84th AMS Annual Meeting

: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology

14th Conference on Applied Climatology

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Saturday, 10 January 2004

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Saturday, 10 January 2004


SAT 10 JAN

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Saturday, 10 January 2004


Short Course/Student Conference Registration

Sunday, 11 January 2004

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Sunday, 11 January 2004


SUN 11 JAN

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 11 January 2004


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 11 January 2004


Conference Registration

Monday, 12 January 2004

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Monday, 12 January 2004


MON 12 JAN

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 12 January 2004


Registration continues through Thursday, 15 January

9:00 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 12 January 2004


1
Climate Products and Data Sets (Room 619/620)
Location: Room 619/620
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Greg Johnson, USDA/NRCS, National Water and Climate Center

Papers:
  9:15 AM
1.2
Calculation of the 1971 to 2000 Climate Normals for Canada
Debra Allsopp, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. Morris

  9:30 AM
1.3
A synoptic climatology of flooding in New England
Lesley-Ann L. Dupigny-Giroux, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT; and C. Loughner

  9:45 AM
1.4
Observational Data Used for Assimilation in the NCEP North American Regional Reanalysis
Perry C. Shafran, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Woollen, W. Ebisuzaki, W. Shi, Y. Fan, R. W. Grumbine, and M. Fennessy

  10:00 AM
1.5
The U.S. Climate Reference Network
C. Bruce Baker, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. Helfert, D. R. Easterling, T. R. Karl, and R. P. Hosker

10:15 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 12 January 2004


Coffee Break in the Poster Session Room

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 12 January 2004


Joint Session 1
Climate Trends (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Room 6C)
Location: Room 6C
Sponsors: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )

Papers:
  10:45 AM
Economic signals in global temperature histories
Patrick J. Michaels, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA and the Cato Institute, Washington, DC; and R. McKitrick and P. C. Knappenberger

  11:00 AM
Irrigation-induced warming in Central California?
John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. B. Norris

  11:30 AM
Is the 50-year trend in tropical Indo-Pacific SSTs significant?
Cécile Penland, NOAA-CIRES/Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

  11:45 AM
AO, COWL and observed climate trends
Qigang Wu, COLA, Calverton, MD; and D. M. Straus

http://

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 12 January 2004


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 12 January 2004


Joint Session 2
Drought: Variability Monitoring, Impacts, and Prediction (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Room 6C)
Location: Room 6C
Sponsors: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )
Cochairs: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Greg Johnson, USDA/NRCS, National Water and Climate Center

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Paleodrought reconstructions to planning
Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb

  1:45 PM
Ensemble Tree-Ring Reconstructions of Streamflow in the South Platte
Robert S. Webb, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Woodhouse

  2:00 PM
ENSO and the changing landscape of drought
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY

  2:15 PM
Recent Advances in Drought Monitoring
Mark D. Svoboda, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. J. Hayes, D. A. Wilhite, and T. Tadesse

http://drought.unl.edu

  2:30 PM
  2:45 PM
Estimating the Economic Impacts of Drought
Michael J. Hayes, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. D. Svoboda, C. L. Knutson, and D. A. Wilhite

http://drought.unl.edu

 
J2.7
Predicting drought vulnerability in the Mediterranean

  3:15 PM
The recent 4-year drought: Global Warming or La Nina?
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo

  3:30 PM
Regional Drought Driven by Tropical Ocean Warming
Martin Hoerling, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. Hurrell

  3:45 PM
CMORPH: An 8KM, Half-Hourly Global Precipitation Monitoring Tool
John Janowiak, NOAA/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Joyce, P. Arkin, and P. Xie

  5:30 PM
The Drought of 2002 in Colorado (Formerly Poster JP3.6)
Nolan J. Doesken, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Pielke, Sr.

  4:00 PM
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 12 January 2004


Joint Poster Session 1
Applications of Seasonal Predictions (Joint with 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Hall 4AB)
Location: Hall 4AB
Sponsors: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )

Papers:
 
Value of climate forecasts with marginal to modest skill to real users
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. E. Mayes

 
Verification of specific station forecasts based on ENSO composites and CPC Nino 3.4 forecasts
Marina Timofeyeva, UCAR, Boulder, CO and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Staudenmaier Jr., D. Unger, E. Petrescu, A. Bair, W. Higgins, and H. K. Kim

 
Application of CPC Method to Downscale Seasonal Outlooks from Forecast Divisions to Station Locations
Marina Timofeyeva, UCAR, Boulder, CO and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. Bair and D. Unger

 
Weather derivatives as a vehicle to realise the skill of seasonal forecasts
Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorlogy, Melbourne, Australia; and S. S. Dawkins

Poster PDF (252.2 kB)
 
Moving water from theory and farms—the Colorado water bank experiment
John D. Wiener, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)
 
Wavelet Analysis on Variability, Teleconnectivity and Predictability of East Africa Rainfall
Davison Mwale, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and T. Y. Gan and S. Shen

Poster PDF (375.0 kB)
 
Forecasting drought in the Murray-Darling Basin at seasonal to interannual time scales
Gavin J. Bowden, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and A. P. Barros

 
Analysis of sub-seasonal rainfall characteristics from a nested modeling system for South America
Anji Seth, International Research Insititute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and M. Rojas


Poster Session 1
Climate Products and Data Sets
Location: Hall AB
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Michael J. Janis, Southeast Regional Climate Center

Papers:
 
Modernization of pre-1948 hourly precipitation records for the contiguous United States
Richard L. Reinhardt, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. T. Redmond, J. A. Ashby, M. Chambers, M. J. Janis, G. Forthun, and M. B. Johnson

 
Developing Climate Station Histories for pre-20th Century U.S. Observing Sites
Lesley-Ann L. Dupigny-Giroux, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT; and T. R. Ross and S. R. Doty

http://

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
 
 
A climatology of extreme weather and climate events
Thomas F. Ross, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. N. Lott

Poster PDF (2.0 MB)
 
Long Term Remote Sensing Data Sets for Applied Climatology
Linda A. Hunt, SAIC and NASA/Langley Atmospheric Sciences Data Center, Hampton, VA

http://eosweb.larc.nasa.gov

Poster PDF (586.0 kB)
 
The Oklahoma Monthly Climate Summary: Pushing the Real-Time Envelope
Gary McManus, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. Shafer, D. Arndt, R. McPherson, and S. Blackburn

 
Development of climate indices for monitoring vectors of West Nile virus
Michael J. Janis, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Columbia, SC; and K. E. Kunkel, A. T. DeGaetano, L. C. Harrington, C. J. Westbrook, T. Lavin, and A. Nelson

Poster PDF (308.8 kB)
 
A Climatology of Hourly THI Values for Livestock Producers
John A. Harrington Jr., Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS; and E. Bowles

Poster PDF (188.9 kB)

Joint Poster Session 2
Climate Trends (Joint with the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Hall 4AB)
Location: Hall 4AB
Sponsors: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations; and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology )
Chair: David Changnon, Northern Illinois University

Papers:
 
Temporal changes in dew point temperatures associated with short-duration heat waves in Chicago
David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and M. Sandstrom and C. Schaffer

 
Visibility trends for coastal regions
Allen H. Weber, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley

Poster PDF (728.1 kB)
 
Trends in Relative Humidity in Canada from 1953–2003
William A. Van Wijngaarden, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and L. A. Vincent

Poster PDF (117.5 kB)
 
Variations and trends in climate indices for Canada
Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and É. Mekis

Poster PDF (179.4 kB)
 
Changes of seasonality and phenological cycles in South Korea
Gwangyong Choi, Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ; and W. T. Kwon and D. A. Robinson

Poster PDF (56.1 kB)
 
Climate analysis and prediction over the Arno river basin, Italy
Francesco Meneguzzo, Institute of Biometeorology /National Research Council, Firenze, Italy; and G. Menduni, G. Maracchi, M. Baldi, G. Brandani, A. Crisci, F. Marrese, M. Pasqui, and F. Piani

http://www.ibimet.cnr.it/clima

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

Joint Poster Session 3
DROUGHT: VARIABILITY MONITORING, IMPACTS, AND PREDICTION (JOINT withTHE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY; Hall 4AB)
Location: Hall 4AB
Sponsors: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )
Chair: Phillip A. Pasteris, Global Water Resources

Papers:
 
Paleoclimatology: A New Tool in Drought Monitoring
C. Mark Eakin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Woodhouse, E. R. Cook, and R. Heim

