Poster Session 1 Posters: TCs and Climate, Monsoons, HFIP, TC Formation, Extratropical Transition, Industry Applications, TC Intensity, African Climate and Weather

Tuesday, 11 May 2010: 3:30 PM-5:15 PM
Arizona Ballroom 7 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer:
Patrick Harr, NPS, Department of Meteorology, Monterey, CA

Papers:
P1.33
Water vapor eye temperatures of intense tropical cyclones
Roger Weldon, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Schwartz

P1.1
Hurricane ensemble prediction using NCEP operational HWRF system and GEFS perturbations
Zhan Zhang, NOAA/NCEP/EMC- SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada, Q. Liu, W. M. Lapenta, and S. J. Lord

Handout (232.7 kB)

P1.2
The risk of strong hurricane winds to Florida cities
Jill Christine Malmstadt, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner and T. H. Jagger

P1.3
Helical features of tropical cyclogenesis
Galina V. Levina, Russian Academy of Sciences, Perm, Russia; and M. T. Montgomery

P1.4
Toward a Global Climatology of Tropical Cloud Clusters
Christopher C. Hennon, Univ. of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC; and C. N. Helms and K. R. Knapp

Handout (813.6 kB)

P1.5
Initial condition sensitivity and predictability of tropical cyclogenesis
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault, C. A. Reynolds, and J. R. Moskaitis

P1.6
Future change of North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks: projection by a 20-km-mesh global climate model
Hiroyuki Murakami, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and B. Wang and A. Kitoh

P1.7
Statistical-Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall Along the South China Coast
Samson K.S. Chiu, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan, W. L. Ginn, and S. M. Lee

P1.8
Detecting Tropical Cyclone Formation from Satellite Infrared Imagery
Miguel Pineros, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie and J. S. Tyo

Handout (408.9 kB)

P1.9
Impact of resolution and downscaling technique in simulating Atlantic tropical cyclone activity with GEM-Climate
Louis-Philippe Caron, University of Quebec in Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada; and C. G. Jones and K. Winger

P1.10
Analyses of tropical cyclone characteristics and its relation to environmental conditions based on IPRC-regional climate model
Yi Lu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and Y. Wang

P1.11
Feasibility Study of Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific Area using RegCM3
Andie Y. M. Au-Yeung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan

Handout (933.4 kB)

P1.12
Simulation of the interannual variation of seasonal northwest Pacific typhoon activity with a regional climate model
Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. R. Knutson, S. T. Garner, S. Chang, J. J. Sirutis, Y. C. Feng, and C. Chou

P1.13
Dynamic hurricane season prediction experiment with the NCEP T382 CFS CGCM

P1.14
Pattern classification of typhoon tracks and related large-scale circulations
Hyeong-Seog Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and C. H. Ho, J. H. Kim, and P. S. Chu

P1.15
Targeted observation for tropical cyclone during T-PARC 2008
Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and P. Harr, C. C. Wu, and M. Weissmann

P1.16
Hurricane reanalysis using Hurricane Satellite (HURSAT) data
Kenneth R. Knapp, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Handout (84.8 kB)

P1.17
Tropical cyclones and the Quasi-biennial Oscillation
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel

P1.18
The relationship between precipitation in the tropics and tropical cyclone frequency
Allison A. Wing, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. Emanuel

Handout (95.3 kB)

P1.19
The Tropical Cyclone Climate Model Intercomparison Project
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and S. Lavender

P1.20
Impacts of operational vortex initializations on 2009 hurricane forecast with the HWRFx model

P1.21
A Global Unified View of ENSO Modulation of Tropical Cyclones
Meng-Pai Hung, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. L. Lin

P1.22
Potential improvements of tropical storm forecasts with remote sensing of ocean surface air pressure
Bing Lin, NASA, Hampton, VA; and S. Harrah, R. Lawrence, Q. Min, and Y. Hu

P1.22a
The potential for an abrupt failure of the West African monsoon as climate warms
Naresh Neupane, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook

P1.23
Evaluation of experimental model forecasts from HFIP 2009 Demonstration
Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, T. L. Jensen, and L. Nance

P1.24
High-resolution satellite data assimilation and its role in tropical cyclone prediction
William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and T. Hashino

P1.25
Feasibility study of the mitigation of the intensity of tropical cyclones by CCN seeding in the outer rainband region: A HAMP project

P1.26
Overforecasts of tropical cyclogenesis in the FIM global model
Mike Fiorino, OAR, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bao

