Session 4A Winter Weather II: Probabilistic Products and High-Impact Events

Monday, 4 June 2018: 4:00 PM-5:30 PM
Colorado A (Grand Hyatt Denver)
Host: 29th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting
Cochairs:
Eyad Atallah, McGill University, Westmount, QC and Alicia M. Bentley, SUNY, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY

Papers:
4:00 PM
4A.1
A Vision for Probabilistic Winter Weather Services
David R. Novak, NOAA/NWS, College Park, MD; and D. Soroka and G. W. Carbin
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
4A.2
The Testing of Deterministic and Probabilistic Precipitation Type Algorithms During the 2017-2018 HMT-WPC Winter Weather Experiment
Sarah Perfater, Cherokee Nation Business, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Albright, M. J. Bodner, J. Kastman, and M. Klein
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
4A.3
A Statistical and Approach to Improve Predictability of Cold Season Precipitation Type and Amount for the HRRR-TLE
Timothy Kirk Thielke, Univeristy of Wisconsin Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and P. Roebber
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
4A.4
Applying Forecast Track Diagnostics in High-Impact Northeast Winter Storms: Climatology and Case Analysis
Tomer Burg, SUNY, Albany, NY; and A. L. Lang, K. L. Corbosiero, and R. D. Torn
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
4A.5
The “Pi-Day” Coastal Storm of 14 March 2017
Lance F. Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY; and A. M. Bentley, T. Burg, and A. C. Winters
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
4A.6
Systematic Biases in NCEP Model Guidance for 2017-2018 East Coast Winter Storms
Logan C. Dawson, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and T. A. Dorian and G. S. Manikin
Recorded Presentation

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