 
Real-time Soil Moisture Information for Drought Monitoring and Assessment
Bradley G. Illston, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK OK; and J. B. Basara, C. Fiebrich, M. Wolfibarger, G. McManus, and D. Arndt

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)
 
Linking Drought Vulnerable Soil Landscapes with Placement of Climate Stations for Monitoring Drought
Phillip Pasteris, USDA, Portland, OR; and S. Waltman, G. Schaefer, and R. Sinclair

 
Drought and the modernized cooperative observer network
Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. A. Shafer and K. C. Crawford

Poster PDF (479.2 kB)
 
JP3.5
Comparison of different evaporation/transpiration schemes using field observations

 
Poster JP3.6 moved, now Paper J2.7A

 
A Climatology of drought for Arizona
Jenna C. McPhee, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. C. Comrie and G. G. Garfin

Poster PDF (112.2 kB)

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 12 January 2004


Sessions end for the Day

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 12 January 2004


Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

7:15 PM-7:15 PM: Monday, 12 January 2004


Fred Sanders Banquet

Tuesday, 13 January 2004

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Tuesday, 13 January 2004


TUE 13 JAN

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 13 January 2004


2
Climate Studies, and Applications in Agriculture and Air Quality (Room 619/620)
Location: Room 619/620
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS

Papers:
  8:30 AM
2.1
Climate Change and Global Wine Quality
Gregory V. Jones, Southern Oregon University, Ashland, OR; and M. White and O. Cooper

  8:45 AM
2.2
The Ventilation Climate Information System (VCIS)
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA /Forest Service and Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA; and S. J. McKay, T. Piepho, M. Rorig, C. Anderson, L. Kellogg, and D. Nagel

  9:00 AM
2.3
Freezing rain events in the United States
Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. A. Changnon

  9:15 AM
2.4
Relationship between normalized corn yields and monthly rainfall for the midwestern United States
Nancy E. Westcott, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and S. E. Hollinger and K. E. Kunkel

  9:30 AM
2.5
The impact of climate variability and change on soybean yield in Argentina
Olga C. Penalba, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. L. Bettolli and W. Vargas

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 13 January 2004


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break.

11:00 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 13 January 2004


3
The Lifelong work of Stan Changnon (Invited Presentations) (Room 619/620)
Location: Room 619/620
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Nolan Doesken, Colorado State University

Papers:
  11:30 AM
3.2
Climate and business applications: Focused needs in a changing world
David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL

Poster PDF (88.7 kB)
  12:00 PM
3.3
The Frequency of large hail over the contiguous United States
Joseph T. Schaefer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. J. Levit, S. J. Weiss, and D. W. McCarthy

Poster PDF (2.4 MB)
  12:15 PM
3.4
Tornado Trends Over the Past Thirty years
Daniel W. McCarthy, NOAA/NCEP/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. Schaefer

  12:30 PM
3.5
Stan Changnon: Over 50 years of research in hydroclimatology
Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and J. R. Angel

  1:00 PM
3.6
  2:30 PM
3.9
Applied Climatology: The Golden Era
Stanley A. Changnon, ISWS, Champaign, IL

Poster PDF (55.0 kB)
  3:00 PM
Stan Changnon Luncheon (cash & carry lunch)

  5:00 PM
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–6:30 P.M.)

5:15 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 13 January 2004


Sessions end for the day

Wednesday, 14 January 2004

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


WED 14 JAN

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


Joint Session 3
Heat/Health Warning Systems: Part I (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; Room 619/620)
Location: Room 619/620
Sponsors: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone )
Chair: Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  8:30 AM
The development of improved heat/health warning systems
Laurence S. Kalkstein, Univervisity of Delaware, Newark, DE

  8:45 AM
Heat watch-warning systems: Operational consideration and system design
Scott Sheridan, Department of Geography, Kent State University, Kent, OH

  9:00 AM
A National Heat/Health Warning System: Improvement over current system
Mark A. Tew, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. J. Brewer and R. E. Livezey


4
Spatial Climate Technologies and Products (Parallel with Session J3) (Room 609/610)
Location: Room 609/610
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Christopher Daly, Oregon State University

Papers:
  8:30 AM
4.1
Using PRISM climate grids and GIS for extreme precipitation mapping
George H. Taylor, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. Daly

