The observed changes of [u] appear to be forced by meridional eddy momentum flux divergence as positively tilted summer stationary waves advect westerly momentum northwards. The primary source of the zonal mean of this eddy momentum flux appears to be largely confined vertically to 200mb, and geographically to the Asian Monsoon region. The upper-level monsoon anticyclone (Tibetan High) interacts strongly with the background flow on its northwest corner, causing momentum divergence (westward acceleration) south of 30°N in July.
The negative tendency in the zonal wind field in July causes a positive (cyclonic) tendency of zonal vorticity advection aloft in the IAS domain, implying a strengthening of the surface anticyclone. There is a fairly good negative correlation between the observed weakening of [u] aloft and observed increases in the Z850 field (proportional to a decrease in vorticity) from June to July in interannual data.