Session 7C NOAA Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) VII (Ensembles & Products)

Tuesday, 7 May 2024: 1:45 PM-3:15 PM
Beacon B (Hyatt Regency Long Beach)
Host: 36th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs:
Aaron J. Poyer and Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR, Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO

Papers:
1:45 PM
7C.1
Expansion of Ensemble-based Sensitivity to TC Hazard Forecasts
Ryan D. Torn, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY

2:00 PM
7C.2
HAFS Ensemble in AWS Cloud for 2023 Hurricane Real Time Forecasts
Jiayi Peng, AXIOM at NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and Z. Zhang, R. Panda, W. Wang, B. Liu, A. Mehra, V. S. Tallapragada, X. Zhang, S. Gopalakrishnan, A. J. Poyer, W. Komaromi, and J. Anderson

2:15 PM
7C.3
Incorporating Tropical Cyclogenesis Guidance Tools (Probabilistic and Spacial) for Verification at the National Hurricane Center
Philippe P. Papin, NHC, Miami, FL; and J. P. Cangialosi, E. S. Blake, D. J. Halperin, R. E. Hart, and A. Brammer

2:30 PM
7C.4
Understanding Predictability of Tropical Cyclones over the North Atlantic Ocean
Shun Yiu Brett Chung, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Baden-Württemberg, Germany; and A. H. Fink and M. Riemer

2:45 PM
7C.5
Leveraging Ensemble Prediction Developments in HAFS to Evaluate Tropical Cyclone Hazards
Kelly E. Ryan, Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, Miami, FL; and J. Poterjoy

3:00 PM
7C.6
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner