17th Conference on Probablity and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
    

Session 5

 Ensemble Forecasting (Room 602/603)
 Cochairs: Laurence J. Wilson, MSC, Dorval, QC Canada; Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO
5.1Using Ensemble DMOS to produce probabilistic forecasts  
Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Myers and B. G. Brown
1:30 PM5.2Pre-processing of Atmospheric Forcing for Ensemble Streamflow Prediction  extended abstract wrf recording
John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Perica, M. Mullusky, J. Demargne, E. Welles, and L. Wu
1:45 PM5.3Model Consensus and Ensemble Weighting for spot forecasts  extended abstract wrf recording
Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC
2:00 PM5.4Impact of Model Error and Imperfect IC Perturbation on Evolution of Ensemble-based PDFs in NWP model  
Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
2:15 PMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Exhibits open 1:30–7:30 P.M.)  
3:45 PM5.5Ensemble Re-Forecasting: Improving Medium-Range Forecast Skill Using Retrospective Forecasts  extended abstract wrf recording
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker and X. Wei
4:00 PM5.6Calibration of Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts from the ECMWF EPS by an Artificial Neural Network  
Steven L. Mullen, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and R. Buizza
4:15 PM5.7Toward a nonlinear ensemble filter for high-dimensional systems  
C. Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Bengtsson and D. Nychka

Wednesday, 14 January 2004: 1:30 PM-4:30 PM, Room 602/603

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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