Session 9C Tropical Cyclone Intensity: Forecast Methods

Wednesday, 12 May 2010: 10:15 AM-12:00 PM
Arizona Ballroom 10-12 (JW MArriott Starr Pass Resort)
Host: 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator:
Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Papers:
10:15 AM
9C.1
Improved short-term Atlantic hurricane intensity forecasts using reconnaissance-based core measurements
D. Andrew Murray, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
Recorded Presentation

10:30 AM
9C.2
Data Mining Techniques for the Studies of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Changes
Ruixin Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Tang

10:45 AM
9C.3
Assessing the impact of total precipitable water and lightning on SHIPS intensity forecasts
John Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, J. Kaplan, and J. Dunion
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (186.2 kB)

11:00 AM
9C.4
Enhancements to the operational SHIPS rapid intensification index
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, J. Dunion, J. F. Dostalek, J. E. Solbrig, J. Hawkins, T. F. Lee, J. Zhang, E. Kalina, and P. Leighton
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (634.9 kB)

11:15 AM
9C.5
Tropical cyclone intensity change predictability estimates using a statistical-dynamical model
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (220.4 kB)

11:30 AM
9C.6
Challenges of forecasting tropical cyclone intensity change at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Matthew E. Kucas, JTWC = Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (427.3 kB)

11:45 AM
9C.7
Assessment of the impact of increased lead time for tropical cyclone watches/warnings in the North Central Pacific
Samuel Houston, CPHC/NWS/NOAA, Honolulu, HI; and R. Knabb, M. DeMaria, and A. Schumacher
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (569.8 kB)

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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