The Norm Phillips Symposium

1.13

Ensemble forecasting and data assimilation: past and future

Eugenia Kalnay, University of Maryland, College Park, MD

Ensemble forecasting (starting with the subjective use of Lagged Average Forecasting by human forecasters in early forecasts) played a significant role in the understanding of operational NWP skill and chaos. Data assimilation has been developed independently from ensemble forecasting, but the unification of these two areas promises major further improvements in forecast skill. wrf recording  Recorded presentation

Session 1, A Review and Update of Norm Phillips Many Contributions (Room 615/616)
Thursday, 15 January 2004, 8:30 AM-5:30 PM, Room 615/616

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