Poster Session 1 Posters: TCs and Climate, Monsoons, HFIP, TC Formation, Extratropical Transition, Industry Applications, TC Intensity, African Climate and Weather

Tuesday, 11 May 2010: 3:30 PM-5:15 PM
Arizona Ballroom 7 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Patrick Harr, NPS, Department of Meteorology, Monterey, CA

Water vapor eye temperatures of intense tropical cyclones
Roger Weldon, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Schwartz

Hurricane ensemble prediction using NCEP operational HWRF system and GEFS perturbations
Zhan Zhang, NOAA/NCEP/EMC- SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada, Q. Liu, W. M. Lapenta, and S. J. Lord

Handout (232.7 kB)

The risk of strong hurricane winds to Florida cities
Jill Christine Malmstadt, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner and T. H. Jagger

Helical features of tropical cyclogenesis
Galina V. Levina, Russian Academy of Sciences, Perm, Russia; and M. T. Montgomery

Toward a Global Climatology of Tropical Cloud Clusters
Christopher C. Hennon, Univ. of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC; and C. N. Helms and K. R. Knapp

Handout (813.6 kB)

Initial condition sensitivity and predictability of tropical cyclogenesis
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault, C. A. Reynolds, and J. R. Moskaitis

Future change of North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks: projection by a 20-km-mesh global climate model
Hiroyuki Murakami, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and B. Wang and A. Kitoh

Statistical-Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall Along the South China Coast
Samson K.S. Chiu, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan, W. L. Ginn, and S. M. Lee

Detecting Tropical Cyclone Formation from Satellite Infrared Imagery
Miguel Pineros, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie and J. S. Tyo

Handout (408.9 kB)

Impact of resolution and downscaling technique in simulating Atlantic tropical cyclone activity with GEM-Climate
Louis-Philippe Caron, University of Quebec in Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada; and C. G. Jones and K. Winger

Feasibility Study of Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific Area using RegCM3
Andie Y. M. Au-Yeung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan

Handout (933.4 kB)

Simulation of the interannual variation of seasonal northwest Pacific typhoon activity with a regional climate model
Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. R. Knutson, S. T. Garner, S. Chang, J. J. Sirutis, Y. C. Feng, and C. Chou

Pattern classification of typhoon tracks and related large-scale circulations
Hyeong-Seog Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and C. H. Ho, J. H. Kim, and P. S. Chu

Targeted observation for tropical cyclone during T-PARC 2008
Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and P. Harr, C. C. Wu, and M. Weissmann

Hurricane reanalysis using Hurricane Satellite (HURSAT) data
Kenneth R. Knapp, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Handout (84.8 kB)

Tropical cyclones and the Quasi-biennial Oscillation
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel

The relationship between precipitation in the tropics and tropical cyclone frequency
Allison A. Wing, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. Emanuel

Handout (95.3 kB)

The Tropical Cyclone Climate Model Intercomparison Project
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and S. Lavender

A Global Unified View of ENSO Modulation of Tropical Cyclones
Meng-Pai Hung, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. L. Lin

Potential improvements of tropical storm forecasts with remote sensing of ocean surface air pressure
Bing Lin, NASA, Hampton, VA; and S. Harrah, R. Lawrence, Q. Min, and Y. Hu

The potential for an abrupt failure of the West African monsoon as climate warms
Naresh Neupane, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook

Evaluation of experimental model forecasts from HFIP 2009 Demonstration
Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, T. L. Jensen, and L. Nance

High-resolution satellite data assimilation and its role in tropical cyclone prediction
William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and T. Hashino

The HFIP High Resolution Hurricane Forecast Test: Beyond the traditional verification metrics
Louisa Nance, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. R. Bernardet, S. Bao, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, C. W. Harrop, E. J. Szoke, E. I. Tollerud, J. K. Wolff, and H. Yuan

Handout (430.0 kB)

The effect of major volcanic eruptions on tropical cyclone activity
Amato Evan, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and V. Bennington

Climatological-based tropical cyclone landfall probabilities and average time to landfall
Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Evaluating the impacts of extratropical transitioning on typhoon losses via synoptic case studies
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and M. Desflots

Handout (1.1 MB)

Statistical-dynamical intraseasonal prediction of tropical cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific
Tom Murphree, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. Meyer, B. Mundhenk, and C. Raynak

Evidence linking solar variability with USA hurricanes
Robert E. Hodges, Department of Geography, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner

