Session 24 |
| | Forecast Uncertainty (ROOM 605/606) |
| | Organizer: Nicholas A. Bond, JISAO/Univ. of Washington and NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA
|
| 3:30 PM | 24.1 | Predictive reliability and the scale-bridging capacity of nested models
Ana P. Barros, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and K. -. C. Harm and S. Chiao |
| 3:45 PM | 24.2 | Numerical forecast accuracy over the Northeast Pacific: Model intercomparison and cases of major failures
Lynn A. McMurdie, University of Washington, Seattle, WA |
| 4:00 PM | 24.3 | Forecasting Mesoscale Uncertainty: Short-Range Ensemble Forecast Error Predictability  
Eric P. Grimit, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass |
| 4:15 PM | 24.4 | Spatial bias errors in the operational NCEP Eta model
Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Schultz and M. Baldwin |
| 4:30 PM | 24.5 | The risks and rewards of high resolution and ensemble numerical weather prediction
Paul J. Roebber, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and D. M. Schultz, B. A. Colle, and D. J. Stensrud |
| 4:45 PM | 24.6 | A comparison of MM5, WRF, RUC, and Eta performance for Great Plains Heavy Precipitation Events during the Spring of 2003
Peter J. Sousounis, WSI Corporation, Andover, MA; and T. A. Hutchinson and S. F. Marshall |