savin S. Chand, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and K. J. E. Walsh and J. Chan
2:45 PM
3A.7
Recording files available
Session 3B
Tropical Cyclone Formation: African Easterly Waves
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Sarah C. Jones, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie
1:15 PM
3B.1
1:30 PM
3B.2
Genesis of Pre-hurricane Felix (2007) and the Role of the Wave Critical Layer
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and M. T. Montgomery and T. J. Dunkerton

1:45 PM
3B.3
2:00 PM
3B.4
African Easterly Wave Evolution Pre- and Post-tropical Cyclogenesis
Bryce Paul Tyner, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
2:15 PM
3B.5
Dynamics of African easterly Wave storm track
Anantha Aiyyer, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
2:30 PM
3B.6
2:45 PM
3B.7
Probabilistic discrimination between large-scale environments of intensifying and decaying African Easterly Waves
Paula A. Agudelo, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos, J. Curry, and P. Webster
Recording files available
Session 3C
HFIP: High-Resolution Modeling I
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: James Doyle, NRL
1:15 PM
3C.1
NOAA's Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP): Project Plan and Status Report
Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and R. L. Gall and F. Toepfer
1:30 PM
3C.2
The HFIP High-Resolution Hurricane Forecast test: overview and results of track and intensity forecast verification
Ligia Bernardet, OAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Nance, S. Bao, B. Brown, L. Carson, T. Fowler, J. Halley Gotway, C. Harrop, and J. Wolff
1:45 PM
3C.3
The HWRFx Modeling System: The High Resolution Hurricane Forecast Test
Xuejin Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. Gopalakrishnan, K. Yeh, R. F. Rogers, S. D. Aberson, F. D. Marks Jr., and T. Quirino
2:00 PM
3C.4
Does enhanced horizontal resolution improve hurricane intensity forecasts?
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Wang, J. Dudhia, R. Torn, S. Fredrick, R. Rotunno, C. Snyder, S. Cavallo, and J. M. Done
2:15 PM
3C.5
Performance of the GFDL hurricane model during HFIP High-Resolution Hurricane Test Project
Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and B. Thomas, M. A. Bender, and T. Marchok
2:30 PM
3C.6
COAMPS-TC Forecasts for HFIP High Resolution Hurricane Tests
Hao Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng, Y. Jin, and J. D. Doyle

2:45 PM
3C.7
The impact of adjusting physics in the university of wisconsin nonhydrostatic modeling system (UW-NMS) on tropical cyclone evolution
Zachary Gruskin, University of Wisconsin , Madison, WI; and W. E. Lewis, G. J. Tripoli, and T. Hashino
Recording files available
Session 3D
Remote Sensing:Passive microwave techniques
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: John L. Beven, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC
1:15 PM
3D.1
Improvement of passive microwave rainfall retrievals over the mountain area in Japan
Shoichi Shige, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; and H. Ashiwake, S. Kida, T. Kubota, T. Manabe, and K. Okamoto
1:30 PM
3D.2
1:45 PM
3D.3
Measuring the structure of hurricanes with a microwave sounder
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA

2:00 PM
3D.4
The Megha-Tropiques mission
Remy Roca, LMD IPSL Paris, Paris, France
2:15 PM
3D.5a
Recent Statistical Analyses of the Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
John Sears, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and T. Olander and C. Velden
2:45 PM
3D.6
Estimates of Hurricane Wind Speed Measurement Accuracy using the Airborne Hurricane Imaging Radiometer
Ruba Amarin, Univ. Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and L. Jones, J. Johnson, C. Ruf, T. L. Miller, and S. S. Chen
3:00 PM
3D.7
Development, capabilities, and impact on wind analyses of the Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD)
Timothy L. Miller, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and M. W. James, R. Amarin, R. Atlas, M. C. Bailey, P. G. Black, C. D. Buckley, S. S. Chen, S. El-Nimri, R. E. Hood, J. W. Johnson, W. L. Jones, C. S. Ruf, D. E. Simmons, E. Uhlhorn, and C. M. Inglish

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 10 May 2010


Session
Coffee Break
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Monday, 10 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 4A
Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Modeling Studies
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC
3:30 PM
4A.1
TCs rainfall and TCs rainfall efficiency simulated in a high resolution climate model
A.S. Daloz, CNRM, Centre National de Recherches Scientifiques, Toulouse, France; and F. Fabrice Chauvin and F. Frank Roux
3:45 PM
4A.2
4:00 PM
4A.3
The effects of relative versus absolute SST on tropical cyclone potential intensity using a single column model
Hamish A. Ramsay, NASA GISS/ Columbia University, New York, New York; and A. H. Sobel

4:15 PM
4A.4
Stratospheric cooling and tropical cyclones
Kerry Emanuel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA
4:45 PM
4A.6
Thermodynamic control of tropical cyclogenesis in environments of radiative-convective equilibrium
Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. Nolan and K. A. Emanuel
5:00 PM
4A.7
Application of scale-selective data assimilation to seasonal simulation of tropical cyclones
Shiqiu Peng, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Guangzhou, China

Recording files available
Session 4B
Tropical Cyclone Formation: Physical Processes
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Michael M. Bell, NPS
3:30 PM
4B.1
3:45 PM
4B.2
Developing a parameter to detect imminent TC formation based on large-scale flow properties
Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and R. Dare

4:30 PM
4B.5
Microphysical properties of developing versus non-developing cloud clusters during tropical cyclogenesis
Nathan D. Johnson, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and W. C. Conant and E. A. Ritchie
4:45 PM
4B.6
Pre-depression vortex development from “unspectacular” convection: A genesis case study of tropical storm Gert (2005)
Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. A. Davis, M. T. Montgomery, S. A. Braun, and P. D. Reasor

Recording files available
Session 4C
HFIP: High-Resolution Modeling II
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML
3:30 PM
4C.1
3:45 PM
4C.2
An overview of the COAMPS-TC system applied during HFIP and T-PARC
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. Chen, J. Cummings, R. M. Hodur, E. Hendricks, T. Holt, H. Jin, Y. Jin, C. S. Liou, J. R. Moskaitis, M. Peng, K. D. Sashegyi, and J. Schmidt
4:00 PM
4C.3
4:15 PM
4C.4
A high resolution version of operational HWRF: forecast ability and computational challenges presented by an operational environment
Sam Trahan, EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada, Z. Zhang, J. Oconnor, L. C. Sparling, and B. Lapenta
4:30 PM
4C.5
Hurricane forecasts during the 2009 season using a suite of mesoscale models
Dr. Tiruvalam N. Krishnamurti, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. K. Biswas
4:45 PM
4C.6
High-resolution global ensemble hurricane forecasts using an experimental ensemble Kalman filter based analysis and prediction system
Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Fiorino, T. Hamill, S. G. Benjamin, and P. Pegion
Recording files available
Session 4D
Remote Sensing: Applications
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: Jeffrey Hawkins, NRL
3:45 PM
4D.2
4:00 PM
4D.3
Tropical Cyclone Center-Fixing in Microwave or Infrared Imagery
Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden
4:15 PM
4D.4
The CIMSS SATellite CONsensus (SATCON) tropical cyclone intensity algorithm
Derrick Herndon, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Velden, J. Hawkins, T. Olander, and A. Wimmers
4:45 PM
4D.6
New Wind Measurement Capabilities With The High-Altitude Imaging Wind and Rain Profiler
Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. Li and J. Carswell
5:00 PM
4D.7
Tropical cyclone dynamics revealed by MISR high-resolution, height-resolved, cloud-track winds and cloud top heights
Michael J. Garay, Raytheon Corporation, Pasadena, CA; and K. Mueller, D. Wu, C. Moroney, V. Jovanovic, and D. J. Diner

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 10 May 2010


Session
Ice Breaker Reception
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

7:45 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 10 May 2010


Session
Reflections on the Life and Science of Joanne Simpson
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Tuesday, 11 May 2010

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 11 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 5A
Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Climate Controls on Extreme Events
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
8:00 AM
5A.1
The North Atlantic subtropical high and tropical cyclone tracks
Angela J. Colbert, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. J. Soden
8:15 AM
5A.2
Climate modulation of North Atlantic hurricane tracks: observations and implications
James P. Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. J. Camargo and M. Sitkowski
8:30 AM
5A.3
Climate control of global tropical storm days: El Niño and global warming
Bin Wang, Department of Meteorology and IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Yang, Q. Ding, and F. Huang
9:00 AM
5A.5
Influence of Sea Surface Warming on Long-Term Changes of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Formation
Liguang Wu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and L. Tao and Q. Ding
9:30 AM
5A.7
Analysis of National Hurricane Center track forecast errors based upon geographic location
Hannah C. Barnes, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont and J. Kossin
Recording files available
Session 5B
Tropical Cyclone Formation: Numerical Models
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Russell L. Elsberry, NPS
8:00 AM
5B.1
8:15 AM
5B.2
Numerical studies on the role of mesoscale convective systems during the formation of Typhoon Ketsana (2003)
Xinyan Lu, National Meteorological Center, Beijing, China; and K. K. W. Cheung and Y. Duan

8:30 AM
5B.3
Ensemble simulation of cyclone Nargis by a Global Cloud-system-resolving Model -- modulation of cyclogenesis by the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Hiroshi Taniguchi, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan; and W. Yanase and M. Satoh
9:00 AM
5B.5
Multiscale interactions in the formation of a Tropical Cyclone simulated in a global cloud-system-resolving model
Hironori Fudeyasu, International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang, M. Satoh, T. Nasuno, H. Miura, and W. Yanase
9:15 AM
5B.6
Evolution of multi-scale vortex in the development of Hurricane Dolly (2008)
Juan Fang, Nanjing University, China, Nanjing, China; and F. Zhang
9:30 AM
5B.7a
Recording files available
Session 5C
Tropical Cyclone Intensity: Rapid Intensification
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC
8:15 AM
5C.2
Inner-core vacillation cycles during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Katrina
Chi Mai Nguyen, Monash University, Melbourne, VICTORIA, Australia; and M. J. Reeder, N. E. Davidson, R. K. Smith, and M. T. Montgomery
8:30 AM
5C.3
Convective scale evolution during rapid intensification of a tropical cyclone
John Molinari, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro
8:45 AM
5C.4
Vertical velocity and microphysical distributions related to the rapid intensification of Hurricane Dennis (2005)
Eric C. Meyers, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar, B. F. Jewett, and S. W. Nesbitt
9:00 AM
5C.5
Modulation of eyewall convection by eye-eyewall mesovortices during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Guillermo (1997)
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and P. D. Reasor
9:15 AM
5C.6
Rapid deepening of tropical cyclones in the northeastern Tropical Pacific: The relationship with ocean eddies
Fernando Oropeza, Centro de Ciencias de la Atmosfera, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and G. B. Raga
9:30 AM
5C.7
Evaluation of GFDL wind field structure during rapid intensification TC cases using H*Wind
Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and B. Annane and R. F. Rogers
Recording files available
Session 5D
African Climate and Weather I
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin
8:00 AM
5D.1
Analysis of easterly waves in the YOTC period
Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY, Albany, NY; and M. A. Janiga
8:15 AM
5D.2
8:45 AM
5D.4
Regional analysis of West African monsoonal convective systems
Nick Guy, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. A. Rutledge and B. Dolan
9:15 AM
5D.5
Role of cross-equatorial SST gradients and orography in African easterly wave genesis
Sara C. Vieira, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster

9:45 AM
5D.7

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 11 May 2010


Coffee Break
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 6A
Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Climate Change Modeling
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT
10:30 AM
6A.2
Effects of tropical cyclones on ocean heat transport as simulated by a high resolution coupled general circulation model
Enrico Scoccimarro, INGV-CMCC, Bologna, Italy; and S. Gualdi, A. Bellucci, A. Sanna, P. Oddo, and A. Navarra
10:45 AM
6A.3
Response of Tropical Cyclone Potential Intensity to a Global Warming Scenario in the IPCC AR4 CGCMs
Jinhua Yu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Techonology, Nanjing, China; and Y. Wang and K. P. Hamilton
11:00 AM
6A.4
North American regional climate simulations: Dynamical downscaling experiments to predict hurricane activity under global warming
Asuka Suzuki-Parker, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and G. Holland, J. Done, and C. Bruyere
11:15 AM
6A.5
Lessons learned from North American Regional Climate Model (NRCM) Experiments
Cindy Bruyere, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Holland, A. Suzuki-Parker, and J. Done
11:30 AM
6A.6
11:45 AM
6A.7
Projected changes in cyclonic wind hazard in the Australian region
Craig Arthur, Geoscience Australia, Canberra, ACT, Australia
Recording files available
Session 6B
Tropical Cyclone Formation: Prediction
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Lixion A. Avila, NWS/NHC
10:15 AM
6B.1
Climatology of Dvorak classifications to support operational probabilistic tropical cyclogenesis forecasts
Joshua Cossuth, Florida State University/COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Knabb and D. P. Brown
10:30 AM
6B.2
Development and applications of a new Genesis Potential Index
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and M. K. Tippett, A. H. Sobel, G. A. Vecchi, and M. Zhao
10:45 AM
6B.3
Operational forecast on Asian Monsoon region cyclone genesis and tracks
Jun Jian, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian, China; and P. Webster
11:00 AM
6B.4
A global TC development pathway climatology
R. McTaggart-Cowan, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and T. J. Galarneau Jr., L. Bosart, R. W. Moore, and O. Martius
11:15 AM
6B.5
11:45 AM
6B.7
Recording files available
Session 6C
Tropical Cyclone Intensity: MPI and Environmental Influences
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD
10:15 AM
6C.1
Energy Production, Frictional Dissipation, and Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones
Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and J. Xu
10:30 AM
6C.2
Critical alignment number and maximum potential intensity of a tropical cyclone
Irakli G. Shekrildaze, Georgian Technical University, Tbilisi, Georgia
10:45 AM
6C.3
Dynamical constraints on the intensity and size of tropical cyclones
Christoph Schmidt, Ludwig-Maximilians University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. K. Smith and M. T. Montgomery
11:00 AM
6C.4
Quantifying environmental control on tropical cyclone intensity change
Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng, B. Fu, and T. Li
11:15 AM
6C.5
A new paradigm for intensity change of tropical cyclones in vertical wind shear
Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and M. E. Nicholls
11:30 AM
6C.6
The evolution of Humberto in a sheared environment
Klaus Dolling, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes
11:45 AM
6C.7
Arc clouds in the tropical cyclone environment: Implications for TC intensity change
Jason Dunion, University of Miami/CIMAS-NOAA/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. D. Eastin, D. S. Nolan, J. Hawkins, and C. Velden
Recording files available
Session 6D
African Climate and Weather II
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin
Chair: Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
10:15 AM
6D.1
Assessment of recent rainfall anomalies in West Africa
Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD

10:30 AM
6D.2
Coastal rainfall onset in the West African monsoon
Hanh Nguyen, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and C. Thorncroft and C. Zhang
10:45 AM
6D.3
Some dynamical aspects of the precipitation regime over western equatorial Africa
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and B. Jackson

11:00 AM
6D.4
Variability of Atmospheric Moisture during the Boreal Spring in West Africa
Roberto J. Mera, Union of Concerned Scientists, Washington, DC; and F. H. M. Semazzi and A. G. Laing
11:15 AM
6D.5
Anomalous northern hemispheric summer mid-tropospheric circulation over West Africa
Isaac K. Tetteh, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and F. H. M. Semazzi
11:45 AM
6D.7
Theory and observations of West African monsoon onset
Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 7A
Industry Related Hurricane Research and Applications
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Greg J. Holland, NCAR
1:15 PM
7A.1
Onshore Natural Gas and Agriculture Producer Sensitivity to Gulf of Mexico Hurricane Risk
Joshua Darr, Chesapeake Energy, Chicago, IL; and J. Davis and M. Russo
1:30 PM
7A.2
Genesis Potential Index for Tropical Cyclones in the Nested Regional Climate Model (NRCM) Experiments
Cindy Bruyere, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Holland, J. Done, and A. Suzuki-Parker
1:45 PM
7A.3
A revised model for the radial profiles of hurricane winds
Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Fritz and J. Belanger
2:00 PM
7A.4
The effect of warmer SST on a stochastic Atlantic hurricane model
Jessica K. Turner, RMS, London, United Kingdom; and K. Coughlin, T. Laepple, S. Jewson, E. Bellone, and D. Rowlands
2:30 PM
7A.6
Interpretation of decadal tropical cyclone forecasts for decision-support: application to insurance and disaster risk reduction along the US Gulf Coast and the Caribbean
Nicola Ann Ranger, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, United Kingdom; and L. Smith, F. Niehoerster, R. Muir-Wood, and H. Kunreuther
2:45 PM
7A.7
A New Paradigm Shift from Weather to Quantitative Impact Forecasts
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and G. Geernaert and R. Luettich
Recording files available
Session 7B
Tropical Cyclone Structure I
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research
1:15 PM
7B.1
1:30 PM
7B.2
Simulated impacts of environmental parameters on tropical cyclone size and structure change
Elizabeth A. Ritchie, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. R. Felker and D. R. Stovern
2:00 PM
7B.4
2:15 PM
7B.5
Impact of vortex structure on tropical cyclone response to diabatic heating
Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. K. Taft, J. L. Vigh, and W. H. Schubert
2:30 PM
7B.6
2:45 PM
7B.7
Eye formation by dynamical adjustment of the tropical cyclone's inner core
Thomas Frisius, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

Recording files available
Session 7C
Tropical Cyclone Intensity: Theory
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Peter Black, NRL
1:15 PM
7C.1
Analysis of axisymmetric hurricanes in statistical equilibrium
Gregory J. Hakim, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

1:30 PM
7C.2
1:45 PM
7C.3
Tropical-cyclone intensification: Part I: The role of the boundary layer
Roger K. Smith, Ludwig Maximilian's University, Munich, Germany; and M. T. Montgomery
2:00 PM
7C.4
Tropical cyclone intensification: Part II: The role of air-sea moisture fluxes
Michael T. Montgomery, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and R. K. Smith
2:15 PM
7C.5
Tropical cyclone intensification: Sensitivity to the boundary-layer parameterization in a numerical model
Gerald L. Thomsen, Ludwig Maximilian's University, Munich, Germany; and R. K. Smith
2:30 PM
7C.6
The concepts of Rossby length and Rossby depth and their application to hurricane dynamics
Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. D. McNoldy
2:45 PM
7C.7
Non-linear response of hurricane vortices to heating perturbations in an observational regime
Stephen R. Guimond, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor
Recording files available
Session 7D
African Climate and Weather III
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Christopher Thorncroft, SUNY Albany
1:30 PM
7D.1a
1:45 PM
7D.2
Multi-scale analysis of the 25-27 July 2006 convective period over Niamey: Doppler radar observations and simulations
Christelle Barthe, LACY (UMR 8105), Saint Denis Cedex 9, Reunion; and N. Asencio, J. P. Lafore, M. Chong, B. Campistron, and F. Cazenave
2:00 PM
7D.3
The Relationship Between the Air-Sea Interactions and Tropical Cyclone Intensity
Jamese D. Sims, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and G. S. Jenkins and R. Grumbine

2:15 PM
7D.4
Microphysical characterisation of west African MCS anvils
Dominique Bouniol, CNRS/Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and J. Delanoë, C. Duroure, A. Protat, V. Giraud, and G. Penide

2:45 PM
7D.6
Hurricane Helene (2006) and the Saharan air layer
Sarah C. Jones, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe, Germany; and J. Schwendike, H. Vogel, and B. Vogel
3:00 PM
7D.7
Prediction of dry-season precipitation in tropical West Africa and its relation to forcing from the extratropics
Andreas H. Fink, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and P. Knippertz

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 11 May 2010


Poster Session 1
Posters: TCs and Climate, Monsoons, HFIP, TC Formation, Extratropical Transition, Industry Applications, TC Intensity, African Climate and Weather
Location: Arizona Ballroom 7 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Patrick Harr, NPS
P1.33
Water vapor eye temperatures of intense tropical cyclones
Roger Weldon, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Schwartz

P1.1
Hurricane ensemble prediction using NCEP operational HWRF system and GEFS perturbations
Zhan Zhang, NOAA/NCEP/EMC- SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada, Q. Liu, W. M. Lapenta, and S. J. Lord

Handout (232.7 kB)

P1.2
The risk of strong hurricane winds to Florida cities
Jill Christine Malmstadt, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner and T. H. Jagger

P1.3
Helical features of tropical cyclogenesis
Galina V. Levina, Russian Academy of Sciences, Perm, Russia; and M. T. Montgomery

P1.4
Toward a Global Climatology of Tropical Cloud Clusters
Christopher C. Hennon, Univ. of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC; and C. N. Helms and K. R. Knapp

Handout (813.6 kB)

P1.5
Initial condition sensitivity and predictability of tropical cyclogenesis
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault, C. A. Reynolds, and J. R. Moskaitis

P1.6
Future change of North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks: projection by a 20-km-mesh global climate model
Hiroyuki Murakami, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and B. Wang and A. Kitoh

P1.7
Statistical-Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall Along the South China Coast
Samson K.S. Chiu, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan, W. L. Ginn, and S. M. Lee

P1.8
Detecting Tropical Cyclone Formation from Satellite Infrared Imagery
Miguel Pineros, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie and J. S. Tyo

Handout (408.9 kB)

P1.9
Impact of resolution and downscaling technique in simulating Atlantic tropical cyclone activity with GEM-Climate
Louis-Philippe Caron, University of Quebec in Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada; and C. G. Jones and K. Winger

P1.10
P1.11
Feasibility Study of Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific Area using RegCM3
Andie Y. M. Au-Yeung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan

Handout (933.4 kB)

P1.12
Simulation of the interannual variation of seasonal northwest Pacific typhoon activity with a regional climate model
Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. R. Knutson, S. T. Garner, S. Chang, J. J. Sirutis, Y. C. Feng, and C. Chou

P1.14
Pattern classification of typhoon tracks and related large-scale circulations
Hyeong-Seog Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and C. H. Ho, J. H. Kim, and P. S. Chu

P1.15
Targeted observation for tropical cyclone during T-PARC 2008
Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and P. Harr, C. C. Wu, and M. Weissmann

P1.16
Hurricane reanalysis using Hurricane Satellite (HURSAT) data
Kenneth R. Knapp, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Handout (84.8 kB)

P1.17
Tropical cyclones and the Quasi-biennial Oscillation
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel

P1.18
The relationship between precipitation in the tropics and tropical cyclone frequency
Allison A. Wing, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. Emanuel

Handout (95.3 kB)

P1.19
The Tropical Cyclone Climate Model Intercomparison Project
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and S. Lavender

P1.21
A Global Unified View of ENSO Modulation of Tropical Cyclones
Meng-Pai Hung, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. L. Lin

P1.22
Potential improvements of tropical storm forecasts with remote sensing of ocean surface air pressure
Bing Lin, NASA, Hampton, VA; and S. Harrah, R. Lawrence, Q. Min, and Y. Hu

P1.22a
The potential for an abrupt failure of the West African monsoon as climate warms
Naresh Neupane, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook

P1.23
Evaluation of experimental model forecasts from HFIP 2009 Demonstration
Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, T. L. Jensen, and L. Nance

P1.24
High-resolution satellite data assimilation and its role in tropical cyclone prediction
William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and T. Hashino

P1.26
P1.27
The HFIP High Resolution Hurricane Forecast Test: Beyond the traditional verification metrics
Louisa Nance, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. R. Bernardet, S. Bao, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, C. W. Harrop, E. J. Szoke, E. I. Tollerud, J. K. Wolff, and H. Yuan

Handout (430.0 kB)

P1.29
The effect of major volcanic eruptions on tropical cyclone activity
Amato Evan, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and V. Bennington

P1.30
Climatological-based tropical cyclone landfall probabilities and average time to landfall
Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

P1.35
Evaluating the impacts of extratropical transitioning on typhoon losses via synoptic case studies
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and M. Desflots