  8:45 AM
4.2
Mesoscale modeling as a tool for wind resource assessment and mapping
Michael Brower, TrueWind Solutions, Albany, NY and National Renewable Energy Lab, Golden, CO; and J. W. Zack, B. Bailey, M. N. Schwartz, and D. L. Elliott

  9:00 AM
4.3
High Resolution 1971–2000 Mean Monthly Temperature Maps for the Western United States
Matthew Doggett, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. Daly, J. Smith, W. Gibson, G. Taylor, G. Johnson, and P. Pasteris

  9:15 AM
4.4
Application of a Probabilistic Spatial Quality Control System to Daily Temperature Observations in Oregon
Wayne Gibson, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. Daly, M. Doggett, J. Smith, and G. Taylor

9:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


Coffee Break

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


Fourth Presidential Policy Forum: Weather and National Security (Room 6AB)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Events; the The Norm Phillips Symposium; the 17th Conference on Probablity and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; the Symposium on Space Weather; the 18th Conference on Hydrology; the 20th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology; the 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations; the Symposium on Forecasting the Weather and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean; the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; and the Interactive Symposium on the Nexus of Coastal Urban Environments )

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


Lunch Break

12:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


Exhibit Hours

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


5
Regional Climate Models and Observations (Parallel with Session J8) (Room 609/610)
Location: Room 609/610
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Douglas A. Stewart, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc.

Papers:
 
5.1
A statistical-dynamical model for quantifying regional storm climates

  1:45 PM
5.2
Observations of the Diurnal Evolution of Lake-Effect Precipitation Occurrence
David A. R. Kristovich, ISWS and Univ. of Illinois, Champaign, IL; and M. L. Spinar

  2:00 PM
5.3
On the development of a regional climate model for the Central Europe
Tomas Halenka, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic; and R. Huth, L. Metelka, A. Farda, R. Mladek, S. Kliegrova, J. Kysely, P. Sedlak, L. Pokorna, Z. Huthova, and M. Janousek

  2:15 PM
5.4
Intercomparison of inter-annual variability of North American Monsoon in Regional Climate Model Simulations
Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. W. Arritt, W. J. Gutowski Jr., E. S. Takle, Z. Pan, J. A. Taylor, M. Dvorak, J. O. Roads, and A. Nunes

  2:30 PM
The along-shore variability of tropical cyclone landfalls
Douglas A. Stewart, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc., Lantana, FL


Joint Session 8
Heat Health Warning Systems: Part II (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; Room 619/620)
Location: Room 619/620
Sponsors: (Joint between the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology )
Chair: Laurence Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware

Papers:
  1:30 PM
General guidance for urban intervention in response to extreme heat events
Alan D. Perrin, EPA, Washington, DC; and J. P. Samenow and N. J. Dietsch

  1:45 PM
Use of heat/health warning systems by the utility industry
Steve Lee, Entergy Services, Inc., Jackson, MS; and C. Chouest

  2:00 PM
Heat watch/warning wystems save lives: estimated costs and benefits for Philadelphia 1995–1998
Kristie L Ebi, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; and T. J. Teisberg, L. Kalkstein, L. Robinson, and R. Weiher

  2:15 PM
Changing Heat Wave Mortality in U.S. Cities
Robert E. Davis, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and P. C. Knappenberger, P. J. Michaels, and W. M. Novicoff

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


Poster Session 2
Regional Climate Models and Observations
Location: Hall AB
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Eric P Salathé Jr., JISAO/Univ. of Washington

Papers:
 
Mechanisims for a flooding over Korea in August of 2002
Kyong-Hye Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea; and S. Y. Hong and Y. H. Byun

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
 
High-resolution regional climate model for the Pacific Northwest
Eric P Salathé Jr., JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Mass, P. Zahn, and R. Steed

 
A Numerical Study of the Diurnal Patterns of Summer Precipitation in the North American Monsoon
Cheng-Zhi Zou, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Zheng

Poster PDF (267.3 kB)
 
Synoptic conditions associated with dense fog in the Midwest
Nancy Westcott, ISWS and Univ. of Illinois, Champaign, IL

Poster PDF (66.4 kB)
 
The diurnal cycle of the circulation and cloudiness over the subtropical Southeast Pacific
René Garreaud, Univ. of Chile, Santiago, Chile; and R. Muñoz

Poster PDF (587.2 kB)
 