Consistent tropical cyclone wind and wave forecasts for the U. S. Navy
Charles R. Sampson, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Wittmann and H. L. Tolman

Handout (161.2 kB)

Diagnosis of tropical cyclone activity through gravity wave energy density in the South West Indian Ocean
Chouaïbou Ibrahim, LACy(Laboratoire de l'atmosphere et des cyclones), Saint Denis, Reunion

Zonal asymmetries in the African Easterly Jet
Amin K. Dezfuli, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. E. Nicholson

Potential vorticity diagnostics associated with the Tropical Easterly Jet over Africa and links to rainfall variability
Travis A. Smith, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. E. Nicholson

A newly-documented low-level coastal jet along the Benguela Coast of Southern Africa
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Simulated rainfall diurnal cycle of African Monsoon: a sensitivity study to model resolution and sea surface temperature forcing
Massimiliano Pasqui, Institute of Biometeorology - National Research Council (IBIMET-CNR), Roma, Italy; and F. Guarnieri and S. Melani

Handout (1.3 MB)

Formation of tropical cyclones in the northern Indian Ocean associated with two types of tropical intraseasonal oscillation modes
Kazuyoshi Kikuchi, Department of Meteorology and IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

An objective method to predict near real time rapid intensification of tropical cyclones using satellite passive microwave observations
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Rozoff, A. Wimmers, M. Sitkowski, M. E. Kieper, J. Kossin, J. Hawkins, and J. Knaff

Recent Statistical Analyses of the Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Poster
John Sears, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and T. Olander and C. S. Velden

Microphysics of deep tropical convective clouds observed over India Part 2 : simulations with a high resolution spectral bin microphysics model (The HAMP contribution)
Alexander P. Khain, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld, A. Pokrovsky, N. Benmoshe, J. R. Kulkarni, and R. S. Maheshkumar

Handout (832.3 kB)

An analysis of tropical cyclone formations in the South China Sea during the late season
Cheng-Shang Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. L. Lin

ADT v8.1: tropical cyclone intensity beyond Dvorak
Michael Turk, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD

A multi-scale analysis of the rapid intensification of Hurricane Paloma (2008)
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Zhang, S. Aberson, M. L. Black, E. Uhlhorn, J. Dunion, A. Aksoy, and R. Rogers

Sensitivity of The South Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation to The Cloud Microphysics and Associated Radiative Effects
Yi-Chi Wang, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. W. Tung, J. L. Li, and D. E. Waliser

Microphysics of deep tropical convective clouds over India, part-I: Aircraft observations
J.R. Kulkarni, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India, Pune, India; and E. Freud, M. Konwar, R. S. Maheshkumar, and D. Rosenfeld

Origin and a formation mechanism of pre-TC African easterly wave-mesoscale convective systems in eastern Africa
Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina A & T State University, Greensboro, NC; and G. Tang, J. Spinks, and W. Jones

Development of a tropical cyclone microphysical model
Barry Lynn, Weather It Is, LTD, Efrat, Israel; and J. W. Bao, I. Ginis, A. P. Khain, and S. Gopalakrishnan

HWRF performance diagnostics from the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season
Brian D. McNoldy, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, V. Tallapragada, and T. Marchok

Handout (1.0 MB)

The Tropical Cyclone Structure (TCS-08) near real-time and science studies satellite product suite
Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. Richardson, T. F. Lee, R. L. Bankert, C. S. Velden, D. C. Herndon, A. Wimmers, T. Olander, F. J. Turk, J. E. Kent, and S. D. Miller

Implications of Wintertime Blocking Episodes over Ural-Siberia for the Regional Climate in Southeast Asia
Ho Nam Cheung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and W. Zhou

Transport of dust particles from the Bodele region to the monsoon layer. Case study of the 9-14 june 2006 period
Suzanne Crumeyrolle, LaMP : Laboratoire de Meteorologie Physique, Aubière, France; and P. Tulet, L. Garcia-Carreras, L. Gomes, C. Flamant, A. Schwarzenboeck, A. Matsuki, D. J. Parker, H. Venzac, and P. Formenti

Handout (1.5 MB)

Evaluation of budget analyses during MISMO
Masaki Katsumata, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and P. E. Ciesielski and R. H. Johnson

The role of trade wind surges in tropical cyclone formations in the western North Pacific
Lung-Yao Chang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. K. W. Cheung and C. S. Lee