Handout (1.1 MB)

P1.37
P1.38
P1.40
Statistical-dynamical intraseasonal prediction of tropical cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific
Tom Murphree, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. Meyer, B. Mundhenk, and C. Raynak

P1.41
Evidence linking solar variability with USA hurricanes
Robert E. Hodges, Department of Geography, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner

P1.42
P1.44
Consistent tropical cyclone wind and wave forecasts for the U. S. Navy
Charles R. Sampson, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Wittmann and H. L. Tolman

Handout (161.2 kB)

P1.45
Diagnosis of tropical cyclone activity through gravity wave energy density in the South West Indian Ocean
Chouaïbou Ibrahim, LACy(Laboratoire de l'atmosphere et des cyclones), Saint Denis, Reunion

P1.46
Zonal asymmetries in the African Easterly Jet
Amin K. Dezfuli, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. E. Nicholson

P1.47
Potential vorticity diagnostics associated with the Tropical Easterly Jet over Africa and links to rainfall variability
Travis A. Smith, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. E. Nicholson

P1.48
A newly-documented low-level coastal jet along the Benguela Coast of Southern Africa
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

P1.50
Simulated rainfall diurnal cycle of African Monsoon: a sensitivity study to model resolution and sea surface temperature forcing
Massimiliano Pasqui, Institute of Biometeorology - National Research Council (IBIMET-CNR), Roma, Italy; and F. Guarnieri and S. Melani

Handout (1.3 MB)

P1.52
Formation of tropical cyclones in the northern Indian Ocean associated with two types of tropical intraseasonal oscillation modes
Kazuyoshi Kikuchi, Department of Meteorology and IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

P1.53
An objective method to predict near real time rapid intensification of tropical cyclones using satellite passive microwave observations
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Rozoff, A. Wimmers, M. Sitkowski, M. E. Kieper, J. Kossin, J. Hawkins, and J. Knaff

P1.54
Recent Statistical Analyses of the Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Poster
John Sears, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and T. Olander and C. S. Velden

P1.55
Microphysics of deep tropical convective clouds observed over India Part 2 : simulations with a high resolution spectral bin microphysics model (The HAMP contribution)
Alexander P. Khain, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld, A. Pokrovsky, N. Benmoshe, J. R. Kulkarni, and R. S. Maheshkumar

Handout (832.3 kB)

P1.56
An analysis of tropical cyclone formations in the South China Sea during the late season
Cheng-Shang Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. L. Lin

P1.57
ADT v8.1: tropical cyclone intensity beyond Dvorak
Michael Turk, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD

P1.58
A multi-scale analysis of the rapid intensification of Hurricane Paloma (2008)
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Zhang, S. Aberson, M. L. Black, E. Uhlhorn, J. Dunion, A. Aksoy, and R. Rogers

P1.59
Sensitivity of The South Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation to The Cloud Microphysics and Associated Radiative Effects
Yi-Chi Wang, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. W. Tung, J. L. Li, and D. E. Waliser

P1.60
Microphysics of deep tropical convective clouds over India, part-I: Aircraft observations
J.R. Kulkarni, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India, Pune, India; and E. Freud, M. Konwar, R. S. Maheshkumar, and D. Rosenfeld

P1.61
Origin and a formation mechanism of pre-TC African easterly wave-mesoscale convective systems in eastern Africa
Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina A & T State University, Greensboro, NC; and G. Tang, J. Spinks, and W. Jones

P1.62
Development of a tropical cyclone microphysical model
Barry Lynn, Weather It Is, LTD, Efrat, Israel; and J. W. Bao, I. Ginis, A. P. Khain, and S. Gopalakrishnan

P1.63
HWRF performance diagnostics from the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season
Brian D. McNoldy, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, V. Tallapragada, and T. Marchok

Handout (1.0 MB)

P1.64
The Tropical Cyclone Structure (TCS-08) near real-time and science studies satellite product suite
Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. Richardson, T. F. Lee, R. L. Bankert, C. S. Velden, D. C. Herndon, A. Wimmers, T. Olander, F. J. Turk, J. E. Kent, and S. D. Miller

P1.65
Implications of Wintertime Blocking Episodes over Ural-Siberia for the Regional Climate in Southeast Asia
Ho Nam Cheung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and W. Zhou

P1.66
Transport of dust particles from the Bodele region to the monsoon layer. Case study of the 9-14 june 2006 period
Suzanne Crumeyrolle, LaMP : Laboratoire de Meteorologie Physique, Aubière, France; and P. Tulet, L. Garcia-Carreras, L. Gomes, C. Flamant, A. Schwarzenboeck, A. Matsuki, D. J. Parker, H. Venzac, and P. Formenti

Handout (1.5 MB)

P1.67
Evaluation of budget analyses during MISMO
Masaki Katsumata, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and P. E. Ciesielski and R. H. Johnson

P1.68
The role of trade wind surges in tropical cyclone formations in the western North Pacific
Lung-Yao Chang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. K. W. Cheung and C. S. Lee

P1.69
Gravity wave parameters over the west African area derived from the AMMA campaign (African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses)
Fabrice Chane Ming, Laboratoire de l'Atmosphère et des Cyclones, St Denis, La Réunion, France; and P. Kafando and M. Petitdidier

P1.71
A first study of the lightning activity related to tropical cyclones in the south-west Indian Ocean
Christelle Barthe, LACY (UMR 8105), Saint Denis Cedex 9, Reunion; and S. Coquillat

P1.72
Initiation of deep convection and surface properties over West Africa: a satellite based study
Amanda Gounou, CNRM Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Couvreux, F. Guichard, C. Taylor, R. Ellis, and P. Harris

P1.73
A possible mechanism regulating nocturnal stratocumulus decks in West Africa
Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink

Handout (905.3 kB)

P1.74
The impact of latent cooling processes on tropical cyclogenesis and intensity fluctuations
Thomas Frisius, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and T. Hasselbeck

P1.75
Using potential vorticity tendency equations for diagnosing atmospheric dynamics in numerical models
Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and J. D. Kepert and J. Sippel

P1.76
Wave energy accumulation and tropical cyclone genesis
James M. Done, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland, S. N. Tulich, C. Bruyere, and A. Suzuki-Parker

P1.77
Orographic influence on the cyclogenesis of tropical storm Debby (2006)
John Paul Roop, North Carolina A & T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin and G. Tang

P1.78
P1.81
2009 NSF-PREDICT Dry Run: what have we learned?
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and M. T. Montgomery

P1.82
Impact of assimilation of LASE and dropwindsonde data sets during NAMMA field campaign
Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti

P1.83
Relationship of Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones to Dynamical/Thermodynamical Parameters
Anu Simon, Dept. of Meteorology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti, R. S. Ross, A. Martin, and D. Zelinsky

P1.84
Simulation of a convective rainfall event and associated water budget over West Africa : an intercomparison of mesoscale models
Francoise Guichard, CNRS/Météo-France UMR 3589, Toulouse, Haute Garonne, France; and J. P. Lafore, N. Asencio, C. Peugeot, O. Bock, J. L. Redelsperger, X. Cui, M. Garvert, B. L. Lamptey, E. Orlandi, J. Sander, F. Fierli, M. A. Gaertner, S. C. Jones, A. Morse, A. Boone, M. Nuret, G. Balsamo, B. Decharme, P. de Rosnay, P. Harris, and J. C. Berges

P1.85
Numerical modeling of boundary layer roll vortices in high wind conditions
Zhitao Yu, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis and A. Khain

P1.86
Orographic Effects On Tropical Cyclogenesis Over Eastern Pacific Ocean
Van Nguyen, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin and G. Tang

P1.87
Tropical and extra-tropical forecast sensitivity to sub-tropical observational enhancement
Lee A. Byerle, AWS, Tucson, 85708; and J. Paegle, J. E. Nogues-Paegle, A. C. Saulo, and J. J. Ruiz

Handout (1.4 MB)

P1.89
Convective Characteristics of Hurricane Eyewalls and Rainbands from 11 years of TRMM Data
Ellen Ramirez, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and H. Jiang and E. Zipser

P1.90
Dynamical system analysis of a low order tropical cyclone model
Daria Schönemann, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and T. Frisius

Handout (477.9 kB)

P1.91
Characteristics of convection investigated during NAMMA (2006) using a dual-frequency airborne precipitation radar
Jonathan Zawislak, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser and S. Tanelli

P1.92
On the Tropical Cyclone Formation from Tropical Waves
Chanh Q. Kieu, Hanoi College of Science, Vietnam National University, Hanoi, Vietnam; and F. Zhang, J. S. Gall, and W. Frank

Handout (1.4 MB)

P1.93
WISHE and tropical cyclone intensification
George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Emanuel, F. Zhang, J. Fang, and B. H. Tang

P1.94
GeoSTAR – a new hurricane observatory
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Gaier, A. Tanner, and P. Kangaslahti

P1.95
An analysis of tropical variability during the 2002-2003 cold season
Kyle MacRitchie, SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. E. Roundy

P1.96
Seasonal and intraseasonal modulations of environmental field for tropical cyclogenesis over the Bay of Bengal
Wataru Yanase, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute/University of Tokyo, Chiba, Japan; and H. Taniguchi and M. Satoh

Handout (1.3 MB)

P1.97
P1.98
The THORPEX Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) objective on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: observed cases, their structure and downstream impacts
Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and S. C. Jones, D. Anwender, M. M. Bell, C. A. Davis, R. L. Elsberry, J. L. Evans, C. M. Grams, S. T. Lang, J. H. Keller, N. Kitabatake, W. C. Lee, R. McTaggart-Cowan, E. R. Sanabia, C. S. Velden, M. Weissmann, and M. Wirth

Handout (589.2 kB)

P1.99
Synoptic variability of the monsoon flux over West Africa prior to the onset
Fleur Couvreux, Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Guichard, O. Bock, B. Campistron, J. P. Lafore, and J. L. Redelsperger

P1.100
Documentation of cloud characteristics inferred from ground and satellite measurements within west Africa
Dominique Bouniol, CNRS/Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Couvreux, P. H. Kamsu-Tamo, M. Leplay, F. Guichard, and E. J. O'Connor

P1.101
Mineral dust transport over West Africa in 2006
Juliane Schwendike, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and D. Bou Karam, S. Crumeyrolle, C. Flamant, S. C. Jones, M. Schmidberger, F. Solmon, T. Stanelle, H. Vogel, and B. Vogel

Handout (2.1 MB)

P1.102
Data impact experiments using IASI observations during the life cycle of Hurricanes Gustav, Hanna and Ike (2008)
Doris Anwender, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe, Germany; and N. Fourrié, F. Rabier, and P. Arbogast

Handout (1.0 MB)

P1.103
Interactions of Upper Level Troughs and African Easterly Waves
Bryce Paul Tyner, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

P1.104
Precipitation processes in southwest India during the summer monsoon: the Orographic Precipitation and Evolution of Landscapes-Western Ghats project (OPEL-WG)
Stephen W. Nesbitt, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. M. Anders, W. J. Kaufeld, and J. Colberg

P1.105
Intraseasonal variability of African easterly wave activity
Jeffrey M. Ceratto, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft

P1.106
Easterly Waves in the Intra-Americas Sea Region
Yolande Serra, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Kiladis and K. I. Hodges

Handout (103.3 kB)

P1.108
What Controls the Geographic Distribution of Evapotranspiration in the Amazon River Basin?
Taotao Qian, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich and J. L. Lin

P1.109
Maintenance of Long-lived African Easterly Waves
David Church, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. Aiyyer

P1.110
Modeling studies of African Easterly Waves in relation to Tropical Cyclogenesis along the West African Coast
Forbes Tompkins, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao and G. S. Jenkins

P1.114
A study of the influence of the Saharan Air Layer on tropical cyclones using TOMS data
E.M. Hicks, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and C. A. Pontikis

Handout (219.9 kB)

P1.115
Simple kinematic models of tropical cyclones in vertical shear
Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery

