Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology (Expanded View)

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Compact View of Conference

Monday, 12 November 2001
5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Monday
Conference Registration
Tuesday, 13 November 2001
7:30 AM, Tuesday
Conference Registration Continues through Thursday, 15 November
9:00 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday
Session 1 Symposium Introduction
9:00 AM1.1Welcoming Remarks  extended abstract
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and S. A. Ferguson
9:15 AM1.2Mike Fosberg Tribute  
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA
9:30 AM1.3Opening Prologue  
Sue Husari, U.S. Forest Service, Vallejo, CA
10:00 AMCoffee Break  
10:30 AM-1:30 PM, Tuesday
Session 2 Fire Behavior
Organizer: Mark Finney, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT
10:30 AM2.1Forecasting diurnal variation in fire intensity for use in wildland fire management applications  extended abstract
Judi A. Beck, Forest Engineering Research Institute of Canada, Hinton, AB, Canada; and M. E. Alexander, S. D. Harvey, and A. K. Beaver
10:50 AM2.2Quantile characteristics of forest fires in Saskatchewan  
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and P. Englefield
11:10 AM2.3Measuring Moisture Dynamics to Predict Fire Severity in Longleaf Pine Forests  extended abstract
Julia E. Ruthford, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. A. Ferguson
11:30 AM2.4Airborne infrared observations of wildfire, dynamics, and spread  
Lawrence F. Radke, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark and R. B. Stull
11:50 AM2.5Case study of an integrated weather/fire spread modeling application  extended abstract
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA
12:10 PMLunch Break  
1:30 PM-3:20 PM, Tuesday
Session 3 Numerical Modeling
Organizer: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA
1:30 PM3.1Recent results from two fine-scale models for short-range predictions of residual smoke at night  extended abstract
Gary L. Achtemeier, USDA Forest Service, Juliette, GA
1:50 PM3.2Coupled atmosphere-fire model simulations in various fuel types in complex terrain  extended abstract
Janice L. Coen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark and D. Latham
2:10 PM3.3Coupled atmosphere-fire modeling and fire behavior sensitivity to atmospheric instability  extended abstract
Mary Ann Jenkins, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada
2:30 PM3.4Studying wildfire behavior using firetec  
Rodman Linn, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and J. Reisner, J. Coleman, and S. Smith
2:50 PMCoffee Break  
3:20 PM-4:40 PM, Tuesday
Session 3 Numerical Modeling: Continued
Organizer: Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL
3:20 PM3.5Forecasting Santa Barbara Sundowners: application to wildfire management  
Charles Jones, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA
3.6Fine scale mesoscale modeling applied to wildfires in British Columbia  
Roland B. Stull, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and T. L. Clark and H. Modzelewski
3:40 PM3.7MM5 simulations for the period of 2000 Cerro Grande fire in Los Alamos area  
Zhong Wu, EarthTech Inc., Concord, MA
4:00 PM3.8Development of a Seasonal Fire Severity Forecast for the Contiguous US: Weather Forecast and Validation  extended abstract
John O. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and F. M. Fujioka and T. J. Brown
5:00 PM, Tuesday
Oral Sessions end for the day
5:00 PM-6:00 PM, Tuesday
Poster Session 1 Poster Session P1
Organizer: Carol Rice, Wildlife Resource Management, Inc., Alamo, CA
 P1.1Florida wildfire initiation and environmental conditions during 1998  extended abstract
Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL; and C. H. Paxton, S. L. Goodrick, D. Sharp, and P. F. Blottman
 P1.2Spatial mapping of KBDI for the southeast United States  
Michael B. Johnson, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Columbia, SC; and G. Forthun
P1.3Examination and forecasting implications of the April 1995 Craig County Virginia fire  
Heath E. Hockenberry, NOAA/NWS, Blacksburg, VA
 P1.4A potential wildfire feedback mechanism in the Alaskan boreal forest: do fire scars increase lightning activity?  