P1.27
The HFIP High Resolution Hurricane Forecast Test: Beyond the traditional verification metrics
Louisa Nance, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. R. Bernardet, S. Bao, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, C. W. Harrop, E. J. Szoke, E. I. Tollerud, J. K. Wolff, and H. Yuan

Handout (430.0 kB)

P1.28
The HWRFx Modeling System: Coupling to a One-Dimensional Ocean Model with Multiple Vertical Turbulence Closures

P1.29
The effect of major volcanic eruptions on tropical cyclone activity
Amato Evan, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and V. Bennington

P1.30
Climatological-based tropical cyclone landfall probabilities and average time to landfall
Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

P1.31
Impact of resolution on the statistical characteristics and regional structures of brightness temperatures calculated from simulated microphysics in hurricanes
Tempei Hashino, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and W. E. Lewis

P1.32
Hurricane Hanna (2008) Track Deflection and Rapid Intensity Change: An Observational and Numerical Study

P1.34
Using the HFIP high-resolution hurricane test dataset to diagnose interconnected track and intensity errors in hurricane forecasts

P1.35
Evaluating the impacts of extratropical transitioning on typhoon losses via synoptic case studies
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and M. Desflots

Handout (1.1 MB)

P1.37
Statistical prediction of TC frequency and seasonality within the core region of the inter american seas warm pool
Arthur V. Douglas, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and P. J. Englehart

P1.38
Seasonal Atlantic tropical cyclone hindcasting/forecasting using two sea surface temperature datasets
Tim LaRow, COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

P1.40
Statistical-dynamical intraseasonal prediction of tropical cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific
Tom Murphree, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. Meyer, B. Mundhenk, and C. Raynak

P1.41
Evidence linking solar variability with USA hurricanes
Robert E. Hodges, Department of Geography, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner

P1.42
The thermodynamic evolution of extratropically transitioning tropical cyclones
Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Hart

Handout (1.6 MB)

P1.43
A experimental proposal to reduce the devastation caused by hurricanes to humans and the environment

Handout (1.5 MB)

P1.44
Consistent tropical cyclone wind and wave forecasts for the U. S. Navy
Charles R. Sampson, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Wittmann and H. L. Tolman

Handout (161.2 kB)

P1.45
Diagnosis of tropical cyclone activity through gravity wave energy density in the South West Indian Ocean
Chouaïbou Ibrahim, LACy(Laboratoire de l'atmosphere et des cyclones), Saint Denis, Reunion

P1.46
Zonal asymmetries in the African Easterly Jet
Amin K. Dezfuli, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. E. Nicholson

P1.47
Potential vorticity diagnostics associated with the Tropical Easterly Jet over Africa and links to rainfall variability
Travis A. Smith, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. E. Nicholson

P1.48
A newly-documented low-level coastal jet along the Benguela Coast of Southern Africa
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

P1.49
Seasonal evolution of diabatic heating and associated meridional circulation over the West African Monsoon region

P1.50
Simulated rainfall diurnal cycle of African Monsoon: a sensitivity study to model resolution and sea surface temperature forcing
Massimiliano Pasqui, Institute of Biometeorology - National Research Council (IBIMET-CNR), Roma, Italy; and F. Guarnieri and S. Melani

Handout (1.3 MB)

P1.51
2009 tropical cyclone predictions and societal challenges in the tropical islands of the western North Pacific Ocean
Charles 'Chip' Guard, NOAA/NWSFO Guam, Barrigada, Guam

P1.52
Formation of tropical cyclones in the northern Indian Ocean associated with two types of tropical intraseasonal oscillation modes
Kazuyoshi Kikuchi, Department of Meteorology and IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

P1.53
An objective method to predict near real time rapid intensification of tropical cyclones using satellite passive microwave observations
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Rozoff, A. Wimmers, M. Sitkowski, M. E. Kieper, J. Kossin, J. Hawkins, and J. Knaff

P1.54
Recent Statistical Analyses of the Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Poster
John Sears, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and T. Olander and C. S. Velden

P1.55
Microphysics of deep tropical convective clouds observed over India Part 2 : simulations with a high resolution spectral bin microphysics model (The HAMP contribution)
Alexander P. Khain, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld, A. Pokrovsky, N. Benmoshe, J. R. Kulkarni, and R. S. Maheshkumar

Handout (832.3 kB)

P1.56
An analysis of tropical cyclone formations in the South China Sea during the late season
Cheng-Shang Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. L. Lin

P1.57
ADT v8.1: tropical cyclone intensity beyond Dvorak
Michael Turk, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD

P1.58
A multi-scale analysis of the rapid intensification of Hurricane Paloma (2008)
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Zhang, S. Aberson, M. L. Black, E. Uhlhorn, J. Dunion, A. Aksoy, and R. Rogers

P1.59
Sensitivity of The South Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation to The Cloud Microphysics and Associated Radiative Effects
Yi-Chi Wang, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. W. Tung, J. L. Li, and D. E. Waliser

P1.60
Microphysics of deep tropical convective clouds over India, part-I: Aircraft observations
J.R. Kulkarni, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India, Pune, India; and E. Freud, M. Konwar, R. S. Maheshkumar, and D. Rosenfeld

P1.61
Origin and a formation mechanism of pre-TC African easterly wave-mesoscale convective systems in eastern Africa
Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina A & T State University, Greensboro, NC; and G. Tang, J. Spinks, and W. Jones

P1.62
Development of a tropical cyclone microphysical model
Barry Lynn, Weather It Is, LTD, Efrat, Israel; and J. W. Bao, I. Ginis, A. P. Khain, and S. Gopalakrishnan

P1.63
HWRF performance diagnostics from the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season
Brian D. McNoldy, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, V. Tallapragada, and T. Marchok

Handout (1.0 MB)

P1.64
The Tropical Cyclone Structure (TCS-08) near real-time and science studies satellite product suite
Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. Richardson, T. F. Lee, R. L. Bankert, C. S. Velden, D. C. Herndon, A. Wimmers, T. Olander, F. J. Turk, J. E. Kent, and S. D. Miller

P1.65
Implications of Wintertime Blocking Episodes over Ural-Siberia for the Regional Climate in Southeast Asia
Ho Nam Cheung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and W. Zhou

P1.66
Transport of dust particles from the Bodele region to the monsoon layer. Case study of the 9-14 june 2006 period
Suzanne Crumeyrolle, LaMP : Laboratoire de Meteorologie Physique, Aubière, France; and P. Tulet, L. Garcia-Carreras, L. Gomes, C. Flamant, A. Schwarzenboeck, A. Matsuki, D. J. Parker, H. Venzac, and P. Formenti

Handout (1.5 MB)

P1.67
Evaluation of budget analyses during MISMO
Masaki Katsumata, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and P. E. Ciesielski and R. H. Johnson

P1.68
The role of trade wind surges in tropical cyclone formations in the western North Pacific
Lung-Yao Chang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. K. W. Cheung and C. S. Lee

P1.69
Gravity wave parameters over the west African area derived from the AMMA campaign (African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses)
Fabrice Chane Ming, Laboratoire de l'Atmosphère et des Cyclones, St Denis, La Réunion, France; and P. Kafando and M. Petitdidier

P1.71
A first study of the lightning activity related to tropical cyclones in the south-west Indian Ocean
Christelle Barthe, LACY (UMR 8105), Saint Denis Cedex 9, Reunion; and S. Coquillat

P1.72
Initiation of deep convection and surface properties over West Africa: a satellite based study
Amanda Gounou, CNRM Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Couvreux, F. Guichard, C. Taylor, R. Ellis, and P. Harris

P1.73
A possible mechanism regulating nocturnal stratocumulus decks in West Africa
Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink

Handout (905.3 kB)

P1.74
The impact of latent cooling processes on tropical cyclogenesis and intensity fluctuations
Thomas Frisius, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and T. Hasselbeck

P1.75
Using potential vorticity tendency equations for diagnosing atmospheric dynamics in numerical models
Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and J. D. Kepert and J. Sippel

P1.76
Wave energy accumulation and tropical cyclone genesis
James M. Done, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland, S. N. Tulich, C. Bruyere, and A. Suzuki-Parker

P1.77
Orographic influence on the cyclogenesis of tropical storm Debby (2006)
John Paul Roop, North Carolina A & T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin and G. Tang

P1.78
Dominant control of the South Asian monsoon by orographic insulation versus plateau heating
William R. Boos, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT; and Z. Kuang

P1.80
A Numerical Study on the Wind-Terrain Interaction in the South and Southeast Asian monsoon region

P1.81
2009 NSF-PREDICT Dry Run: what have we learned?
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and M. T. Montgomery

P1.82
Impact of assimilation of LASE and dropwindsonde data sets during NAMMA field campaign
Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti

P1.83
Relationship of Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones to Dynamical/Thermodynamical Parameters
Anu Simon, Dept. of Meteorology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti, R. S. Ross, A. Martin, and D. Zelinsky