P1.116
Impact of the MJO on the west African monsoon, African easterly waves, and Atlantic tropical cyclones
Ghassan J. Alaka, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney

P1.117
Mechanisms Linking Easterly Waves and the North American Monsoon System
Simona Seastrand, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and Y. Serra

P1.118
Evaluation of a Reduced Model for Investigating Hurricane Formation from Turbulence
David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA

P1.119
Contrasts between organized convection during the peak and tail ends of the West African monsoon
Matthew A. Janiga, SUNY at Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft, B. Mapes, and E. R. Williams

P1.120
A logistic regression model for WNP tropical cyclone formation forecast
Bing Fu, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, College Park, MD; and M. S. Peng, T. Li, and J. Hansen

P1.123
The Influence of the Madden Julian Oscillation over Tropical North Africa
Michael J. Ventrice, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and P. Roundy

P1.126
Diagnosis and Verification of Real-Time COAMPS-TC Forecasts
Hao Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. G. Black, J. D. Doyle, J. R. Moskaitis, R. M. Hodur, Y. Jin, and M. S. Peng

P1.127
Three-dimensional structure of the Saharan Air Layer
Aaron M. Adams, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

P1.128
The effects of latent heating on the extratropical transition of Typhoon Sinlaku
Michael Kevin Hernandez, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans

P1.129
The relationship between tropical cyclone intensity changes and its precipitation features
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. Schroeder

P1.130
Tropical cyclone genesis from easterly waves in a regional climate model
Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis and A. Suzuki-Parker

P1.131
Is rapid intensification internally or externally controlled?
Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng

P1.132
Comparison of the role of subsurface ocean in the east and central Pacific warmings
Lina I. Ceballos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos and E. Di Lorenzo

P1.133
Convective scale simulation of the 2006 North American Monsoon season
Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and R. Rotunno and M. C. Barth

P1.134
The climatological significance of extratropical transitioning on typhoon precipitation over japan
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and J. Butke

Handout (1.3 MB)

P1.135
A modeling study of tropical cyclone suppression during the AEROSE 2009: Case study of Ana
Miliaritiana L. Robjhon, Howard University, Washington, DC; and S. Chiao, E. Joseph, N. R. Nalli, A. E. Reynolds, and D. V. Morris

P1.137
The Impact of Airborne Doppler Lidar Wind Measurements on Numerical Simulations of Tropical cyclones
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and L. Zhang and G. D. Emmitt

P1.138
Simulations of Top-Down and Bottom-Up tropical cyclogenesis
Tim Li, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and X. Ge and M. S. Peng


Session
Formal Poster Viewing
Location: Arizona Ballroom 7 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

8:00 PM-9:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 May 2010


Session
Evening Session Presentation and Panel Discussion on Industry Applications. Sponsored by Willis Re
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
8:00 PM
.1
The future of modeling hurricane catastrophes
Peter Dailey, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and J. Guin

8:15 PM
.2
Reducing the impact of hurricane variability and change on the Offshore Energy Community in the Gulf of Mexico
Cort Cooper, Chevron Petroleum Technology Company, San Ramon, CA; and G. J. Holland, J. M. Done, A. Suzuki, and C. Bruyere

8:30 PM
.3
The Willis Hurricane Index
Brian F. Owens, Willis Limited, London, United Kingdom; and G. J. Holland

Wednesday, 12 May 2010

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Wednesday, 12 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 8A
T-PARC Targeted Data Studies
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI
8:00 AM
8A.1
Properties of the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling strategy for tropical cyclones
Shin-Gan Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and S. J. Majumdar and C. C. Wu
8:15 AM
8A.2
Synoptic sensitivity analysis of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) and Hurricane Ike (2008)
William Komaromi, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. D. Rappin, S. J. Majumdar, M. J. Brennan, S. G. Chen, D. S. Nolan, R. Langland, and C. S. Velden
8:30 AM
8A.3
Special satellite data analysis and NWP impact studies during TPARC
Howard Berger, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden, R. Langland, and C. A. Reynolds
8:45 AM
8A.4
Targeted observation and its impact in DOTSTAR and T-PARC
Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and P. H. Lin, K. H. Chou, S. D. Aberson, S. J. Majumdar, C. A. Reynolds, M. S. Peng, T. Nakazawa, P. A. Harr, H. M. Kim, M. Weissmann, J. H. Chen, and S. G. Chen
9:00 AM
8A.5
The influence of special T-PARC observations on typhoon track and mid-latitude forecasts
Martin Weissmann, DLR Oberpfaffenhofen, Wessling, Germany; and F. Harnisch, S. Rahm, T. Nakazawa, C. C. Wu, S. D. Aberson, Y. H. Kim, K. Yamashita, and Y. Ohta
9:15 AM
8A.6
Sensitivity of typhoon forecasts to different subsets of targeted observations
Florian Harnisch, Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Oberpfaffenhofen, Wessling, Germany; and M. Weissmann
9:30 AM
8A.7a
Impact of targeted dropsonde observations on the track forecast for SINLAKU (200813) using Ensemble Kalman Filter
Byoung-Joo Jung, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and H. M. Kim, F. Zhang, and C. C. Wu
Recording files available
Session 8B
Tropical Cyclone Structure: Inner Structure and Vertical Structure
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Derrick Herndon, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin
8:15 AM
8B.2
Multiscale observations of tropical cyclone structure using airborne Doppler composites
Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. Lorsolo, P. D. Reasor, J. Gamache, and F. Marks
8:30 AM
8B.3
The distribution of helicity and intense convection in tropical cyclones
Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and K. A. Shontz
8:45 AM
8B.4
9:15 AM
8B.6
The collapse of the eyewall of Hurricane Dolly (2008) into multiple mesovortices
Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and Z. Gruskin

9:30 AM
8B.7
Recording files available
Session 8C
Tropical Cyclone Intensity: Modeling
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC
8:30 AM
8C.3
8:45 AM
8C.4
Intensity forecasts for hurricane charley: the role of data assimilation
Lisha Roubert, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and W. E. Lewis and G. J. Tripoli
9:00 AM
8C.5
Observational and modeling comparison of Super-Typhoon Jangmi (2008) and Hurricane Katrina (2005)
Peter G. Black, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin, S. Chen, J. D. Hawkins, D. S. Ko, J. D. Doyle, R. M. Hodur, T. R. Holt, H. Jin, C. S. Liou, K. D. Sashegyi, J. Schmidt, S. Wang, Q. Zhao, M. S. Peng, I. I. Lin, J. F. Gamache, and P. Niiler
9:15 AM
8C.6
Idealized simulations of the impact of dry Saharan air on Atlantic hurricanes
Scott Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Sippel and D. S. Nolan
9:30 AM
8C.7
The effects of turbulence on hurricane intensity
George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno and Y. Chen
Recording files available
Session 8D
Intraseasonal Variability I
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Brian E. Mapes, Univeristy of Miami / RSMAS
8:00 AM
8D.1
The skeleton of tropical intraseasonal oscillations
Andrew J. Majda, New York University, New York, NY; and S. N. Stechmann
8:15 AM
8D.2
Apparent coupling of oceanic Kelvin waves and atmospheric convection
Lynn Michele Gribble - Verhagen, SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. Roundy
8:45 AM
8D.4
The role of moisture-convection feedbacks in simulating the MJO
Walter Hannah, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney
9:00 AM
8D.5
Caribbean Precipitation and the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Elinor Martin, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
9:15 AM
8D.6
Diabatic Heating Distributions in the Tropics for Studies of Intraseasonal Phenomena
William S. Olson, UMBC and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Grecu, G. Gu, T. S. L'Ecuyer, and M. G. Bosilovich

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 12 May 2010


Coffee Break
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 9A
T-PARC: Process Studies
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Jenni L. Evans, Penn State University
10:15 AM
9A.1
10:30 AM
9A.2
High Resolution Analysis of the Structure of a Convective System in Developing Typhoon Nuri
Jorge Cisneros, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and C. López Carrillo and D. J. Raymond
10:45 AM
9A.3
Vorticity budget in developing typhoon Nuri
David Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and C. Lopez Carrillo
11:00 AM
9A.4
Convection and shear flow in TC development and intensification
H.-C. Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. P. Chang and C. H. Liu
11:30 AM
9A.6
11:45 AM
9A.7
Recording files available
Session 9B
Tropical Cyclone Structure: Wind Field
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD
10:15 AM
9B.1
Changes in Track and Structure of Tropical Cyclones near Landfall
Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
10:30 AM
9B.2
The compactness of typhoons in the western North Pacific
Delia Yen-Chu Chen, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, National Applied Research Laboratories, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. S. Lee and K. K. W. Cheung
10:45 AM
9B.3
Deficiencies of slab models of the hurricane boundary layer
Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
11:00 AM
9B.4
A QuikSCAT climatology of tropical cyclone size
Daniel R. Chavas, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel
11:15 AM
9B.5
A comparison of axisymmetric and three-dimensional hurricanes in an idealized framework
John Persing, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery, R. K. Smith, and J. C. McWilliams

11:30 AM
9B.6
The role of Lagrangian coherent structures in tropical cyclone formation
Blake Rutherford, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. Dangelmayr and M. T. Montgomery
11:45 AM
9B.7
Ike (2008) and the Windstorm over Ohio
Jay S. Hobgood, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and N. D'Allura
Recording files available
Session 9C
Tropical Cyclone Intensity: Forecast Methods
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD
10:15 AM
9C.1
10:30 AM
9C.2
Data Mining Techniques for the Studies of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Changes
Ruixin Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Tang

10:45 AM
9C.3
Assessing the impact of total precipitable water and lightning on SHIPS intensity forecasts
John Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, J. Kaplan, and J. Dunion
11:00 AM
9C.4
Enhancements to the operational SHIPS rapid intensification index
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, J. Dunion, J. F. Dostalek, J. E. Solbrig, J. Hawkins, T. F. Lee, J. Zhang, E. Kalina, and P. Leighton
11:30 AM
9C.6
11:45 AM
9C.7
Assessment of the impact of increased lead time for tropical cyclone watches/warnings in the North Central Pacific
Samuel Houston, CPHC/NWS/NOAA, Honolulu, HI; and R. Knabb, M. DeMaria, and A. Schumacher
Recording files available
Session 9D
Intraseasonal Variability II
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Paul Roundy, SUNY
10:15 AM
9D.1
MJO and convectively coupled waves in a coarse resolution GCM with a simple multicloud parametrization
Boualem Khouider, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and A. St Cyr, A. J. Majda, and J. Tribbia
10:45 AM
9D.3
An idealized, semi-empirical MJO model
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and E. D. Maloney
11:00 AM
9D.4
11:15 AM
9D.5
Studying the MJO with models that don't have one
Brian E. Mapes, Univeristy of Miami / RSMAS, Miami, FL
11:30 AM
9D.6
11:45 AM
9D.7
Impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on convection and circulation in the subtropics to midlatitudes in the IPCC AR4 Simulations
Chiharu Takahashi, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and N. Sato, A. Seiki, K. Yoneyama, R. Shirooka, and Y. N. Takayabu

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 10A
TCS-08: Formation
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin
1:15 PM
10A.1
1:45 PM
10A.3
2:00 PM
10A.4
Observation and simulation of the genesis of Typhoon Fengshen during the PALAU-2008 field experiment
Hiroyuki Yamada, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Japan; and W. Yanase, M. Sato, K. Yoneyama, and R. Shirooka

2:15 PM
10A.5
Development of pre-depression Hagupit observed during TCS08
Michael M. Bell, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery
Recording files available
Session 10B
Tropical Cyclone Structure: Concentric Eyewalls
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University
1:15 PM
10B.1
Dynamical mechanisms for secondary eyewall formation: insights from a cloud-resolving tropical cyclone model
Christopher M. Rozoff, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. Kossin and D. S. Nolan
1:30 PM
10B.2
Concentric eyewall formation in Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) – Part I: Assimilation of T-PARC data based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF)
Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and G. Y. Lien, J. H. Chen, and Y. H. Huang
1:45 PM
10B.3
Concentric eyewall formation in Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) – Part II: Dynamical analyses
Yi-Hsuan Huang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, J. H. Chen, and G. Y. Lien