Dorte Dissing, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and S. Chambers and D. L. Verbyla
 P1.5GIS and forest fires: case of the domanial forest of kounteidat, Algeria  
Bdelkader Missoumia Sr., National Center of Spatial Techniques, Arzew, Algeria
 P1.6Study on impacts of local wind and terrain on wildfire  extended abstract
Jiping Zhu, University of Science and Technology, Hefei, Anhui, China; and J. Zhou, Z. Zhong, and C. Lu
 P1.7Combustion parameters and characteristics of clearing fires in the Amazonian arc of deforestation  extended abstract
J. A. Carvalho Jr., Universidade Estadual Paulista, Guaratinguetá, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. A. G. Veras, E. C. Alvarado, D. V. Sandberg, E. R. Carvalaho, R. Gielow, and J. C. Santos
 P1.8Evaluating the Skill of the Haines Index in the Black Hills National Forest  
Andy Bailey, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD
 P1.9Comparison of Real-time Particulate Monitors with Gravimetric Samplers  
Andy Trent, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT; and M. A. Davies and R. Karsky
 P1.10Forest Service RAWS Review and Upgrade Study  extended abstract
Karl F. Zeller, USDA Forest Service, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Zachariassen and T. McClelland
 P1.11Applications of MesoWest to Fire Weather  extended abstract
Carol M. Ciliberti, Univ. of Utah and NOAA/CIRP, Salt Lake City, Utah; and J. D. Horel and M. Splitt
 P1.12Impacts of El Nino and La Nina on seasonal U.S. temperature and precipitation with implications for fire danger  
Narasimhan Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA
 P1.13Demonstration of a Relocatable High-Resolution, Rapid-Response Meteorological Model Suitable for Forest Fire Response Nowcasting  extended abstract
Nelson L. Seaman, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and D. R. Stauffer, A. M. Gibbs, A. Deng, A. J. Schroeder, and G. K. Hunter
 P1.14The 2000 Bitterroot Wildfire: Observations and Preliminary Modeling Results  
Kenneth Westrick, 3TIER Environmental Forecast Group, Inc, Seattle, WA; and S. A. Ferguson
Wednesday, 14 November 2001
8:00 AM-10:10 AM, Wednesday
Session 4 Climate Analysis
Organizer: Jim Brenner, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL
8:00 AM4.1Spatial and temporal coherence of forest fire and drought patterns in the Western United States  extended abstract
Thomas W. Swetnam, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
8:20 AM4.2Spatial Distribution of Fire Season and ENSO Effects on the Island of Sumatra, Indonesia  extended abstract
Robert Field, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and C. Dymond, W. de Groot, and B. Lee
8:40 AM4.3Examining the Relationship between Snowfall and Wildfire Patterns in the Western United States  
Michael J. Medler, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and P. Montesano and D. Robinson
9:00 AM4.4A Brush and Forest Fire Climatology for Massachusetts and Rhode Island: Results from 1964-2000  
Alan E. Dunham, NOAA/NWSFO, Taunton, MA; and D. R. Vallee
9:20 AM4.5Development of lightning climatology information over the western U.S  extended abstract
Beth L. Hall, DRI, Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown
9:40 AMCoffee Break  
10:10 AM-12:10 PM, Wednesday
Session 4 Climate Analysis: Continued
Organizer: Beth L. Hall, DRI, Reno, NV
10:10 AM4.6The Potential for Smoke to Ventilate from Wildland Fires in the United States  extended abstract
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. McKay, D. Nagel, T. Piepho, M. Rorig, and C. Anderson
10:30 AM4.7Climatological and Meteorological Causes and Effects of the 1999 and 2000 Wildfire Seasons in the Western Great Basin  
Robert P. Nester, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT
10:50 AM4.8Atmospheric forcing of severe wildfire years in the American Northwest  
Ze'ev Gedalof, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. L. Peterson
11:10 AM4.9Spatial patterns of fuels and fire behavior at the “La Malinche” National Park in Central Mexico  
Lourdes Villers-Ruiz, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, México City, Mexico; and E. C. Alvarado and J. López-Blanco
11:30 AM4.10Facilitating use of climate information for wildfire decision-making in the U.S. Southwest  
Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. J. Morehouse
11:50 AMConference Luncheon (Speaker: John Deeming, Wildland Fire Management Consultant; Title: What IS the Problem?)  