P1.84
Simulation of a convective rainfall event and associated water budget over West Africa : an intercomparison of mesoscale models
Francoise Guichard, CNRS/Météo-France UMR 3589, Toulouse, Haute Garonne, France; and J. P. Lafore, N. Asencio, C. Peugeot, O. Bock, J. L. Redelsperger, X. Cui, M. Garvert, B. L. Lamptey, E. Orlandi, J. Sander, F. Fierli, M. A. Gaertner, S. C. Jones, A. Morse, A. Boone, M. Nuret, G. Balsamo, B. Decharme, P. de Rosnay, P. Harris, and J. C. Berges

P1.85
Numerical modeling of boundary layer roll vortices in high wind conditions
Zhitao Yu, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis and A. Khain

P1.86
Orographic Effects On Tropical Cyclogenesis Over Eastern Pacific Ocean
Van Nguyen, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin and G. Tang

P1.87
Tropical and extra-tropical forecast sensitivity to sub-tropical observational enhancement
Lee A. Byerle, AWS, Tucson, 85708; and J. Paegle, J. E. Nogues-Paegle, A. C. Saulo, and J. J. Ruiz

Handout (1.4 MB)

P1.88
ITCZ Cloud Clusters in Association with African Easterly Waves during Summer Seasons of El Nino and La Nina Years
Dr. Mostafa El - Rafy, Cairo University, Giza, Egypt

Handout (1.1 MB)

P1.89
Convective Characteristics of Hurricane Eyewalls and Rainbands from 11 years of TRMM Data
Ellen Ramirez, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and H. Jiang and E. Zipser

P1.90
Dynamical system analysis of a low order tropical cyclone model
Daria Schönemann, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and T. Frisius

Handout (477.9 kB)

P1.91
Characteristics of convection investigated during NAMMA (2006) using a dual-frequency airborne precipitation radar
Jonathan Zawislak, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser and S. Tanelli

P1.92
On the Tropical Cyclone Formation from Tropical Waves
Chanh Q. Kieu, Hanoi College of Science, Vietnam National University, Hanoi, Vietnam; and F. Zhang, J. S. Gall, and W. Frank

Handout (1.4 MB)

P1.93
WISHE and tropical cyclone intensification
George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Emanuel, F. Zhang, J. Fang, and B. H. Tang

P1.94
GeoSTAR – a new hurricane observatory
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Gaier, A. Tanner, and P. Kangaslahti

P1.95
An analysis of tropical variability during the 2002-2003 cold season
Kyle MacRitchie, SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. E. Roundy

P1.96
Seasonal and intraseasonal modulations of environmental field for tropical cyclogenesis over the Bay of Bengal
Wataru Yanase, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute/University of Tokyo, Chiba, Japan; and H. Taniguchi and M. Satoh

Handout (1.3 MB)

P1.97
Life after QuikSCAT-Tropical cyclone analysis using microwave imagery and data
Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam

Handout (1013.8 kB)

P1.98
The THORPEX Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) objective on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: observed cases, their structure and downstream impacts
Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and S. C. Jones, D. Anwender, M. M. Bell, C. A. Davis, R. L. Elsberry, J. L. Evans, C. M. Grams, S. T. Lang, J. H. Keller, N. Kitabatake, W. C. Lee, R. McTaggart-Cowan, E. R. Sanabia, C. S. Velden, M. Weissmann, and M. Wirth

Handout (589.2 kB)

P1.99
Synoptic variability of the monsoon flux over West Africa prior to the onset
Fleur Couvreux, Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Guichard, O. Bock, B. Campistron, J. P. Lafore, and J. L. Redelsperger

P1.100
Documentation of cloud characteristics inferred from ground and satellite measurements within west Africa
Dominique Bouniol, CNRS/Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Couvreux, P. H. Kamsu-Tamo, M. Leplay, F. Guichard, and E. J. O'Connor

P1.101
Mineral dust transport over West Africa in 2006
Juliane Schwendike, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and D. Bou Karam, S. Crumeyrolle, C. Flamant, S. C. Jones, M. Schmidberger, F. Solmon, T. Stanelle, H. Vogel, and B. Vogel

Handout (2.1 MB)

P1.102
Data impact experiments using IASI observations during the life cycle of Hurricanes Gustav, Hanna and Ike (2008)
Doris Anwender, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe, Germany; and N. Fourrié, F. Rabier, and P. Arbogast

Handout (1.0 MB)

P1.103
Interactions of Upper Level Troughs and African Easterly Waves
Bryce Paul Tyner, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