2:15 PM
10B.5
Intensity and structure variations associated with eyewall replacement cycles
Matthew Sitkowski, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin and C. M. Rozoff
2:45 PM
10B.7a
Intensity change associated with concentric eyewall replacement
Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

Recording files available
Session 10C
Tropical Cyclone Modeling: Operational Models
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: James Goerss, NRL
1:30 PM
10C.2
Analysis of tropical cyclone activity in three recent versions of the Canadian global numerical weather prediction system
Ayrton Zadra, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and B. Dugas, A. M. Leduc, R. McTaggart-Cowan, M. Roch, and P. Vaillancourt
1:45 PM
10C.3
Diagnosis of operational model track forecast error for Hurricane Ike (2008)
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar
2:00 PM
10C.4
Performance of the NCEP Operational HWRF Modeling System for 2008-2009 hurricane seasons
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NCEP/EMC- SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. M. Lapenta, S. J. Lord, N. Surgi, Q. Liu, Y. Kwon, Z. Zhang, R. E. Tuleya, and J. O'Connor
2:15 PM
10C.5
Recording files available
Session 10D
Intraseasonal Variability III
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Melinda S. Peng, NRL
1:30 PM
10D.3
Water vapor and SST variations associated with equatorial waves over the tropical Indian Ocean
Kazuaki Yasunaga, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Japan; and K. Yoneyama, Y. N. Takayabu, M. Yoshizaki, and M. Fujita

1:45 PM
10D.4
Interactions between Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillations and Synoptic-scale Disturbances over the Western North Pacific
Tim Li, Unicersity of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and P. C. Hsu and C. H. Tsou

2:15 PM
10D.5
Intraseasonal variability of the Saharan Heat Low and its link with mid-latitudes
Romain Roehrig, Météo France, Toulouse, France; and F. Chauvin and J. P. Lafore
2:30 PM
10D.6
Interannual variations and predictability of intraseasonal convective events over South America
Fernando Hirata, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos and P. J. Webster
2:45 PM
10D.7

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 May 2010


Coffee Break
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 12 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 11A
TCS-08: Structure
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: David J. Raymond, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology
3:30 PM
11A.1
Mesoscale numerical simulations of TCS08 typhoons with assimilation of satellite, radar and in-situ observations
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and L. Zhang, Q. Zhao, and W. Lee

3:45 PM
11A.2
Prediction and diagnosis of the motion and rapid intensification of Typhoon Sinlaku during TCS08 (Tropical Cyclone Structure Experiment, 2008)
Marie-Dominique Leroux, Laboratoire de l'Atmosphère et des Cyclones, unité mixte CNRS - Meteo-France - Université de La Réunion, Sainte Clotilde, Reunion
4:00 PM
11A.3
Latent heating rate profiles at different tropical cyclone stages during 2008 Tropical Cyclone Structure experiment: Comparison of ELDORA and TRMM PR retrievals
Myung-Sook Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and R. L. Elsberry and M. M. Bell
4:15 PM
11A.4
Scale Interactions during the Re-intensification of Typhoon Sinlaku prior to Extratropical Transition
Elizabeth R. Sanabia, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and P. A. Harr

4:45 PM
11A.6
5:00 PM
11A.7
Recording files available
Session 11B
Tropical Cyclone Structure: Rainbands and Precipitation
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Gary Barnes, University of Hawaii
3:30 PM
11B.1
3:45 PM
11B.2
Impacts of evaporative cooling on tropical cyclone rainband
Masahiro Sawada, Meteorological Research Institute, Japan; and T. Iwasaki
4:00 PM
11B.3
The water budget of Typhoon Nari (2001) at landfall
Ming-Jen Yang, National Central University, Chung-Li, Taiwan; and S. Braun and D. S. Chen
4:15 PM
11B.4
Rainfall Distributions over Land associated with Tropical Cyclones making landfall along the South China Coast
Kit Ying Fung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan
4:30 PM
11B.5
Orographic Effects on Rainfall induced by the Passage of Tropical Cyclones over Mountainous Islands
Ian C. Colon Pagan Sr., North Carolina A&T State University - SOARS, Greensboro, NC
4:45 PM
11B.6
Dynamics and Structure of Supercells Induced by Hurricane Katrina (2005)
Bamjamin Green, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang
5:00 PM
11B.7
Squall Lines preceding Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
Zhiyong Meng, Peking University, Beijing, China; and Y. Zhang
Recording files available
Session 11C
Tropical Cyclone Modeling: Ensemble Systems
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Julian T. Heming, Met Office
3:30 PM
11C.1
Impact of formulation and resolution on ensemble forecast performance in the tropics
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. McLay, J. S. Goerss, M. K. Flatau, J. A. Ridout, and E. Serra
3:45 PM
11C.2
Impact of ensemble composition, formulation, and resolution on tropical cyclone track forecast performance
James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds, J. G. McLay, and E. Serra
4:15 PM
11C.4
Real-time mesoscale ensemble data assimilation for Atlantic TC
Ryan Torn, SUNY / University at Albany, Albany, NY; and S. Cavallo, C. A. Davis, and C. Snyder
4:30 PM
11C.5
Assimilation of tropical cyclone track and structure based on the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)
Guo-Yuan Lien, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and C. C. Wu, J. H. Chen, and F. Zhang

4:45 PM
11C.6
Dynamics and structure of three-dimensional error covariance of a mature tropical cyclone
Jonathan Poterjoy, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang
5:00 PM
11C.7
Recording files available
Session 11D
Catastrophe Modeling Strategies and Applications
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation
3:30 PM
11D.1
Hurricane Severity Index: A More Efficient Way of Predicting a Tropical Cyclone's Destructive Potential
Chris Hebert, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and R. Weinzapfel and M. Chambers
3:45 PM
11D.2
4:00 PM
11D.3
4:15 PM
11D.4
Probabilistic storm surge heights for the US using full stochastic events
Shangyao Nong, FM Global, Norwood, MA; and J. McCollum, L. Xu, M. Scheffler, and H. Ali
4:30 PM
11D.5
Myths about the Cause of Hurricane Katrina's Storm Surge
Pat Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State University, Stennis Space Center, MS; and Y. Lau, C. M. Hill, T. V. Wamsley, B. Jelley, and E. Valenti
4:45 PM
11D.6
Assessment of the Impact of Climate Variability on Modeled Atlantic Hurricane Losses
Justin Brolley, EQECAT, Inc, Oakland, CA; and D. F. Smith and A. Haseemkunju
5:00 PM
11D.7
Insured loss estimation from wind and storm surge for a re-occurrence of typhoon vera
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and C. Kafali

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 May 2010


Conference Banquet
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort

Thursday, 13 May 2010

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 13 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 12A
Air-Sea Interaction I
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Robert Korty, Texas A&M
8:00 AM
12A.1
Ocean-atmosphere interactions in tropical cyclones
Lynn K. Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
8:15 AM
12A.2
Numerical simulations of the hurricane intensity response to a warm ocean eddy
Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis
8:30 AM
12A.3
8:45 AM
12A.4
Ocean Response to Hurricane Ophelia: Observations and Simulations
S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Rolling

9:00 AM
12A.5
Impact of the upper-ocean thermal structure on typhoon intensity change in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model
Shao-Liang Sung, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and S. S. Chen

9:15 AM
12A.6
Evaluation of 1D and 3D ocean coupling on GFDL hurricane model forecast skill in the Western Pacific
Raymond A. Richardson, WeatherPredict Consulting, Inc, Raleigh, NC; and I. Ginis, B. Thomas, R. M. Yablonsky, and M. A. Bender
9:30 AM
12A.7
Interactions of tropical cyclone with river plumes
Il-Ju Moon, Cheju National University, Jujusi, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. H. Kim and S. J. Kwon

Recording files available
Session 12B
Tropical Cyclone Observations I
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD
8:00 AM
12B.1
Capture and Characterization of Near-Surface Wind-Driven Rain during Hurricane Ike (2008)
Jennifer Haydt, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and F. Masters and R. A. Black
8:15 AM
12B.2
8:30 AM
12B.3
Surface heat fluxes of tropical cyclones from satellite data sets and reanalyses
Carol Anne Clayson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. A. Curry and J. Liu

9:30 AM
12B.7
Recording files available
Session 12C
Tropical Cyclone Modeling: High-Resolution Model- HWRF
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Christopher A. Davis, NCAR
8:00 AM
12C.1
Improving operational hurricane prediction with NCEP's Hurricane Weather and Research Forecast (HWRF) system: future advancements, community involvement and transition of research to operations through the Development Testbed Center (DTC)
Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada, Y. Kwon, Z. Zhang, Q. Liu, L. R. Bernardet, S. Bao, I. Ginis, G. J. Holland, C. Davis, and L. Carson
8:15 AM
12C.2
Energy budget analysis of HWRF model hurricanes
Katherine S. Maclay, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
8:30 AM
12C.3
8:45 AM
12C.4
The sensitivity of TC intensity and structure to grid spacing in the Advanced Hurricane WRF
Daniel J. Halperin, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg
9:00 AM
12C.5
9:15 AM
12C.6
Adaptation of the Advanced Hurricane WRF for driving a storm surge prediction model
Craig Mattocks, University of North Carolina, Morehead City, NC; and C. Forbes, G. Jedlovec, J. L. Case, and F. J. LaFontaine
9:30 AM
12C.7
Test results using the NOAH LSM in the operational HWRF system
Robert Tuleya, Center for Coastal Physical Oceanography, Norfolk, VA; and Y. Wu
Recording files available
Session 12D
Convection I
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Larissa E. Back, University of Wisconsin- Madison
8:00 AM
12D.1
What do cloud-resolving models tell us about critical phenomena in atmospheric precipitation?
Steven K. Krueger, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and A. Kochanski
8:15 AM
12D.2
Multiple equilibria in a cloud resolving model
Sharon L. Sessions, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and S. Sugaya, D. J. Raymond, and A. H. Sobel
8:30 AM
12D.3
8:45 AM
12D.4
Grid-scale instabilities in a popular cumulus parametrization masked by numerical dissipation
Ian Ross, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and B. Khouider and N. A. McFarlane
9:00 AM
12D.5
A density current parameterization coupled with Emanuel's convection Scheme
Jean Yves Grandpeix, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Lafore, R. Roehrig, and F. Cheruy
9:15 AM
12D.6
9:30 AM
12D.7
The variable gross moist stability
Zhiming Kuang, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and J. A. Andersen

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 13 May 2010


Coffee Break
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 13 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 13A
Air-Sea Interaction II
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Lynn K. (Nick) Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
10:15 AM
13A.1
Developing coupled wind-wave-current interaction framework with sea spray effects for hurricanes models
Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and Y. Fan, T. Hara, B. Thomas, J. W. Bao, and L. Bianco
10:30 AM
13A.2
Impact of sea spray on the surface boundary layer
Laura Bianco, NOAA/ESRL/PSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bao, C. W. Fairall, and S. A. Michelson
10:45 AM
13A.3
11:00 AM
13A.4
Effects of Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Coupling on Tropical Cyclone Structure
Chiaying Lee, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen
11:15 AM
13A.5
Shallow water wave measurements in the hurricane enviroment
Jun Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Stamates, S. Cummings, S. Kimball, and F. Marks
11:30 AM
13A.6
Laboratory investigation of wind-wave interaction under severe wind conditions
Yuliya Troitskaya, IAP RAS Institute of Applied Physics Russian Academy of Sciences, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia; and V. Kazakov, S. Daniil, E. Olga, S. Mikhail, and B. Nicolay

