Joint Session 6 |
| | Probabilistic Forecasting/Ensembles. Part I (Joint between the Symposium on Forecasting the Weather and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean and the 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction) (ROOM 6A) |
| | Organizer: Chris Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Chair: Chris Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO
|
| 11:00 AM | J6.1 | Toward an effective short-range ensemble forecast system
F. Anthony Eckel, University of Washington and Air Force Weather Agency, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass and E. P. Grimit |
| 11:15 AM | J6.2 | Multimodel fine-resolution ensembles for short-range forecasts in mountainous terrain  
Roland Stull, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and H. Modzelewski, X. Deng, Y. Zhou, L. Huang, T. Cannon, G. Hicks, D. Storey, M. Holmes, and J. Charbonneau |
| 11:30 AM | J6.3 | Global ensemble forecast at NCEP—configuration, implementation and plan
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, R. Wobus, and M. Wei |
| 11:45 AM | J6.4 | Ensemble augmentation with a new dressing kernel
Xuguang Wang, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. H. Bishop |
| 12:00 PM | J6.5 | Impacts of Resolution on Gridded Probability Thunderstorm Forecast Guidance
Kathryn K. Hughes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. A. Trimarco |