Validation of atmospheric boundary layer simulations with REMO by ground-based lidar measurements
Barbara Hennemuth, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany; and D. Jacob

http://

Poster PDF (370.3 kB)
 
Integration of ASOS weather data into model-derived solar radiation
Brian N. Belcher, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano

Poster PDF (589.9 kB)

Poster Session 3
Climate Services
Location: Hall AB
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
 
NOAA Climate Transition Program: a method for transitioning research to operations
Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Hill

Poster PDF (192.3 kB)
 
NOAA National Weather Service Professional Development Series in Climate Services
Marina Timofeyeva, UCAR, Boulder, CO and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Kann, E. O'Lenic, J. Adolphson, K. Weickmann, M. Newman, W. Schreiber-Abshire, R. Livezey, R. Leffler, K. Redmond, E. Luebehusen, and C. McGill

 
A newsletter forum on climate science and climate change for non-specialists
Michael A. Fortune, Climate Science Forum, Silver Spring, MD

http://climate-science.org

Poster PDF (478.7 kB)
 
 
Changes in NWS climate products and the role of customer feedback
Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Leffler and R. E. Livezey

Poster PDF (2.8 MB)
 
A Climate Services Clearinghouse: A Comprehensive Guide to Climate Services and Products on the Web
Genevieve E. Maricle, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Pielke Jr.

 
P3.8
Newspaper portrayal of climate data


Poster Session 4
Data Reliability, Quality Asssessment and Usability
Location: Hall AB
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey

Papers:
 
Tools for displaying the robustness and density of an observing network over time
Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK

Poster PDF (249.3 kB)
 
Quality of Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program Data
Randy A. Peppler, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. L. Sonntag, A. R. Dean, and C. M. Shafer

Poster PDF (186.7 kB)
 
Using a dense precipitation gage network to estimate annual maximum daily precipitation
Kenneth A. Blumenfeld, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN; and R. Skaggs and J. Zandlo

Poster PDF (534.0 kB)
 
Evaluation of climate monitoring needs in southwestern national parks: The Saguaro National Park pilot study
Michael A. Crimmins, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and T. M. Mau-Crimmins and J. A. Hubbard

 
ASOS impact upon the calculation of the 1971–2000 climatic Normals: A case study for selected Southeastern U.S. stations
Patrick Taylor, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and C. Kauffman

 
Use of Archived Weather Data from Spaceport Florida in Support of Space Shuttle Columbia Accident Investigation
Katherine A. Winters, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and W. P. Roeder, J. T. Madura, and H. C. Herring

Poster PDF (210.7 kB)
 
Performance evaluation of climate sensors in the Canadian Climate Network
Gary Beaney, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and T. Stapf and B. Sheppard

 
Observations of 1-minute rain rates using a vibrating-wire weighing-bucket rain gauge
Claude E. Duchon, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

Poster PDF (374.4 kB)

Joint Poster Session 4
Heat/Health Warning Systems (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology and the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; Hall 4AB)
Location: Hall 4AB
Sponsors: (Joint between the Symposium on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone; and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology )
Chair: Laurence Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware

Papers:

Joint Poster Session 5
Climate Variability (JOINT with THE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY; Hall 4AB)
Location: Hall 4AB
Sponsors: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )
Chair: David A. Robinson, Rutgers University

Papers:
 
Nonlinear patterns of North American winter surface air temperatures associated with El Niño/La Niña
Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. Shabbar

 
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation and its role in cold-season tornado outbreak climatology
Katherine H. Nunn, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano

Poster PDF (39.4 kB)
 
El Niño and precipitation in the peruvian Andes
Pablo Lagos, Instituto Geofisico del Peru, Lima, Peru; and Y. Silva and E. Nickl

 
Nonlinear Complex Principal Component Analysis, with Applications to Tropical Pacific Wind Variability
Sanjay S.P. Rattan, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh

 
Interannual and interdecadal variability in the Pacific region SST anomaly patterns and their impact on local climate
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and F. A. Akyuz, I. I. Mokhov, E. P. Kelsey, D. K. Weitlich, and J. E. Woolard

Poster PDF (431.1 kB)
 
The impact of teleconnection patterns on air mass frequency and character in North American winters
Melissa Lynn Malin, Center for Climatic Research, University of Delaware, Newark, DE