11:45 AM
13A.7
Turbulence, Bubbles, and Drift Current in the Near-Surface Layer of the Ocean
Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern University, Dania Beach, FL; and A. Fujimura and R. Lukas
Recording files available
Session 13B
Tropical Cyclone Observations II
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NHC
10:15 AM
13B.1
A Numerical Study into the Dynamic Behaviour of a GPS dropsonde in a Prescribed Wind Field
Sunwei Li, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada; and C. Miller
10:30 AM
13B.2
Comparison of HRD Airborne-Doppler radar quality control and analysis to independent data sources
John F. Gamache, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and A. Aksoy, S. Lorsolo, and S. Aberson
10:45 AM
13B.3
11:00 AM
13B.4
High altitude aircraft observations enabling 3-D pre-genesis monitoring
Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. G. Black, P. A. Harr, and R. L. Elsberry
11:15 AM
13B.5
Estimating maximum surface winds from hurricane reconnaissance measurements
Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Tallahassee, FL; and J. D. Kepert and E. Uhlhorn
11:45 AM
13B.7
Assessment of hurricane observational under-sampling and its impact on estimated intensity
Eric W. Uhlhorn, AIR-Worldwide; and T. L. Miller, D. S. Nolan, and R. Atlas
Recording files available
Session 13C
Tropical Cyclone Modeling: Structure and Intensity
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Carolyn Reynolds, NRL
10:15 AM
13C.1
Sensitivity of Air-Sea Exchange Coefficients (Cd and Ch) on Hurricane Intensity
Young C. Kwon, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and S. Lord, B. Lapenta, V. Tallapragada, S. Liu, and Z. Zhang
10:30 AM
13C.2
Constraints on drag and exchange coefficients at extreme wind speeds
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and P. Sandery, G. Brassington, M. Entel, C. Siegenthaler- LeDrian, J. D. Kepert, and R. Darbyshire
10:45 AM
13C.3
Dependence of tropical cyclone inner-core size and intensity on the initial vortex size
Jing Xu, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang
11:00 AM
13C.4
On diagnosing the hurricane boundary layer: inertial stability versus Richardson number
Aaron Paget, U.S. Coast Guard Academy, New London, CT; and P. H. Ruscher and D. R. Ryglicki
11:15 AM
13C.5
Influence of cloud-radiative feedback on tropical cyclone motion
Robert G. Fovell, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and K. L. Corbosiero and A. Seifert
11:30 AM
13C.6
Wind-wave-current interaction in hurricanes
Yalin Fan, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis
11:45 AM
13C.7
Tornadic supercells in hurricane katrina: a high-resolution modeling study
Zachary Handlos, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and W. E. Lewis and G. J. Tripoli
Recording files available
Session 13D
Convection II
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Stephen W. Nesbitt, University of Illinois
10:15 AM
13D.1
Year of tropical convection (YOTC): status and research agenda
Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and M. W. Moncrieff
10:30 AM
13D.2
Identifying the ITCZ in satellite data using Markov Random Fields: Overview and interannual variability in the east Pacific
Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and C. Bain, J. De Paz Rodrigues, J. Kramer, P. Smyth, and H. Stern

10:45 AM
13D.3
11:00 AM
13D.4
11:15 AM
13D.5
Rain on small tropical islands
Casey Burleyson, PNNL, Richland, WA; and A. H. Sobel and S. E. Yuter
11:30 AM
13D.6
11:45 AM
13D.7
Clouds associated with the MJO: A new perspective from CloudSat
Emily M. Riley, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. E. Mapes

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 13 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 14A
Air-Sea Interaction III
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology
1:15 PM
14A.1
Upper ocean thermal structure of the East China sea and its impact on typhoon intensity
I.-I. Lin, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and G. C. Gong, K. Emanuel, J. F. Price, M. Lien, I. F. Pun, and C. C. Wu

1:30 PM
14A.2
1:45 PM
14A.3
Comparison of Altimeter Derived and In-Situ Hurricane Heat Potential
Paolo de Matthaeis, University of Maryland Baltimore County and NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. D. Jacob and B. Young

2:00 PM
14A.4
Modeling and observations of the Atlantic Meridional Mode during the hurricane season
Dimitry Smirnov, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont
2:15 PM
14A.5
The southeast Pacific warm band and double ITCZ
Hirohiko Masunaga, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan; and T. S. L'Ecuyer
2:30 PM
14A.6
Ocean-Atmosphere Feedback and Cloud-Radiation Feedback in Southeastern Pacific simulated by 24 IPCC AR4 Coupled GCMs
Michael Davis, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin, T. Qian, and M. P. Hung

2:45 PM
14A.7
Sea Surface Temperature Biases under the Stratus Cloud Deck in the Southeast Pacific Ocean in 19 IPCC AR4 Coupled General Circulation Models
Yangxing Zheng, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and T. Shinoda, J. L. Lin, and G. N. Kiladis
Recording files available
Session 14B
Tropical Cyclones and Large-scale Circulations
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Amato Evan, University of Virginia
1:15 PM
14B.1
1:45 PM
14B.3
Downstream Development of the Summertime TC/Sub-monthly Wave Pattern in the Extratropical North Pacific
Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan; and H. H. Hsu
2:00 PM
14B.4
2:15 PM
14B.5
The Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Climate Memory in the Atmosphere-Ocean System
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
2:30 PM
14B.6
Dynamics of the Atlantic Meridional Mode, and implications for tropical cyclones
Daniel J. Vimont, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI
2:45 PM
14B.7
Exploring Influence of Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea Cyclones on Warm Season Rainfall over Central US
Amita V. Mehta, JCET/Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and E. A. Smith

Recording files available
Session 14C
Tropical Cyclone Modeling: Special Observations and Data
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
1:30 PM
14C.2
Initialization of Tropical Cyclones in Numerical Prediction Systems
Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and E. Hendricks, T. Li, and X. Ge

2:15 PM
14C.5
Assimilation of Airborne Doppler Radar Data for Hurricane Initialization and Prediction in HWRF
Mingjing Tong, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and J. C. Derber, Q. Liu, S. Lord, W. M. Lapenta, and J. F. Gamache
2:30 PM
14C.6
2:45 PM
14C.7
The Impacts of GPS Radio Occultation Data on Tropical Cyclone Prediction
Ying-Hwa Kuo, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Fang, Y. R. Guo, H. Liu, and Z. Ma
Recording files available
Session 14D
Convection III
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Christian Jakob, Monash University
1:15 PM
14D.1
Bi-modal structure and evolution of tropical diabatic heating profiles
Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. M. Hagos
1:30 PM
14D.2
Dissecting diabatic heating profiles during TWP-ICE
Courtney Schumacher, Texas A&M Univ., College station, TX; and S. Xie and S. A. McFarlane
1:45 PM
14D.3
The classification and simulation of precipitating convective regimes over Darwin, Australia
Simon Caine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; and C. Jakob, S. T. Siems, P. T. May, and T. Lane
2:00 PM
14D.4
2:15 PM
14D.5
What sets the humidity of the tropical stratosphere?
David M. Romps, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA; and Z. Kuang and P. N. Blossey
2:30 PM
14D.6
Assessing the role of overshooting deep convection on water vapour in the TTL
Muhammad E. Hassim, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and T. P. Lane

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 13 May 2010

Recording files available
Poster Session 2
P2.1
The Systematically Merged Atlantic Regional Temperature and Salinity (SMARTS) Climatology
Patrick C. Meyers, Univ. of Maryland, Riverdale Park, MD; and J. K. Brewster and L. K. Shay

P2.2
Convectively coupled waves in a sheared environment
Boualem Khouider, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and Y. Han

P2.3
Applying Multi-sensor and ECMWF Analyses to Characterize and Evaluate Cloud, Convection and Radiation Processes in Numerical Models
Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, W. T. Chen, T. L'Ecuyer, Y. C. Wang, W. W. Tung, J. D. Neelin, B. Kahn, E. Fetzer, and R. G. Fovell

P2.4
Vaisala dropsondes: History, status, and applications
Ilkka Ikonen II, Vaisala, Inc., Vantaa, Finland; and N. W. S. Demetriades and R. L. Holle

Handout (889.9 kB)

P2.5
Validation of QuikSCAT wind vectors by dropwindsonde data from DOTSTAR
Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, P. H. Lin, and S. J. Majumdar

P2.6
On sources of dry tropical air in the environment of Atlantic tropical cyclones
Scott Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Boller

P2.7
Recurving eastern North Pacific tropical cyclones
Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Dickinson and L. F. Bosart

P2.8
Monsoon Rainfall Characteristics: Precipitation Types and Associated Environment Regimes observed during SoWMEX/TiMREX
Ben Jong-Dao Jou, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Tong

P2.10
Large-scale features associated with Arabian Sea cyclonic storms
Amato Evan, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and S. J. Camargo

P2.11
Analysis of data gathered during NOAA WP-3D penetrations of Hurricanes Felix, Katrina and Ivan during episodes of extreme intensity
Richard G. Henning, NOAA Aircraft Operations Center, Lakeland, FL; and J. Parrish, A. B. Damiano, J. Williams, I. T. Sears, and P. Flaherty

Handout (1.2 MB)

P2.12
SEAWINDS IMPROVED OCEAN VECTOR WIND RETRIEVALS IN HURRICANES
Suleiman Odeh Alsweiss, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and P. Laupattarakasem and L. Jones

Handout (524.5 kB)

P2.16
Determining the error characteristics of H*Wind
Steven M. DiNapoli, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa

P2.17
Wind Effects on Asphalt Shingles
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX; and R. Herzog, S. M. Morrison, and J. Green

Handout (1.5 MB)

P2.19
Composite structure of vortical hot towers observed in Hurricane Guillermo (1997)
Kelly C. Smith, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. D. Eastin

Handout (1.1 MB)

P2.20
A new parametric tropical cyclone wind-profile model: Testing and verification
Vincent T. Wood, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. W. White and H. E. Willoughby

Handout (2.0 MB)

P2.22
Eddy variations in the Western North Pacific South Eddy Zone by Satellite Altimetry Observation for Typhoon Intensification Research
Iam Fei Pun, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. I. Lin

P2.23
Developing high spatial resolution daytime cloud climatologies for Africa
Rahama Beida, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. W. Douglas and A. Dominguez

Handout (542.1 kB)

P2.25
An observational study of tropical cyclone landfall processes in the Australian region
Yubin Li, Macquarie University, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; and K. K. W. Cheung and J. C. L. Chan

P2.26
Ocean-atmosphere interaction effects on tropical cyclone inner-core convective bursts
Paula Ann Hennon, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and J. Halverson and C. C. Hennon

P2.28
Air-sea coupling and tropical cyclone prediction in the Australian region
Paul Sandery, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia

P2.30
Predicting Typhoon Morakot's Catastrophic Rainfall and Flooding With a Cloud-Scale Ensemble System
Yonghui Weng, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang, Y. H. Kuo, and J. S. Whitaker

P2.31
The influence of Tropical cyclone structure on storm evolution and its interaction with topography
Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu

P2.33
Validating the ocean model component of coupled hurricane-ocean models
Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis, B. Thomas, J. J. Cione, G. R. Halliwell Jr., E. W. Uhlhorn, H. S. Kim, C. Lozano, E. P. Chassignet, and H. R. Winterbottom

P2.34
Structural analysis of SSM/I and TMI overpasses of tropical cyclones from 1987-2008
Daniel S. Harnos, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt and K. R. Knapp

P2.35
Tropical and subtropical influences on Montreal’s record-breaking rainfall event of 8-9 November 1996
Shawn M. Milrad, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. H. Atallah, J. R. Gyakum, and D. A. Durnford

P2.36
Beta-effect on the evolution of tropical cyclone
Juan Fang, Nanjing University, China, Nanjing, China; and F. Zhang

P2.37
Extreme winds associated with a collapsing core on the Mobile waterfront during the landfall of Hurricane Katrina
Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and A. Williams and J. Holmes

Handout (2.4 MB)

P2.39
Analysis of wind field variations of major hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico
Christopher M. Hill, Geosystems Research Institute, Stennis Space Center, MS; and P. J. Fitzpatrick and Y. Lau

P2.40
Gravity waves in shear and implications for organized convection
Samuel N. Stechmann, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and A. J. Majda

P2.41
Hurricane Ike Damage Survey
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX

Handout (760.0 kB)

P2.42
Thermodynamic structure of tropical cyclones from dropsondes
Leon Nguyen, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Thomas, D. Vollaro, and J. Molinari

P2.43
Structural evolution in diabatic heating profiles of the MJO in global reanalysis
Jian Ling, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang

P2.44
Determination of the Highest Cloud Top in SAS Scheme and Its Impact on Hurricane Forecasts
Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. Pan, S. Lord, B. Lapenta, V. Tallapragada, Z. Zhang, Y. Kwon, and J. Oconnor

P2.45
Okinawa typhoons, 1954 - 1956
Fred S. Hickernell, University of Arizona, Phoenix, AZ

Handout (482.1 kB)

P2.46
Surface cold pools in the outer rainbands of Tropical Storm Hanna (2008)
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and T. Gardner, M. C. Link, and K. C. Smith

P2.47
Miniature supercells observed in an offshore outer rainband of Hurricane Gustav (2008)
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and J. Edwards

P2.48
Case study on validation and interpretation of adjoint-derived sensitivity steering vector as targeted observation guidance of tropical cyclones
Shin-Gan Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, J. H. Chen, and K. H. Chou

P2.49
An Effort to Increase Storm Surge Threat Awareness for the Charleston, SC Area Using a Web-based Visualization Tool and Associated Survey
Frank Alsheimer, NOAA/NWSFO, North Charleston, SC; and R. Bright, B. L. Lindner, J. Johnson, and S. Duke

Handout (280.2 kB)

P2.51
Improved SFMR surface wind measurements in intense rain conditions
Eric W. Uhlhorn, AIR-Worldwide; and R. A. Black and B. W. Klotz

P2.52
Evolving boundary layer measurements during hurricanes Gustav and Ike
Jeffrey Scott Zuczek, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, P. C. Meyers, E. W. Uhlhorn, R. Lumpkin, B. Jaimes, J. K. Brewster, and G. R. Halliwell Jr.

