The purpose of this paper are: 1) to assess whether there are sifnificant relationship between anomalies in rainfall observed in the Peruvian Andes and El Niño events and 2) to investigate the relationship between anomalies in rainfall observed in the Peruvian Andes and sea surface temperature(SST) anomalies in the four geographical regions, Niño 1+2, Niño 3, Niño 3.4 and Niño 4 using linear lag correlation technique for the period 1950-2002. The assessment of these relationships is of particular interest for its application in long-range forecasting of rainfall and river flow in the Peruvian Andean region.
The analysis indicate that during years with El Niño events, three sifnificant subregional features are observed in the Andes, the north, central and south subregion. Precipitation tend to be higher than average in the northern subregion, neutral en the central subregion, and lower than average in the southern subregion.
It is found that the correlation indices between precipitation in the Peruvian Andes during the months of more intense precipitation and SST anomalies in the three regions Niño 1+2, Niño 3, and Niño 3.4 are negative and very weak, where as the correlation indices between precipitation in the central and southern subregion of the Andes and SST anomaly in the region Niño 4 are negative and moderate large, especially in February.
The analysis further indicate that the precipitation in the northern cost of Peru is highly correlated with SST anomaly in the Niño region 1+2, as several researchers have previously reported.
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