 
Northern Hemisphere snow cover variability
David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ

 
A climate report card for New Jersey
David A. Robinson, Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and J. Parlagreco

 
JP5.10
Examining the frequency of daily extreme events during Oklahoma’s climate record

 
The Recent Increase in Western US Streamflow Variability and Persistence
Thomas C. Pagano, USDA/Natural Resources Conservation Service/National Water and Climate Center, Portland, OR; and D. Garen

Poster PDF (246.8 kB)
 
Wind climate analyses for a 61-m tower in the Southeast
Allen H. Weber, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley and R. J. Kurzeja

http://www.srs.gov/weathercenter/winds/C_C_winds.pdf

Poster PDF (318.3 kB)
 
Intraseasonal variability of subtropical cyclone occurrence in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean
Jason A. Otkin, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)
 
Interannual variability of North America summer precipitation in CAM2.0 and NSIPP AMIP-like simulations
Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam

 
Paper JP5.15 moved to session 8 in the 15th Symp on Global Change/Climate Variations, new paper number 8.3A

 
Global Precipitation Climatology from AMSU Passive Microwave Satellite Observations
Frederick W. Chen, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and D. H. Staelin

Poster PDF (701.7 kB)
 
High-latitude cloud and surface radiative properties from space
Joannes Berque, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. Lubin and R. Somerville


Poster Session 5
Spatial Climate Technologies and Products
Location: Hall AB
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: George H. Taylor, Oregon State University

Papers:
 
Up-To-Date Monthly Climate Maps for the Conterminous United States
Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and W. Gibson, M. Doggett, J. Smith, and G. Taylor

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)
 
Poster P5.2 now in Session 5, new paper number 5.1A

 
An Exploratory Study of Corn Earworm Immigration into the Northeast US Via Air Currents
Matthew Welshans, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and S. Fleischer, P. Knight, and D. Miller

 
A 20-year daily Africa precipitation climatology using satellite and gauge data
Timothy B. Love, RS Information Systems, Inc. and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Kumar, P. Xie, and W. Thiaw

Poster PDF (450.2 kB)

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Hall 4AB)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


Joint Session 4
Applications of Seasonal Predictions (Joint with the 15th Symp on Global Change and Climate Variations and 14th Conf on Applied Climatology (Room 609/610)
Location: Room 609/610
Sponsors: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )
Chair: Timothy J. Brown, DRI

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Forecasting Rainfall and Floods in Bangladesh on Weekly to Seasonal Time Scales: Climate Forecast Applications in Bangladesh (Formerly Poster JP1.12)
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and A. R. Subbiah, T. M. Hopson, C. Hoyos, R. L. Grossman, H. -. R. Chang, K. Sahami, T. N. Palmer, D. L. T. Anderson, and A. Hossain

  4:15 PM
Helping resource managers apply seasonal predictions: considerations of equity in providing knowledge development and decision support tools
Holly C. Hartmann, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. Imam, E. Lay, D. Lamb, and S. Sorooshian

  4:30 PM
National Long-range Hydrologic Prediction System
Qingyun Duan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Schaake

  4:45 PM
Use of a weather generator to disaggregate seasonal forecasts: Application to forecasting streamflow
M. P. Clark, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. E. Hay and S. Gangopadhyay

  5:00 PM
Climate, fuels, fire and decisions: The making of national monthly and seasonal wildland fire outlooks
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and G. G. Garfin, T. Wordell, R. Ochoa, and B. Morehouse

  5:15 PM
 
J4.1A
Winter Precipitation Forecasts over the Southern High Plains

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


Sessions end for the day

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 14 January 2004


AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Thursday, 15 January 2004

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Thursday, 15 January 2004


THUR 15 JAN

8:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 15 January 2004


6
Climate Services (Room 619/620)
Location: Room 619/620
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center

Papers:
  8:30 AM
6.1
Climate Services: Where Do We Go From Here?
Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK

  8:45 AM
6.2
Crafting climate services
Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and K. T. Redmond

  9:00 AM
6.3
Meeting the climate needs of the US public: the next big challenge
Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Hill, R. Pulwarty, and K. Redmond

  9:15 AM
6.4
The National Weather Service's role as a partner for providing climate services at the regional and local levels
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Koepsell, M. Timofeyeva, R. Leffler, F. Horsfall, A. Bair, G. Hufford, P. Leftwich, V. Murphy, H. Thurm, and J. Weyman

  9:30 AM
6.5
Developing effective partnerships for service provision at regional and local scales: A problem-based approach
Susan Avery, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Dole and R. Livezey

  9:45 AM
6.6
Climate services from the state climatologist perspective
David A. Robinson, Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ

  10:15 AM
6.8
Climate Services—A USDA Perspective
Phillip A. Pasteris, Global Water Resources, Portland, OR; and T. Puterbaugh and R. Motha

  10:30 AM
6.9
Climate science and services: some lessons from CLIMAS
Andrew C. Comrie, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. C. Lemos, M. Hughes, and J. Overpeck

  10:45 AM
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

12:15 PM-1:45 PM: Thursday, 15 January 2004


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 15 January 2004


7
Data Reliability, Quality Assessment and Usability (Room 619/620)
Location: Room 619/620
Sponsor: 14th Conference on Applied Climatology
Cochairs: Christopher Daly, Oregon State University; Kelly T. Redmond, DRI

Papers:
  1:30 PM
7.1
Toward an automated tool for detecting relationship changes within series of observations
Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. T. Redmond

  1:45 PM
7.2
New techniques in quality assurance of hourly meteorological data: Resolving multiple flags through a decision tree
Daniel Y. Graybeal, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano and K. L. Eggleston

Poster PDF (92.1 kB)
  2:00 PM
7.3
A Probabilistic-Spatial Approach to the Quality Control of Climate Observations
Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and W. Gibson, M. Doggett, J. Smith, and G. Taylor

  2:15 PM
7.4
The Value of a Quality Assurance Meteorologist
Janet E. Martinez, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and C. A. Fiebrich and M. A. Shafer

  2:30 PM
7.5
Data quality assessment: Why we need to share
Nathaniel B. Guttman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

  2:45 PM
7.6
Quality control of pre-1948 cooperative observer network data
Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and D. R. Easterling, K. Hubbard, K. Redmond, K. Andsager, M. Kruk, and M. Spinar

  3:00 PM
7.7
  3:15 PM
7.8
  3:30 PM
7.9
A comparison of methods for the identification of steps in temperature series: an overview
Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and J. F. Ducré-Robitaille and G. Boulet

  4:00 PM
The impact of precipitaton frequency on gaugesite monitoring algorithms
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. I. Tollerud and T. L. Fowler

  4:30 PM
Ensuring Quality Snow Observations at LCD Stations
Andy Horvitz, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Lawrimore, R. Leffler, R. Stone, T. Townsend, A. Dunham, N. Doesken, and K. T. Redmond

  4:45 PM
Nineteenth Century Weather Observers: A Whodunit
Glen Conner, Western Kentucky Univ., Bowling Green, KY

  5:00 PM
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 15 January 2004


Registration Desk Closes

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 15 January 2004


Joint Session 6
Observed Climate Variability (JOINT with THE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (Room 609/610)
Location: Room 609/610
Sponsors: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )
Chair: Arthur T. DeGaetano, Cornell Univ.

Papers:
  3:30 PM
Verifying the Reanalysis and climate models outputs using a 56-Year data set of reconstructed global precipitation
Mingyue Chen, RS Information Systems, Inc., Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, P. A. Arkin, and T. M. Smith

  3:45 PM
Low Latitude Zonally Symmetric Circulations in the NCEP Reanalyses
Ioana M. Dima, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace

  4:00 PM
 
J6.4
The Storms of 2003 in the Midwest

  4:30 PM
Recent climate variability in Antarctica from satellite-derived temperature data
David P. Schneider, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and E. J. Steig and J. Comiso

  4:45 PM
Monitoring climate change from geostationary satellites
Herbert Jacobowitz, Short & Associates, Inc., Silver Spring, MD; and G. J. Dittberner and J. J. Gurka

  5:00 PM
  5:15 PM
Geostatistical Analysis of local versus Regional Feedback on Regional Climate: Synthesis of Insitu Observations and Global Analysis over Senegal, Western Africa
Souleymane Fall, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and D. Niyogi, F. Semazzi, R. Anyah, and J. Bowden

Poster PDF (218.0 kB)

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 15 January 2004


Conference Ends

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 15 January 2004


Norm Phillips Banquet