Gravity wave parameters over the west African area derived from the AMMA campaign (African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses)
Fabrice Chane Ming, Laboratoire de l'Atmosphère et des Cyclones, St Denis, La Réunion, France; and P. Kafando and M. Petitdidier

A first study of the lightning activity related to tropical cyclones in the south-west Indian Ocean
Christelle Barthe, LACY (UMR 8105), Saint Denis Cedex 9, Reunion; and S. Coquillat

Initiation of deep convection and surface properties over West Africa: a satellite based study
Amanda Gounou, CNRM Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Couvreux, F. Guichard, C. Taylor, R. Ellis, and P. Harris

A possible mechanism regulating nocturnal stratocumulus decks in West Africa
Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink

Handout (905.3 kB)

The impact of latent cooling processes on tropical cyclogenesis and intensity fluctuations
Thomas Frisius, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and T. Hasselbeck

Using potential vorticity tendency equations for diagnosing atmospheric dynamics in numerical models
Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and J. D. Kepert and J. Sippel

Wave energy accumulation and tropical cyclone genesis
James M. Done, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland, S. N. Tulich, C. Bruyere, and A. Suzuki-Parker

Orographic influence on the cyclogenesis of tropical storm Debby (2006)
John Paul Roop, North Carolina A & T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin and G. Tang

2009 NSF-PREDICT Dry Run: what have we learned?
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and M. T. Montgomery

Impact of assimilation of LASE and dropwindsonde data sets during NAMMA field campaign
Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti

Relationship of Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones to Dynamical/Thermodynamical Parameters
Anu Simon, Dept. of Meteorology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti, R. S. Ross, A. Martin, and D. Zelinsky

Simulation of a convective rainfall event and associated water budget over West Africa : an intercomparison of mesoscale models
Francoise Guichard, CNRS/Météo-France UMR 3589, Toulouse, Haute Garonne, France; and J. P. Lafore, N. Asencio, C. Peugeot, O. Bock, J. L. Redelsperger, X. Cui, M. Garvert, B. L. Lamptey, E. Orlandi, J. Sander, F. Fierli, M. A. Gaertner, S. C. Jones, A. Morse, A. Boone, M. Nuret, G. Balsamo, B. Decharme, P. de Rosnay, P. Harris, and J. C. Berges

Numerical modeling of boundary layer roll vortices in high wind conditions
Zhitao Yu, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis and A. Khain

Orographic Effects On Tropical Cyclogenesis Over Eastern Pacific Ocean
Van Nguyen, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin and G. Tang

Tropical and extra-tropical forecast sensitivity to sub-tropical observational enhancement
Lee A. Byerle, AWS, Tucson, 85708; and J. Paegle, J. E. Nogues-Paegle, A. C. Saulo, and J. J. Ruiz

Handout (1.4 MB)

Convective Characteristics of Hurricane Eyewalls and Rainbands from 11 years of TRMM Data
Ellen Ramirez, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and H. Jiang and E. Zipser

Dynamical system analysis of a low order tropical cyclone model
Daria Schönemann, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and T. Frisius

Handout (477.9 kB)

Characteristics of convection investigated during NAMMA (2006) using a dual-frequency airborne precipitation radar
Jonathan Zawislak, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser and S. Tanelli

On the Tropical Cyclone Formation from Tropical Waves
Chanh Q. Kieu, Hanoi College of Science, Vietnam National University, Hanoi, Vietnam; and F. Zhang, J. S. Gall, and W. Frank

Handout (1.4 MB)

WISHE and tropical cyclone intensification
George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Emanuel, F. Zhang, J. Fang, and B. H. Tang

GeoSTAR – a new hurricane observatory
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Gaier, A. Tanner, and P. Kangaslahti

An analysis of tropical variability during the 2002-2003 cold season
Kyle MacRitchie, SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. E. Roundy

Seasonal and intraseasonal modulations of environmental field for tropical cyclogenesis over the Bay of Bengal
Wataru Yanase, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute/University of Tokyo, Chiba, Japan; and H. Taniguchi and M. Satoh

Handout (1.3 MB)

The THORPEX Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) objective on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: observed cases, their structure and downstream impacts
Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and S. C. Jones, D. Anwender, M. M. Bell, C. A. Davis, R. L. Elsberry, J. L. Evans, C. M. Grams, S. T. Lang, J. H. Keller, N. Kitabatake, W. C. Lee, R. McTaggart-Cowan, E. R. Sanabia, C. S. Velden, M. Weissmann, and M. Wirth

Handout (589.2 kB)