1:50 PM-3:20 PM, Wednesday
Session 5 Decision-Making Tools
Organizer: Bryan Lee, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB Canada
1:50 PM5.1Roadmap for a national wildland fire research and development program  extended abstract
Richard Wagoner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Bradley and R. R. Linn
2:10 PM5.2An Integrated GIS Tool for Wildfire Management in the Southwestern United States  
Barbara J. Morehouse, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Christopherson, C. Farris, B. Orr, J. T. Overpeck, T. Swetnam, and S. Yool
2:30 PM5.3The 2001 Edition of the NWCG Smoke Management Guide for Prescribed and Wildland Fire  
Colin C. Hardy, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT
2:50 PMCoffee Break  
3:20 PM-5:20 PM, Wednesday
Session 6 Predictive Services
Organizer: Rick Ochoa, National Interagency Fire Center, Boise, ID
3:20 PM6.1National Weather Service's Onsite Weather Support to Wildfires: Past, Present, Future  extended abstract
Carl J. Gorski, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and G. S. Birch
3:40 PM6.2Operational wildland fire management systems: the Oklahoma example  
J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK
4:00 PM6.3Storm Prediction Center's Fire Weather Verification  extended abstract
Richard J. Naden, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and P. D. Bothwell and J. L. Peters
4:20 PM6.4The 10 Day Fire Potential Assessment  extended abstract
Paul Werth, Northwest Interagency Coordination Center, Portland, OR; and T. Marsha and M. Fitzpatrick
4:40 PM6.5New tools for fire danger assessment in Florida  extended abstract
Charles H. Paxton, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL; and A. G. Laing
5:00 PM6.6Real-Time Mesoscale Model Forecasts for Fire and Smoke Management: 2001  extended abstract
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Sevice, Seattle, WA
5:20 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day
Thursday, 15 November 2001
8:00 AM-10:10 AM, Thursday
Session 6 Predictive Services: Continued
Organizer: Paul Stokols, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
8:00 AM6.7Automated, Real-Time Predictions of Cumulative Smoke Impacts from Prescribed Forest and Agricultural Fires  extended abstract
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and J. Peterson and A. Acheson
6.8A Fire Weather Forecast Preparation Program  
Thomas Andretta, NOAA/NWSFO, Pocatello, ID; and S. Alden
8:20 AM6.9A New Approach to Fire Weather Forecasting at the Tulsa WFO  extended abstract
Sarah J. Taylor, NOAA/NWS, Tulsa, OK; and E. D. Howieson
8:40 AM6.10Developing Experimental Fire Weather Products with a Graphical Forecast Editor  
Chris V. Gibson, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
9:00 AM6.11Operational Weather Support for Fire Management at the DOE's Savannah River Site  
Charles H. Hunter, Westinghouse Savannah River Company, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley and D. J. Shea
9:20 AMCoffee Break  
10:10 AM-1:10 PM, Thursday
Session 7 Climate Prediction
Organizer: Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV
10:10 AM7.1Paper has been moved to Paper Number 7.4A  
10:11 AM7.1aFire-Climate Relationships and Long-Lead Seasonal Wildfire for Hawaii (Formerly paper Number 7.4)  extended abstract
Pao-Shin Chu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and W. Yan and F. M. Fujioka
10:30 AM7.2Statistical forecasts of western wildfire season severity  extended abstract
Anthony L. Westerling, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. Gershunov and D. R. Cayan
10:50 AM7.3A model to predict lightning-caused fire occurrences  
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada
11:09 AM7.4Paper has been moved to paper numer 7.1A  
11:10 AM7.4aA novel approach to distinguishing Regime-scale climate signals (Formerly Paper Number 7.1)  
Paul F. Hessburg, USDA Forest Service, Wenatchee, WA; and E. E. Kuhlmann and T. W. Swetnam
11:30 AM7.5Assessing long-term fire danger variability and change from climate model output  extended abstract
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and B. L. Hall
11:50 AMLunch Break  
1:30 PM-3:20 PM, Thursday
Session 8 Fire Danger Indexes
Organizer: Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI
1:30 PM8.1Paper move to paper number 8.3A  
1:31 PM8.1aFire danger and the Standardized Precipitation Index (Formerly Paper number 8.3)  extended abstract
Paul M. Schlobohm, Bureau of Land Management, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown
1:50 PM8.2Developing the Fire Potential Index Model into an operational planning tool  
T. P. DeFelice, Raytheon, ITSS, EDC, Sioux Falls, SD; and J. Klaver, G. Xian, J. Golden, and S. Albers
2:10 PM8.3Paper moved to Paper Number 8.1A  
2:11 PM8.3aExtension of the Fosberg Fire Weather Index to include the impact of precipitation and drought (Formerly Paper number 8.1)  
Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL
2:30 PM8.4The influence of atmospheric instability on fire behaviour in the Northwest Territories, Canada  extended abstract
B. Kochtubajda, MSC, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and M. D. Flannigan, J. R. Gyakum, and R. E. Stewart
2:50 PMCoffee Break  
3:20 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday
Session 8 Fire Danger Indexes: Continued
Organizer: Tom McClelland, USDA, Washington, DC
3:20 PM8.5Performance of the Haines Index during August 2000 for Montana  
Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and S. Goodrick
3:40 PM8.6Development of an Improved Haines Index for the Black Hills National Forest  
Andy Bailey, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD
4:00 PM8.7The Analysis of the Haines Index Climatology for the Eastern United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico  extended abstract
Paul J. Croft, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and M. Watts, B. E. Potter, and A. Reed
4:20 PM8.8How and why does the Haines Index work: energy and dynamics considerations  
Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI
4:40 PMConcluding Remarks  

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