P1.104
Precipitation processes in southwest India during the summer monsoon: the Orographic Precipitation and Evolution of Landscapes-Western Ghats project (OPEL-WG)
Stephen W. Nesbitt, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. M. Anders, W. J. Kaufeld, and J. Colberg

P1.105
Intraseasonal variability of African easterly wave activity
Jeffrey M. Ceratto, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft

P1.106
Easterly Waves in the Intra-Americas Sea Region
Yolande Serra, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Kiladis and K. I. Hodges

Handout (103.3 kB)

P1.107
Tropical transition of tropical cyclones Gabrielle and Humberto during the 2007 North Atlantic season
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Bosart

P1.108
What Controls the Geographic Distribution of Evapotranspiration in the Amazon River Basin?
Taotao Qian, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich and J. L. Lin

P1.109
Maintenance of Long-lived African Easterly Waves
David Church, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. Aiyyer

P1.110
Modeling studies of African Easterly Waves in relation to Tropical Cyclogenesis along the West African Coast
Forbes Tompkins, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao and G. S. Jenkins

P1.112
Utilization of a multi-phase particle model to develop self-consistent bulk microphysical parameterizations for hurricane models
Jon Reisner, LANL, Los Alamos, NM

P1.113
Downscaling the North America Monsoon using CWRF: Model resolution and the depiction of precipitation climate and variability

P1.114
A study of the influence of the Saharan Air Layer on tropical cyclones using TOMS data
E.M. Hicks, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and C. A. Pontikis

Handout (219.9 kB)

P1.115
Simple kinematic models of tropical cyclones in vertical shear
Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery

P1.116
Impact of the MJO on the west African monsoon, African easterly waves, and Atlantic tropical cyclones
Ghassan J. Alaka, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney

P1.117
Mechanisms Linking Easterly Waves and the North American Monsoon System
Simona Seastrand, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and Y. Serra

P1.118
Evaluation of a Reduced Model for Investigating Hurricane Formation from Turbulence
David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA

P1.119
Contrasts between organized convection during the peak and tail ends of the West African monsoon
Matthew A. Janiga, SUNY at Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft, B. Mapes, and E. R. Williams

P1.120
A logistic regression model for WNP tropical cyclone formation forecast
Bing Fu, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, College Park, MD; and M. S. Peng, T. Li, and J. Hansen

P1.123
The Influence of the Madden Julian Oscillation over Tropical North Africa
Michael J. Ventrice, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and P. Roundy

P1.124
Onset of genesis of Typhoon Chanchu (2006) from the vertical alignment of a westward-tilted vortex
Wallace Hogsett, NOAA, Miami, FL

P1.125
Simulation of Tropical Storm Fay intensity change over land due to soil moisture and land moisture over Lake Okeechobee
Travis Washington, NOAA/NWS, Shreveport, LA

P1.126
Diagnosis and Verification of Real-Time COAMPS-TC Forecasts
Hao Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. G. Black, J. D. Doyle, J. R. Moskaitis, R. M. Hodur, Y. Jin, and M. S. Peng

P1.127
Three-dimensional structure of the Saharan Air Layer
Aaron M. Adams, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

P1.128
The effects of latent heating on the extratropical transition of Typhoon Sinlaku
Michael Kevin Hernandez, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans

P1.129
The relationship between tropical cyclone intensity changes and its precipitation features
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. Schroeder

P1.130
Tropical cyclone genesis from easterly waves in a regional climate model
Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis and A. Suzuki-Parker

P1.131
Is rapid intensification internally or externally controlled?
Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng

P1.132
Comparison of the role of subsurface ocean in the east and central Pacific warmings
Lina I. Ceballos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos and E. Di Lorenzo

P1.133
Convective scale simulation of the 2006 North American Monsoon season
Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and R. Rotunno and M. C. Barth

P1.134
The climatological significance of extratropical transitioning on typhoon precipitation over japan
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and J. Butke

Handout (1.3 MB)

P1.135
A modeling study of tropical cyclone suppression during the AEROSE 2009: Case study of Ana
Miliaritiana L. Robjhon, Howard University, Washington, DC; and S. Chiao, E. Joseph, N. R. Nalli, A. E. Reynolds, and D. V. Morris

P1.136
Impact of different cumulus parameterizations on the numerical simulation of rain over southern China

Handout (894.2 kB)

P1.137
The Impact of Airborne Doppler Lidar Wind Measurements on Numerical Simulations of Tropical cyclones
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and L. Zhang and G. D. Emmitt

P1.138
Simulations of Top-Down and Bottom-Up tropical cyclogenesis
Tim Li, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and X. Ge and M. S. Peng

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