Synoptic variability of the monsoon flux over West Africa prior to the onset
Fleur Couvreux, Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Guichard, O. Bock, B. Campistron, J. P. Lafore, and J. L. Redelsperger

Documentation of cloud characteristics inferred from ground and satellite measurements within west Africa
Dominique Bouniol, CNRS/Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Couvreux, P. H. Kamsu-Tamo, M. Leplay, F. Guichard, and E. J. O'Connor

Mineral dust transport over West Africa in 2006
Juliane Schwendike, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and D. Bou Karam, S. Crumeyrolle, C. Flamant, S. C. Jones, M. Schmidberger, F. Solmon, T. Stanelle, H. Vogel, and B. Vogel

Handout (2.1 MB)

Data impact experiments using IASI observations during the life cycle of Hurricanes Gustav, Hanna and Ike (2008)
Doris Anwender, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe, Germany; and N. Fourrié, F. Rabier, and P. Arbogast

Handout (1.0 MB)

Interactions of Upper Level Troughs and African Easterly Waves
Bryce Paul Tyner, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

Precipitation processes in southwest India during the summer monsoon: the Orographic Precipitation and Evolution of Landscapes-Western Ghats project (OPEL-WG)
Stephen W. Nesbitt, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. M. Anders, W. J. Kaufeld, and J. Colberg

Intraseasonal variability of African easterly wave activity
Jeffrey M. Ceratto, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft

Easterly Waves in the Intra-Americas Sea Region
Yolande Serra, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Kiladis and K. I. Hodges

Handout (103.3 kB)

What Controls the Geographic Distribution of Evapotranspiration in the Amazon River Basin?
Taotao Qian, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich and J. L. Lin

Maintenance of Long-lived African Easterly Waves
David Church, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. Aiyyer

Modeling studies of African Easterly Waves in relation to Tropical Cyclogenesis along the West African Coast
Forbes Tompkins, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao and G. S. Jenkins

A study of the influence of the Saharan Air Layer on tropical cyclones using TOMS data
E.M. Hicks, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and C. A. Pontikis

Handout (219.9 kB)

Simple kinematic models of tropical cyclones in vertical shear
Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery

Impact of the MJO on the west African monsoon, African easterly waves, and Atlantic tropical cyclones
Ghassan J. Alaka, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney

Mechanisms Linking Easterly Waves and the North American Monsoon System
Simona Seastrand, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and Y. Serra

Evaluation of a Reduced Model for Investigating Hurricane Formation from Turbulence
David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA

Contrasts between organized convection during the peak and tail ends of the West African monsoon
Matthew A. Janiga, SUNY at Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft, B. Mapes, and E. R. Williams

A logistic regression model for WNP tropical cyclone formation forecast
Bing Fu, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, College Park, MD; and M. S. Peng, T. Li, and J. Hansen

The Influence of the Madden Julian Oscillation over Tropical North Africa
Michael J. Ventrice, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and P. Roundy

Diagnosis and Verification of Real-Time COAMPS-TC Forecasts
Hao Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. G. Black, J. D. Doyle, J. R. Moskaitis, R. M. Hodur, Y. Jin, and M. S. Peng

Three-dimensional structure of the Saharan Air Layer
Aaron M. Adams, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

The effects of latent heating on the extratropical transition of Typhoon Sinlaku
Michael Kevin Hernandez, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans

The relationship between tropical cyclone intensity changes and its precipitation features
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. Schroeder

Tropical cyclone genesis from easterly waves in a regional climate model
Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis and A. Suzuki-Parker

Is rapid intensification internally or externally controlled?
Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng

Comparison of the role of subsurface ocean in the east and central Pacific warmings
Lina I. Ceballos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos and E. Di Lorenzo

Convective scale simulation of the 2006 North American Monsoon season
Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and R. Rotunno and M. C. Barth

The climatological significance of extratropical transitioning on typhoon precipitation over japan
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and J. Butke

Handout (1.3 MB)

A modeling study of tropical cyclone suppression during the AEROSE 2009: Case study of Ana
Miliaritiana L. Robjhon, Howard University, Washington, DC; and S. Chiao, E. Joseph, N. R. Nalli, A. E. Reynolds, and D. V. Morris

The Impact of Airborne Doppler Lidar Wind Measurements on Numerical Simulations of Tropical cyclones
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and L. Zhang and G. D. Emmitt

Simulations of Top-Down and Bottom-Up tropical cyclogenesis
Tim Li, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and X. Ge and M. S. Peng

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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