Session 11B Catastrophe Modeling

Wednesday, 18 April 2018: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
Masters ABCD (Sawgrass Marriott)
Host: 33rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Peter Wolf, NOAA/NWS, NOAA/NWS, Jacksonville, FL

4:00 PM
How Often Should We Expect Losses on the Scale of Harvey or Irma?
Annes Haseemkunju, CoreLogic, Oakland, CA; and M. Khater, D. F. Smith, and J. Brolley
4:15 PM
New Storm Surge Catastrophe Model for Great Britain and Beyond
Richard M. Yablonsky, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and M. Keshtpoor and A. Blair
4:30 PM
Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Hindcasting Using ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System
Nadia Bloemendaal, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, Netherlands; and S. Muis, R. Haarsma, M. Irazoqui Apecechea, M. Verlaan, H. de Moel, P. J. Ward, and J. C. J. H. Aerts
4:45 PM
What Value do Natural Coastlines have in Reducing Hurricane Storm Surge Risk?
Siddarth Narayan, Univ. of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA; and M. W. Beck, P. S. Wilson, C. J. Thomas, A. Guerrero, C. C. Shepard, B. G. Reguero, G. E. Franco, J. C. Ingram, and D. Trespalacios

5:00 PM
Sensitivity Analysis of Upwind Fetches for More Accurate Effective Roughness in Landfalling Hurricanes
Sylvie Lorsolo, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and M. Clavner, P. J. Sousounis, S. E. Tolwinski-Ward, and E. W. Uhlhorn

5:15 PM
Tropical Cyclone Hazards in a Changing Climate – Results from a New, Columbia Hazard Model
Chia-Ying Lee, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and M. K. Tippett, A. H. Sobel, and S. J. Camargo

5:30 PM
Probabilistic Temporal Extension of a New Parametric Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Model
Susan E. Tolwinski-Ward, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and E. W. Uhlhorn and M. Clavner

5:45 PM
A Hurricane Boundary Layer Model for Simulating Surface Winds during Hurricane Landfall
Isaac Ginis, Univ. of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and C. Nowakowski and K. Gao
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