P2.53
NOAA's Vision for a Coordinated Storm Surge Enterprise
Jamie Rhome, NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and J. Feyen and M. Erickson

P2.54
Lightning fatalities in tropical and subtropical regions
Ronald L. Holle, Holle Meteorology & Photography, Oro Valley, AZ

Handout (135.5 kB)

P2.55
Impact of the atmospheric boundary layer on eyewall mesovortices of hurricanes
Ping Zhu, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and K. Menelaou

P2.56
Characteristics of tropical cyclone tracks over western North Pacific - the case study of Typhoon Fengshen (2008)
Chung-Chuan Yang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu

P2.57
The influence of the island topography on tropical cyclone track deflection and looping motion
Yi-Hsuan Huang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and T. S. Huang

P2.58
An investigation into gradient balance of flight-level tropical cyclone windfields
Michael P.M. Gibbons, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada; and C. Miller

Handout (1.0 MB)

P2.59
The HWRFX Modeling System: Recent Developments in Hurricane Structure and Intensity Forecasting Research in NOAA
S.G. Gopalakrishnan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and X. Zhang, T. Quirino, R. Rogers, K. Yeh, F. Marks, and R. Atlas

P2.60
Interannual Changes of Tropical Cyclone Prevailing Tracks in the Western North Pacific
Haikun Zhao, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; and L. Wu and W. Zhou

Handout (2.4 MB)

P2.62
An intercomparison of WRF-ARW and JMA-NHM performance in prediction of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea in 2008
S.T. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and T. F. Chan and W. K. Wong

Handout (722.7 kB)

P2.63
Cloud-top-height variability associated with equatorial Kelvin waves in the tropical tropopause layer
Junko Suzuki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Kanagawa, Japan; and M. Fujiwara, A. Hamada, K. Yoneyama, and R. Shirooka

P2.65
The orographic effects of Reunion Island on tropical cyclone tracks
David Barbary, Météo-France/LACy, Sainte Clotilde, Reunion; and Y. L. Lin

Handout (734.4 kB)

P2.66
Statistical assessment of tropical cloud-system resolving model simulations using a cell-tracking algorithm
Simon Caine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; and T. P. Lane, P. T. May, J. Pinto, C. Jakob, S. T. Siems, and M. J. Manton

P2.67
Modelling the transient response of the Dines anemometer in tropical cyclone winds
Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

Handout (2.6 MB)

P2.68
PBL triggering mechanism of convective rainfall viewed from Helicity during TC landfall
Leiming Ma, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China

P2.69
Aggregated Convection and the Regulation of Tropical Climate
Marat F. Khairoutdinov, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and K. Emanuel

Handout (484.7 kB)

P2.70
Constructing a 13-year (1996-2008) high resolution GPS dropsonde database for hurricane research
Jeffrey Halverson, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and J. Wang, K. Young, B. Arensdorf, and M. Black

P2.71
The effect of marine cold-air outbreaks on tropical cyclone potential intensity in the Gulf of Mexico
Rebecca Hunniford, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson and A. S. Bogdanoff

P2.73
P2.75
P2.76
Predictable structures in idealized steady state hurricanes
Bonnie R. Brown, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim

P2.77
Convective quasi-equilibrium revisited, part I: theory
David Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and Z. Fuchs

P2.78
Investigating the relationship between tropical precipitation and water vapor in a cloud resolving model
Satomi Sugaya, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and S. L. Sessions and D. J. Raymond

P2.79
Impact of microphysical assumptions on the intensity and the structure of simulated hurricanes: Can satellite observations help determine the optimal set of microphysical assumptions?
Svetla M. Hristova-Veleva, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and Y. Chao, A. Chau, Z. Haddad, B. Knosp, B. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li, J. Martin, W. L. Poulsen, E. Rodriguez, B. W. Stiles, S. Tanelli, F. J. Turk, D. G. Vane, and Q. A. Vu

P2.81
The influence of large-scale westerly winds on Madden-Julian Oscillations
Lei Zhou, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and R. Murtugudde, M. Jochum, and R. Neale

P2.83
Thermodynamics of Madden Julian Oscillation in a regional model with constrained moistening
Samson M. Hagos, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. R. Leung and J. Dudhia

P2.85
Convective quasi-equilibrium revisited, part II: cloud resolving model simulations
Michael J. Herman, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond

P2.86
The evolution of tropical storm Gabrielle (2001)
Julie Kelly, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes and K. Dolling

P2.87
Idealized Tropical Cyclones in Atmospheric General Circulation Models: The Impact of the Dynamical Core
Christiane Jablonowski, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and K. A. Reed

P2.88
Sensitivity of El Niño – Southern Oscillation to Madden Julian Oscillation
Atul Kapur, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang

P2.89
The impact of trade surges on the Madden–Julian Oscillation under different ENSO conditions
Ayako Seiki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Kanagawa, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, K. Yoneyama, and R. Shirooka

P2.90
Dry air layers observed over the central equatorial Indian Ocean
Kunio Yoneyama, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Japan; and K. Yasunaga and M. Katsumata

P2.91
Statistical comparison of scales and spatial distributions of convection in observational data and simulated hurricanes
Sam Trahan, NOAA/NCEP/EMC (UCAR), Camp Springs, MD; and L. C. Sparling, V. Tallapragada, S. A. Braun, and J. Halverson

P2.94
The Global 3-Dimensional Structure of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation
Scott Stuckman, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. L. Lin and M. Davis

P2.95
P2.96
P2.97
The Global 3-Dimensional Structure of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Erik Fraza, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin and S. Melaragno

P2.98
Tropical orographic rainfall regimes according to the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission
Kimberly Reed, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt

P2.99
Convectively coupled gravity waves in the tropics: Why do most waves travel westward?
Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis

P2.100
Drag and enthalpy coefficients at major hurricane wind speeds
Michael M. Bell, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and K. Emanuel

P2.101
Improved Representations of Ice Cloud Microphysics for Hurricane Models
Greg M. McFarquhar, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. Dooley, M. Freer, A. J. Heymsfield, P. Lawson, and A. Bansemer

P2.102
The impact of eastern Pacific tropical cyclones on the climatology of the North American Southwest region
Kimberly M. Wood, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS; and E. A. Ritchie

Handout (307.1 kB)

P2.104
Tropical cyclone flow structure in the presence of elevated terrain
Brian J. Billings, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle

Handout (1.3 MB)

P2.105
Dominant intraseasonal variability modes over the eastern Pacific ITCZ and their representation in climate models
Xianan Jiang, JIFRESSE/UCLA & JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser

P2.107
EnKF Data Assimilation of dual-Doppler radar data from hurricane Guillermo
Humberto C. Godinez, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and A. O. Fierro and J. Reisner

P2.109
Diurnal circulations and their multi-scale interactions on rainfall over the South China Sea during monsoon westerly wind bursts
Myung-Sook Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and C. H. Ho and J. Kim

P2.110
Retrieval of hurricane turbulence parameters using airborne Doppler radar measurements
Sylvie Lorsolo, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and J. F. Gamache, F. Marks, and P. Dodge

Handout (298.5 kB)

P2.111
The Fidelity of Tropical Cyclone Representation in Atmospheric Reanalysis Datasets
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
P2.114
Kinematic and microphysical aspects of mesovortices in Hurricane Ike (2008)
Stephanie Mullins, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and K. Knupp

P2.115
A unified GPS dropsonde quality assurance and visualization software system
Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. Martin

P2.117
South Pacific Convergence Zone: A conduit for energy transport from the tropics to higher latitudes?
Matthew J. Widlansky, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia; and P. J. Webster and C. D. Hoyos

P2.118
A hierarchy of synthetic vortex initialization methods for tropical cyclones
Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar, D. Nolan, and D. P. Stern

P2.119
An Integrated Modeling and Data Analysis Approach to Understanding Louisiana's Wetland Resilience to Hurricane Landfall
Pat Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State University, Stennis Space Center, MS; and Y. Lau, J. Chen, A. Chawla, S. Shean, K. Hu, H. L. Tolman, R. R. Twilley, C. M. Hill, and J. E. Cable

P2.120
Sensitivity of the evolution of an idealized tropical cyclone to small perturbations in initial input fields
R. J. Maliawco, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar and B. F. Jewett

P2.121
Tropical cyclone energy and power dissipation as a predictor of storm surge using ADCIRC
Angela Fritz, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. A. Curry

P2.122
Vortical evolution of deep convection in idealized tropical disturbance environments
Elizabeth M. Minter, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida; and P. D. Reasor

P2.124
Evaluation of the GFDL 25km resolution Global Atmospheric Model for tropical cyclone prediction
Jeffrey S. Gall, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. Ginis, S. J. Lin, and T. Marchok

P2.125
Description of HWRF Modeling System graphics and statistics for use as a diagnostic tool
Janna O'Connor, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC -SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada, S. Trahan, H. Y. Chuang, W. M. Lapenta, and S. J. Lord

P2.126
Hurricane Isabel (2003) boundary layer characteristics and patterns using the Richardson number
Aaron Paget, U.S. Coast Guard Academy, New London, CT; and P. H. Ruscher

P2.127
Evolution of the Tropical Cyclone Integrated Data Exchange and Analysis System (TC-IDEAS)
F. Joseph Turk, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and Y. Chao, Z. Haddad, S. Veleva, B. W. Knosp, B. H. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li, W. L. Poulsen, S. Tanelli, D. G. Vane, Q. A. Vu, H. M. Goodman, R. J. Blakeslee, H. Conover, J. M. Hall, Y. M. He, and K. Regner

Handout (464.6 kB)

P2.128
Simulation of historical hurricane events using 20th Century Reanalysis
Robert E. Hart, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL

P2.129
Mesoscale gravity wave - convection coupling
Todd P. Lane, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and F. Zhang

P2.130
Characterization of momentum transport associated with organized moist convection and gravity waves
Todd P. Lane, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and M. W. Moncrieff

P2.132
What's New with the Online Textbook for Tropical Meteorology?
Arlene Laing, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Evans and M. Pope

Handout (289.6 kB)

P2.136
How well do coupled global climate models simulate convectively coupled equatorial waves?
Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and P. T. Haertel and G. N. Kiladis

P2.137
The community Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF): System description, forecast skill and Developmental Testbed Center support
Shaowu Bao, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and L. Bernardet, V. Tallapragada, N. Surgi, Y. C. Kwon, Q. Liu, Z. Zhang, C. Harrop, L. Carson, D. Stark, S. Trahan, B. Lapenta, S. Koch, and B. Kuo

Handout (82.2 kB)

P2.138
P2.139
A statistical method for modeling tropical cyclone activity
Mary M. Louie, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and G. Ljung

P2.140
Sensitivity of a parametric hurricane model to different wind profiles
Ioana M. Dima, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and T. Doggett and P. Dailey

P2.141
The role of the asymmetric mode in a turbulent regime
Stephen R. Guimond, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. M. Reisner

Handout (1.7 MB)

P2.143
Multidecadal oscillations in tropical ocean and land temperatures
Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia; and P. Webster, H. R. Chang, and J. A. Curry

P2.145
Tropical thick anvil
Wei Li, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. Schumacher

P2.147
NASA Goddard GES DISC Data Services for Supporting Hurricane Research and YOTC
Zhong Liu, George Mason University/CSISS, Fairfax, VA and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Leptoukh, D. Ostrenga, and D. E. Waliser

P2.148
Numerical weather prediction and tropical cyclone track forecasting in the Caribbean using MM5 and ARPS. Case studies of hurricane Dean (2007), Omar (2008) and Paloma (2008)
Daniel Martinez, Cuban Meteorological Service, Cuba; and I. Mitrani, I. Borrajero, E. M. Hicks, and C. A. Pontikis

Handout (1.5 MB)

P2.149
Observed variability of the East Pacific ITCZ
Caroline L. Bain, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir, P. Smyth, and H. Stern

P2.152
Neap-spring tidal patterns in Atlantic tropical cyclones
Peter H. Yaukey, University of New Orleans, New Orleans, LA

Handout (279.5 kB)

P2.153
An observatinal and numerical study of the boundary layer processes during the intensification of Hurricane Bill (2009)
Jun Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and A. Aksoy, S. Lorsolo, R. Rogers, E. Uhlhorn, J. J. Cione, J. Dunion, J. Kaplan, K. Yeh, X. Zhang, S. Gopalakrishnan, T. Quirino, J. Cangialosi, and F. Marks

Handout (1.4 MB)

P2.151
Predictability and dynamics of a vertically-sheared tropical storm
Thomas S. Hinson, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang, Y. Weng, J. Wei, and R. F. Rogers

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Thursday, 13 May 2010


Formal Poster Viewing
Location: Arizona Ballroom 7 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)

8:00 PM-9:00 PM: Thursday, 13 May 2010

Recording files available
Session
Special Session on TY Morakot: Large-scale and Mesoscale characteristics followed by a discussion on the scientific, social, and political impacts of the typhoon-related disaster.
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: C.-C. Wu, National Taiwan Univ.
8:00 PM
.1
A diagnosis of the extreme rainfall associated with the typhoon Morakot in southern Taiwan: Roles of submonthly disturbance and 40-50-day ISO
H. H. Hsu, Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Hong and M. Y. Lee
8:15 PM
.2
Improved Goddard Microphysics for simulating Typhoon Morakot 2009
Wei-Kuo Tao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. J. Shi, P. L. Lin, and J. Y. Chen

Friday, 14 May 2010

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Friday, 14 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 15A
Tropical Climatology and Climate Change I
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC
8:00 AM
15A.1
8:15 AM
15A.2
Climatology of cloud properties and radiative heating profiles at tropical ACRF sites
Sally McFarlane, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and J. M. Comstock, L. Riihimaki, and J. Flaherty
8:30 AM
15A.3
8:45 AM
15A.4
9:00 AM
15A.5
Model projected impact of Anthropogenic warming on late 21st century intense Atlantic hurricane activity
Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. R. Knutson, R. Tuleya, J. J. Sirutis, G. A. Vecchi, S. T. Garner, and I. M. Held
9:15 AM
15A.6
The Global Warming Events in the Past 60 years
Michael Davis, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin and S. Stuckman

9:30 AM
15A.7
Atlantic hurricanes and climate change: Projection of a peak month in a future record hurricane season
Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann
Recording files available
Session 15B
Convectively Coupled Waves I
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Yukari N. Takayabu, University of Tokyo
8:00 AM
15B.1
8:15 AM
15B.2
8:30 AM
15B.3
8:45 AM
15B.4
9:00 AM
15B.5
Tropical cyclogenesis within a Kelvin wave
Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC
9:15 AM
15B.6
Extratropical forcing of convectively coupled equatorial wave activity
George Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Biello and K. H. Straub
9:30 AM
15B.7
The excitation of equatorial Kelvin waves by extratropical Rossby Waves
Joseph A. Biello, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and G. N. Kiladis
Recording files available
Session 15C
Tropical Cyclone Modeling: High-Resolution Modeling II
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Shuyi Chen, Univ. of Washington
8:15 AM
15C.2
Influences of the diurnal cycle and the low-level jet on the inland reintensification of Tropical Cyclone Erin (2007)
Russ S. Schumacher, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. Evans and T. J. Galarneau Jr.
8:30 AM
15C.3
On the rapid intensification of hurricane Wilma (2005)
Hua Chen, University of Maryland, College Park, MD
9:00 AM
15C.5
Improving regional high resolution hurricane forecasts through data assimilation and diagnostic verification with satellite observations
Tomislava Vukicevic, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. Dunion, A. Aksoy, F. D. Marks Jr., S. Gopalakrishnan, S. D. Aberson, and M. van Lier-Walqui

9:15 AM
15C.6
Analysis of NRL COAMPS simulated boundary layer of Hurricane Isabel (2003)
Shouping Wang, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin, P. Black, and J. Zhang
9:30 AM
15C.7
Recording files available
Session 15D
Probabilistic Forecasting
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS
8:00 AM
15D.1
8:15 AM
15D.2
Verification of the National Weather Service Tropical Cyclone Intensity Probabilities and Future Plans
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and D. P. Brown, R. Knabb, and M. DeMaria
8:30 AM
15D.3
A probabilistic wind speed forecast product blending NHC TC-based fields with a dynamical model ensemble
Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and P. Bowyer and R. Knabb
8:45 AM
15D.4
Storm surge probability forecasts for Hurricane Ike
Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and J. Rhome and A. A. Taylor
9:00 AM
15D.5
On the ability of global Ensemble Prediction Systems to predict tropical cyclone track probabilities
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and P. M. Finocchio, J. S. Goerss, and J. Hansen
9:15 AM
15D.6
Understanding probabilistic forecasting and verification in tropical cyclones
Derek Ortt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

9:30 AM
15D.7
Objective tropical cyclone warning guidance using Monte Carlo wind speed probabilities
Andrea B. Schumacher, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, C. R. Sampson, and D. P. Brown

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Friday, 14 May 2010


Coffee Break
Location: JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Friday, 14 May 2010

Recording files available
Session 16A
Tropical Climatology and Climate Change II
Location: Arizona Ballroom 6 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL
10:15 AM
16A.1
States of Tropical Convection and their Relationship to SST Variability
Christian Jakob, Monash University, Melbourne., Victoria, Australia; and M. S. Singh and C. Schumacher
10:30 AM
16A.2
An objective climatology of tropical plumes
Luise Froehlich, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and P. Knippertz and A. H. Fink

10:45 AM
16A.3
Historical contribution of African dust outbreaks to northern tropical Atlantic temperatures
Amato Evan, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and S. Mukhopadhyay
11:00 AM
16A.4
Spatio-temporal variability of aerosol in the tropics and its relationship with the hydrological cycle
Manuel D. Zuluaga, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster, and J. A. Curry

11:30 AM
16A.6
The Neutral Phases of ENSO: Are They Really Neutral?
Scott Melaragno, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin and E. Fraza

11:45 AM
16A.7
Climate mechanisms responsible for the dramatic decline in global tropical cyclone activity
Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University & Naval Research Laboratory - Monterey, Tallahassee, FL

Recording files available
Session 16B
Convectively Coupled Waves II
Location: Arizona Ballroom 2-5 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: George N. Kiladis, ESRL
10:15 AM
16B.1
Convectively coupled Kelvin waves and the basic state
Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Riley, G. N. Kiladis, and B. Mapes
10:30 AM
16B.2
A simple dynamical model with features of convective momentum transport
Andrew J. Majda, New York University, New York, NY; and S. N. Stechmann
10:45 AM
16B.3
Equatorially trapped waves in a background meridional shear
Maryam Namazi, Univ. of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and B. Khouider
11:00 AM
16B.4
Convectively coupled gravity waves and moisture modes with top and bottom heavy vertical heating profiles
Zeljka Fuchs, University of Split, Split, Croatia; and D. Raymond and S. Gjorgjievska
11:15 AM
16B.5
Convectively coupled Kelvin waves and moisture modes in 3-D simulations
Saska Gjorgjievska, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and Z. Fuchs and D. Raymond
11:30 AM
16B.6
Interaction between the moist Kelvin wave and WIG waves observed during MISMO field experiment (2006)
Kazuyoshi Kikuchi, Department of Meteorology and IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang and Y. N. Takayabu
11:45 AM
16B.7
Model study of intermediate-scale tropical inertia gravity waves and comparison to TWP-ICE campaign observations
Stephanie Evan, University of Colorado-Boulder, Boulder, CO; and M. J. Alexander and J. Dudhia
Recording files available
Session 16C
Tropical Cyclone Modeling: Structure and Intensity II
Location: Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Robert G. Fovell, Univ. of California
10:15 AM
16C.1
Re-analysis/prediction of Typhoon Vera (1959) Project: ReVera -Isewan Typhoon like a Katrina hitting Japan 50 years ago-
Kotaro Bessho, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Nakazawa, H. Kamahori, E. Shindo, M. Hara, T. Kawabata, M. Kunii, and N. Kohno
10:30 AM
16C.2
10:45 AM
16C.3
The impact of lightning data assimilation on WRF simulations of Typhoon Jangmi (2008)
Christopher R. S. Chambers, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and A. T. Pessi and S. Businger
11:00 AM
16C.4a
Comparison of secondary eyewall and principal rainband in Hurricane Rita (2005) as observed in RAINEX
Anthony C. Didlake Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr.

11:15 AM
16C.5
On the evolution of unstable large-Rossby-number vortices in shear
David Ross Ryglicki, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor
11:30 AM
16C.6
Assimilation of GBVTD-derived Winds from Single-Doppler Radar for the Short-term Forecasting of Super Typhoon Saomai (0608) at Landfall
Kun Zhao, Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, Norman, OK; and M. Xue and W. C. Lee

11:45 AM
16C.7
Sensitivity of hurricane tilt evolution to outer-core profile
Paul D. Reasor, NOAA Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL
Recording files available
Session 16D
Tropical Cyclone Lightning: Observation and Intensity Change
Location: Tucson Salon A-C (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS
10:15 AM
16D.1
Evolution of convective events as indicated by total lightning within three major hurricanes during periods of rapid intensification
Alexandre Olivier Fierro, LANL, Los ALamos, NM; and X. Shao, J. Reisner, T. D. Hamlin, and J. D. Harlin
10:30 AM
16D.2
Validation of Vaisala's Global Lightning Dataset (GLD360) over the continental United States
Nicholas W. S. Demetriades, Vaisala, Inc., Tucson, AZ; and M. J. Murphy and J. A. Cramer
10:45 AM
16D.3
Eyewall lightning outbreaks and tropical cyclone intensity change
Steven Businger, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and R. Knabb, N. W. S. Demetriades, and R. L. Holle
11:15 AM
16D.5
11:30 AM
16D.6
Polarity and energetics of inner core lightning in three intense North Atlantic hurricanes
Jeremy N. Thomas, DigiPen Institute of Technology, Redmond, WA; and N. N. Solorzano, S. A. Cummer, and R. H. Holzworth
11:45 AM
16D.7
Investigating intensity change in Cyclone Nargis using lightning activity and environmental data
Natalia N. Solorzano, DigiPen Institute of Technology, Redmond, WA; and J. N. Thomas, R. H. Holzworth, and C. J. Rodger

12:00 PM-12:05 PM: Friday, 14 May 2010


Conference Adjourns